Are we too small at the SF?
We discuss a lot of team issues here. The PG situation I'm sick of discussing and I haven't heard this one yet; the SF position.
I'm inclined more and more to think that Nelson feels we have a problem there. Most people think we are loaded with SF & SG but are we? Or, do we have too many SG's who play SF?
Nelson said again last night that moving Jackson to the 2 would allow him to play a bigger up front. We have Goose at Center, and I don't believe for a second he still thinks Randolph will play SF. I think he admitted toward the end of the year that Randolph was more natural at the PF. So that brings us back to SF.
Jackson & Maggette at SF don't rebound enough. Jackson is tall enough but he likes to break out and get to the fast break too much. Maggette is big enough but kind of short for a SF at 6'6 when there are so many SG's taller than him. Buike rebounds well and actually does everything well but, is he really starter material? So other than him, do we have any true SF's? Crawford, Marrow, and Bellinelli are all 6'5" shooting guards.
With more and more teams playing 6'8"-9" SF's are we behind the evolution? Is this a larger issue than we realize? Have we over looked this problem? Your thoughts please.
This FanPost is a submission from a member of the mighty Golden State of Mind community. While we're all here to throw up that W, these words do not necessarily reflect the views of the GSoM Crew. Still, chances are the preceding post is Unstoppable Baby!
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final four teams this year
shows that having 6’9 + guys that can put the ball on the floor and rebound causes matchup nightmares. I’m talking about guys like Odom, Hedo, Melo. You’re right in that Jax and Mags is way overmatched by the sheer size of those guys. Unfortunately, there’s not too many of that kind of talent in the league.
LeBron James? I'm the only Ty Crane.
by misterjennings on Jun 10, 2009 11:12 AM PDT reply actions
Pierce seemed to be an acceptable championship MVP level SF at his height a year ago. Has the game progressed so much in one season?
even you have to admit
that if PP was 6’9" with the same skillset, he would destroy even greater than he already does.
LeBron James? I'm the only Ty Crane.
by misterjennings on Jun 10, 2009 12:42 PM PDT up reply actions
Paul Pierce is not exactly chopped liver
He’s a very, very talented player. You can’t just say “Well if PP was 3 inches taller” because that person is LBJ, who, ummm, could easily finish his career as one of the top 3 players ever to play the game. So, yes, if Paul Pierce was 3 inches taller but still had the same skillset and quickness, he’d be a better player than he is. However, I fail to see the point of discussing that. Paul Pierce, as is, was a NBA finals MVP as a SF. That is a simple fact. That refutes the claim that you need to be 6’9" to compete in the NBA as a SF now-a-days.
Even you have to admit that Paul Pierce was an NBA finals MVP last year.
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 10, 2009 3:25 PM PDT up reply actions
my bad I guess I worded it rather unclearly
I think PP is a beast. I admire his game because he’s not a superior athlete and is not taller or longer at his position either. But he uses his craftyness and knows how to draw contact and finish after it. I think he was every bit deserving of that finals MVP too. I agree with everything you say.
What I meant to convey was that PP would be even more dominant if he had the same skillset and athleticism with 3 more inches. I think he could be league MVP. My point was that 6’9 small forwards with the ability to put the ball on the floor makes things a lot easier for teams and they can create various matchup problems. I know a shorter skilled player can do the same or even better, but the height allows you to do some interestingly fun things on the floor.
You agree or no?
LeBron James? I'm the only Ty Crane.
by misterjennings on Jun 10, 2009 5:24 PM PDT up reply actions
What I meant to convey was that PP would be even more dominant if he had the same skillset and athleticism with 3 more inches. I think he could be league MVP.
What I meant to convey, and actually did convey, was that PP with 3 more inches was the league MVP last year. His name is LeBron James.
[Insert player here] would be even more dominant if he had the same skillset and athleticism with 3 more inches.
By jove, you’ve got it! If we just take the same players we have now and stick them on a medieval rack for a while, we’ll win the NBA championship!
Yeah, I agree that a taller player that can do the same exact things as a shorter player is inherently better… what, exactly is your point.
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 7:57 AM PDT up reply actions
The point to me seems to be: “having 6’9 + guys that can put the ball on the floor and rebound causes matchup nightmares”.
by Missing Barry on Jun 11, 2009 9:05 AM PDT up reply actions
Yep
And my point should seem to be something along the lines of “No ish sherlock. Tell me something I don’t know.”
The sky is blue, gravity exists, and tall basketball players are better than short basketball players. What, exactly is the point of starting a discussion about any of these things?
