RUMOR: Anthony Randolph like every Golden State Warrior on the trading block
Before we move forward flip back to my colleague JAE's insights on Anthony Randolph before the season began: Anthony Randolph- Hope Beyond the Hype :: 2009-2010 Golden State Warriors Player Recaps and Previews
Regardless of who you want to blame, I don't think it's a stretch to say that we were all expecting more than 11.3 ppg, 6.5 rpg, and 1.2 blocks from the second year big man. At the end of last season we polled folks on whether Randolph or the Kings forward Jason Thompson would have a better sophomore campaign. I don't think there's any question right now that JT is having the better campaign.
Were we hoping for too much?
JUMP for the rumor and more!
From Adrian Wojnarowski over at the super purple Y!:
Warriors' Randolph on block again
For two seasons, the Warriors have had an odd time with Anthony Randolph(notes). Sometimes, they're in love with his sheer athletic ability in that 7-foot frame and considered him untouchable. As a rookie, they dangled him in deals, too. Well, it's happening again. Several NBA teams say Golden State officials have offered Randolph in trade discussions, but as one Eastern Conference executive said: "I think all of their roster could be had."
Says one Western official: "The Warriors are willing to do anything and everything."
Randolph is 20 years old and blessed with terrific talent, but his staying power and maturity have frustrated Golden State officials. It appears they're willing to cash his potential for more mature assets. After destroying the summer league in Vegas, Randolph has averaged 11.1 points in 21.8 minutes per night for the Warriors.
Even with his patriarch, Keith Smart, substituting for an ill Don Nelson, Randolph's productivity hasn't improved. Still, he's so young, so gifted, it's a move that would come with a great deal of long-term risk.
I'm pretty enamored with Anthony Randolph's potential, though I think he has a long, long, long way to go. However, with the Warriors currently holding the 2nd worst record in the mighty Western Conference and only 2 Eastern Conference teams (the New Jersey Nets and Philadelphia 76ers who the Warriors just lost to last night- see my man Feltbot's RECAP: Warriors 101, Sixers 117 -- The Answer) having worse records, I'm ecstatic to read these words:
as one Eastern Conference executive said: "I think all of their roster could be had."
Says one Western official: "The Warriors are willing to do anything and everything."
There simply are no untouchables on a team this bad whether it's the quite possibly overhyped Anthony Randolph to turnover machine Monta Ellis (see Polling GSoM: Will the Golden State Warriors lead the league in turnovers this season?).
Let's play this game in Warriors land.
For more on Randolph's season thus far let me pass the mic to JAE who eloquently summed up the Dubs first 24 games earlier this morning in So many deck chairs, so little time:
Randolph's rookie season was rather bipolar. He opened up as a wildly out of control talent who failed miserably in attempts to be an NBA SF, but started to shine as a big man, a rebounding machine with an ever climbing FG% once inserted into that role. The quite-possibly-overstated news stories said that he was putting in the hours over the summer, getting bigger and stronger and working on being the player we need him to be. When Brandan Wright went down, it looked like Randolph would see more time. When Ronny and Andris stopped playing in favor of some quality time with Tom Abdenour, it seemed like Anthony was due major minutes.
But the 21 minutes a night Randolph's averaged seems insignificantly greater than those 18 a night we've seen from Mikki Moore. Moore's previously mediocre to poor rebounding significantly over-predicted what he'd do this year. Apparently no one told him that as the only "big" in the lineup, his rebounding totals would be "padded" in the same manner some allege has happened for Biedrins (but not Turiaf) over the last few years. [We don't know much about Chris Hunter, but for what it's worth, he's been a poorer rebounder than Moore. Either he too didn't get the memo that his totals are supposed to be padded as well. Stop the hollering for Hunter, people. That's the wrong tree to bark up.]
More Randolph and less Moore would be a start. Yes, the foul rate limits how much time Randolph can be out there, but it does not explain why we're seeing Randolph on the bench more often than not. Has he 'regressed' some from the end of last season? Perhaps. But overall the trend still seems up. It's just perplexing why he's not playing far more often. At least we'd have something to hang our hopes on.
Definitely make sure to read the rest of JAE's piece.
The good news Dubs Nation: There's only one way to go up from here and that's up. It really can't get any worse.
Thanks to kenntoe for the FanShot.
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Untouchable, unless he’s part of a deal where the Warriors get a star back in return. He’s SO YOUNG.
Well then he is not untouchable is he? I don't know if anyone in the NBA is really untouchable... Would anybody refuse trading Randolph for Wade (if we could resign him)?
Not that that is a realistic trade (unless Miami thinks they have no chance at resigning him) but there is no such thing as untouchable.
by freerandolph on Dec 15, 2009 1:54 PM PST up reply actions
I think a practical way of using untouchable is ranking players by trade value. Would you trade Lebron straight up for any other player in the league? No. That makes him untouchable. Someone like Howard or Wade is in the same boat – maybe a team is willing to trade them straight up for Lebron, but neither the Heat or Magic would be willing to swap superstars (even though one of them has to be better than the other) because of the marketing/fanbase and such. I think that’s a reasonable situation to call a player untouchable. There are some untouchable players, but not many of them. Also, short of the Lakers offering up Kobe, Gasol, Bynum and Odom, there is not a package any team could put together that would convince Cleveland to trade Lebron…
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 2:21 PM PST up reply actions
It really can't get any worse
I for one think that it was worse last year. At least we are playing hard (other than last night). I don’t understand Randolph not playing more nor do I get why Monta is trotted out for 45 minutes a night. The lineup choices when we actually have a lead don’t make much sense in particular. Still, I see a lot more hope than I did last year when it looked like we were heading for 4 years of Jack/Maggs and two more seasons of Crawfish. At least we have some cap flexibility now.
Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!
It's a hard decision....
On the 1 hand if we can get a viable Big under contract (I’m not even talking Bosh or Amare, but say Brook Lopez or Al Hortford, Marc Gasol? etc, young guys who have shown a lot more, and have all star level talent) you have to do it ASAP.
On the other-hand I question what we can REALLY get for him. Sure he makes a lot of highlight real plays and has unreal athleticism for a guy of his size. If you are a GM with a quality Big under contract, would you trade him for Randolph? I am guessing no, unless your hand is forced or they r older and you want to rebuild (which doesn’t benefit GSW).
I still can’t get why we don’t see him 30 minutes a game @Center at least. I realize he makes a lot of mistakes but it’s not like mikki moore is better. I don’t care if Randolph starts or not, but lack of PT when we have 8 healthy players, 2 of whom are Mikki Moore and Chris Hunter is really discouraging and if anything makes me wonder what commitment this staff has to the long term health of warriors.
I realize he makes a lot of mistakes but it’s not like mikki moore is better.
Randolph is making mistakes limiting what he can provide. I guess the coaching staff values how Moore can flawlessly provide nothing.
Thats not true!
Moore has a .604 TS% and 3.2 Ast per 36. Plus less turnovers per 36 than Randolph.
The better q is why on earth we r running our offense thru mikki moore in the high post
That’s the flawless part. He’s very efficiently providing almost nothing. A high TS% has to be combined with actually taking shots to result in production. Else it’s just that he’s not a detriment by missing shots, which is better than if he were a detriment by missing shots, but it’s not exactly a a positive. It’s.just.nothing.
You seriously gotta go see Mikki Moore play in person. Last night was eye opening for me. You’re not exaggerating when you say he provides nothing. He literally does nothing on the court. He doesn’t get rebounds. He doesn’t play defense. He doesn’t score (he did hit 4 jumpers early last night but that was it). He can’t catch the ball in traffic or finish. He’s just there. It amazed me how he could still be in the league. I honestly don’t think I’ve ever seen a player who does less (and that’s saying a lot, I’ve been following the Warriors for a long time)….
I mean, to a degree I knew all this beforehand, but it was just beyond anything I could have imagined.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 11:44 AM PST up reply actions
Dont you get the feeling there is a lot happening behind clsoed doors with this team?
The line ups and playing time this year have been so strange that I cant help but feel that there is a lot going on with Randolph that we dont know about.
Maybe he is still injured and they are trying to keep it a secret….Maybe he is in someone’s doghouse….Maybe they are still trying to keep his ego in check….????
I agree
But i think it’s more the TEAM than even the coaching staff or front office. There are so many times that AR makes a stupid turnover (dumb, not just a mistake in the flow of play) and the look on Monta’s face or Maggette’s is of total disgust.
remember Manute Bol and “My Bad”? (Amazing how ’Nute started that pop culture saying)
When AR makes a boner, there is ZERO look of remorse, shame or frustration at himself. I always get the feeling it’s HIS court, so whatever happens is – whatever.
How about a “My Bad” every once in awhile.
I think it's more smoke (the rumor) than any kind of fire.
I really don’t see what we could possibly get back to make it worth parting with AR.
An unsigned Bosh? No…
An unsigned, shell of what Amare used to be? No…
Seriously, there’s nothing on the block that I’d risk losing AR for. Unless they really want to just piss off the entire fanbase.
Warriors, Stupidest franchise in the league.
I told Randolph that Bill Russell would tell him to keep that ball in play and start the break.
RANDOLPH: "I know. But sometimes, you gotta let ‘em know."
(MT)
I don’t understand. This team is always in “rebuild” mode. Right when we get a few decent players and we start to think, “hey, maybe this team has a chance”, something happens, and we get rid of the role players, or someone demands a trade. Lately, it’s been injuries… and that’s going to happen when you’re playing a Monta Ellis 45 minutes a game. That’s going to happen when you’re big guys are 40 pounds less than the guys they are defending every night.
As far as Randolph, I think a lot of it has to do with the speed of the game. I think it’s too fast for him right now, especially playing on a fast paced run and gun offense. Combine that with the fact that he has gained a ton of weight/muscle, he is probably trying to learn how to play with all that extra muscle. It weighs you down and tires you out a lot faster, and it limits mobility… so you have to make adjustments and learn how to play with it, and let your body naturally get accustomed to playing like that. In the summer league, he didn’t have to play against veterans every night, who know how to pick on young players and get them to commit a foul. In the summer league, Randolph was the big guy, so he was able to push others around a little bit.
That and the fact that Nelson always needs a guy to ride on. It’s usually the rookie, but he likes Curry, so he has to revert to last years rookie, especially when he makes so many mental errors.
The last thing I can think of is how much gas does he have left in the tank? Dude worked out three times a day. I think I’m good when I can muster up the time and effort to workout 3 times a week. He could just be tired and need some time off.
They have to keep some players, because no one will want to play here if we are constantly trading guys away. Some players like stability… and this team has never really had that. Mullin tried, but he failed more often than not by giving the wrong players big contracts.
Combine that with the fact that he has gained a ton of weight/muscle, he is probably trying to learn how to play with all that extra muscle. It weighs you down and tires you out a lot faster, and it limits mobility…
Can we get some before and after photos b/c he doesn’t look any different to me from last year.
John 8:44 -Ye are of your father the devil, and the lusts of your father ye will do.
Our best homegrown big man talent since C-Webb and it looks like Nelson will once again find away to screw it up. We’re not making the playoffs this year, our small ball lineups keep getting exposed, and we are the worst rebounding team in the league and the coaching staff still finds ways to keep our bigs off the court. It’s infuriating.
I want AR to succeed though and it would be selfish of me to want him to stay here under the current regime where he can’t. If he can find a place to thrive, so be it, for the right price.
One of the few to have appreciated Cap'n Jax. Do well in NC, get that 8th seed!
Conductor of the "We're Back!" Bandwagon!
