Biedrins' future with the dubs
something to think about -
i think we all are excited about brandan wright. many of us here think he's our power forward of the future, if not next year then the year after. great.
well, bearing that in mind, does that recast our plans for the offseason? everyone assumes that this summer baron will return, and mullin will sign ellis and biedrins. let's rethink this, for the sake of argument.
doesn't wright make biedrins a bit redudant? let's think about our starting lineup for next year
pg-baron davis
sg - monta ellis
sf - stephen jackson
pf - brandan wright
c - andris beidrins
it seems to me that a front court of wright and biedrins is just, uh, weak. how do they guard guys like dwight howard, andrew bynum, carlos boozer? they're just not strong. one of them is good, but i think you need to balance one with a stronger counterpart that can pass.
biedrins is two inches taller than wright, he's two years older, has less offensive moves. imagine wright in two years. wright brings everything beidrins brings, plus jump hooks from both hands, a mid range j, and who knows what else. look at how much ellis, biedrins improved from 20 to 22. no reason to believe wright won't do the same.
so couldn't we let biedrins go in the offseason, save some money, and draft/sign a better center?
nelson said last night after the game, he likes pairing brandan wright (athletic) with webber (non athletic). webber's gone after this year, how about KEVIN LOVE. he's strong, he can pass, he can shoot, she's just slow. he compliments brandan wright nicely. how about this in the future:
davis
ellis
jax
wright
love
imagine love throwing those outlet passes to wright and ellis. we would be a force for years, perenially competing with portland and la.
in summary - the emergence of wright makes biedrins expendable because he brings the same skills, only at the 4, plus hooks and mid range j. let's let ab go, get someone that better compliments wright, since i'd rather build around wright than ab. plus it saves us money, unless ab comes back to us for cheap.
and kevin love is a BOSS.
This FanPost is a submission from a member of the mighty Golden State of Mind community. While we're all here to throw up that W, these words do not necessarily reflect the views of the GSoM Crew. Still, chances are the preceding post is Unstoppable Baby!
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LOVE
Love
Ballin
yup
how is that even a comparison?
Boozer
by Snesley Wipes on Mar 3, 2008 8:57 PM PST up reply actions
seriously
It would be dumb...
kidding me?
by Dyno Garage SF on Mar 3, 2008 4:01 PM PST reply actions
only a few games..
AB and BW would be a nice combo in the frontlines...nimble with great hands... and 2 shot blockers to boot.
by Delinquentsoul on Mar 3, 2008 4:02 PM PST reply actions
wow
regardless of that prediction, putting a great young center with a good young PF together... WHY IN THE WORLD would we just let biedrins walk for nothing? If we wanted to go that route we wouldve traded him because he is CERTAINLY valuable. we couldve gotten atleast a 1st round pick and/or a great frontcourt player or something in exchange for him
asdf
"TIMEOUT IN BARON'S HOUSE"
by the noTORious TOR on Mar 3, 2008 4:07 PM PST reply actions
we'll be fine
hold on
beidrins? a top 10 center? how do you figure? he's 6'11" 215. that's power forward size in the nba. he can't shoot. he can't pass. he can dunk, excute the pick and roll. he's an inconsistent rebounder. he gets pushed around by bigger centers.
where is biedrins' cieling? what else can he get good at? he doesn't have good hands, like wright. he drops passes. he's never going to develop a good shot, it's NOT GOING TO HAPPEN. to me, wright in 2 years will be able to do everything ab can do now and will ever be able to do, from the power forward position. why spend hella money on ab in the offseason for a redundant, undersize center. instead of giving biedrins top ten center money (which is ridiculous, he will not be top ten. not at 6'11", not at sub 250 pounds (he's at 211 right now) not without any offensive moves besides putbacks and dunks.)
don't get me wrong. i like ab. he blocks shots, gets rebounds, executes the pick and roll nicely. but those are all things b wright will be able to do soon. let's let biedrins go and get someone else at center.
biedrins?
asdf
man...
I've seen BW drop some passes too, but I'm not saying that he doesn't have sweet hands.
asdf
I disagree
by williedillssf on Mar 3, 2008 5:25 PM PST up reply actions
asdf
wow
The whole "doesn't have good hands thing" has already been shown to be just ridiculous.
You complain about AB, saying his ceiling is close to Tyson Chandler's current level of play.
Chandler's current #'s
MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TPG
34.7 11.7 12.2 1.1 0.6 1.0 1.8
AB's current #'s
MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TPG
27.5 10.3 9.7 1.1 0.7 1.2 1.2
So you're saying AB, who is only twenty-fucking-one years old, could only top out at those #'s? Dude, if AB even just played those extra 7 minutes/game that Chandler gets, he would probably top those #'s already, and that is with no development at all, just minutes.
We have a 21 year old center who is a guaranteed 10/10 plsyer and has amazing room for improvement as shown in his international play: you obviously have no idea that AB tok it coast-to-coast several times this summer and he does ridiculous stuff in international ball that he doesn't even try in the league. When he perfects those skills enough to incorporate them into his game in the NBA, watch out.