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions
Well if you guys just let it slide without responding, it wouldn’t be a discussion now, would it. Just a statement.
by Missing Barry on Jun 11, 2009 10:20 AM PDT up reply actions
Whatever
Fine. You guys win. Wax poetically about how if Paul Pierce was built like LBJ he’d be super awesome… I don’t care.
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions
pierce isnt that athletic
he just is an intangibles guy who knows how to score and lock down on his man. He and turk play very similar games.
Cause Havoc. Bring Nash in and 120 point games will be very expected
by montadaboss on Jun 12, 2009 10:36 AM PDT up reply actions
just depends on your definition of athletic. If you only mean how high he can jump and how fast he is at a dead sprint then no, he’s no the most athletic guy in the NBA. But there are a lot of different ways to look at athleticism (balance, body control, quick first step, quick second jump, maneuverability, etc)
Thing A
He isn't saying that
smaller SF’s are unable to compete. He is simply noting that taller SF’s with the skillsets of their shorter counterparts are at more of an advantage than the shorter SF’s.
Yadig?
by Goldenstarter on Jun 10, 2009 5:32 PM PDT up reply actions
ok…but an 8’ PG with the skillset of his shorter counterparts would probably be at more of an advantage than the shorter PGs too. Being tall helps is basketball, that was the point? Crazy.
Thing A
yes it is an obivious point
the topic of this discussion is whether we are too small at SF. My opinion was that if you look at certain successful teams this year, they featured SF’s that were taller, bigger than average. They were able to use that to their advantage in creating various mismatches. Is that the required recipe for success in the league? No. But it’s just a point about how much easier life is when you have a big that can dribble drive like a guard while still getting his fair share of rebounds.
LeBron James? I'm the only Ty Crane.
by misterjennings on Jun 11, 2009 5:59 AM PDT up reply actions
Jack has decent size for a SF, and to a degree I can see him doing this for us (as long as he’s more like the 3rd option instead of the 1st). His real problem is he doesn’t rebound enough for a SF.
by Missing Barry on Jun 11, 2009 7:11 AM PDT up reply actions
My opinion was that if you look at certain successful teams this year, they featured SF’s that were taller, bigger than better average.
There. Much better. We need good SFs, good PGs… scratch that, we need good basketball players and lots of them. If they’re of varying sizes, shapes, and skill sets even better. But duplicated sizes, shapes, an skill sets aren’t inherently bad either… as long as they’re good basketball players.
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 7:59 AM PDT up reply actions
I agree
So I will quote you on this one…
“No ish Sherlock.”
LeBron James? I'm the only Ty Crane.
by misterjennings on Jun 11, 2009 9:30 AM PDT up reply actions
Since you agree...
Please stop trying to suggest that we should rule out players based on a perceived lack of size.
Another thing, on your original post:
1. How many minutes has Odom played at SF?
2. Jax would be an excellent match up against Hedo.
So, of the final 4 teams, you’ve got two players at SF who are top 10 players in the entire league (one of whom is the best player), one player who could conceivably play SF but rarely, if ever, does, and one player against whom Jax would match up well. I’m not that worried. Walton, Vujacic, and Ariza get more PT at SF than Odom. Jax is better than each of them.
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 9:51 AM PDT up reply actions
Are we talking about PG’s? No
This topic is about whether or not we are undersized at the SF position…there was seemingly some confusion in regards to jennings’ post, so I was clarifying what I (and apparently, you) considered to be an obvious point.
P.S. Do you gain anything from using sarcasm that is detrimental to the civility of a conversation?
by Goldenstarter on Jun 11, 2009 10:46 AM PDT up reply actions
We're not undersized at SF
We’re undertalented. Having a taller player with the exact same skillsets as our current players would be beneficial, because tall players are inherently better than smaller players with identical skills. However, adding an even shorter player with significantly better skills than our current players would also be beneficial.
Frankly, sarcasm is funny to me (and Sam). If you don’t like it, just ignore it. We’re a-holes and we’re ok with it.
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 11:29 AM PDT up reply actions
Can’t ignore it because when a-holes (just quoting you again) fart, there’s no way for anyone in the vicinity to not hear or smell it.
Look, if a few Warrior fans wants to discuss some points that is absurdly obvious to you, then just heed your own advice and ignore it. Nobody is forcing you to troll.
LeBron James? I'm the only Ty Crane.
by misterjennings on Jun 11, 2009 12:48 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
This discussion is ment to solve our TEAM rebounding issue.