Our best homegrown big man talent since C-Webb and it looks like Nelson will once again find away to screw it up
Randolph is all potential right now but you can’t say he’s anywhere near CWeb as a rookie. Hell he’s not better than Biedrins,
I agree, Randolph is an ok player, but nowhere near the talent level people here claim he has. For him to score he has to get fouled(free throws) or hit an occasional open jump shot(cross your fingers) which I guess is at least productive but annoying to watch, at least BW has some kind of post move. Rebounding, he still gets pushed out of position, at Defense he falls for the headfake most of the time, resulting in fouls or easy hoop for the other guy. He needs to have patience to stay on his feet and learn to position himself. It seems that he’s been playing basketball through pure athleticism but that will not work in the NBA, he needs to be a smarter player Hopefully he improves on one of those categories and get more playing time.
For him to score he has to get fouled
The fact that he’s getting fouled so much is a positive. I like his aggressiveness. Also, rebounding-wise, we have nothing to complain about. His rebounding is still very good, regardless of how much he is pushed around.
Welcome to the Pit of Despair! Don't even think about trying to escape.
Um… of course he’s not better than Biedrins. Biedrins is one of the top 10 centers in the league, while Randolph is a 20 year-old bean pole.
Welcome to the Pit of Despair! Don't even think about trying to escape.
Is he a top 10 center b/c he's that good..
or is it because there are a lack of true centers in the league? Don’t get me wrong I like Biedrins but when the “top 10 centers in the league” thing is thrown out I just don’t buy it. I
He’s a fantastic rebounded, decent shot blocker with excellent FG%. He’s the best center we’ve had in 15+ years. He’s often said to be a top 5 center. I put him only in top 10, because he’s not big enough to keep elite centers out of the paint. He’s considered one of the top 30 players in the league to build around.
Welcome to the Pit of Despair! Don't even think about trying to escape.
LOL top 5 center? top 30 players?!
off top of my head:
1) howard
2) Yao
3) Duncan
4) brook lopez
5) Marc Gasol
6) Al Hortford
7) Nene
8) Jermaine Oneal
9) Kaman
10) Haywood
all better all around than biedrins. And thats without getting into the half centers like pau gasol, scola/landry, or the comparable players like joakim noah. Biedrins is a nice player, but by no means elite
Jermaine O’Neal?
The only problem with Biedrins is that he isn’t a feature big. As a complimentary player he is excellent. I still hold out hope for the Biedrins/Randolph/Turiaf/Wright foursome to be fearsome.
Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!
As a complimentary player he is excellent.
The NBA has a minimum salary. Complimentary players aren’t allowed.
Nice takfkasam...
lets just say there are a lot better center’s than Biedrins… Plus the only person I know that calls Biedrins a top 5 center or even top 10 center is Fitz. If that is who your basing your “he’s often said to be a top 5 center” then your gota listen to some other people since Fitz is part of the “Kool-Aid” bunch.
A couple of Centers you forgot….
Bynum, Pryzbilla, Amare (PF/C), Kendrick Perkins, Andrew Bogut, Wallace and KG (PF/C)… already he is out of the top 18 and not to mention Bargniani from toronto, I even think Hibbert from indiana has a better post game than Biedrins.. So already out of top 20 but I guess he would be in the discussion for top 30? Is that a good thing?…lol
Hey, before you guys throw names out there as possibilities of guys who are better than Biedrins, please take a second to look at the stats of the players you mention BEFORE tossing their names out there. Seriously, mentioning the likes of Jermaine O’Neal or Bargiani in a discussion with Biedrins is laughable, and really, really discredits your entire post. Rebounding matters, and it matters a lot. Scoring efficiently matters. Defense matters. Having post moves (or an outside shot) does not make a player better than Biedrins.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 2:25 PM PST up reply actions
Rebounding matters, and it matters a lot. Scoring efficiently matters. Defense matters. Having post moves (or an outside shot) does not make a player better than Biedrins.
Yes and no.
He is still VERY limited. Offensively he can’t draw a double team, stretch the defense or make free throws. He needs to play with a 4 who can do something offensively cause he’s just a garbage man.
Defensively he tries, and protects the rim somewhat well but still below average. PErsonally I believe it’s more because we have no perimeter D or he has no other big helping him so i’ll let it slide.
My point is he is kendrick perkins with a larger role. Put Biedrins with Garnett, Peirce, Allen, Rondo and he’ll do the job just fine. Put Perkins here we r more or less the same. (I guess perkins’ doesn’t run the court as well…) but you get where i’m going. To put biedrins as a top 10 center is saying A) there aren’t 10 centers worth talking about. B) severely over inflating 1 of the few brightspots on GSW
Biedrins can’t create his own offense. I’m not arguing that he can. It’s a true point. However, his offensive game is still good for a C. He doesn’t need a 4 who can do anything offensively, all he needs is a G that can run the pick and roll, because Biedrins is fantastic at that. He’s quick for a C – and more importantly, he has arguably the best hands and finishing ability in the entire NBA. You can call it a garbage man, as I’ve said, he can’t create his own shot – but don’t act like other C’s can replicate what Biedrins does. They cannot. He still manages to score 14 points per 36 minutes, while doing so very efficiently. Creating your own shot, but doing so inefficiently, is less good than what Biedrins does.
Again, rebounding is very important. Biedrins is elite at that. He’s among the very best in the league; you could argue the only player better than him at it is Howard. That’s valuable – more valuable than Perkins, or basically any other player you’ve named so far. Is Biedrins going to carry us into the finals? No, but the number of C’s capable of doing that is very, very limited. Once you start moving out into the next tier, Biedrins stacks up to just about anyone.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 9:56 PM PST up reply actions
Biedrins is a solid player on a horrible team. There is no one else to rebound, or to attempt to block shots, so he’s forced to do it all. Thus, his stats are a little higher than on a team that has players to come help him in the middle. He’s also on a team that has a fast paced offense, so his offensive numbers are a little higher than if he were on a slower paced team. So, you see, numbers lie. From watching him and other players, I can say that he’s pretty close to being in the top 10, but the level of those guys in the top 6 or 7 is considerably higher than where Biedrins is at.
You’re overestimating those effects. The difference in pace between the fastest and slowest team is really not very much, soemthing like 5-10% I believe. Most teams obviously fall even closer together than that. Also, the whole “no supporting case” thing is basically not true at all when it comes to the numbers, for a number of reasons. First, rebounding rates are extremely consistent for players from year to year, even when they switch teams. Second, Biedrins reboudns at a high rate whether he’s playing next to Randolph (and excellent rebounder) or Maggette (a bad rebounder for a 4, but then again, he shouldn’t be playing 4). These suggest that those effects really are minimal and mostly insignificant.
I can say that he’s pretty close to being in the top 10, but the level of those guys in the top 6 or 7 is considerably higher than where Biedrins is at.
I do agree with the premise of this – but I think 6 or 7 is a little high – hopefully I’ll have time today to go through the C’s and rank the Top 20 or so into the tiers I think they’re at, and at that point I’ll see what that number is. But yes, I do agree the difference between Biedrins and someone like Duncan or Howard is huge.
by Missing Barry on Dec 16, 2009 9:43 AM PST up reply actions
Thus, his stats are a little higher than on a team that has players to come help him in the middle
Why, if this is true, do the other “bigs” on the Warriors not similarly has “higher stats”? Turiaf is not a better a rebounder in GS where he has to “do it all” when he’s the lone big than he was in LA, when he was playing with guys who are better rebounders than him almost all the time? The “padded stats” argument gets tossed around, but there’s not real support that it makes much if any difference in actual measure.
The offensive numbers for Biedrins totals might be a bit higher, but we’re talking about less than 10% difference in game pace. It’s not like pace makes a 10 ppg scorer into a 15 ppg scorer. It’s more like it adds a point or less.
And pace doesn’t explain FG% at all. The fast pace doesn’t explain hitting more than 60% of your shots.
I think we should leave out KG and Amar'e
And Bargnani is just not okay. I think it’s safe to say that he’s the worst rebounding big in the NBA. And Hibbert isn’t better than Biedrins.
Biedrins does a lot of good things. He might not be top 10, but top 20 at least, maybe even top 15.
by Reverend_Randy on Dec 15, 2009 4:06 PM PST up reply actions
and thats fair
I put him somewhere between 10-15, probably closer to 15. Making him MIDDLE OF THE PACK. His age makes him more attractive than some above him (for example i wouldn’t trade him for KG… only cause Duncan wouldn’t help us get to a championship we r so far away.
biedrins’ a solid starter, nothing more, nothing less. If Randolph turned into the player some thing he can we have a damn good front court for next decade. IF not, we r still below league average in frontcourt.
how did i forget bynum
he is for sure top 5. Probably #2 or 3 behind dwight howard in terms of who i’d want
…really? You’re really mentioning guys like Haywood, Oneal, Gasol, and Kaman?
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 2:29 PM PST up reply actions
so looking at play on the court counts for nothing...
So unless I have stats, me watching the centers actually play on the floor against each other and seeing that one is better than the other holds no merit?
I’ll give you haywood and oneal cuz those are definite reaches but Kaman is definitely a more well rounded center the beidrins beyond just looking at stats. Plus I think I gasol (Marc) will be a better center in the future the Biedrins..
To purely look at some of these guys statistically can lead to some numbers skewing things because of type of offense’s that are run or maybe the fact that they may get more chances b/c of types of defenses that are run, etc… I just think along with statistical analysis you also have to include what you see on the floor night in and night out and for me is a top 20-30 center as opposed to a top 20. Then again at that point its just semantics as far well is he 18 or is he 21…
Like I’ve said I like Biedrins but also from what I see as a basketball fan, his defense has improved (but is that because of the tempo the warriors like to run their offense which means he would have more opportunities for REB & the fact that he is usually the only true big man on the floor for the dubs) but his offensive skill set is still something to be desired and really hasn’t evolved that much outside 5-8 ft and his FT% is still really low considering the opportunities he has at the stripe. Obviously b/c of the scorers on the team maybe he doesn’t have to evolve but then again having a low post scoring prescence would help out the offense so much more.
If Biedrins has a padded rebound stat
why do Moore and Hunter have such bad rebounding stats and Turiaf is so average?
by Reverend_Randy on Dec 15, 2009 4:08 PM PST up reply actions
Moore is horrible and Hunter hasnt gotten that much time...
Turiaff is a backup player… I’m not saying that Biedrins stats are really padded or anything like that I’m just saying he has a lot more opportunities b/c of style of play & usually being the one true big on the floor for the dubs. Just like he has more opportunities though, that also means he is probably getting game planned for to make sure he doesn’t get those same opportunities.
Oh, I meant per minute rebounding
People GREATLY overestimate the effect that increase of pace has on stats. Team typically shoot really high percentages against the Warriors, so he has less rebounds to get per game.
by Reverend_Randy on Dec 15, 2009 10:05 PM PST up reply actions
Honestly, and I don’t mean this in a personal attack kind of way, but I think your argument against the stats is largely based on the fact that you’re not as familiar with them as some others around here. When it comes to defense – sure, you won’t see me throwing many stats around, because I’m not confident in any defensive stats at the moment. When it comes to some of the other aspects of the game, though, it’s not that I’m against watching and then forming an opinion – it’s that I have a problem who form an opinion and then when the facts tell them otherwise, they try to argue against the facts and stick with their opinion.
Is Biedrins offensive arsenal limited? Absolutely. But that’s not what’s important – what’s important is the end result he achieves. It doesn’t matter what skills you have if you can’t turn them into end production (see: Crawford, Jamal). What I can tell you about Biedrins is he scores at a respectable enough rate (~14 points per 36 minutes, and these are not voodoo stats, these are facts), and does so at a high efficiency rate (62.6 TS%, 57.8 TS% the last two years). That takes his shooting ability (including FT’s) into account. So it really doesn’t matter that he’s a poor FT shooter, because he’s still a very efficient scorer overall.
Same goes for his rebounding. He’s a great rebounder, one of the very best in the league, and this is an important point in his favor.
me watching the centers actually play on the floor against each other and seeing that one is better than the other holds no merit?