Give it up, you tried some unique idea, I'll give you that, but this is just a terrible idea.
tell me then
biedrins will never take anything coast to coast in the nba. there's a reason he did that in europe/summer ball. it's an inferior league.
wright will take it coast to coast. anything you say biedrins can or will be able to do, wright either already can do those things, or will be able to do them more effectively. he'll be a better shot blocker and rebounder since he has the wingspan of a 7'5" guy (look it up) and he can jump way higher than biedrins. and he's only ten pounds lighter.
now that wright will take over ALL of biedrins jobs/assignments, lets go in a different direction at center.
why not have both?
Inferior league HA?
See now I have read enough lil iggy
by bigtuna12003 on Mar 3, 2008 7:55 PM PST up reply actions
ok...
and second of all, who the hell are you thinking is going to replace him at the 5? someone from the draft? I'm telling you, if there was a kid out there showing the potential to be a good center he would NOT drop down to the late first round. Sign a free agent? the Dubz would have to pay him just as much as AB and he'd be worse.
In short, Biedrins is very young, and while he's not a Tim Duncan, or even an all-star level player, he is very much an above average center. He's worth the money, and he's continuing to improve a lot. And who do you think should play the 5? shaq when the suns are done with him?
I guarantee that AB is better now than Love will ever be.
gvdsuh
agreed
BW is following the same pattern of development beans did, but MAYBE and i repeat maybe, with more promise. i like andris as a player don't get me wrong, but the team severely lacks a dominant big man. it's not like either BW or AB is gonna throw on 30 lbs of muscle in the off-season.. its just improbable. so no need to have two lanky guys down low. keep the one with the better overall game, wright, and trade beans while his market value is good coming off of this season. we all have to keep in mind that as much as we love our team and support our players, the bootom line is that the NBA is a business.
An extraordinary topic of conversation?
As for this...
Ah yes ... in the immortal words of our departed colleague Option Zero: YOU FAIL. Come clean now, do you actually follow the Warriors, or are you just Iggy and Kevin Love's college roommate?
(Yeah, I'm trying to be kinder and gentler lately, but I'm a little cranky about HRC's "victories" tonight...)
alternative plan for offseason
but if his market value is higher than that, let him walk.
we could make a run at brand or jermaine o'neal. then we could draft kevin love.
here's our depth chart (just backups included)
pg - baron, monta
sg - monta, buke
sf - jax, need to sign someone (maybe mp2, prefereably not barnes).
pf - wright, harrington
c - o'neal (or brand, or biedrins), love
wright and ab together won't be able to box out anyone. they'll get pushed around. they won't rebound. they're redundant together on the floor. you need someone that's stronger to compliment. like love. or brand. or o'neal. or even webber. AND NELSON KNOWS THIS. he said it last night. go check the daily dubs. he doesn't want to play the two together. one's got to go. wright has a higher ceiling. let's get creative and figure out a new center.
There are other aspects of Biedrins besides size
And even at his current height/weight, he STILL is one of the better rebounders in the league. It baffles me that you say he and Wright wouldn't get any rebounds. Do you know the game high for rebounds in the NBA this year? It's 26, and it's not owned by Dwight Howard, it's owned by Biedrins.
So you are saying that if Wright plays the four Biedrins wouldn't be able to rebound but when Barnes and Pietrus and Harrington play the four he can? How? Wright has an awe-inspiring wingspan, he can reach balls that Barnes could never dream of.
And no, they aren't the same player. Wright has a midrange game and a hook shot. Wright looks pretty good so far covering quicker players like guards. Wright looks like he has handles. He offers things Biedrins doesn't, just like Biedrins offers things he doesn't (you seen Biedrins FG percentage lately?).
And even if they were similar, what is wrong with having two of those players out on the floor? As long as they are good and don't negatively impact the other I am for it. It would be nice to see the Warriors have the edge in rebounding for a change.
Can you actually name all the centers better?
by mightymadskillz on Mar 3, 2008 4:41 PM PST reply actions
ok, i'll try
this site ranks ab at 13.
oden is good and all
"To my dear brother, Noompsy."
by Tim N Chris Burger on Mar 3, 2008 4:59 PM PST up reply actions
Umm....
When you consider his stats, look at two things.
A. Nelson's tendancy to go small and cut Biedrins minutes game to game.
B. Biedrins is only a small option on offense. Nelson wants him to concentrate on the defensive end and clean glass on both sides.
It took us quite a while to find a good center, why give up on him. There are very few big men that fits into our offense like Biedrins, lets not set ourselves back.
true words
"To my dear brother, Noompsy."
by Tim N Chris Burger on Mar 3, 2008 4:58 PM PST up reply actions
Well
by Elcold on Mar 3, 2008 11:37 PM PST up reply actions
Exactly....
by mightymadskillz on Mar 4, 2008 1:11 PM PST up reply actions
come on..
by BD4mvp on Mar 3, 2008 4:42 PM PST reply actions
No Thanks Iggy
Also, Biedrins may be "undersized" now, but he's not too short, he's just not strong enough yet. But once again, dude's only 22. Hit the weights, he'll be fine.
Also, Biedrins is not an inconsistent rebounder, he gets inconsistent playing time. Whenever he plays consistent minutes, he gets 10+ EASILY. SO EASILY. You know this man.