Let’s all lighten a bit. You’re splitting hairs.
Over the last few years one of our biggest problems is rebounding. You can say we don’t need a “taller” player to rebound and that we just need a “better” player, and you might be right, but if you don’t see the obvious connection between height and rebounding than you’ve a different set of issues. Commonly it’s safe for me to assume a guy 7 feet tall that I’m matched up against is going to get more rebounds than me. Sure boozer does a great job at his height and Harrington on the other end doesn’t, but for the most part, height goes hand in hand with rebounding. Don’t be ridiculous. If it would make you feel better, as you may be vertically challenged yourself, we can just say……we have lacked rebounding in the last few years in both the SF and PF positions and therefore should address these problems. In our case, discussion them. The PF seems to be taken care of with AR and BWRIGHT, so now we are talking SF because Nellie is moving Jackson to SG. Are we all okay now?
shows that having 6’9 + guys that can put the ball on the floor and rebound causes matchup nightmares. I’m talking about guys like Odom, Hedo, Melo. You’re right in that Jax and Mags is way overmatched by the sheer size of those guys. Unfortunately, there’s not too many of that kind of talent in the league.
Maybe it’s splitting hairs, but let’s look for players that actually solve weaknesses (rebound well, score well, etc.), not players that have attributes that somewhat correlate to solving those weaknesses (are tall, have “bulk,” have long arms).
Do we have rebounding issues? Yes, but we’ve also got lots of other issues. Rebounding would be less of a problem if we gave our opponents fewer opportunities to collect defensive rebounds (i.e. if we made more shots).
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions
Where we rank?
21st in FG% differential = -1.0
30th (last) in Reb differential = -5.1
Still think shooting % is a larger priority?
The two are connected. Miss fewer shots and you give your opponent fewer opportunities for defensive rebounds. Since defensive rebounds tend to be more common than offensive boards, better shooting narrows the rebound differential.
FG% differential isn’t a terribly meaningful figure. Raw FG% includes 2s and 3s, but doesn’t differentiate, even though there is quite clearly a difference on the scoreboard when one or the other goes in. Similarly, FG% doesn’t include another way to score on a possession: getting to the FT line.
The Warriors have many problems. Rebounding is one. Scoring is not as big of one, but it’s still an issue. Nellie’s teams have not, for the most part been terribly strong rebounding clubs, though the better ones have kept it closer. Nellie tends to favor guys who have offensive versatility. If they happen to be rebounders, all the better, but that’s not what he drives at first. He also doesn’t tend to favor guys with “bulk” or want guys to “bulk up”. I’m still waiting for the answer to the great question: what player who was ineffective because of his build became effective after ‘bulking up’? I do not expect Nellie to take a player based on bulk or size. It doesn’t seem to be in his nature.
What are you really saying? Yes, everything is connected, thank you. Less missed shots = less rebounds. Our team FG% is not that bad comparitively and our rebounds are. See my recent post: Truth. I responded to your size comment on your other post. Again, what are you reall saying? They are also connected. I don’t have the time to dig out the info for you, but can say that two guys of the same height, and jumping ability, the stronger/heaver one will get more boards. For the most part. if you play ball at all you know what i’m saying? Down on the block it’s a big boys game. Case and point? Shaq.
Our team FG% is not that bad comparitively and our rebounds are.
The Warriors shot 86 FGs last year, let’s round that up to 100 so that percentages translate easier. That one percentage point lead to one extra rebound being available when our opponents grab 75% of defensive rebounds. If you flip that around and give us a +1 FG%, that’s 1.5 rebounds that our opponents don’t get… and 4 more points per game. The point of pointing at the connections between everything is not to say “everything is connected” but to point out that we shouldn’t just sell out to fix one thing with a singular focus. If we can get players that make more baskets, that will help with the rebounding AND scoring. We should target the best players available to improve our team, not just “better rebounders” or “better scorers” or “better defenders”. This should be obvious, but doesn’t seem to be to a large number of people on GSoM… at least in the theoretical sense.
if you play ball at all you know what i’m saying? Down on the block it’s a big boys game. Case and point? Shaq.
I do play ball, and being big helps, a lot, but i’ve pretty handily boxed out bigger players. Technique is at least as important as being big.
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 12, 2009 5:58 AM PDT up reply actions
I never eluded that we should only focus on one area for improvement. I simply eluded to prioritizing our largest deficiencies. Putting the economy to scale. IMO focusing our the bigger issues is the best way to quickly improve the team the fastest.
