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Kaz: Match or Let Him Walk?

Ever since news dropped that Kelenna Azubuike signed a 3 year/ $9 million offer sheet with the Clippers, I'm not sure how I feel about whether or not we should match the offer or let him walk. I don't think it's a clear cut decision either way because there are so many variables to juggle.

For a little history, Kaz joined the team 2 years ago as Mullin plucked him mid-season from the D-League. With injuries to JRich and Boom, Kaz wound up getting solid minutes showing he had a nice stroke and could fill minutes when the starterse needed a rest. This past year, he averaged 21 minutes in 81 games, starting in 17 of them. He's got a decent ability to score and rebounds well for a guard, but his defense on the perimeter is suspect. He started the year playing around 30 minutes per game, fell out of favor with Nellie in December and January, and then in the final 2 months found a permanent spot in the rotation.

Hit the jump for some thoughts. Why a bench player deserves so much attention? I have no idea. Maybe it's the boring offseason and there's nothing else to talk about. Maybe people like his attitude and thus a fan favorite. Or maybe we all care that deeply about our Dubs.

Also, check out the Fan Post, Azubuike signs with Clips

Star-divide

Why I Wouldn't Match

  • Where are his minutes going to come from? Assuming Maggette, Monta, and Jax all play at least 38 minutes per game, that leaves only 30 total minutes at the PG, SG, and SF positions. Nellie has verbally committed to playing Marco more minutes to let him develop. Nellie's committment may be just Nellie talking, but if it's true, Marco gets at least 10 minutes per game. So that total minutes number goes to 20. The Warriors need to pick up a backup PG, so let's give him 7 minutes per night. Okay so we're down to 13 minutes at one of the 3 spots. If Anthony Randolph gets any type of minutes, that'll eat into those minutes as well so we're not looking at many minutes for Kaz if Monta, Jax or Maggette is relied upon more than my estimates.
  • I feel like Mullin and Nelson can find another D-League guy or free agent to fill those minutes. What the Warriors could do is go find a guy who can give them better perimeter defense and sacrifice a little of the scoring and rebounding that Kelenna gives them. Bench guys at the small forward and shooting guard positions seem to be a dime a dozen so I can't imagine that it's too difficult to replace what Kelenna does. Perhaps we can get a guy for a much cheaper price and save the extra money for another deal. Or at least keep Chris Cohan a little richer because that's what really matters.
  • Is this going to block the development of Anthony Randolph? For year 1 of the contract it won't. But next year and the year after, Kelenna and Randolph are both going to want minutes. Is it worth it to keep Kelenna around for 2 extra years if Randolph is going to take his minutes anyways? Seems like a waste of cap space each year.

Why I Would Match

  • Nellie says he's going to give Marco minutes. He also said Troy Murphy could be an All-Star and Mike Dunleavy was going to have his best season ever. Basically, I wouldn't bank on Marco getting minutes or being that good. I think there's a 50/50 chance that Marco does not get many minutes and without an adequate replacement, you'll see Monta, Jax, and Maggette taking on an increased load. As we saw last year, some of these older players just can't last an entire season playing those many minutes at a high level. Depth is needed. Did I mention that I'm not too high on Marco?
  • Anthony Randolph looked good in 1 game so far in the summer league. He's no guarantee to pan out and become a decent player. There was a reason he dropped to the Warriors at 14. He may be talented, but may never realize that talent either. Kelenna seems to be more of a known quantity. He'll never break out and be a star, but you can count on him to be a solid role player for 15 minutes a night. And who knows, he just might develop a little himself. Hopefully he works on that poor perimeter defense.
  • At $3 million per year, I'd say it's a good deal if he's able to play the number of minutes he did last year. By all indications, with Marco being suspect, Randolph most likely never going to see the floor, Kaz's minutes could go up. So, at that price I'll take a bench player who at 15-20 minutes per game who can score and rebound.

After writing this, I think I've convinced myself of which way to go.

Match.

Even if Marco and Randolph pan out, Kaz will continue to be a useful bench player.

0 recs | Comment 15 comments

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however it will turn out

i m glad that Kelenna will get what he deserves
hardworking is biggest value for athlete -without that even top3 draftpicks became a wannabe allstars

build a team & destroy the roof

by Lat We N Trash on Jul 18, 2008 2:55 PM PDT   0 recs

Even if Marco and Randolph pan out, Kaz will continue to be a useful bench player.

And if they bust KaBuki will be welcome insurance. Even if the skinny kids get buff we’ll probably be glad to have KaBuki as a trading chip, his contract will be decent for a reliable bench player.

Till I get free
I live my life in the Walmart
Cholesterol stalkin me

by Skeptic con Urquell on Jul 18, 2008 3:06 PM PDT   0 recs

As usual...