Basically. No offense, but I’m going to go ahead and say you don’t watch 1,230 games a year. You’re using very limited sample sizes to make evaluations on a lot of players. Not to mention that we humans are notoriously bad at being objective and being able to store and process large amounts of information accurately. It’s just a weakness of ours, that’s why we do things like record what happens so we can go back and look because we’re bound to forget, misremember, or just form wrong impressions entirely of things. Not our fault, it’s just the way we’re made.
Look, I’m not against your evaluations. A lot can be learned by watching a player play. Watching them on tv a couple of times won’t tell you all that much, though. If you have legitimate basketball evaluations, go ahead and make your argument, I have no problem with that – but do at least check them with the facts to see if they’re plausible, and if what you’re seeing doesn’t align with the stats (for instance, some people think Al Jefferson is a good offensive C. I can see why – the dude has skills, however, he doesn’t translate these into production. He shoots a lot, but scores inefficiently for a big. He may look more skilled doing it, but the stats can clue us into the fact that what Biedrins does offensively actually helps his team more than what Jefferson does), at least consider the possibility that your evaluation might be wrong. We all make mistakes, and quite often. We’re not made to remember stuff perfectly.
Just to get into some examples – yes, I can see why you’d think Kaman is a more polished all around player. Offensively, he can definitely do some things Biedrins can’t – he can actually create a shot for himself at times, for instance, something Biedrins doesn’t do very effectively. However, this is a great example to point to the stats (which are just a record of everything that happens – they are facts). Kaman scores more than Biedrins, so that checks out. Next item – scoring efficiency. Kaman actually scores at a poor scoring efficiency. So he gets his points by taking more shots than he should have to to score the given amount of points. That tells us that while Kaman might look like the more polished player (and he might actually be more skilled), what Biedrins is doing on the court is more productive, and helps his team win, more than what Kaman does. Rebounding tells the same story. Kaman isn’t a bad rebounder, but Biedrins is very, very good at it, and much better than Kaman. Another point in Biedrins favor that you really can’t argue with. Conclusion, unless Kaman is a dominant defensive force (I don’t think anyone is going to argue that he is?), Biedrins does more to help his team win. That’s how you can combine what you see with what the facts say.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 10:13 PM PST up reply actions 3 recs
He may look more skilled doing it, but the stats can clue us into the fact that what Biedrins does offensively actually helps his team more than what Jefferson does), at least consider the possibility that your evaluation might be wrong. We all make mistakes, and quite often. We’re not made to remember stuff perfectly.
This is an important point. It’s tough just watching to tell the difference between a guy who hits 6 of 10 shots and a guy who hit 4 of 10 in any given game by “just watching”. But the difference, if extended over a year is the difference between a guy who is rather good and a guy who is average to below average. The impressive looking 4 of 10 doesn’t do more for a team than a boring 6 of 10 on “putbacks and dunks”. Playing within yourself and not doing things that you’re more likely to fail at is an extremely underrated skill. Doing more than your abilities allow for creates for misused possessions and that loses games.
Kaman And gasol are rebounding at a great clip w/ offensive ability. Haywood same deal. Oneal does more defensively
I havnt looked at their stats
but i did not know brook lopez(only in his second year) was a top for center behind Duncan, Yao, and Howard and ahead of Nene, M. Gasol, Kaman, and Horford. i wouldnt even think he’d be better than bogut.
by Loveisforfree on Dec 15, 2009 6:07 PM PST up reply actions
Kaman is getting 8.5 rebounds per 36 this season….that’s not a great clip. Gasol is at 9.9 – decent, but still not nearly as good as the ~13 Biedrins has been pulling down the last couple years. Also, funny how despite Gasol’s “offensive ability”, he’s scoring only a tiny bit more than Biedrins – Biedrins was at 14.2 last year and Gasol at 14.6 this year (points per 36).
Haywood actually has been rebounding very well this year. 11.4 – pretty good, but also well, well above his career average. I’m seeing some regression to the mean in his future. Also, he scores less than Biedrins, and with much, much less efficiency. As for Jermaine….well, it’s 2010. He’s not the player he once was. His rebounding is awful. His defense isn’t close to what it once was (look at his blocks, they’re down significantly from the rest of his career – and it’s not that blocks are very important as much as just an indicator that the dude doesn’t move like he once was, which is evidence that his whole defensive game has declined).
Seriously, at least look some of this stuff up before you make the claims. You’re making claims that just aren’t true. We’re going to have different opinions at times, and that’s fine, I’m all for good discussion, but right now the things you’re saying have no basis in reality whatsoever. :\
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 10:21 PM PST up reply actions
i know how upset you get when someone attacks your latvian. I enjoy it. But seriously, you can’t keep siting his high rebounding as a reason he is best center. Biedrins is not a top 5 center, which was the beginning of my argument. Personally I would take Howard, Bynum, Lopez, Oden, Gasol, Hortford,all over him (when i think of centers under 25). Add to it Nene, Duncan, P.Gasol all as players i view as better centers. You’re welcome to site TS% and Rebounding and they r valuable statistics which i often use too… But basketball is more than just statistical analysis. For example, A players ability to attract a double team, create on his own do count for 1, opens up a lot of space to make teammates better. Being able to defend paint and defend in general is valuable too…
I think he’s a good player on a fair contract. I’m not opposed to moving him or keeping him. Granted we can keep him and trade randolph too, i wouldn’t care. SOMETHING needs to change
I wouldn’t put him in the Top 5, either. It’s not that I love Biedrins – I’ve admitted his offensive game is limited, though what he does do is effective. And I have no disagreements with those points. Tomorrow if I have time I’ll try to figure out exactly where I’d rank him in the league, then we can have a more exact position to argue over.
My main objection with a lot of the points isn’t that Biedrins is some amazing center people aren’t seeing, it’s that people are making some ridiculous claims that just aren’t based on reality whatsoever – arguing for guys like Haywood who probably should not be starting in the NBA , much less in a conversation with Biedrins, or making claims that just aren’t really true like Kaman rebounding at a great clip….I make plenty of mistakes, too, it’s not a big deal, just try to check the facts before making claims like that.
Some things we can see pretty definitively from the stats – how a guy rebounds, how he scores, if he’s good at creating for teammates (assists). Other things, not so much – as you pointed out, defense in general, or watching the effect someone like Tim Duncan has on his teammates. On the things that we do know, though, let’s try to stick close to the facts. Someone like Marc Gasol might have more offensive skills than Biedrins (I have no comment, I have not seen Gasol play), but the end result is…..pretty comparable, so those post moves or whatever other skills just aren’t very relevant….
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 10:50 PM PST up reply actions
MB I get what your saying...
Granted MB I get what your saying and no I haven’t poured over stats like you obviously have because I just haven’t had the time too. So instead I try and watch as many games as I can on a nightly basis and when I can get into the stats and slowly become more familiar with them, even if its superficially. I just don’t think any of the claims that I have made are that outlandish to the point where “there not based in reality” or that any of my points are any less valid than yours purely based on your use of stats.
I get it, you use stats a lot more than I do and that’s great, but at the same time some of the points that tafka has brought up and I have brought up aren’t any less valid, which is what your politely trying to say & I appreciate it. I mean I dont think either of us has been beating down the door to prove Haywood is that much better than Biedrins.
Regardless of stats and pure statistical analysis, like tafka brought, B-ball is more than just statistical analysis. So am I supposed to yell out when Biedrins is getting abused on the low block by Kaman or any other top flight center, “It’s ok Biedrins, your still more efficient at rebounding then then they are!!” or “Kaman your sooooooo Inefficient watch a really efficient player do his thing…ooops missed put back, missed put back dont worry Biedrins they wont really impact your efficiency unless you miss the neeexxxxt put back…NOOOOO!!!!”
Were probably just gonna have to agree to disagree about Biedrins. I still love the guy but just don’t think as highly of him as you do. Maybe once I finish my statistical analysis class, maybe I might be better able to debate you on the statistical side, but at this point I just think Biedrins is good but not great and if he is traded or kept the Dubs will still have a solid center.
by UCdubsFan on Dec 16, 2009 12:11 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
I think the problem with watching the games is that everything we analyze, basketball or not, we analyze subjectively and with bias (though we tend to want to think we are objective). So while it is a truth to you that Biedrins is not top ten others watch the exact same game(s) and see Biedrins as top ten. The only thing that is objective about the players games are the statistics they compile (or close to, because statkeepers still have to decide shots from passes and things like that).
And as I’ve said – there are definitely things you can see by watching the game the stats don’t tell you, especially defense. No disagreement there. The problem is trying to turn watching into objective analysis, like belilaugh said. People simply aren’t good at doing that. We might see Kaman back Biedrins down and do well against us, and it’s frustrating because we want “more bulk” to defend down on the block so we remember Kaman doing that, but we might not remember all the shots he missed, or all the little putbacks Biedrins had on the offensive end (Kaman is a plodder – he can’t guard Biedrins effectively). It’s the same way we see Kobe hit a couple of tough shots in big situations and think of him as clutch – we remember those plays more than his misses (he actually shoots terribly in end of quarter/game situations). We need the stats to objectively count/quantify the plays because we aren’t able to, it’s simply not something people are capable of doing accurately.
As for the evaluation part – like I said, there’s certainly room for what you see in the conversation. If you want to talk about rebounding or scoring, opinion doesn’t really matter much because we have the facts in front of us as stats (how many rebounds they get, how much they score, how efficiently they score). If you want to talk about what they bring in terms of opening up the offense/making others better, or what they do defensively…well, there’s plenty of room for what you see in that kind of debate. My opinion is Biedrins is a decent defensive player. Definitely not a game changer by any means, and at times can get pushed around on the block, but he has pretty good length and athleticism and isn’t out of position very often. He’s not a huge shot blocker, but he can effectively alter/block shots at times. On the ball he’s not the best, but he’s not bad. It’s the combination of that with the fact that he’s so much better at rebounding than almost everyone else, and that his offense, while limited, is still fairly productive that makes him a good player. There really aren’t many C’s that combine these things to be more effective players than Biedrins. As I’ve said elsewhere, though – Biedrins is not carrying us to a championship. He’s not the #2 guy on a championship team – so it’s not like I’m trying to argue he’s amazing, just that there aren’t that many C’s out there who really are better than him…
by Missing Barry on Dec 16, 2009 7:42 AM PST up reply actions
Does Kobe shoot terribly in end game situations or does EVERYONE shoot terribly in end-game situations? My gut reaction would be that Kobe probably shoots less bad (as compared to his normal percentage) than most players at the end of games.
Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!
Everyone shoots worse.
Kobe probably shoots less bad (as compared to his normal percentage) than most players at the end of games.
Now, I haven’t seen the stat in a while (and don’t even know where I’d be able to find sortable splits like this), but it’s the exact opposite. While everyone is expected to do worse, Kobe actually does tremendously poorly, worse than the expected decline from these situations. I believe it’s pretty easy to see why if you watch them play enough – in these situations, Kobe waives everyone off, goes one on one, and usually settles for a long contested jump shot. Looks great when it goes in. There’s a reason this isn’t the normal offense, though – those are bad shots, and shooting them often is going to result in a bad percentage.
Your gut reaction is exactly the kind of bias I’m talking about that we’re all subject to – we’ve been trained Kobe is clutch, so that’s what our gut tells us, whether it’s true or not.
by Missing Barry on Dec 16, 2009 8:07 AM PST up reply actions
I remember hearing that Kobe actually isn't as clutch as you would think...
I remember listening to a Bill Simmons pcast & they had a stats guy on and they mentioned Kobe’s “clutchness” at the end of games. The percentage was hovering in the high 30-low 40 percent range for kobe hitting shots at the end of games. Can’t really remember the metrics that were used to calculate but it was definitely an interesting topic.
There were some guys that you wouldn't expect..
that were a lot more “clutch” in terms of percentage though closer to high 40-low 50 percent range… Maybe it was the Morey interview not quite sure but it was cool to listen too.