Thank god doctors don’t cut toe nails in the emergency room before they check your blood pressure. Get it? When there is serious bleeding, first you find out where and why. Again rebounding and defense are our biggest deficiencies and should warrant the most attention.
Not trying to be an a-hole about it, but...
You mean “alluded”…
When there is serious bleeding, first you find out where and why.
Exactly, and maybe surgery isn’t the best way to solve the bleeding problem. Maybe a change in diet and/or antibiotics. It may not be the most direct way to solve the bleeding, but it’s be the best.
Again rebounding and defense are our biggest deficiencies and should warrant the most attention.
While this is true, they’re not so out of line from our other problems that we should overlook the other problems. It’s like our taxes: Let’s not overlook social security and medicare at the expense of fixing the economy or balancing the budget. We’ve got lots of big problems, focusing on one at a time (even if it’s the biggest one) is just letting the others get worse.
Bottom line: We need better basketball players.
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 12, 2009 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions
Agreed. Some of our young guys will get better and if we can draft or trade for “better players” that should also help. Better players is a all encompassing term. better players will shoot better, rebound better, play defense better, and be better leaders.
However FG% as a team or individual does not always equal better teams. The Suns for instance, although better than us, average 3.7% better FG% than their oppents do(placing them 2nd in the league in FG% differential), yet they still missed the playoffs. The Suns also place 4th in Assist differential per game at 2 more than their oppents and placed 3rd in assist per game at 23.2, yet still missed the playoffs.
Although FG% is a crucial part of the game it should not be the primary concern for Suns, niether the Warriors.
You're picking and choosing your statistics
In rebounding differential:
Atlanta was -1.9 and still made the playoffs
OKC was +1.5 and still missed the playoffs
Portland lead the league at +5.4 and still got booted in the first round
Minnesota was still pretty terrible despite being +0.8
Miami was -2.4 but still managed to make the playoffs
My point? Would I like to be a better rebounding team? Absolutely, but not at the expense of things we do better unless it makes us a better team overall.
If we could score on 75% of our possessions, I wouldn’t care that we gave up 125 points per game and had a rebounding differential of -10, as long as we scored more than our opponents. If we could grab a center that rebounded and defended horribly, but scored 30 points a game on 80% shooting, I’d be ecstatic. If we grabbed Ben Wallace in his prime, it’d be good too. I’m not advocating rocket science, I’m advocating not saying “we need rebounding” or “we need a pg” or “we need to play better defense”… we need better players. Let’s evaluate players that are good at rebounding or defense or whatever, but if they’re not good players, they’re not good players and they won’t help our team. Again, not rocket science.
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 12, 2009 1:06 PM PDT up reply actions
“My point? Would I like to be a better rebounding team? Absolutely, but not at the expense of things we do better unless it makes us a better team overall”
Again, you lose me. When did I say we should focus on rebounding at the expenese of what we already do better? I never even eluded to that. I’m not even arguing that. You previously said, “we shouldn’t just sell out to fix one thing with a singular focus” I never said that either. I don’t know where you are coming up with these things. And frankly your making for a horrible conversation. Like talking to my GF, you think i’m implying things. AGAIN, i never said that we should neglect everything else. What I said was that defense and rebounding are the Warriors biggest issues and should comand the most attention.
I sense your a little slow today, I have those days too, so let me explain further my comments: If we are able to improve on our largest dificeincies while just maintaing everything else we would dramtically improve as a team. Have a nice day. I’m going to try to talk to someone else now.
Again
Elude – Get away from somebody
Allude – make a reference to something
Please try to work on this.
Where we rank?
21st in FG% differential = -1.0
30th (last) in Reb differential = -5.1Still think shooting % is a larger priority?
This implies that getting players that are better rebounders are more of a “priority” or that a player’s rebounding ability should be considered more of a “priority” than they’re scoring ability.
There should only be a “priority” on better players, not whether or not they’re better at specific skills.
If we are able to improve on our largest dificeincies while just maintaing everything else we would dramtically improve as a team.
If we are able to improve our better skills at a comparable level while maintaining our largest deficiencies (again, the site will underline in red the incorrectly spelled words, please try to pay attention), we would dramatically improve as a team.
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 12, 2009 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions
Not nessarily so. If you score more points and continue to give up points at the same rate then it is a net wash. FG% and defensive FG% allowed would commonly go hand in hand without any defensive improvement. Further more it is easier to improve on our larger deficencies than it is to improve on something we already quiet well. Simply greater room/ range for improvement. If you don’t get it by now you never will. Again, I understand they’re are MANY ways to improve as a team. I never said we shouldn’t.