Also, don't like Love. He's a fine college player, but like other GSOMers have posted here, I don't know that his college game will translate very well in the NBA. Would be a terrible pick for the Dubs.
Also, do you really think Don Nelson of all people is serious when he quotes that he likes to play Brandan Wright (athletic) with Webber (not-athletic)? Come one now folks. Nelson haaaates non-athletic players, especially non-athletic bigs. Besides, does this quote make any sense to anyone? Who wants to ever start a non-athletic player in this day and age of the uptempo NBA, let alone Don Nelson? It's obvious here that Nelson is simply backing up Webber because he somewhat feels bad for the guy, and for their previous relationship. This is very very obvious.
Iggy: you're talkin about Wright in 2 more years, yea, we all think he'll be special. What about Biedrins in 2 more years? He's gonna be a top 10 center (legit top 10) in 2 more years, no doubt. How in the world could we let a dude like this go? The answer is, we're not gonna do it! Excuse the double negative, but Mullin would NOT be stupid enough to not sign a very large part of our future. Biedrins is key.
Pray for the guy
by B Randon on Mar 3, 2008 4:48 PM PST reply actions
how high is his ceiling?
shoot? no
pass? doubt it.
grow? nope.
put on weight. thirty pounds tops.
so at best he'll be a 6'11" 240 pounds center than can't shoot, hit a jump hook, pass out of the post. i mean, he has ZERO post moves. none. zilch.
let's save the money we would give him and get someone who is better.
Love
Pray for the guy
by B Randon on Mar 3, 2008 4:53 PM PST reply actions
asdf
It's
Pray for the guy
by B Randon on Mar 3, 2008 4:58 PM PST up reply actions
usually when you think the world is crazy...
by williedillssf on Mar 3, 2008 5:30 PM PST up reply actions
watch his international ball
Why can't he "learn to pass" out of the post? Has he not shown himself to be a smart and dedicated basketball player? Has he not improved every year he has been in the league?
Did AB run over your dog? Did kevin Love buy you a new puppy? This has just become irrational, dude.
Celtics
Pray for the guy
by B Randon on Mar 3, 2008 4:54 PM PST reply actions
wait
we could UPGRADE.
Upgrade
Pray for the guy
by B Randon on Mar 3, 2008 5:00 PM PST up reply actions
agree, Biedrins is potential trade material
It will be fun to see Wright and Biedrins in the game at the same time, but eventually Biedrins will be gone unless he develops a shot.
Based on his free throw shooting, future is not looking bright in a Warriors uniform.
by attatt on Mar 3, 2008 4:56 PM PST reply actions
thank you
let him walk. save the money. sign someone better, or sign a good vet, draft k love. i'm gonna write a diary explaining my case for k love.
He's restricted.
by the evil monkey on Mar 3, 2008 6:26 PM PST up reply actions
Are you guys crazy?
Wright and Biedrins could coexist if Wright develops his jumper, which is entirely possible.
Biedrins can still improve a lot as well.
Worst case you want to sign Biedrins and trade him off later! Never ever let him walk for free.
by calbears on Mar 3, 2008 5:01 PM PST reply actions
uh
can someone explain to me how biedrins will get better? anyone? i just can't see it. what area of his game will improve?
the man is goofy. he's got a long wingspan and touch around the basket. he'll never be a premier rebounder, scorer, shot blocker. he'll be pretty good.
Umm
by yehyeh82 on Mar 3, 2008 5:58 PM PST up reply actions
Actually, before this season,
NBA.com updated it for some reason to 230 this season
http://www.nba.com/playerfile/andris_biedrins/index.html
But on KNBR Chris Mullin said Biedrins weighs 220
http://media.knbr.com/knbr/0629mullin.mp3
(almost half way in)
by the evil monkey on Mar 3, 2008 6:31 PM PST up reply actions
asdf
beidrins and bwright if develop the right way will be a force to be reckon with in a year or two..
by rAybOund18 on Mar 3, 2008 5:36 PM PST reply actions
ok
they won't be a force, they'll be the lightest front line in the nba. they'll be the opposite of a force. and biedrins won't have a roll on the team. let's see if nellie plays the two together this year. i bet he won't, for the reasons i've stated.
williedillssf....
stfu.
Here's your homework assignment. Tell me why I'm wrong. Everyone else doing it isn't enough for me. I say he wont get any better so that's that. Even though my opinion is ridiculously off base and incorrect, it's my way or the highway.
Funny thing is, if this was Atma saying this, all these little pony's would be agreeing. Sheeps.
Beidrins is good...
by williedillssf on Mar 3, 2008 5:59 PM PST up reply actions
Wow... I don't even know where to start.
Anyway here are a couple things.
RE: "Lets let AB walk and use that money to get a better player"
Ok, how? You can't just take the money allocated to AB's new contract and give it to some other Center who is better than him. Whether we sign AB or not we will be limited to using the MLE to sign any free agents in the offseason (appx $6mil). Letting AB walk will give us ZERO advantage in finding a replacement. There is no upside to your idea.
RE: "Lets get Kevin Love"
First of all there is no way of knowing that he would be available for us to pick (even if he turns out to be as good as you think). Second, you have no way of knowing that he will be a good NBA player. Third, what in the world leads you to believe that Love will be better at center than AB next season?