There really aren’t many C’s that combine these things to be more effective players than Biedrins. As I’ve said elsewhere, though – Biedrins is not carrying us to a championship. He’s not the #2 guy on a championship team – so it’s not like I’m trying to argue he’s amazing, just that there aren’t that many C’s out there who really are better than him…
this is more than fair. Again it’s not necessarily what Biedrins doesn’t do… but more what NONE of our bigs do, and thats have any sort of go to post game. Unless you have Jordan and Pippen, you’re not gonna get far without a post player. I don’t think anyone would complain about Biedrins if we had Pau Gasol or Amare opposite him.
My point is I find what Biedrins does more replaceable than what a guy like Pau Gasol does (just an ex)
And I can get on board with that premise – Biedrins isn’t a franchise player. He’s a good supporting member. I do believe big men win championships…so yeah, if the opportunity ever arises to replace him with a dominant big man (like a Dwight Howard type), of course I’d go for it without a second thought. Guys with post up games get to shoot the best shots in basketball – near the rim, or from the free throw line. It’s definitely a great thing to have, and it’s not Biedrins game.
by Missing Barry on Dec 16, 2009 9:47 AM PST up reply actions
What are your thoughts on Greg Oden
Sleepy mentioned him….. I wonder if Portland are willing to pull plug on him and trade him. We all know the risk, but i feel his last 2 injuries r just freak coincidences. And if he can stay healthy he can really come close to be the presence in the middle that can win a championship.
For 1) I’d probably give randolph + Turiaf for him. you can figure out what to do w/ biedrins later, whether you go twin towers, or move him for a PF
Uhh….that’s a difficult question you’re asking. One of those things that makes me happy I’m not a GM. Oden is a talent, no question about it, those injuries scare me, though….
For the record I think I’m going to do a fanpost at some point in the near future ranking the C’s in the league by tier. Don’t have time to go through it today, so I figure once I start my vacation for the holidays, I’ll have enough time to turn it into a full fledged fanpost….
by Missing Barry on Dec 16, 2009 10:28 AM PST up reply actions
good idea
I was about to do the same, but i’ll refrain. There r so many angles you can tackle it at. For ex. obviously duncan is way better than beans. BUT would you rather have duncan? Considering he’s almost 33, i’d say no, unless he was going to be difference in a championship
I’m planning on doing it strictly based on who’s better, right now. Taking age/contract/potential/likelihood to develop into account is more effort than I care to put into it….
by Missing Barry on Dec 16, 2009 11:20 AM PST up reply actions
argreed MB,
I think that was all I was trying to say on my side of the evaluation & that there is a place for it and definitely have no prob using stats when it gets down to the nitty gritty of statistical efficiency in terms of player performance..
Someone like Marc Gasol might have more offensive skills than Biedrins (I have no comment, I have not seen Gasol play), but the end result is…..pretty comparable, so those post moves or whatever other skills just aren’t very relevant….
I love Marc Gasol, he’s really transformed his game this year. Lost alot of weight, got more athletic somehow. Still a lesser version of his brother, though even then I’m not sure. He plays next to the black-hole of Z-bo when he’s more efficient and in general, we all know about the Z-Bo.
I should say, a lot of it for me is a decision between Randolph and biedrins. I see both doing similar things, blocking shots, rebounding well, both should have limited offensive roles. I don’t think anyone expects Biedrins to develop a real offensive arsenal, and honestly I don’t expect Randolph to (if he does it’s a big plus). Moving 1 for a more skilled offensive player will give as a) a post game. b) a more balanced front court Nellie would be willing to play.
The reason I’m so big on Gasol is Memphis wants Thabeet to be there center. Gasol is not a PF like his brother. I think he can be had (probably in the offseason). I think he can be even better than he’s been thus far. Looking at 82games.com Memphis’ best lineup is actually conley, mayo, gay, carrol, gasol. Not Z-bo. Carroll is a defensive player giving Gasol more offensive freedom and more touches. He’s not only guy i’d love, i just think he might be more attainable than Bynum or Brook Lopez for ex.
And I’ll just note that when I was comparing them, I was talking strictly about how good they are in the present, not who I’d rather have long term.
by Missing Barry on Dec 16, 2009 9:48 AM PST up reply actions
ha ha ha ha
Jermaine O’Neal? You must be joking…..
I would put Marcus Camby over Biedrins, but that will change soon as Camby’s age is getting up there….
Where is Bynum or Gasol? Both can play center and are better than Biedrins too
by Bellringer21 on Dec 17, 2009 7:47 AM PST up reply actions
I don’t think there’s any question right now that JT is having the better campaign.
I agree that there’s no question, mostly because Thompson is getting starter’s minutes, and producing well in that time. But — stat nerd’s refrain — on a per minute basis, the two are really not that far apart:
Thompson / Randolph, per 36 minutes
15.7 / 18.4 pts
.560 / .515 ts%
9.5 / 10.6 reb
2.3 / 1.7 ast
1.0 / 2.0 blk
0.5 / 1.3 stl
1.9 / 2.2 tov
4.2 / 4.7 pf
+0.6 / -0.5 adj. plusminus
And with these two it always bears mentioning: Thompson is a full three years older than Randolph. Basically, a grown man beginning his prime NBA years v. a pup. I still wouldn’t trade Randolph for Jason Thompson.
That said, I completely agree that there should be no untouchables on this team. If Randolph’s “potential” can help get you a Bosh (with a winkwink extension) or a Paul (keep dreaming), you pull the trigger and gladly deal with the (small) risk of his blowing up into KG 2.0.
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Dec 15, 2009 10:00 AM PST reply actions 3 recs
There you have it.
Nice work Sleepy. I think this is very telling. To me the numbers Strongly favor Randolphs value.
IMO, once he gathers a better understanding of the game play and game fundamentals he will be much better than Thompson. Personally, i don’t see thompson getting that much better. He’s pretty good as is but, has he helped them win games? Would we win more games if we had him instead of Randolph? Probably not a signifacantly larger amount of games in comparision to the potential of Randolph to do much more in years to come.
It seems in todays world we are a very impatient people. Imaging Randolph developing a go to post move, and understanding of defensive rotations, an understanding of when to block a shot and when to hold position. He’s already got a decent out side jumper and he shoots good free throws. What happens when he learns to how to drive the lanes, or finish with either hand? It just seems to me that everything needs is in the head and comes with experience. He’s atheletic limitations are very minor. I can enjoy watching him grow. Even if it means watching his mistakes be it that he’s improving and working hard.
ON THE OTHERHAND
Thompson is a known commodity. He’ll never be Chris Bosh or amare but to say he’s peaked is also an understatement. He may be 23, but it’s only his second year in the NBA. Look at a guy like David West, who was 22 year old rookie, gradually grew into an all star power forward. Carlos Boozer as well. Thompson has shown improvement from year 1 to 2. Fouling less, passing better, defending better. He scores efficiently inside and out and rebounds very well. He’s averaging 15 and 9 in a littler over 30 minutes. Theres no reason to think that can’t get higher and he continues to work and becomes a more focal point of the offense.
Randolph on the otherhand is a lot of potential, a scary word. But if we are to be honest, he only does 2 things well, get to the line and make his free throws, and rebound. He’s shown some defensive ability but more so, he is out of position and foul prone. He turns it over alot. There are A LOT of holes in his game. To think he is going to fix them all, is at the least optimistic. Maybe he will, but I wouldn’t say it as it’s set in stone. And seeing him and his attitude this year, makes me wonder if it will happen
by tafkasam on Dec 15, 2009 11:24 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
he only does 2 things well, get to the line and make his free throws, and rebound.
The good part is that if you were to pick two things for a player to do well, those should be near the top of the list. They’re also two areas that are not highly likely to change in a player, so it’s good that he’s excelling there rather than merely in scoring, something that shows more of a tendency to improve.
(He can also be a good shot blocker. It’s not the most valuable skill and it’s not like he’s Manute, but it’s still a plus.)
LOVE Randolph’s defensive potential and even his current shaky defense. Rebounding and shot blocking galore? Check. Superb athleticism and quickness? Check. Length? Big check. This guy’s defensive potential is off the charts. I don’t want to trade him, personally, unless we get a Chris Paul. I would grudgingly give him away for Bosh w/ extension… without hesitation, mind you, but grudgingly.
Welcome to the Pit of Despair! Don't even think about trying to escape.
This season is lost...
why hurry to move him now? Play him 30+ minutes a game the rest of the year and see what happens. If he shows no improvment he can be on the block in the offseason.
Well Stated and to the Point!
There is no reason why we should not be playing Randolph 30+ a night, especially right now with Turiaf and Biedrins out. What Nelson and Smart have done with Randolph is unforgivable. There is no way a journeyman center on a one year contract should be getting more playing time than a young second year player you are hoping to develop.
Give him consistent minutes on a nightly basis for the next two months, and if they still don’t like him, they can trade him by the deadline. Right now though, I’d rather see Nelson and Smart given the bums rush and bring in a coach that will actually give Randolph a chance to prove himself.
There is no way a journeyman center on a one year contract should be getting more playing time than a young second year player you are hoping to develop.
Moore isn’t getting more time than Randolph for the season. He’s getting too much time, but on average, Randolph is still playing more. Plenty of criticism available without having to modify the facts.
I’ll give you the last five games they have been pretty even as far as minutes played, but I would say that some of Randolph’s minutes are coming from garbage time and that since the injuries to Biedrins and Turiaf, Moore has gotten the majority of the minutes over Randolph.
In no month has Moore averaged more minutes than Randolph. The games that Smart has “managed” or “coached” or whatever you want to call it, Anthony has clearly been relegated to a minor role. It may seem like Moore has played more and Randolph has played less since Biedrins and Turiaf went down (which was real, real early in the season) but the data don’t support that as a general statement.
If the Warriors trade Randolph
I can guarantee he will be star somewhere else. It’s obvious he will be a star in a couple years whether its here or somewhere else like the other stars we traded away. Its ridiculous that Mikki Moore and Vlad get 30+ min. a night and Randolph is lucky to get 25. Come on, are either of those guys really a part of our future? What are we trying to prove when they start and both give minimal contributions? Look, this is obviously another lost season, it is time to play Morrow, Curry, and Randolph 35-40 a night and let them do their thing, make their mistakes, get their highlights, let them learn the game firsthand and finish with a good shot in the lottery, I am sick of sucking all year and ending up with the 7,9, or 11th pick in the draft. I want a shot at a top 3 pick. Sure Randolph makes those bonehead plays sometimes but he is still 20 years old! Still the youngest on our team and one of the youngest in the league. We hyped him up too much this season saying he was gonna be an all star already and lead us to the promise lands. Now it is time to give him the ball and tell him to go play. I’m sure as heck not ready to give up on Randolph.
I can guarantee he will be star somewhere else.
How are you insuring this guarantee? What do we get if he doesn’t?
Trust me.
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Dec 15, 2009 12:14 PM PST up reply actions
What would we get if we trade him? I don’t really see us getting a deal for a legit star that would stay here beyond this season for Randolph and whoever else we throw in. The closest I think we could get is Chris Bosh, but he is not going to sign an extension with us without testing his worth on the open market this coming off season.
Why not give Randolph the minutes he needs here to see if he can develop into a good player instead of putting Moore and Radmonovic ahead of him on the depth chart.
Wow. Is the vote really that close?
It should really be 100% No: If the price is right he isn’t untouchable. Everyone in the NBA isn’t untouchable, as long as the price is right.
"Monta is the MAN." -Bob Fitzgerald
by WarriorForLife on Dec 15, 2009 11:03 AM PST reply actions
Oy.
Like the rest of our team, Randolph is by no means untouchable, but also nowhere near his maximum possible trade value right now. If you want to trade him, at least start him and get his counting stats and notoriety up. I doubt he goes anywhere, but if the team really is dangling him in trades right now, they’re even dumber than I thought.
Ladies and gentlemen, your Golden State Worriers.