The Mind of Mullin blog has a good pros & cons list going as well…

It also some good video highlights to assist you all in your ruminations…

"To be a great champion you must believe you are the best. If you're not, pretend you are." - Muhammad Ali

by Dubs Wise on Jul 18, 2008 3:59 PM PDT   0 recs

He is one to resign

Considering we will be adding another SG/ SF, I would still keep Kelenna. The reason why I would keep him is basically because of his defense on bigger guards is what makes him valuable. He is strong enough to hold his own if he is brought down to the post. He did a good job on Kobe when he matched up against him. Also, if you are not thinking of resigning Jax next year, this gives you a piece that you will have for another 2 years. That also gives you enough time to either have Randolph contiunue to develop or gives you a cheap player to throw in on a possible multiple player trade. My last reason to sign him is that we don’t want a rival team in our own conference to add a quality piece that will remain on thier squad and conintue to grow into a good back up SG.

by KillaCrossOver on Jul 18, 2008 4:01 PM PDT   0 recs

I think the biggest reason to sign Kaz is that giving 38 minutes a game to those three is ridiculous. That is why we broke down last year. Monta can handle it, but that doesn’t mean he should. Part of the great thing about getting Maggette is it means that we can rest Monta and still have a scorer on the floor. Stephen broken down last year, and shouldn’t play 38 a game. Drop each of them down to 34-35 a game and you’re looking at 40 minutes in the backcourt, along with the always present possibility of energy

by Jaguarkmd on Jul 18, 2008 4:03 PM PDT   0 recs

With key people leaving the team this summer, it's a good idea to match

Azubuike puts up average numbers and is being offered below average money. We also need depth and to maintain some chemistry during this summer’s roster overhaul. At his young age he is still improving and has yet to peak, so keeping him for a few more years at the price he’s commanding makes sense.

by J-Triumf on Jul 18, 2008 4:54 PM PDT   0 recs

Yeah, He Could Play 1-3

Let’s Keep Him… We Do Need Him.. .I Feel Heartbroken Over What To Pay Him But I He Is A Great Asset To The Team That We Need

"Going To Be An Interesting Year"

by YayArea510 on Jul 18, 2008 6:20 PM PDT   0 recs

MATCH

Belinelli hasn’t proven anything yet. He may never acquire the athleticism, strength, and foot speed to play in the NBA no matter how pretty his jumper looks in summer league. He’s not even a high percentage shooter (both here and in Europe) for being deemed a “sharpshooter”.

Stephen Jackson may or may not be in the Warriors long term plans after his contract expires after 09-10. We’ve seen the absolute best of SJax in the midst of these two unbelievable, magical seasons we’ve had. We’re about to see how Jackson acts on a young, struggling ball club. It might not be pleasant.

Anthony Randolph may not see much time this season either. Again, summer league is no indication of anything as we learned from Belinelli’s monster SL last year. The truth is Randolph is still paper thin (thinner than Brandan Wright last year) and has nowhere near the upside than Wright did coming out of the draft last year. The chances of him finding time in Nellie’s rotation are extremely slim. One rookie mistake and Randolph will find himself in the D-League.

For both the short-term and the long-term, our wing positions aren’t as stacked as we’d like to think. I’d say $3mil for Kelenna Azubuike is a steal and we’re not going to find any bargains like that with the remaining free agents. MATCH FOR SURE.

by YaHeard on Jul 18, 2008 7:16 PM PDT   0 recs

one more thing

This is going to force the Warriors to get the ball rolling. If they plan on retaining Buike, they need to pursue free agents now before the 7 days is over while they still have space under the cap. Sign Shaun Livingston to a fair contract soon. Even if he can’t contribute now, Watson can handle the backup PG duties for now. Then match the offer for Buike. Then work out the extensions for Biedrins and Ellis.

Ellis / Livingston / Watson
Jackson / Azubuike / Belinelli
Maggette / Randolph
Harrington / Wright
Biedrins / Turiaf / Perovic

That’s 13 players and sufficient for the league minimum. Then we’re ready to go!

by YaHeard on Jul 18, 2008 7:23 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

I think there’s a good chance that not only can Livingston not contribute now, but he may never be able to contribute.

by jae on Jul 18, 2008 10:55 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

he may never be able to contribute.

Did the Clips have any way to stash him on an inactive list without negative effect to their salary situation ? If they had a way to keep him they probably would have if they thought he would recover?

Till I get free
I live my life in the Walmart
Cholesterol stalkin me

by Skeptic con Urquell on Jul 19, 2008 9:03 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

There is no way to stash a player without him being on the books vis a vis the cap unless he’s a drafted-but-unsigned player playing overseas. In that case, they’d retain his rights, but not have to pay him. Once someone becomes a free agent, that option is gone. If you are paying a player, even if he’s retired (or not paying a player because he’s retired, but had a contract that would have been going on) he counts against the cap.

by jae on Jul 19, 2008 12:35 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

i would resign kaz

i kno he only started 17 games BUT DAMN HE WAS HELLA GOOD THOSE GAMES. dunking on kaman, averaging 20 points a game. since kaz is more controlled then belineli he knows when to shoot a 3 with the flow of the game instead of chugging.

by gswLLBatman on Jul 19, 2008 12:01 AM PDT   0 recs

Match, for realz!

FJ put it perfectly: we need depth. And I am a firm believer that Azubuike is better than comparable players like C.J. Watson and Devin Brown. When he actually got minutes, he really did perform, and I think his recent lack of production will pick up. We don’t need the Clippers stealing all of our players!!!!

Tony.psd = Da Man
http://nbaokc.blogspot.com/
Check Out My New Blog! (Don't Worry, The Warriors are Still #1)

by Zorgon on Jul 19, 2008 11:25 AM PDT   0 recs

Buke is more consistent than Belli

Belli is very streaky, and not as strong defensively as Buke, we need to match! I’d rather trade Bellineli than let the Clippers steal Buke from us. And if Atlanta wants to trade josh Smith, I’d trade Al, Wright, Belli, and #1 pick (lottery protected) and resign Monte, Biedrins. If they don’t want Al I’d sign and trade Biedrins.

Ellis/ Watson
Jackson/Buke
Maggette/Randolph
JSmith/Hendrix
(Biedrins or Al)/ Turiaf

by shootda3 on Jul 19, 2008 11:29 AM PDT   0 recs

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