RE: "Andris will never be as good as Gasol"
Who said he has to be? But since you brought it up he is already a better rebounder and shoots a higher percentage.
You were actually pretty spot on when you compared AB to Chandler. The only problem was I think you were using it as a negative. Have you seen the Hornets this year? He is a critical part of what makes that team win. Seven foot rebounders who can defend the paint and have good hands (yes AB has great hands despite what you like to believe) are not easy to find, that's why guys like Chandler, Dalembert and Kaman are "overpaid"(they are actually quite valuable).
RE: "i don't like the idea of giving ab a 5 year, 30 mil contract."
Are you being serious right now??? If you think we can re-sign AB for $6mil per year, you are crazy. If you think we should pass on signing AB at $6mil per year... well I can't even come up with a word for that. Even the biggest Andris haters I have seen say they would re-sign him for that amount.
RE: "We should go after J. O'neal"
How do you propose we acquire JO without losing any of our key players? The guy makes $20mil per year, he doesn't rebound as well as Andris and only shoots 44% from the field as a big-man. How does he solve our problems? Did I forget to mention that he is more injury prone that Baron.
RE: haha... everything
Your argument doesn't make any sense to me. You choose to point out AB's flaws and you don't give him any credit for his strengths.
Should we let Monta walk too because he is a poor defender?
How are you willing to forgive Wright for being undersized and unproven yet discredit everything that Andris has already proven on the floor against NBA players?
He is our best rebounder, our best shotblocker, our best interior defender, he has a great sense for getting to the right spots at the right time on offense, he is our best pick and roll big-man, he plays with consistently high effort and energy, leads the league in FG%... why are we giving up on this guy again?
uhhh
by williedillssf on Mar 3, 2008 6:02 PM PST up reply actions
ok
what is it going to take to resign biedrins this summer?
i'm not saying we should let the guy walk. of course not. he is good. i like him. he seems like a nice guy too. he does community service! but i don't like the idea of signing him to longterm contract for the following reasons:
1.it'll cost a lot of money, and he hasn't shown that he deserves it.
- he hasn't improved much from last year. I still don't understand in which areas he will improve. i guess he'll get better at what he already does. great.
- IF brandan wright develops like i think/hope he will, he'll do the things biedrins does, but more/better.
- a front court of biedrins and wright will get pushed around. when b wright is 22 he'll be wiry strong too. but that front court won't help us beat utah, los angeles, or san antonio. they won't be able to block big men out. they'll get pushed around. at least harrington weighs 250.
- If we can resign him for 2 or 3 years, cool. let's sign him up! but to put make a large monetary investment in him is a bad idea, in my opinion. we're stuck with him. let's see him show significant improvement before we give him top ten money.
- bottom line - we can't win in the west with ab and wright as our front line. you can argue about whether or not wright is our 4 of the future. fine. but he has a higher cieling than ab. and he does the same things. let's not commit ourselves to ab for years/money.
so IF we get a shotblocker, pick and roller, finisher aroudn the basket, dunker, someone who's wiry strong, hooks with both hands, speed, dribbling ability in b wright, what does ab have to add? nelson doesn't even start him anymore, he'd rather start webber because he can pass, shoot (that's what nelson thought at least, hasn't really paid off yet.)
thanks again.
ok
I won't pretend to know the specifics of the deal but judging by similar players in similar situations, I'd say 5-6 years at $9-11mil per year. I know that's kind of a big range but we have yet to see how the market is going to pan out this summer.
ummm.... yeah, actually that is exactly what you were saying.
This is kind of the heart of the matter here. You don't think that what Biedrins brings to the court is worth a large contract, but I, most posters here and more importantly most NBA GM's do. You can see numerous guys with similar skill-sets and similar stats who have gotten long term deals in the price range I'm talking about.
The casual fan assumes that the GM's who handed out those deals were banking on the players becoming Tim Duncan and have been disappointed. But if you look more closely you will see a big difference in pay-scale between the Duncans and KGs of the world and the ABs, Chandlers and Dalemberts. These guys are getting paid what they are worth. There is a big difference between making $10 mil per and making $15-20 mil per year.
Same problem basically. What he "already does" is worth $9-11 mil per year. As far as him not improving, he has improved his FT% by almost 10% and improved his already stellar rebounding by 1.2 reb per 36 minutes played putting him at 12.7. There are not many guys out there that will rebound like that and bring the other skills AB has.
It's good to know while ignoring what AB brings to the table you are placing the future of the franchise in your "hopes" for B-Wright.
I don't see any problem having two guys with similar skill-sets on the same team. You do however ignore the fact that Wright has shown range on his jumper and considering that a jumper is one of the skills that often greatly improves in the first few years of a players career I don't think Wright will have any trouble keeping the D honest with respect to floor spacing.
This is a legitimate concern. We will have a hard time with those teams in the next few years. But I do not follow your logic that getting rid of our only proven rebounder will help us compete against those guys.
We are not in their league at this point but blowing up the team and letting some of our best guys walk doesn't help our cause whatsoever.