Warriors Management
Must…trade..promising….young players.
The Kings were smart enough to ditch Mikki Moore and have JT start. If only we were as smart as that storied franchise.
ES
So sad
Does anyone actually think a trade is going to turn this franchise around? No. We need to give our young players big minutes this year and hope for a top 3 draft pick.
by randolphforpresident on Dec 15, 2009 11:39 AM PST reply actions
Only for an offer we cannot refuse.
WARRIORS BASKETBALL!!! Patiently waiting for a title...I may be waiting for a long time...
Rebuilding?
*Aren’t rebuilding teams supposed to develop their young talent?
*Aren’t rebuilding teams supposed to give their promising young players the right tools to succeed?
Apparently not if you’re the Warriors. Randolph is not a banana, he is not ripening on the bench. He is a talented and young basketball player. He should have a big man coach, consistent minutes every night, and the support of the franchise.
Sure he makes mistakes. He is 20. And everyone knows bigs take longer to develop. Give him time and chances.
Or the Warriors FO could just trade our assets for some mediocre returns and go into “win now” mode,, wind up just missing the playoffs while playing a 7-man rotation, and do it all over again in 3 years.
Randolph is not a banana, he is not ripening on the bench.
Now, I do believe playing in the game can help a player improve. I do believe Randolph should be playing more. But before you say things like this, you have to realize, NBA games are actually a very small amount of time a player spends working on their game. Most of the work done to imrpove is done outside of games. All offseason these guys are putting in hours each day on their skills/athleticism, playing games, doing drills. During the season they have practices. They watch film, and discuss basketball concepts and what they should/should not be doing. He is, in fact, “ripening on the bench”. Most of his improvement is going to come from outside of game situations.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 2:32 PM PST up reply actions
potential
It may be that Randolph continues to grow and becomes an all-star. That’ll take a LOT of work on Randolph’s part, though. We have an incomplete picture of what goes on with the team. Reporters are only allowed in at the end of practices. Is he putting in all the extra time he needs to develop his game? If not, is more playing time going to solve everything?
When I hear reports of players coming in early or staying late, it is always Morrow, Curry and Watson. How much of player development happens on the court, and how much in practice? There is a lot of unknowns about Randolph, and it is a bit disturbing that work ethic seems to be one of them.
It may be the coaches don’t want to give him all the extra time available on the court right now because he hasn’t “earned” it. Even though I agree he is clearly the best option, maybe they are hesitant to reward a young player who isn’t putting in all the extra work they think a young player should.
There is a lot of unknowns about Randolph, and it is a bit disturbing that work ethic seems to be one of them.
I think a lot of it is just maturity. He played a lot of basketball over the summer and worked out like crazy. I think he overdid it, got injured, played badly because of that (in part), got discouraged and stopped working hard. Smart says he’s been working hard again, so there is hope for the kid. I think he’s bouncing back and will learn to not slack off in the future.
Welcome to the Pit of Despair! Don't even think about trying to escape.
trade-wise
would you pull the trigger on beans/curry/pieces for amare now? trading potential for superstars is a good deal in every case. banking on potential like we have done for the past decade is the sign of a team that is obviously looking for a way to keep fans in their seats without spending big money on bonafide superstars. this team cares about us as much as george dubbya cares about black people.
Why on earth would we give up three young guys for a guy who will be a free agent after this year? And one that made it clear he doesn’t want to play for the Warriors?
by Into the Void on Dec 15, 2009 12:11 PM PST up reply actions
Agreed.
This should be a headline of all posts to this matter. If we give up anyone it should be Beidrins. If Bosh or Amare walk at the end of the year, then at least we have more cap room. Throwing in Randolph makes no sense at all under any senario i can dream up with exception to an extension from the aquired talent which will most likely not happen.
bona fide superstar
If you think Amare Stoudemire is that, well … I don’t know what to tell you. Except: look at his numbers. He’s basically at or near career lows in every facet of his game. He doesn’t rebound his position adequately, doesn’t ever pass the ball, doesn’t take good care of the ball, doesn’t block shots, doesn’t play tough defense, doesn’t help his team when he’s on court. Still an incredibly efficient scorer though!
Taller Corey Maggette.
Assuming Stoudemire is going to command a max or near-max contract, I’m not sure I’d trade Brandan Wright (whom you refer to as “pieces”) straight up for him. Actually, the way Amare is playing right now, I’d probably rather have him without an extension (i.e. as a big expiring contract) than with one.
I would gladly trade any of our young pieces (with the possible exception of Randolph) for a good, proven young player who understood the concept of “teamwork” and “playing hard at both ends of the floor.” Beyond the usual suspects, one guy who pops to mind is Greg Oden, if Portland is remotely willing to listen…
Say Monta, Wright, Turiaf and our first rounder (lottery protected) for Andre Miller and Oden…?
2010 starting lineup
Curry
Morrow
Azubuike
Randolph
Oden
Bench: Miller, Biedrins, Maggs, CJ
/wakes up, drooling/
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Dec 15, 2009 1:36 PM PST up reply actions
Oden? You mean the manchild with the shattered kneecap? In order to be a good player you have to actually PLAY. We should have made a move for Andre Miller in the offseason and drafter Dejuan Blair (as I advocated. Why does the FO not listen to meeee?)
Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!
I guess my pipe-dream is that the serious injury issues might depress Oden’s value just enough to make it imaginable. When healthy, Oden is a total beast who, like Dwight Howard, makes life easier for every player on the floor. When you’re a crappy team like us, you should be wiling to roll the dice, no?
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Dec 15, 2009 2:25 PM PST up reply actions
He could be had, I think we also have interesting players that Blazers would want.
It just comes down to how much.
the ultimate gamble
Oden. I’d love it though. He’s simply too good to not take a chance on. Also people forget he’s 21 and born in February 1988 (making him a whopping 1 month older than Curry for reference). I love it though. A gamble on super talent with a great work ethic, humble personality is one worth taking.
Would you not all jump an opportunity to have Andrew Bynum? His record isn’t much better…
I suppose if he could be had super cheap it would be worth it (worth what? Exactly). In all honesty I have written him off. His injuries are very troubling.
Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!
by Supafishal on Dec 15, 2009 10:13 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
I would have drafted Blair, too, but let’s be honest – for all the injury concerns with Oden, you have to be just as concerned with Blair. The guy doesn’t even have ACL’s.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 2:34 PM PST up reply actions
I like Blair, too, but he’s basically a six-inches-shorter version of Oden. Six inches of height counts for a lot in the NBA. And as you say, Oden still has his ACLs.
As a general rule, I think taking a flier on big injury risks with huge upside is good strategy for crappy teams like us. It worked out pretty well with Baron, and his upside wasn’t nearly what Oden’s is…
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Dec 15, 2009 3:41 PM PST up reply actions
Hey Billy Beane loves to do that!
Everytime I see Blair jump, I fear for his career. I like him as a player though.
Warriors, Stupidest franchise in the league.
I told Randolph that Bill Russell would tell him to keep that ball in play and start the break.
RANDOLPH: "I know. But sometimes, you gotta let ‘em know."
(MT)
it should also be noted
his last 2 injuries were just freak occurances
ACL surgeries are fairly routine these days. From my own experience they are easy to come back from. Oden has some major structural problems. Players who have lots of “freak injuries” tend to be guys with parts that don’t work quite right. As in, his kneecaps can’t handle him jumping up and down.
Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!
by Supafishal on Dec 15, 2009 10:21 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
Why all of a sudden do people seem to have confidence in the FO again?
Personally I just think its another feeble attempt by mgmt to get people talking but ultimately do nothing in terms of a trade to get a legit superstar to come play for thie organization. The only way that I would trade AR would be to get someone like CP3 or a Bosh w/ an extension but that isn’t going to happen. The FO would rather have the fanbase on pins and needles waiting for something to happen as opposed to going out and making something happen. That way people still goto games and spend money with minimal effort and virtually no pressure from the fan base to make the front office do anything.
All the talk about the Warriors being in discussions is just that talk. What happened to the big moves that were supposed to be made in the off-season and the “beef” that we were going to be acquiring. Instead we get a bunch of hurt players and expiring contracts that most likely won’t be used. Then once we land with the 7th pick again in the draft next year (B/c our organizations karma doesn’t have the luck to get the #1 pick to draft a John Wall or even if we did the FO would find a way to screw it up) we will all start hearing the talks about supposed Moves that are going to be made and will end up giving Michael redd 5 yrs/ 60 mill or something dumb like that and then we are back at square one with no legit superstar and a roster full of guards.
BUY TIX everyone next year SKY’s the limit!!!! Especially once we get Biedrins and Turiaff back b/c not having them is the only reason we are not contending in the west!
The FO would rather have the fanbase on pins and needles waiting for something to happen as opposed to going out and making something happen.
I guarantee you the FO would rather win. Winning is the biggest factor in attendance.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 2:37 PM PST up reply actions
how can you guarantee that with their track record?
2 out of 15 years with a winning record. That seems like an organization that wants to do just enough to get by and not have to deal with winning over the long term. It’s just more cost effective to give people hope then to actually put a good product out on the floor because hope can fool people into believing that something is there without financially backing it by signing good players, having effective mgmt, etc….
Unless you have some inside info that this FO would like to win, the record would prove the contrary…
Guarntees? None of us have anything to back them with. But I’m entirely sure that the FO wants people attending games and buying expensive beer. And the best way to do that is to win games. Getting “stars” doesn’t really do it. Generating “buzz” doesn’t do it. Being on “pins and needles” doesn’t really get people to buy tickets either.
Now whether or not the FO really knows that winning is the only sure thing to generate ticket revenue is another thing. That they in the past have done dumb things like hiring Montgomery, seemingly because he could “excite the Bay Area fans” suggests that they aren’t entirely clear on it.
And of course, knowing that winning will drive sales more than anything else doesn’t me they know what to do to win.
point taken,
but if fans are driven by “exciting” basketball as opposed to winning basketball, which sometimes seems to be the case in warriorland, (Obvious hardcore dubs and true bball fans don’t factor into this & is aimed more at the fairweather/occasional fan) do they really have to put a winning product on the floor?
I know winning means more revenue but from what you hear from fans on the radio and on different sites, not just GSOM, it seems that a lot of people would like to watch exciting basketball as opposed to winning basketball. I’ve stated before I would take the DUbs playing supposed “boring” basketball like the spurs everyday of the week as long as it meant they were winning. But even with the dubs current record still 15 plus thousand fans go out to games and add to the revenue even with a losing product on the floor.
I think its just a matter of ineptitude in terms of management as opposed to whether or not they want to win. I just don’t think they want to win in the sense that Winning will lead to higher costs in terms of contracts and signings and thus lower the profit margins because of the expectation of needing to win. Instead it seems like the FO has the attitude of, “yeah we want to win but look how exciting our team is even though we lose. Plus we have sooooooo many injuries just wait”. Which is why I say they wold rather generate “buzz” and keep a ceratin portion of the fanbase on “pins and needles” as opposed to making an all out push to win.
Its just so much easier not to because people still show up…
I know winning means more revenue but from what you hear from fans on the radio and on different sites, not just GSOM, it seems that a lot of people would like to watch exciting basketball as opposed to winning basketball
What people say and what people do are often very different things. Actual studies suggest that wins are what drive changes in attendance more than anything else.
People may still show up. Some people always will, but attendance is way down this year because of last year’s suckitude. (Since most seats are purchased as season tickets, the lag takes a while and this year’s attendance in large part represents last year’s team, while last year’s attendance was still riding on the 48 win season in large part.)
"What people say and what people do are often very different things"
yes that’s true and yes winning does make people want to buy more but the FO hasn’t really proven its willing to do what it takes to win consistently. I’m not trying to say that winning doesn’t matter to ticket sales, I’m just saying that the Warriors aren’t in the business of winning.
If they really would base their entire style of play on "exciting" rather than winning basketball...
oh wait they DO do that.
