Larry Ayuso is ranked higher than Dunleavy…haha

Thanks!

One thing to keep in mind is that the teams of these players will have more cap room as they come off the books so the competition for signing all these FAs will be considerably more than it is this year. Our best hope for being able to use 20 million to attract a Bosh type player it to create an exciting team for him to want to join. Go to it youngsters.

I hope we do have some money, but it seems Mully has been hinting that we won’t be players in ‘10. Who knows if he’ll be around in ‘10 anyway.

Jermaine O’Neal got himself a deal. $23 mill?!

2010.

Nice diary, but I have a few small corrections (I’m a salary cap guy).

Maggette is probably getting $8.6 this year to make the contract work, so with 8% raises, he’d be at $10,031,040.

Monta’s probably going to start at around $9.5m (5 years, $58m) with 10% raises. In the third year of that contract (2010-2011), he’d be making $11,495,000. It could be higher, of course.

Beans will probably be around 5 years, $54.9m, which would place his 2010-2011 salary at $10,890,000.

As such, those three combine to make $32,416,040.

Then we have the draft picks (slotted, and when not available, I used the value of the rookie contract from the same draft slot the year before):
Brandan Wright: $3,398,071
Marco Belinelli: $2,380,270
Anthony Randolph: $1,900,200
Richard Hendrix: Restricted Free Agent (typically sign a 2 year deal)
2009 1st rounder (I used the #12 pick): $1,968,120
2009 2nd rounder: $650,000 (ballpark)
2010 1st rounder (I used the #14 pick): $1,660,367
2010 2nd rounder: $600,000 (ballpark)

That’s $12,557,028 for draft picks.
Total, we’re at $44,973,068.

That doesn’t include a re-signed Hendrix or ANY players signed for that year (including Turiaf, who’d be around $3.8 if it’s frontloaded).

So basically, the Dubs would be at $45 mill with Monta, Beans, Maggette, the Slims, Marco, and the future draft picks.

Beyond that, it’s too much speculation, but keep in mind that there are still at least 5 roster spots to fill with those guys under contract.

how are we gonna get someone like conley AND bosh or bynum? 10 million MIGHT be able to get conley, and that’s IF he doesn’t sign an extension which most guys do when their rookie contracts are up.

what? Plus a backcourt of Conley and Monta would be HORRIBLE defensively.

you should add whether or not the players have team or player option and if their restricted or unrestricted

Personally I think that all this talk about LeBron really wanting to play in New York is mostly perpetuated by the New York media wanting him there. I mean there’s a good chance he’ll go there if they keep talking about it because it will become a self-fulfilling prophecy but I am positive we could offer him a more attractive team than Brooklyn, and though the media says he’s going to the Knicks (like they do every good player) they got to get rid of a lot of salary first.

It sucks though, we had the dream scenario all wrapped up but Mullin caved in to fan pressure too easily. If we don’t spend that 10 mil on Maggette then next year we would suck our way to a top pick and future point guard and two years from now we would probably still have a decent pick (which we’d use to try and pinpoint an instant contributor), plus a TON of cap room that would give us a very good chance at one of the top players. Then we would have had our SG and C locked up, a top pick PG, a good chance that one of Randolph or Wright would pan out, leaving us with the money to spend on the remaining position. And if they both panned out, then maybe go for an elite center (sorry Biedrins, you’ll make a hell of a backup though).

It’s still possible, it’s just that now Maggette has to do something off the court really stupid like dogfighting, so we can terminate his contract. You had it in your grasp though Mullin.

...while I like Larry Ayuso’s game, I’d like to know why he’s not only ON this list, but ranked #2 behind Chris Paul and ahead of guys like Andre Miller and Derek Fisher, who have played in the league for years. Ayuso still hasn’t made an opening day roster.

below kasun and bogut?

Lots of those names will be crossed off the list by then—it’ll be a more interesting free-agent market than usual, but it’s not going to be the nirvana that that list implies. I won’t lose much sleep if we’re not really in the sweepstakes for the top guys in two years.

I would have enough cash to lure anyone away in that FA class.

Cap space is overrated. I wish I had a link to this one write-up that accurately explained why. All-stars free agents typically don’t move around via free agency, unless:

a) They want to move back closer to their hometowns (example: Baron Davis and Elton Brand this year)

b) They are offered more money than their original teams can match (example: Gilbert Arenas)

However, (b) is impossible nowadays due to the Gilbert Arenas rule named after that freak occurrence. The original team now always has the opportunity to match other teams’ offers, regardless of their cap situation. In many cases when the player has been with a team for awhile, the original team can actually offer a bigger contract than any other team. This was the case this offseason when the Warriors offered Arenas a max contract of $100mil, yet the Wizards had the ability to offer him $125mil.

Financially, it doesn’t make sense for any super star free agent to sign with anybody else other than their own team. They can make more money with their original team than signing with anyone else. And if they really hate playing on that team, they can use their influence to force a blockbuster trade as we’ve seen time and time again where superstars get traded for expiring contracts and change.

So unless any of those guys happen to be from the Bay Area, it makes little sense that any star on that list uses free agency to sign with us for less money. Nor do we have a big market like LA or NY to attract the star power of a Lebron James or Kobe Bryant.

Bottom line: disregard all the hooplah about free agency two years from now. Build for now and let the chips fall where they may later.

in any way, shape or form, related to Larry Ayuso? #2? Really?

If we could make the salaries work, what about something like:

Ramon Sessions, Charlie Villanueva, Dan Gadzuric

For Al Harrington and a Future (Lottery Protected) First Round Pick

Or

Al Harrington + Pick to Cleveland for Ben Wallace and Delonte West

Eitehr one would give us a good backup point and would give us a pretty good big man. Villanueva is a bit lazy, but hes a real live big and he can score. Ben Wallace can rebound, defend, and bang with the big boys.

Thoughts?

I think the dubs could land one of the top three centers or PFs on your lists, but get used to the fact that Ellis will be a fine PG and probably contending for all star competition by then. His first three years out of High School compare with Kobe’s first three statistically (check for yourself if you don’t believe me). The Warriors don’t run a system where the 1-5 positions are so traditional. In fact, they run it better if three guys are getting 5 or 6 assists each than just one guy getting 9-10. Different looks with Jackson, Ellis, Belinelli (and look for Randolf) all playing some point action within any given game should be common place, but mutable depending on the match-ups. In real Nellie ball it’s not necessarily run and gun. That was because BD was so rebellious and the youthful team couldn’t commit on D. That should begin to change for the better and hopefully we’ll see a more controlled team after a couple of years. Real Nellie ball is all about the match-ups, and whoever’s running the team by then, Keith Smart or whoever, will be likely to focus on matchups rather than any thing else. To counter advantages the other team has always had aginst the team you must have the best bigman you can get.