I don't see AB settling for 2-3 years. A player only get a limited number of contracts during his career and he will be looking for long term security. I also don't see us giving him "top-ten" money. Of course since you weren't specific enough to say what that is I guess I can't be sure.
Yes we will have a hard time winning the west with our guys.
You are overstating the redundancy of their games. It's not like they can't coexist as they develop.
You can argue that Wright's upside is higher than AB's but don't forget that AB is a proven commodity and Wright is not. He may end up being the better player... or he may not.
Just to sum up, you make some good observations/points but your conclusions don't really follow your reasoning. I can understand being apprehensive about handing a big contract out to AB but at this point we are committed. If we were going to pass on signing AB we should have dealt him at the deadline. Worst case scenario, if Wright and AB can't play together in a few years just trade one of them. You won't have any trouble finding takers for AB at 10mil so long as he continues to produce like he is now.
This was definitely a fun discussion and you sure know how to stir the pot, but I can't help but get the feeling that you are arguing just to argue. Either way, fun chat.
this is hella fun
"I don't see any problem having two guys with similar skill-sets on the same team."
right, of course not. i see a problem starting an undersized power forward and an undersized center, especially in the west. that's my main, heart of the matter, point. their skill sets may compliment each other in ways we don't know yet. but on a pure rebounding and defense standpoint, i think each player would thrive with a bigger player to bang in the blocks and block out bigger guys, so they could use their long arms and athleticism to grab the board.
as far as similar skill sets is concerned, here's what i'm saying. correct me if i'm wrong, but from my observations, biedrins' role on offense is to set screens, roll to the basket, finish. on defense he's a great rebounder for his size, not a premier shotblocker, defender, rebounder. but above average.
wright can do the things ab does on offense. he pick and roll, he can dunk, he can shot block etc (i know these opinions rest on limited evidence. i'm assuming he progresses in the mold of ab and monta - a steady climb from 20 to 22.
so wouldn't our team have more to offer if we had a center who could do different things than wright? (you're gonna say name a guy. i tried with love and brand. are there no other options? are you against considering it?)
"If we were going to pass on signing AB we should have dealt him at the deadline. Worst case scenario, if Wright and AB can't play together in a few years just trade one of them." this is the best soluyion anyone has presented so far on this diary. i agree with you, signing and potentially overpaying for biedrins is better than losing him with no back up plan. i thought brand/love/o'neal were good back up plans, but i admit they were half baked ideas (excpet love, so convinced he'd thrive on our team, at least off the bench. can't count on him being there at our pick though.)
who do you think is gonna make a play for biedrins this offseason?
BWright
no one isn't playing against him as it is done all season against AB
BW is surprise for opponents till now -he played just 2 good games
build a team & destroy the roof
by Lat We N Trash on Mar 4, 2008 12:32 AM PST up reply actions
Whoa...
by yehyeh82 on Mar 3, 2008 5:52 PM PST reply actions
wasn't there a diary a while back....
Nothing personal, Iggy, this is just not only one of the worst ideas ever but the irrational support for it that has no merit just makes it so much worse.
Weight
http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/4286
According to this, Biedrins actually outweighs BW by 40 lbs (245lbs to 205lbs). 40 lbs, not 5 or 10 or whatever other number you made up trying to make a point. Fact is, Biedrins is much, much stronger than BW, even if he is not the strongest center in the league.
by yehyeh82 on Mar 3, 2008 6:07 PM PST reply actions
ok
http://www.nba.com/playerfile/andris_biedrins/index.html
230 is very undersized for a center. an undersized center and an undersized power forward playing together isn't gonna work, not in the west. why do you think we signed webber, phoenix traded for shaq. we gotta pick one for the future. i'd pick wright.
so
by BD4mvp on Mar 5, 2008 7:40 PM PST up reply actions
My word
Sure. I'm a big Wright fan, and have been since before we drafted him. At the same time, we're talking about a sample size of two good games -- and conveniently enough, two good games during which Deadweight Biedrins has been injured. Can you say "knee-jerk"?
Redudant: does that mean they're, like, the same dude? I dunno, last I checked, it wasn't against NBA rules to have both a center and a power forward on your roster.
Right, so let's strengthen it by getting rid of one of them -- preferably the stronger of the two.
Actually, just a year and a half, but hey, as long as we're stretching the truth...
Because, yeah, all young players improve as dramatically and consistently as Monta and Biedrins have. Ike Diogu, Chris Taft, and POB say "Hi," along with about 100,000 other guys.
Name one. This diary is pointless unless you can name a specific, realistic target, and/or a specific price above which you wouldn't sign AB. Suppose we get a little lucky with the competitive bids and the best offer we have to match is something like 5/$40M. Do you actually think it would be smart to let him walk?
Ah, yes, there's the "specific, realistic target." My bad. The slow, 6'9" college forward who has never played an NBA game. First of all, he's not a center. Secondly, there's no guarantee he'll drop to where we're picking: DraftExpress has him at #13. Third of all, he's not a center. (Did I say that already?) DraftExpress lists his "best case scenario" as David West, and worst case as Sean May. I wouldn't trade Biedrins straight up for his best case scenario.
Well, no argument there. Love's a WNBA superstar, for sure.