Grammar jabs I take as a lack of better substance.
Another thought on “better players”. Unless they are significantly better than what we already have, they will make little impact in winning games. Mullin did a great job aquiring good talent. The problem is that we have too many duplicates at the same position or that bring the same skill set to the table. Basketball being a comlex sport requires a balanced team to be succesfull. It may be easier to address a lack of a particular skill set than upgrading what we already have.
“getting better players” that can do the things we currently don’t do well, i.e. rebounding should be easier and warrant more attention than simply getting better players that do what we already do well. Both will help, sure but HAVING A TEAM RANK LAST IN ANY PARTICULAR AREA IF NOT ADDRESSED WILL NOT BE SUCCESSFULL.
Every team that ranks last in any one particular team stat has a horrible win/ loss record. These are the leagues worst teams. Maybe they have better players at some areas but they have at least one major deficiency and that whole sinks there boat. There is not one playoff team that ranked last in any team stat.
Case and point? D. Rodman.
There’s more to rebounding than size, otherwise Frye would be a better rebounder, or Harrington. Yes, it helps to be bigger and stronger, but that’s no revelation nor absolute dictum. Size, knack, skill all play a role.
Hello friend
You are 100% correct when you said ’yes it helps to be bigger and stronger"
Your 2 cents were already covered in the orginal thread, Jackson being the case and point. Although good size, he doesn’t rebound well and will play SG in 09-10.
If you keep reading, buike and Maggette do rebound at an average rate but, does their lack of height hurt us defensively at the SF position?
I think that the size of Maggette’s desire to play defense hurts more than does the distance between the top of his head and the bottom of his feet.
Azubuike is not the most naturally talented defender on the planet and he can have problems against taller guys, but he strikes me as someone who will play up or down to the level of the rest of his team. I suspect if the team was “committed to defense” he’d fit in, not being the ace, but you wouldn’t notice him getting lit up. On a poor defensive team, he’s as lost as everyone else. I don’t know quite what I base this on, but it’s my gut instinct for what that’s worth.
quaker? you don't sound like one ...
don’t fret, I was able to read your “whole” original thread, as long and developed a fanpost as it was … sorry you were put off by my 2 cents as you described it, but was providing a counter example to your reference to Shaq in order to reinforce (what should be) the obvious. Since I do make an effort not to be redundant in these threads, I checked your elocution regarding Jackson:
Jackson & Maggette at SF don’t rebound enough. Jackson is tall enough but he likes to break out and get to the fast break too much.
There’s not any reference to the skill of rebounding, hence my reference to Rodman.
… does their lack of height hurt us defensively at the SF position?
As for your question, friend, No, I don’t think either Jackson or KAz are a significant defensive liability at the SF – they’re two of our better defenders. In fact their defensive prowess wouldn’t make it into the top five problem areas we have as a team so I’m not sure why you focused on this particular sliver.
The plan to put Monta at PG allows Nelson to have both KAz and Jax in the starting five if he chooses, and likely would immediately make us a better defensive team without factoring in any other change. KAz is a superior defender to Crawford, Maggette (already covered above), or anyone else Nelson could mix and match into the starting lineup with Monta & Jax. As others have noted aptly, between the two Jackson would likely be assigned the more difficult wing assignment on defense regardless of SG/SF.
Your original post regarding rebounding, and size, is a more prominent issue, albeit an obvious one to anyone who passes through here even occasionally. Again, while size helps in rebounding, that’s hardly a revelation – the skill to rebound must be pre-eminent.
case and point
case in point not case and point
by Rob Kurz blocks Yao Ming on Jun 12, 2009 2:14 PM PDT up reply actions
At this point the SG/SF positions are one of our strengths. How about we focus on what we really need, a pass first ball handler and a bruiser down low.
WARRIORS BASKETBALL!!! Patiently waiting for a title...I may be waiting for a long time...
SF is not one of our strengths...
Having Buike, at 6’5 be our staring small forward is not a long-term solution. If Nelson is determined to have Ellis play PG, SF may be our biggest need on the team.
by randolphforpresident on Jun 10, 2009 6:31 PM PDT up reply actions
This is not new to a lot of us
SF is one of our weekest positions, we have 2s trying to play the 3 and 4s that people want to play the 3 but no true SF, getting a stud at that position would solve a lot of our woes, however we still need to pick the BPA in the draft and work from there.