Warriors, Stupidest franchise in the league.
I told Randolph that Bill Russell would tell him to keep that ball in play and start the break.
RANDOLPH: "I know. But sometimes, you gotta let ‘em know."
(MT)
Just as an example of how “buzz” and “star players” don’t sell tickets. Philly loves Iverson. They just resigned him. I went to the game yesterday – Iverson’s 4th game back – honestly, I don’t think more than 5,000 people showed up.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 10:27 PM PST up reply actions
I think its just a matter of ineptitude in terms of management as opposed to whether or not they want to win.
Well, if you had just said this to begin with, we would have been in agreement. The management sucks, they put a crappy product on the floor that can’t win, so of course they’re going to market the “next great thing” or how exciting we are. It’s their best move considering how bad they are at putting a winning product out there….
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 10:25 PM PST up reply actions
Blazer fan here.
Would you guys have any interest in Andre Miller? He doesn’t really fit here but I think he’d be AWESOME in your offense.
Roy, Aldridge, Oden, Rudy, Batum, Outlaw, Webster, Bayless, Blake, Miller, Joel... Holy crap!
I’m sure we could work something out. Especially if you take Maggette in return.
WARRIORS BASKETBALL!!! Patiently waiting for a title...I may be waiting for a long time...
by JustSomeName on Dec 15, 2009 12:46 PM PST up reply actions
I never want to see Corey "the flopper" maggette in a Blazers uniform.
Would the warriors ever consider trading Turiaf? That’s the guy I’m interested in
Get well Greg! Rip City is still behind you!
Trade turiaf? sure. For Miller? No
Would you give us rudy and outlaw for turiaf + Cj Watson? (Assuming Rudy comes back in within a month)
There's ZERO chance you are getting Rudy (obviously unless you trade ellis)
Outlaw? yeah, you can have him. what about miller and outlaw instead? Something like this:
http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=yebqkax
If it’s not working, the trade was Miller and Outlaw for Turiaf, Azubuike, and Claxton(to make it possible)
It says Portland’s win total would decrease by 10 and Golden State’s would increase by 2.
Thoughts?
Get well Greg! Rip City is still behind you!
You need to take a garbage contract (Maggette) in order to get rid of your own (Miller). Your proposal greatly favors your team more than our’s, no matter what the espn trade machine win estimates are.
WARRIORS BASKETBALL!!! Patiently waiting for a title...I may be waiting for a long time...
by JustSomeName on Dec 15, 2009 1:34 PM PST up reply actions
rudy won't ever be a starter for you.
So you want us to give u a big for your garbage? what does a rebuilding team want w/ a 34 year old pg and why wuld we give you azubuike who is the best player in the whole trade????
I wouldn't say Andre Miller is "garbage" and Outlaw is still young.
Maybe azubuike is unrealistic, but come on, whatever you guys are doing down there is not working. and rudy isnt leaving unless we get a really good player in return. also, you are way underestimating both miller and outlaw. miller has been a really good point guard for a while and outlaw has been one of the two or three best 6th men in the entire NBA over the last couple years. azubuike is decent. turiaf is decent. i know you love your players, but they’re not that great. calling miller and outlaw garbage is absolutely absurd. they’ve done a heck of a lot more than either turiaf or azubuike. they’re not garbage, they just don’t fit in the blazers’ slow offense. i’d argue that miller and outlaw would be the two best players in that trade.
Get well Greg! Rip City is still behind you!
Is there an official definition of “garbage”?
By most statistical measures, neither Outlaw nor Rudy Fernandez is as good as Azubuike (or, for that matter, Morrow).
Turiaf ain’t great, but he’s young, active, very solid on D, and by all accounts a great “clubhouse presence.”
Miller used to be pretty good, but he’s about to turn 34, an age in which many NBA players start to fall off cliffs; and — lo and behold — he appears to be falling off a cliff. He’s worth absolutely nothing to a young team like the Warriors, except maybe as salary fodder in a larger deal.
I doubt there’s a fan on this site who would consider taking Miller and Outlaw for Turiaf or Kelenna, let alone both.
Further, the “whatever you’re doing down there isn’t working” line, while mostly true, sounds distinctly like a sleazy used car salesman.
Pass.
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Dec 15, 2009 2:21 PM PST up reply actions
The Warriors are one of the fastest paced teams in the NBA
Blazers, one of the slowest in the NBA. So it is difficult to compare Blazers vs warriors statistically. And, even if you are looking at stats, outlaw and miller both have had much better stats than turiaf and azubuike recently. this season? not so much. but everyone on the blazers has dropped off statistically, it doesnt necessarily mean they are all worse individually. so are you really putting more emphasis statistically on a quarter of this season than the players’ entire careers? thats not smart. miller averaged 16.3 pts and 6.5 asts last year. outlaw has averaged 12.8 and 13.3 points off the bench on a SLOW team the last two years. i believe he got like second or third in 6th man of the year last year. you are putting too much emphasis on a quarter of a season in which nothing has gone right for portland. WAY WAY overestimating your players and WAY WAY underestimating miller and outlaw. just because they dont fit our style, doesnt mean they arent good.
Get well Greg! Rip City is still behind you!
Again, the biggest point with Miller is there’s no point in a non-contender like us making a long term commitment to an old player, unless you’re going to take a long term commitment off our hands. Your only option in that regard is to take Maggette. As for your point about things not going right down here – yeah, 3 of our 4 bigs are injured. That’s what isn’t going right. We could use a big. Do you have one to give up? We don’t have the frontcourt depth to part with Turiaf.
Also, when comparing per 36 minute stats, it is pretty easy to compare players. You get their rate stats. Pace is a factor, but it’s minimal – the difference between the very fastest and very slowest team in the league is only like 5% or something.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 2:41 PM PST up reply actions
Ok, fair enough.
I didn’t suspect the Warriors would be too anxious to give up a big or Azubuike. There is just so few teams that don’t have a true point guard that is better than Andre Miller. I hear he might get traded, but i can’t think of a good scenario. Perhaps a team in need of a vet off the bench to put them over the top. But who knows. We need a change and i was thinking the warriors did too
Get well Greg! Rip City is still behind you!
Andre Miller, right now, is better than Stephen Curry. Curry is our future (we hope) and Miller isn’t, though. So it just isn’t a good fit for us. Sadly, this season has already turned into building for the future, and we’re barely a quarter of the way in….
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 2:59 PM PST up reply actions
Interestingly enough
Marcus Thompson (I believe) thinks that Curry could develop into an Andre Miller type, but a better shooter.
by Reverend_Randy on Dec 15, 2009 5:08 PM PST up reply actions
marcus thompson used to write for CC times covering my hs games
his insight is hardly any deeper than any casual blogger.
I think...
Marcus Thompson used to play for my HS team w/his brother too.
John 8:44 -Ye are of your father the devil, and the lusts of your father ye will do.
Physically I don’t think Curry is close to Miller’s level. Miller isn’t an elite athlete or anything, but he does have good size/strength for a PG, and he’s at least a decent athlete (or was before he got old)….
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 10:29 PM PST up reply actions
Regarding Miller: once again, turns 34 in March. That’s how old Webber was for his illustrious Warrior “comeback.” End of discussion.
Regarding Outlaw: I think you’re probably overestimating the effect of pace to inflate your guys’ value. Here, I’ll give career percentages of four Warrior/Blazer wingmen to adjust for pace, minimize small sample errors, and make it clearer for you.
Career TS%
Morrow .601
Fernandez .587
Azubuike .557
Outlaw .512
Career REB%
Outlaw 9.4
Azubuike 9.0
Morrow 7.1
Fernandez 6.5
Career AST%
Fernandez 13.4
Morrow 7.9
Azubuike 6.9
Outlaw 6.9
Career TOV %
Outlaw 9.2
Morrow 9.3
Azubuike 9.6
Fernandez 12.8
I’d also add that Morrow and Buike appear to be trending up, while Outlaw is trending down or treading water at best. (Rudy also looked to be trending down this season, but it’s a small sample size and he may have been playing hurt). To my eyes, Outlaw looks the worst player of the four … and the highest paid to boot. Main selling point is that he’s an expiring contract, but we’ve got enough of those.
You’re welcome to think Outlaw is “good.” I just don’t see why we want or need him.
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Dec 15, 2009 3:14 PM PST up reply actions
it should also be added
outlaw is a free agent and likely won’t be retained by Portland. On the flipside he could be valuable as a mismatch 4 for us. Granted i’m not the biggest fan of always going small, using a front court of say buike + outlaw for 10-15 minutes a game is not a bad thing.
IMO it’d be rudy 4 turiaf, and outlaw to make contracts work. Maybe he is something for us, maybe he is not. Even then I’m pressed to give up a big for a small, but only cause I’m a huge Rudy fan and Monta could REALLY use the help
he could be valuable as a mismatch 4 for us.
Ugh. I am so done with “mismatch fours.” Can we just accept the “conventional,” time-tested basketball truism that a power forward should rebound the ball? As a rebounder, Outlaw makes Brandan Wright look like Dwight Howard.
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Dec 15, 2009 3:52 PM PST up reply actions
i see what you're saying
but what if we had dwight howard and played him as a 2 guard? You think any SG could get a shot off over him?! then we could put monta @ Center. What center can man up monta? He’d blow by them!
Gotta think like nellie, sleepy!
Amen. Here’s the mismatch I’d like: our four is so much better that it’s a mismatch because it’s like he’s playing against a Jr. High JV squad.
if we don't wanna play a gimmick system
perhaps we shouldnt have a gimmick head coach.
the gimmick runs deeper than the coach now imo.
I think the FO would stay with small ball philosophy even after Nelson sails into the Hawaiian sunset.
Warriors, Stupidest franchise in the league.
I told Randolph that Bill Russell would tell him to keep that ball in play and start the break.
RANDOLPH: "I know. But sometimes, you gotta let ‘em know."
(MT)
er..
Maybe not extreme small-ball, but the run and gun style.
Warriors, Stupidest franchise in the league.
I told Randolph that Bill Russell would tell him to keep that ball in play and start the break.
RANDOLPH: "I know. But sometimes, you gotta let ‘em know."
(MT)
or perhaps we shouldn’t have a gimmick roster ?
While we can all point to AB, RT, & BW being out injured as a root of our roster problems, the front line hasn’t ever been satisfactorily addressed in either depth or quality imo. Maybe it’s a chicken&egg scenario with Nelson, I think he makes as much out of a small roster as anyone can but what we neeeeeed are some big horses. Draft, Trade, FA, etc. somehow the FO needs to get it done. Dangling AR isn’t palatable, but neither is this team as constructed.
with this roster...
gimmicky coaching is the only way to eek out a few wins.
You must remember that while in Dallas Nellie started Shawn Bradley and Dirk Nowitski (not really a small ball lineup) – yes they present mismatches but small? BTW they won 60 games that year.
Point is coaches coach to the strengths of their roster – period.
John 8:44 -Ye are of your father the devil, and the lusts of your father ye will do.
If Nelson/Smart coached the Giants
They would say that Pablo Sandoval doesn’t take enough pitches so instead we are going to make Rich Aurila our starting 3rd baseman.
I don’t know how you can say Randolph has regressed; has even gotten a chance? He played a great game against Orlando only to find himself on the end of the bench the next night. He played great against New Jersey (turned the game around) only to be benched the rest of the road trip. He was the youngest player in the league last year. Why don’t you give him some consistent minutes to see what you got before trading him? Thompson is 3 years older and gets consistent minutes.
Bosh/Garnett played 37 minutes a night their 2nd years
To the Blazer fan...yes on Andre Miller...Raja Bell
The minute Raja Bell is available to be traded how about a Raja Bell for Andre Miller swap? Blazers get Bell for playoffs plus expiring contract. The Warriors get Miller to play in the backcourt with Monta. Millers size would make it a backcourt similar to with Baron since Miller has size and could defend the off guard.