Let's stop being deliberately obtuse for like, one second. I don't know about Beidrins, but Biedrins, by PER, is the #8 ranked center in the NBA. During the last Celtics games, fans in the Cs blog were absolutely salivating over him. One savvy fan said he was the only big man he'd seen all season that was just too fast for KG to guard on the pick-and-roll.
Um, no he isn't. He's 6'11 240. Since your entire case seems to rest on AB's skinniness, this is a pretty egregious "underestimate." And he's still only 21 (not 22 till next month), so he should put on at least 10-15 more pounds of lean muscle as he grows into his man-body.
Meanwhile, a few numbers to ponder while you beat your "bigger is better" drum...
Bill Russell -- 6'9" 215
Kevin Garnett -- 6'1" 220
Dennis Rodman -- 6'7" 210
----
Eddy Curry -- 6'11" 285
Stanley Roberts -- 7'0" 285
Bryant "Big Country" Reeves -- 7'0" 275
Now there's some finely-honed analysis. "Fairly often." Clearly, he has hands of stone. Case closed.
One of the few things you've said in this diary with which a reasonable person would agree. He probably will be a similar player to Tyson Chandler, if slightly quicker and with a slightly softer touch around the rim. Good thing is both he and Tyson Chandler are extremely valuable, extremely rare players.
Nice, a fantasy site. Of course, Fantasy Points are awarded based on cumulative production, not on productivity per minute. It's tough to compete on Fantasy Points with guys playing 38 minutes a night when you're playing 27.5. But then, you knew that, just as you knew Biedrins wasn't really 6'11 215.
We await it eagerly. If you "exaggerate the truth" as much as you have in this diary, you may yet turn Love into the second coming of LeBron James...
D'oh!
in some cases
Redundancy is a good thing!
lemme try one more time to defend this
that being said, i'm going to stick by my position. Lemme try one more time.
i've gotten positive comments on my comparison of ab to tyson chandler. let's go with that for a minute.
tyson chandler is complemented by DAVID WEST, a power forward who is 6'9" 240. tyson chandler is limited in the same way biedrins is. he dunks and rebounds. but he has a strong power forward who shoots, creates shots, can score inside and out. they compliment each other well.
wright is not like west. he's not as strong.
the hornets have a balanced front line. so do the lakers, the spurs, the jazz, and the blazers (oden and aldridge).
I don't think a front line of wright and biedrins is balanced. it would cool to have too fast guys on the front line, and it would fit our style.
but isn't there a reason mulson signed webber? wright's like a mini biedrins. and i think mini biedrins has more potential.
so - i don't think we should break the bank for biedrins. this is my main point. unless you guys on this board would rather get behind ab for our future than wright.
i swear, i'm not just trying to be obtuse. if you guys think baron, monta, jax, wright, biedrins takes us to the top of the west in the next 4, 5 years, i just disagree. we'll always get out muscled by the bigger, more balanced teams in the west.
Iggy
- There's no real evidence that two long, lean, athletic players like Wright and Biedrins can't successfully co-exist, especially in Nellieball.
- 6'11" rebounding/defending beasts like AB and Tyson Chandler tend to be slightly underrated, in terms of their contribution to winning, while 6'8" scorers like David West tend to be slightly overrated. (Ask the expert JAE if you don't believe me).
- What to you would constitute an overpay for Biedrins? Saying you wouldn't pay him $6M per is just sillytalk.
- What available players, excluding college kids whom you know personally, would you like to see take over the starting center position?
p.s.
Sleepy
it's not exactly the money that bothers me about biedrins. it's the amount of years. i don't like commiting ourselves to ab for 5, 6, 7 years. he hasn't improved that much from last year, and i personally don't think the man will develop skills he doesn't already have. i mean, his free throw shot is better, but he can't hit that in traffic. he's never gonna develop a fluid stroke, like wright has. a lot of centers can't shoot jumpers, but a lot of center weigh 250+.
our team has no problem scoring. a lineup of baron monta jax wright and bd could score a lot. more than the 110 we already average? debatable. what we need is better defense/rebounding without compromising our speed/athleticism. Nelson thought that we especially need help rebounding and defense and passing out of the low post enough to sign webber. it hasn't worked out, but i don't think nelson gave up on the desire for that type of player just because webber has been somewhat of a bust. i don't think nelson or mullin believe we can win this small. the dubs would have truble boxing out with that front line. i think b wright will have trouble boxing out his whole career. same with ab, against bynum, oden, gasol, duncan, boozer, chandler.
look, i like ab. but it's no secret he gets worked against the premier big men in the west. he's limited, but so is everyone.
so who could we sign? elton brand. could he play center? absolutely. he has a huge wingspan, and he's strong. he played center in college. plus, nelson's never had a problem going small before.
my real point that i haven't articulated is that wright is limited in the same way that ab is. lacks strength for his position, which is a detrement to his ability to consistently board in the western conference. If both your pf and c have strength issues, you're not gonna rebound well.
with wright and ab as our front court, we have the same problems we have now. we have to make some change in the next few years to propel ourselves to the top of the west, rather than being on the playoff bubble.
i'd rather commit long term to brandan wright than biedrins. he has more potential.
if you guys really think that wright/biedrins can contend on the boards with west/chandler, bynum/gasol, duncan/whoever, oden/aldridge, boozer/milsap, i respectfully disagree. yeah, they'd be cool on offense, but we go offense. we got the best offense in the league. we need to upgrade defense and rebounding in order to win a title.
disagree?