People have tried to bring this up from time to time but usually get shouted out by the “we need a PG” mob.
There's a party in my mind.
And I wish that I was there.
correction:
getting a stud at that at least one position would solve a lot of our woes.
by jae on Jun 10, 2009 11:32 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
True, I was just trying to stay on topic.
and I think SF is our weakest position (and for us thats saying something).
There's a party in my mind.
And I wish that I was there.
As soon as I read the post I knew I'd find you here saying exactly that
Though I must admit, I’m surprised that nobody’s tried to refute that claim by expansively discussing Maggettes suckiness.
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 10, 2009 3:26 PM PDT up reply actions
Maggs’s suckitude comes in multiple forms (e.g. passing and playing defense only slightly more often than Rush Limbaugh appears compassionate and intelligent) but an inability to rebound is not one.
That's surprising coming from you
I know you dislike everything Maggette, but I would have thought that as the token republican you’d be at least partially inclined to defend your brother in politics’ honor…
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 8:01 AM PDT up reply actions
But he’s doing us a all a huge favor by shepherding his backward-thinking party towards extinction.
Liberals feel unworthy of their possessions. Conservatives feel they deserve everything they’ve stolen. — Mort Sahl
;-)
Thing 1
by Sleepy Freud on Jun 11, 2009 1:20 PM PDT up reply actions
See
Sarcasm can be fun!
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by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 11:31 AM PDT up reply actions
After reading Adam's blog this morning on the Merc..
Im open to more possibilities to getting a SF via the draft, although not sure how good our chances are for landing a ramon sessions to fill our PG needs via free agency as he mentioned.
both Louisville sluggers look like a good fit for SF, Clark & T will. DeRozan would be a tweener SF , or just a long SG, but he’s a str8 baller.
Maggette and Jackson are fine sizewise at the 3. I see Azubuike as a 2. Jack would be a perfect fit for it if he wasn’t such a bad rebounder.
not sure when kaz morphed into a sf, i always had him pegged as a shooting guard. is this only since nellie announced next year’s backcourt?
According to 82games.com
Last year Buike played small forward 34% of the Warriors’ total minutes last year, second only to Jack at 35%. I don’t know how much stock to put in those numbers, as there’s a lot of blurring between the positions, especially with Nellie.
by ivanbe on Jun 10, 2009 12:32 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
azubuike's overall game
leans to the wing, though his original position was guard. he’s not very adept at making plays off his dribble, seems more boom or bust. he’s strong enough to defend a lot of forwards, but the quicker 2’s can reduce him to chasing and covering up. the frequency of his starts reinforces the team’s stasis in purgatory with a roster of strong reserves made into inconsistent or flawed starters.
oRwell made that big investment in m’gette when the team would be served better with someone more like battier or even artest, who aren’t any taller—better defense, ball movement, speed to contribute on fast breaks. if they package m’gette with the #7 and move down, ending up with someone like Williams or Johnson, it wouldn’t sadden me.
Jack would be a perfect fit for it if he wasn’t such a bad rebounder.
Being an efficient scorer/shooter would help a bunch as well. I don’t think anyone who shoots as often but as inaccurately as Jax can be a perfect fit, unless you significantly stretch your definition of “perfect”.
by jae on Jun 10, 2009 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
Well I was ignoring those things because those are more a reflection of him as a player – whether he was 6’3 or 6’9 they would still be his shortcomings. I was more commenting on his stature being a good fit for the 3, except that 3’s are expected to rebound more than he does.
by Missing Barry on Jun 10, 2009 12:34 PM PDT up reply actions
3's are also expected to score more efficiently than he does
So are 1s, 2s, 4s, and 5s. Could he rebound better? Absolutely, and it would improve the Warriors performance. He could also improve in other ways… As JAE has pointed out many times, rebounding rates don’t change over time. I’d interpret that as more of a “reflection of him as a player” than scoring efficiency, which you can actually improve upon (by deciding “Hey, next time we’re on a fast break, I’m not going to shoot a 3 pointer”). It’s not easy to change, but it’s possible. Rebounding doesn’t seem to be even possible.
You have been DFiBrillated.
by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 10, 2009 3:30 PM PDT up reply actions
For what it’s worth, I’m gathering the data to do a longitudinal survey of every player since the inception of the 3 point shot to see how exactly rebound rates, shooting efficiency, etc. actually develop (or don’t develop) over time. Unfortunately, after I started the task, I realized just how daunting it actually was and decided that I should make sure my longitudinal stats are actually sufficient and appropriate before pushing through the numbers. I’m hoping to see just how stable different stats are, to see at what point what you see is what you’ve got, and if all goes well to see how time in the league vs chronological age affects these things. That last one is a bit of a problem given the very small sample size of guys who have entered the league at age 18 (12 players) and 19 (48 more) and how few of them have played long enough to get to a point where we might see the crest of their improvement.