Why would you want a soon to be 34 year old with 3 years left on his contract for an expiring? And what do people not understand about pairing a PG with Monta – Baron was not big enough to effectively guard 2’s. Andre Miller is shorter than Monta. He cannot effectively guard 2’s. Do you realize how big of a PG you need to pair with Monta to really guard 2’s? He’s gotta be 6’4, 6’5 at least. Even Kidd, who was a great defensive player AND had that kind of size, faced a mismatch when guarding most 2’s. Chances are if Monta’s not capable of guarding a player, neither will Miller (or Baron, for that matter).
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 2:47 PM PST up reply actions
What do you propose the Warriors do with the expring contracts?
They can do one of three options. 1) The Maggette signing. Best offer is 5 million so the Warriors pay $10 million. 2) The Mikki Moore signing. 13 years and 13 teams so no one else wants him so he signs with the Warriors. 3) Just get a bunch of NBDL players and put the money in the Owner’s pocket. You know it is bad when Clipper plays are celebrating the fact they don’t play for the Warriors. By the Way, Andre Miller averaged 21 points per game in last years PLAYOFFS.
Get someone younger than Andre Miller who will be getting better (or at least maintaining their production) when we’re contending (for something, be it championship, or just making the playoffs), rather than getting worse and burning a hole into our salary cap….
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 10:33 PM PST up reply actions
Not knowing about what goes on behind closed doors with the Warriors players, I still think this is a FO debacle. Regardless of what goes on a practice, this lottery team should not be trotting Mikki Moore out as a Starter and give him 18 minutes a game when we have two young guys we need to evaluate. AR has been inconsistant but so has his been his minutes. Barring foul trouble, there is no reason AR shouldn’t be given 30+ minutes a night. Dude gave Dwight Howard fits, so don’t tell me he can’t guard the bigger centers in the league. At least let him try.
this lottery team should not be trotting Mikki Moore out as a Starter and give him 18 minutes a game when we have two young guys we need to evaluate.
This above all, is 100% correct. I may not be as sold on Randolph as others, but this team is not going to the playoffs. We need to evaluate our younger players
this lottery team should not be trotting Mikki Moore out as a Starter and give him 18 minutes a game when we have two young guys we need to evaluate.
Kinda further proves that the FO is more concerned about selling tickets than the actual basketball product…
WARRIORS BASKETBALL!!! Patiently waiting for a title...I may be waiting for a long time...
by JustSomeName on Dec 15, 2009 1:36 PM PST up reply actions
I don’t know how this works, you would think that more tickets would be sold if they were playing/marketing Randolph more.
"If God made us in his image then he must be dumb too, and a little ugly on the side."
Frank Zappa
My guess would be that the execs are not all that happy with Nellie. Cohan & Rowell would probably prefer Randolph to play all the time because he would be selling tickets. However, Nellie has all the chips in this game, because he’s the coach and he knows they won’t fire him, so Nellie is gonna play Randolph as much as he wants.
by samuraaaaiiiiiii on Dec 15, 2009 3:17 PM PST up reply actions
whats ironic about the warriors is that on the one hand the PR department has latched on to Randolph as one of their “ticket-sellers”, having him in promotions and such, yet the coaching staff seems to be on a much different page
by randolphforpresident on Dec 15, 2009 3:28 PM PST up reply actions
If Randolph Is traded...
my 26 years of Warrior fandom is officially done, stick a spork in it. I will become a fan of whichever team is smart enough to call the warriors and grab randolph. I go with Anthony. (I hope it’s not the Lakers)
by JimBarnett2KevinGarnett on Dec 15, 2009 1:07 PM PST reply actions
Explains his lack of PT
If he stays POTENTIALLY great, and they don’t let him play much, then he may be a more valuable asset to trade. If he does start over Moore, against first string centers and struggles a lot – harder to trade him.
I’d trade him in a heartbeat for Al Horford or JThompson. We need solid role players who can defend, rebound, and play tough in the post. When Beans and (eventually) Wright return we will have our quota of lean pogo sticks.
Who cares if he becomes a star elsewhere? With our coaches and front office its probably better for his growth to leave. If we get a solid young PF in return who actually plays like a PF it will be best for the makeup of the team.
I wouldn’t mind Horford, but what possible reason could you have to trade AR for Jason Thompson.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 2:48 PM PST up reply actions
Except that Randolph is younger, more athletic, and just as good as him right now…
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 10:33 PM PST up reply actions
Disagree
Randolph may be better in the long run, but JT better right now if only because he is much more consistent. Also, they came in to the league the same year so he can’t be older by much. I like AR a lot – just think that JT would compliment the needs we have on this team more so.
Anthony Randolph: born July 15, 1989.
Jason Thompson: born July 21, 1986.
Randolph (stats per 36 minutes, 2009-2010 season):
18.4 points, 10.6 rebounds, 1.7 assists, 1.3 steals, 2.0 blocks, 2.2 TO’s, .515 TS%
Career per 36 minutes: 16.7 points, 11.3 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 1.3 steals, 2.3 blocks, 2.4 TO’s, .509 TS%
Thompson (2009-2010):
15.7 points, 9.6 rebounds, 2.2 assists, .5 steals, 1 block, 2 TO’s, .562 TS%
Career: 14.6 points, 9.5 rebounds, 1.7 assist, .7 steals, .9 blocks, 2.2 TO’s, .546 TS%
Do you have any evidence Thompson is “more consistent”? Are you sure Thompson simply isn’t getting “more consistent minutes”? I have serious doubts there is much difference in consistency between most players…
by Missing Barry on Dec 16, 2009 9:24 PM PST up reply actions
less of a gamble
We can all blame Nellie for Randolph’s lack of PT but clearly something is wrong. I doubt he’s benching the next “KG”. I don’t mind the prospect of trading Randolph, I just want value. JT…. hmmmmmmm lets see if we can get more.
It's hard to gauge Randolph...
without a healthy team. His numbers would look a hell of a lot better if Biedrins & Wright were healthy. You also have to keep in mind how young he is. Dubs fans be patient!!!
Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Friends, we need to be real here
We are the team that let bulls say they won 2 out of their last 10 instead of 1 out of their last 9. We are the team that ended the 76ers 12-game losing streak. Even if we somehow bring our healthy bodies back, do a complete 180 and start winning games, we aren’t going to make the playoffs with the way this team is being coached. We can look at the bright side of the fact that buike and wright are out and use these extra minutes to gorge our young “potentials” with pt. they need game-time experience, and playing 15-20 minutes a game is not going to give it to them.
AR, morrow, and steph should be leading our offense. Who cares if we lose like that – we’re losing with monta playing 48 and scoring 25 a game anyway. We should we using this season as 82 live practices for the young guys so that we can finally see their “potential” that we keep talking about. nellie shouldn’t be worried about winning because too bad for us it’s just not in the cards this year – he should be maximizing the development of all this “talent” we’ve invested in. NO to trading AR. potential or not, if we let him go I swear he’s going to end up like every other ex-warrior “that got away”.
I agree with you 100%
We have nothing to lose. THIS YEAR IS OVER!!!! let AR, steph and Ammo play as much as possible to gain valuable experience. Who cares if we win?!! Hey if we dont, then we have a better chance of winning the lottery for the next draft. Then we can get a superstar like JOHN WALL and our young players get the experience they need. ITS A WIN WIN situation. Why can’t the coaches and FO see this !!!!
Probably because the coaches and FO operate in reality, where legitimately tanking like that a quarter of the way into the season isn’t plausible for a lot of reasons.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 2:56 PM PST up reply actions
since when is letting our best players, aka the players the fans want to watch, considered “tanking”?
Fans want to watch winning. Your comment sounded to me like it was very much not focused on winning? Based on this:
Who cares if we win?!!
If I misunderstand your point, I apologize, but one of the points I’m making is winning is more important to fan attendance than anything else. Those 3 should definitely get a lot of PT, no disagreement there, I’m just pointing out the reality that the FO/coaches still have to try to win, because they have actual revenues to worry about…
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 3:04 PM PST up reply actions
i see your point. i understand where you’re coming from. i want them to win as much as the next dubs fan. i guess im arguing that having vlad and mikki and the other chumps play signifcant minutes is obviously not working. i believe having the youngsters in gives us the best chance of winning and the coaches and mgmt dont see this.
I can agree with that, it blows my mind to see Randolph sitting on the bench while Mikki Moore is on the court. Randolph is much, much better than Moore right now.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 10:35 PM PST up reply actions
Not winning does not equal tanking
You’re taking “who cares if we win” out of context. We should put our new young oft-touted “core” out there for 30 minutes a game because with the amount of actual game experience they’ve had, they’re still playing college ball. After we put these guys out there and let them learn hands-on how the play in the NBA, then we can really gauge where our team is out and who is worth trading. It’s not that we don’t care if we win, it’s that if we put the future of the team out there on the hardwoodin the form of the ultra-athletic AR, the sharpshooting Arrow and this raw kid steph and THEN we lose, then it’s alright – at least there’s a point to each game. No one said anything about tanking, it’s just that we need to put the playoffs out of our minds and have the dubs play the best ball they possibly can at the moment – which i think everyone knows is if our rookies and sophomores get pt.
For one, winning matters to attendance – more so next seasons attendance. Not winning now means less revenue next season. That’s really the significant one that overrules all other reasons….
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 10:36 PM PST up reply actions
or maybe they have a bunch of new players and are taking a while to mesh?
in all honesty… it’sa combo
Honestly, I'm really sick of these trade rumors.
People think we can just become instantly great if we trade away 5 young guys for some superstar. News flash, Amare has Steve Nash on his team and is having his worst season in years. Chris Bosh arguably has a better supporting cast on the Raptors than we have, and his team has sucked 2 years in a row now. What do you think we will get from 4 months of these guys? Nothing. It’s not worth it.
by HOLDEMUPGoldenStateOfOppression on Dec 15, 2009 2:06 PM PST reply actions
Have you seen the Raptors? Chris Bosh has absolute garbage around him – none of them can play defense, nor can any of them rebound.
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 2:57 PM PST up reply actions
ummm
ME8 is better than all the players that surround Bosh right now and would provide Bosh with a player that is as much of a threat as he is (someone who will draw defenders). I really think both ME8 and Bosh could help eachothers games dramatically if they were on the same team.
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk
Basically agree with this … though I hate the nickname “ME8.” “Mississippi Bullet” is so much more poetic…
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Dec 15, 2009 3:30 PM PST up reply actions
sweet, 4 months of bosh. hey we might even have to trade monta to get him. what a great trade that would be!
by HOLDEMUPGoldenStateOfOppression on Dec 15, 2009 3:37 PM PST up reply actions
I’m pretty sure the implication when anyone here talks about Bosh on the Warriors is “Bosh with an extension.” But don’t let that deprive you of an opportunity to be snarky… ;-)
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Dec 15, 2009 3:46 PM PST up reply actions
but he won't agree
agree blindly to future w/ an embarrassment of a franchise?
test free agency and team up w/ dwade or lebron?
hmmm which will he choose
I'd love to hear Rowell explanation of why he would deal AR for an unsigned anyone,
considering how bad this FO perception is (all-time low??).
“We made the move to get back into playoff contention. We feel we have a very good chance with our young guys and now with the addition of ________ gives us that veteran leadership.”
I’d punch him in the face if ______ is Carlos Boozer.
Warriors, Stupidest franchise in the league.
I told Randolph that Bill Russell would tell him to keep that ball in play and start the break.
RANDOLPH: "I know. But sometimes, you gotta let ‘em know."
(MT)
If you actually had an opportunity to punch Rowell in the face, wouldn’t you just take it regardless?
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Dec 15, 2009 8:04 PM PST up reply actions
Don Nelson says: “Oh crap, we’re not even on pace for me to get the All-Time wins record this season! We better put all our future talent on the block so we can get some veterans, so I can win now and so I can get my retired ass back to Maui ASAP!”