I agree
Brand:
- Is not necessarily available
- May be too slow and lumbering for Nellieball
- Turns 29 next week, is coming off a serious injury, and will be leaving his prime just as Wright as entering his
- Is making $16M next year (player option) and will likely command a much pricier multi-year deal than AB, for his decline years
- Would be even more useless than AB at guarding 7-footers like Gasol, Bynum, and Duncan
- Would not make us anywhere close to as good as the Lakers in the near future.
only time will tell
i hope wright will become a garnet type of player
and beidrens like Yao Ming ish.... but faster
I heard bynum had the most rebounds in one game...
i have two honest questions for you guys
- how much is it going to take to resign ab?
- what do you guys see ab developing into in, say, 3 years? could you compare him to a current player?
here's what I think...
- $10-12 mil. a year. About the nba going rate for a youthful, athletic, durable, 6'11" rebounding machine that shoots over 60% from the field.
- Hard to really tell. It all depends on his off season focus. One thing I know for sure, if shooting is what you say is his biggest weakness, that's gotta be the easiest thing to improve over a summer or two. Evey body does it. J Rich, Al Harington, Devin Harris, Travis Outlaw, etc.... the list is just too long to post. Then maybe AB can improve on his 60% field goal pct. Well, at least he doesn't have to learn to rebound betw. seasons. Now that would be hard.
"To my dear brother, Noompsy."
by Tim N Chris Burger on Mar 3, 2008 7:20 PM PST up reply actions
the answer is obvious
2007-2008 $2,323,080
2008-2009 $2,497,320
2010-2011 $2,671,440
2011-2012 $3,398,071
Since BW is locked in, you take the money and sign Andris for 9-10 mil year/5 years and develop these 2 great young players.
This is the future for the dubs along with Ellis who you sign this offseason as well. And while your at it give baron an extension of 3 years so we can make a title run!!
ok ok ok
come 2009, we'll be really good. better than we are now. but we won't be as good as the lakers. we won't be as good as the blazers.
tim kawakami wrote a great blog a few weeks ago (read it on the daily dubs, forget what day) about where the warriors factor in the west 3 years down the line. he made the compelling argument that we'll be fourth best tops. i just think that commiting to such a small team is stupid considering how big the west is becoming.
are we just going to start beating the jazz randomly? they have our number. nelson brought in webber to counteract the bigs in the west. didn't work. he's old.
i'm trying to think like nelson. if that's what he wants, a front court of wright and ab doesn't do that. not at all. brand and wright? love and wright? jermaine o'neal and wright? i think that works.
let's be honest here. could do more than dunk he'd be a power forward. no doubt. his build is ideal for the 4. as a center, he's undersized. nelson doesn't want two undersized big men, or else he wouldn't have signed webber.
Predicting ahead 3 plus years
by Elcold on Mar 4, 2008 12:11 AM PST up reply actions
It's been a while
Webber...
I suggest really watch a game when Biedrins comes out and see the difference it makes. We usually tend to get outrebounded and lose a little bit on offense. Look back at our game against Washington at home. As soon as they put Blatche and Haywood on the floor they started building momentum and killing us on the glass. We stick in Biedrins a few minutes later and we go on to win because he counteracts some of that. If you look at how many balls he tips to other players during a game, your probably adding on a few more rebounds per game to his total.
As far as offense, I think others have been right in reffering to his Euro Champ. play. He has more in the offensive arsenal, but sticks to his main role on the team. If Nelson was looking for more, he'd have POB out there. Nelson wants a player to fill a defined role if his name isn't Baron, Stephen and Monta.
in two three years, Biedrins will fill out more, still be quicker than his counterparts and will begin to show more of his offensive arsenal.
Unless Orlando is going to trade us Howard or the Lakers are going to give us Bynum, I see no reason to let Biedrins walk away for the hope that someone in the draft might develop into a first team all-league center.
By the way, when has Oden played this year that gives you any clue he is going to be as great as your making him out to be? He'll be coming off of Micro-fracture surgery, and is not as athletic as Amare, so it may change his potential.
asdf
Could you be specific
well
i don't think any of us on this board wants another ben wallace.
and bill russell is a stretch of a comparison.
i'd just like to point out that a bunch of people on tis site have alluded to some crazy things that ab does in europe and what he's going to be able to do here, but no one has been specific.
yes
You gotta kick back on answering other people's questions with questions of your own.
Actually
- Dennis Rodman -- 23.4
- Swen Nater -- 21.4
- Moses Malone -- 19.8
- Ben Wallace -- 19.3
- Larry Smith -- 19.3
- Dikembe Mutombo -- 19.1
- Andris Biedrins 2007/08 -- 19.0
- Chris Dudley -- 18.8
- Tim Duncan -- 18.4
- Charles Barkley -- 18.2
- Marcus Camby -- 18.1
So yeah, I think Rodman's a pretty decent comp. Only I think Biedrins will probably be better.
by Sleepy Freud on Mar 4, 2008 11:41 AM PST up reply actions
Intersting list
comparing euro league production to nba production
"To my dear brother, Noompsy."
by Tim N Chris Burger on Mar 4, 2008 1:06 PM PST up reply actions
this diary makes me ROFL
if it says something
ROFL ROFL ROFL
build a team & destroy the roof
asdf
Why so much Love?