But EVERYONE’s expected to score more efficiently than he does, whereas his expected rebounding rate changes by position. So you may not like why I chose to only focus on that one stat while ignoring the rest for my perfect fit statement, but I did, and I have a reason…so take that!
by Missing Barry on Jun 10, 2009 4:39 PM PDT up reply actions
I like your sense of humor
Or, at least I think (hope) it’s humor.
In any case, I’ll live with Jax being a poor rebounder and a poor shooter if he can be:
1. A positive team leader
2. Stop nagging the refs instead of getting back in transition D
3. Play good perimeter defense
4. Stop trying to do everything and let people who are more equipped, do what needs to be done
If he does these things, his shooting percentage will go up, his FGA will go down, and his negative offensive effect will diminish… and he should have more energy to put into defense, etc.
You have been DFiBrillated.
by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 8:07 AM PDT up reply actions
Yeah, it was humor with the purpose of ending the discussion because it was way off the original topic of how Jack’s size makes him a fit for the 3. I agree with all your points. As much as we bash on Jack, he’s a good player, but he’s miscast as the #1 or 2 option on a team, and is much more valuable as a #3/#4 option.
by Missing Barry on Jun 11, 2009 9:08 AM PDT up reply actions
Nah
Maggette is a little too small/lacks passing skills/doesn’t play tough defence, and Jackson simply isn’t athletic enough/doesn’t rebound well enough to be a good SF. I think what we really need is a tough-defending, athletic SF and thats why I’m pulling for DeRozan.
by randolphforpresident on Jun 10, 2009 6:35 PM PDT up reply actions
Well based on watching 10+ USC games last year, including the tournament
there’s no way that DeRozan starts over Buike or Maggs at the SF position, and there is no way he starts over Jack at SG
Most likely
whoever we pick at 7 wont play much at all
I miss Mitch Richmond. Good thing the Warriors management knew better. Trading for Owens was the start of a magical period of Warriors renaissance….oh wait…
by Missing Barry on Jun 10, 2009 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions
Three seasons with Richmond:43, 37, and 44 wins.
Three seasons with Owens: 55, 34, and 50 wins. Owens missed more than half of the 34 win season.
Oh come on. I’m sure you know better than to use a team’s wins as evidence of a players contributions.
Question, I see to remember Billy Owens as a PF, and given his lack of 3 point shooting, it seems my memory fits. But basketball reference calls him a guard-forward. Did he play more of a small forward/wing type position?
by Missing Barry on Jun 10, 2009 1:52 PM PDT up reply actions
Owens played well in those seasons and the team won more games. If people want to say that Owens wasn’t as good a player individually as Richmond, they’re probably right. But the drop off with Mitch to Sarunas and Elie and Askew filling in his minutes wasn’t dramatic, and Owens at PF (which is where he played most of the time he was here) more than off-set that. And the notion that trading Richmond led to the team immediately falling apart is just plain false. The team got better.
Run TMC (which was really just two seasons, only one of which with a winning record) holds nostalgic memories for many. It was exciting and the personalities were bold, but those teams weren’t really that good.
“And the notion that trading Richmond led to the team immediately falling apart is just plain false.”
Don Nelson came in, had a couple of years everyone remembers fondly with an undersized uptempo team, and then broke that up and started shipping players out. Some of the moves might have been for the better of the team. You make a reasonable argument regarding Richmond/Owens. Some of the moves certainly weren’t. Eventually, after part a poor season where he didn’t get along with a young and very talented player, he was gone and so began the Warriors decline to becoming the most pathetic franchise in the NBA. Now…I’m not saying round 2 is upon us, but the similarities (and fact that Cohen is still in charge of things) do worry me…
by Missing Barry on Jun 10, 2009 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions
So what I’m saying is the memory of that trade sticks with me as the first step down a very dark path, even if the individual trade wasn’t a bad one…
by Missing Barry on Jun 10, 2009 2:29 PM PDT up reply actions
I see parallels between Run TMC and We Believe
2 fun seasons, a trade of a well liked veteran for a draft pick followed by team improvement, followed by… we’ll see.