I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Anthony Randolph really was traded. I have no faith in this organization.
"We Deserve"
Oh dear god
Were frustrated with his staying power?Maybe he’d stay more if he got playing time! Nellie will try to drive him out again. I sear we need to become like the Knicks fans and start chanting Nellie suck, play Randolph, sell the team etc. Tont PSD I’m willing to pay for a we suck shirt ASAP.
Rookie: "Why did you bench me?"
Nellie: "You're a rookie"
I agree with this
I’m so frustrated at this point with our coaching. We are a bad young team and we wont even give our young guy the playing time he needs, for the likes of MIKKI MOORE. It is just ridiculous that randolph is playing ~20 or less min per game when everyone is injured. We’d rather start MIKKI FREAKING MOORE!?!!?!
I don’t care if AR hasn’t ‘earned’ his playing time. He earned it in my book based on BEING BETTER THAN MIKKI MOORE IN EVERY WAY. It’s a joke to us fans that we have to sit around and watch our coaches destroy our young guys like this.
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk
by LostHawkGSW on Dec 15, 2009 2:34 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Nellie is the New Al Davis...
Set in his ways and only wants to win his way…
Idea just came to me & I didn’t think it through at all but the comparison is plausible.
PT
if we’re gonna wear anyone out, it shouldn’t be monta – it should be AR trying to smooth out his post game/rebound/defense, it should be Arrow finding a consistent shooting stroke. We’ve all heard nellie say that he’s “one of the best shooters i’ve ever coached” – then LET HIM SHOOT. curry has to troubleshoot his passing game and shooting as well. mikki is old, maggs is old, DG is old – these guys have no untapped potential. giving them more PT than the young guns is completely mind-blowing ESPECIALLY when the old guys who are getting PT don’t seem to play any more D than the rooks and sophs
sorry bout the repetition
all i’m sayin is don’t trade AR, at least not YET
I love arrow too but
He is being given plenty of court time to shoot- he’s just bricking a lot. Nelson says he needs to be on the floor all the time – so he will be. His PT, and Currys to a lesser extent are about right. Its the AR PT that is pathetic. The scary part is that when Beidrins and Turiaf comeback AR may have even less.
you're right
maybe arrow is better suited to a 6th man role – the pressures of playing starters minutes could be getting to him. hopefully after biedrins and ronny come back and share the C spot, vladrad can move back to the bench and AR can take his place in the starting lineup. hopefully, but probably not.
FIRE CHRIS COHAN
This is just ridiculous. I will not give this team ONE RED CENT until they find SOME organizational philosophy or direction. They have no idea what they’re doing.
BOYCOTT THE WARRIORS. STOP BUYING TICKETS AND MERCH
They say you're a pitcher; you sure aren't much of a dresser.
Buy tickets or Randolph gets it!
This FO is worse than Al Davis. I finally said it.
Rookie: "Why did you bench me?"
Nellie: "You're a rookie"
Read the same thing.
Reading MT and TK makes it a really depressing situation. Rowell is such a blow-hard. Cohan has screwed the fans over for so long, and I fear that just like a supernova when they disappear, Cohan/Rowell are gonna blow up on equally epic proportions.
Which leaves us, the fans left with nothing.
Warriors, Stupidest franchise in the league.
I told Randolph that Bill Russell would tell him to keep that ball in play and start the break.
RANDOLPH: "I know. But sometimes, you gotta let ‘em know."
(MT)
Maybe just maybe . . .
He can’t stay on the court very long cuz he’s always jumping into fouls trying to contest jump shots. Stay on the floor, Randolph!
by ChronicMasticator on Dec 15, 2009 6:37 PM PST reply actions
History Tells You...
This team will be a bottom feeder for the foreseeable future! AND don’t blame the players…
The problems are obvious, and they ain’t goin no where!
If you mean Cohan, Rowell, and/or Nellie: they’ll all be gone eventually. Nellie will almost certainly be gone after this season or next; and, at least according to Atma Bro, CohanRowell aren’t long for this team either.
And then we’ll all have to find someone new to whine about…
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Dec 15, 2009 8:11 PM PST up reply actions
Candidates (in random order)
1.Monta
2. Fitz
3.TK
4.Maggs
5. Our trainer
6. New owner
Rookie: "Why did you bench me?"
Nellie: "You're a rookie"
It's not in any order
My personal choice is the trainer.
Rookie: "Why did you bench me?"
Nellie: "You're a rookie"
If they want a superstar to play alongside Monta, trade AB, Ronny, and our lottery pick for Bosh!
I mentioned this in the fanshot but I’ll put it here. Tthis summer’s market is loaded with star players, the economy is bad, and the salary cap is going to get lowered.
We should pull this trade off and get Bosh to sign a 2-3 year extention for ~18-20 mil a year.
Sure we wont have any ‘true’ centers on the team, but I think given our system, BW, AR, and especially Bosh are definitely serviceable at the center spot. There are 98 minutes a game split between the PF and C spots. If we keep to a rotation of AR, BW, and Bosh that means they would each get 32 mins a game. If one or more get into foul trouble, or injured, we’d still have Vlad and we could easily resign Mikki.
Its true that something needs to be done, right now the only players we have that would start on a top10 NBA squad would be Monta, Buike, and Biedrins. We need to up our talent, making this switch for Bosh really improves our team.
Monta
Morrow/Curry
Azubuike
Ar/BW
Bosh
with Maggette as a 6th man is legit. Buike and Maggette would probably get the majoity of time at the wing positions, but Curry and Morrow will still probably get around 20 minutes a night, and if one of them gets their shot going they’d probably see more time.
Is Biedrins, Ronny, and our lottery pick enough to get Bosh outta Toronto? I know they love those foreign players!
I don't know much about contracts and cap space and whatnot
But I could actually go for this team if it were plausible. I’ll let someone else tell me it won’t work.
by GoldenStateGuerrero on Dec 15, 2009 7:41 PM PST up reply actions
Seems plausible
but I’d rather use someone other than Turiaf, a small player. Maybe Radmonovich? (they like their euro’s in toronto!)
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk
Years on a contract matter. Bosh is going to want more than 2-3 years. He hasn’t been waiting around for free agency to sign a 2-3 year extension…
by Missing Barry on Dec 15, 2009 10:39 PM PST up reply actions
I’m fed up. Whatever “source” put this rumor out is just getting the fans riled up and trying to keep the Warriors relevant. In other words, the more we talk about trade scenarios, the more money will go to Chris Cohan’s pocket. Bottom line.
I’m fed up. I want an all player mutiny. Everyone should choke each other, kick balls into the stands, throw chairs at refs, and drink the beer from courtside fans.
Confident Marco Belinelli supporter
I’m cool with this… but then all the players get traded, and Cohan has an excuse to bail him out and say that he’s trying to build a team, but they keep going crazy choking people out.. Meanwhile, he gets 12 guys from the D-League and smiles knowing that he once again screwed over his dumb loyal fans. “I’m Chris Cohan, Me got dis all figored out. deese guys will luv my team no matter what. They keep munney in my pants, and I don’t care what they think about me, becuz they luv my team, so secretsly, they luvs me.” – Sorry about the spelling mistakes. I’ve never heard Cohan talk, so I imagine him sounding like a half drunk Caveman. I mean, only a Caveman would think that he’s doing a good job with this team.
…. so i think a boycott from the fans would be smarter.
yo
remember the celts didnt blow up until they traded a load of young " potential " talent and picks to acquire allen and garnett believe me its worth letting go !
If we get guys like that for Curry and AR go ahead
Bosh and CP3! *Sarcasm
Rookie: "Why did you bench me?"
Nellie: "You're a rookie"
this is bullcrap
trading Randolph would be a HUGE mistake. all the moodiness is probably directly related to his minutes. he should be getting 40 minutes a night on this team AND starting, instead of 20 min off the bench. HE WOULD BE HAPPY STARTING AND GETTING MINUTES, different story than what’s happening now. i can understand Nellie/team benching him last year for his practice habits, to motivate him to work harder, because it worked….but there’s no reason to continue that bullshit into a 2nd year with such a fragile player, play him!!
he’s a power forward playing unprotected with no center to speak of right now. Randolph doesn’t fit as the lone big man on the floor, a position been in most of the season due to AB and Turiaf injuries. And i feel like he would make less mistakes if he had a big man protecting the rim on the floor with him. besides, defensive mistakes or lapses should not mean you trade a 20 year old potential superstar.
Get back AB and Turiaf, play Randolph the minutes he deserves, and I’m sorry but Ellis should stop crying about the talent around him, and realize it’s a young team…and stop yearning for a 2nd star right now. I’m not convinced a guard who can’t score around the rim vs. a team with good inside pressence should be the star of a team anyway.
the team is YOUNG, losing like this happens!! be patient and in two years they can make improvements as a cohesive unit and do some things. if they trade Randolph it would be a HUGE fucking mistake.
by Brickowski BOOM on Dec 16, 2009 9:42 AM PST reply actions
ESPN Reports
AR says he is open to being traded. Can’t say I blame him. Sheeesh. Just when I thought thinks couldn’t get worse. Now, even if we do keep him you wonder how he’ll react to the effort to ship him out. He seems more mature than last year but he’s still awful young.
Sorry no link to espn post – not sure how to do that
Brandan Wright is better than AR
If he can ever stay healthy, that is. In all this AR discussion, let’s not forget that Wright is on our team, even if he’s out for the year. Let’s face it, as Warrior fans, we often just want to see whatever young guys we have on the bench so that even if we lose, it will be a different flavor of losing.
Lots of guys show flashes of brilliance, but few of them become stars. Based on what he’s shown so far, AR is most likely one of the ones who doesn’t rise to a higher echelon—if he was that type of player, he would be working his butt off to improve flaws in his game rather than pouting. He’s a very young guy, so he could still turn it around, but he’s an up and down player even more than most Rookies even though he’s a 2nd year player (no matter what his age is).
@worldblee on Twitter.
Based on what he’s shown so far, AR is most likely one of the ones who doesn’t rise to a higher echelon—if he was that type of player, he would be working his butt off to improve flaws in his game rather than pouting.
What, exactly, has he shown? What makes you think he isn’t working his butt off to improve flaws in his game? It’s just unclear to me where these ideas start…if anyone has a link, by all means, educate me, but otherwise this seems like pure speculation into a subject you don’t know anything more about than I do, and let me tell you, when it comes to how hard Anthony Randolph is working on his game (relative to other NBA players, of course)….I don’t know anything on the subject.
by Missing Barry on Dec 16, 2009 9:27 PM PST up reply actions
from what i have seen he has shown mediocrity.
by dubtown on Dec 17, 2009 1:55 AM PST via mobile up reply actions
You can use a lot of words to describe AR but “mediocrity” is probably not one I would recommend. He has shown flashes of total brilliance tempered by full-on, palm to forehead mistakes like the several he made against Blair last night. Exciting? Aggravating? Yes. Mediocre? I don’t think so.
Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!
In what way? Have you seen how hard he does or doesn’t work in practice? Have you seen the fact that he does do productive things (like rebounding, blocking shots, getting steals) in games? You make a reference to what a great player “would” be doing, in terms of working on his game. Have you seen whether Randolph is doing this or not? I just don’t understand why people make claims on subjects we don’t know anything about….
by Missing Barry on Dec 17, 2009 7:59 AM PST up reply actions
I do not know how hard he works on practice to improve his game, but I could only make opinions of what I see when he plays during games. He certainly can be productive, but not any more than an average player.
i think he doesnt want to try his best under Don Nelson
everytime i see him make a little mistake, Nelly has a fit and gets in his face. I bet if you move Kings coach to the warriors will be over .500 ofcourse with out all the injuries
DUBfan4life!!!!
by BayAreaKidd650 on Dec 17, 2009 7:09 PM PST up reply actions

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