I get what you are trying to say in terms of picking up someone with a strong body, like Love, but have you ever consider the fact that love won't enter the draft this year. Even if he does Love might not be the best fit for our system.
You compare him to Webber when it comes to the way we could utilize him, but Webber does not fit into our system neatly. He is slow and over weight, yet he does provide a veteran presence and a high basketball IQ. Webber is merely a bench player used to defend stronger opponents. If Webber leaves he won't be missed.
Why is there a need to get rid of Andris? why can't Love and Andris co-exist? What makes you think Love is going to be starter material? Will Love be able to defend against Bynum or Amare? Why would you gamble by dropping Andris in favor of a rookie, any rookie? Andris has proven he is a starter in this league. It took Andris several seasons to round out into the player he is today. Its going to take Love or any other rookie bigman just as long. Why start all over in finding our bigman when he developed a pretty good one already?
You mentioned that we should drop Andris so we could sign a player via free agency. Who are you planning to sign? J O'Neal? He is injury prone and his production is decling, why take the risk? Elton Brand? He's a power forward, how is he going to play alongside Brandan Wright? Remember Brand is only 6-8, so he can't play center, plus Brand is going to cost a lot more than Andris. So what if Andris never develops a solid jumper? hustle players that defends, rebounds, and block shots are just as important as players that scores. We have so much offensive power do we really need more? Andris is going to give us 10 points a game and in the future his production might increase to 12-15 points a game. Thats pretty good, I think.
You would have been better off by saying that we add Love or any other rookie big man to back up Andris. Getting rid of Andirs in favor of a rookie is just foolish. I'm all for adding a young, strong bigman without sacrificing our young players.
I've seen Love play once, but seriously is he that good? Is he going to be the next Karl Malone? Is he going to be able to defend NBA bigmen for 80 plus games? Is he right for our system? Is there a better player out there? Don't use Webber as comparison because we were desperate for depth that is the sole reason why we signed Webber. It's the same reason why Boston signed P.J. Brown, for veteran depth.
ok
Biedrins does have a jumpshot
http://www.nba.com/warriors/index_main.html
In the multimedia section check out Nov 19 practice footage in New York. At around 40-43 seconds Jack is showing off some moves and you see Biedrins take a small jumpshot that actually looks pretty good and goes in. I believe that Biedrins can take jumpers but probably won't because we already have Monta and Baron and Jack doing it 90% of the time. Biedrins knows that he is most needed under the post rebounding and getting the easy layups so thats what he does.
exactly
BTW -i think -this jumpshot is one more skill for next season (i m almost 100% sure that AB will be resigned) because i have info that AB isn't dunking so often as last season because he needs to keep shooting sense -touch to the ball (advice of Sidney Moncrief)
build a team & destroy the roof
by Lat We N Trash on Mar 4, 2008 2:07 PM PST up reply actions
close, but no cigar...
by Keezy on Mar 4, 2008 1:56 PM PST reply actions
Tight, man, Yadadameean!
"To my dear brother, Noompsy."
by Tim N Chris Burger on Mar 4, 2008 10:06 PM PST up reply actions
it would be sheer idiocy to not keep andris b.
"Biedrins is too "skinny" blah blah blah he only weighs 215."
Fact: Biedrins reportedly put on thirty lbs of muscle between his 2nd and 3rd year..that and it being muscle allowed him to stay the fast, athletic big we know him to be. Oh by the way, hyperbolic (look it up) stats, really discredit an argument, iggy. Biedrin's weight is 245 not 215. Even if that false number of 215 was true, it would just point to how truly special Biedrins is. (BTW, really nice post sleepy freud on the comparison to Dennis Rodman)
"Biedrins doesn't have "any" moves..or some crap to that effect.blah blah blah"
hmmm lets see how true this is..his moves: layup, spin move, alley oop, up and under, dunk,driving layup, pumpfake, tip ins, right hand finishes (just in case you missed out on that detail iggy, Beans is a lefty). He is quietly becoming one of the best finishers in the league according to jim barnett. And yes occaisonnly he will do a 2step power move in the lane in isos..these are skills, that he has worked on and honed..so to say he's reached his ceiling at 21 is sheer crap. He's obviously blossoming right before our eyes. That is if our eyes are open.
"He's not going to get better"
Umm excuse me? he was a 47% ft shooter his first year, he's just over 61% now..his scoring, rebounding numbers are going up, fouls downs (and the gsom'ers let out a sigh of relief). Does he shoot jumpers? no. but who cares. we don't need him shooting jumpers. that's what the guards are great at. i dont care if he cant dribble loopty loops through his legs either, i want him to rebound and defend---and he's doing a pretty dab nab great job of it..
kevin who? i think your unchecked typo just about says it all: "he's strong, he can pass, he can shoot, she's just slow." Yup..

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