You have been DFiBrillated.
by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 10, 2009 3:34 PM PDT up reply actions
poor Mitch.
yah they did trade mitch for Owens, I had forgotten. But Billy O was a heck of a SF though, 15ppg and good for about 8 boards for the 3 or so years he was a warrior.
too bad we traded him away to get Rony Seikley. That whole webber getting traded/ tom gugliota/trading Owens, spelled future warrior melt down for years to come.
What you guys think
1st choice: If we dont trade down draft Brandon Jennings
2nd choice If we do trade down trade with the Bulls at #16. We should do a blockbuster deal with them. Send #7 pick Corey Maggette Marco Belinelli Kelenna Azubuike and Brandan Wright and we should get #16 pick Luol Deng (I heard that he is on the trading block) Kirk Hinrich and Tim Thomas. With the #16 pick we should draft Terrence Williams. If we don’t draft him, we should trade our pick for a 2010 first round pick (my advice, trade the pick to a weak team so we could have a high pick next year.)
So, which choice is better??
The Bay is the place to be!!
by Mashed Potatoes on Jun 10, 2009 4:33 PM PDT reply actions
I don’t see what the Terrence Williams hype is about. He seems like a bit of a sh*thead to me, and unlike someone like…Brandon Jennings, I don’t see anyone in Williams camp backing him up…
by Missing Barry on Jun 10, 2009 4:36 PM PDT up reply actions
1) He was the best player on one of the best teams in the nation this year.
2) was a stat stuffer in one of the better divisions in ncaa ball (unlike the stats your boy jennings put up)
3) didn’t realize there was a strong hype behind him, please explain. at least not like Jennings
4) you’re right he does seem like a sh*thead but, a lot of professional atheletes are.
Lately I’ve seen a lot of comments that somehow involve us ending up with Terrence Williams, so that’s what the hype comment was about. Doesn’t shoot a high percentage. Didn’t really score very prolifically at all, looking at the stats, though he did put up good stats in different areas (rebounding, assists). Did seem to improve substantially every year. Draft sites don’t seem to have him all that high. I dunno, I’m just not seeing a whole lot for us. Maybe some wing defense, which we could definitely use…
by Missing Barry on Jun 10, 2009 6:39 PM PDT up reply actions
If he’s a good rebounder and can distribute the ball as well as he can, that’s a plus. It seems like it’s more likely that a guy will learn ways to score later in his career than he’ll pick up the rebounding and passing, though the scoring seems to be what gets a guy drafted. It’s not a given, and if Williams remains a low percentage shooter, he’ll have problems and won’t last long, but he could be a very good value for someone taking him later in the draft, a team where he won’t be pushed into service and try to do too much too soon, which generally translates to “shoots more often than he should”.
Yeah, and it’s not that I even think he’ll be a bad player or anything. Just don’t see why some people are creating these scenarios that ultimately result in us drafting him like we really want him when it seems to me he replicates some things we already have. He probably won’t be able to distribute at the NBA level for a couple of years, it’s not like he was averaging 9 assists a game or anything, just a lot for a SG in college. Not to mention that based on draft rankings I’ve seen, it seems like he’s a substantial downgrade from the type of prospect we can get at #7.
by Missing Barry on Jun 10, 2009 7:11 PM PDT up reply actions
I'll let you all draw your own conclusions, here it is:
So here’s a waste of my time on the leagues SF’s. It appears that Mags and Buike actually rebound at decent rate, but their size(height) in comparison may be used to explain our lack of defensive efficiency
GS: Azubuike: 6-5, 5
Maggette 6-6, 5.5
ATL: Marvin Williams: 6-9, 6.3
BOS: Paul Pierce: 6-7, 5.6
B Cats: Gerald Wallace: 6-7, 7.8rb/pg
Bulls: Deng: 6-9, 6
Cavs: James: 6-8, 7.6
Dallas: Howard 6-7, 5.1
Denver: Melo: 6-8, 6.8
Detriot: Prince: 6-9, 5.8
Houston: Artest: 6-7, 5.2
Pacers: Granger: 6-8, 5.1
Clippers: Thorton: 6-8, 5.2
Lakers: Ariza 6-8, 4.3
Grizzlies: Gay 6-8, 5.5
Heat: Jones/beasley 6-8 5.4
Bucks: Jefferson 6-7, 4.6
Nets: Carter: 6-6, 4.7
Hornets: Peja: 6-10, 4.3
Knicks: Chandler: 6-8, 5.4
Oklahoma: Durant: 6-9, 6.5
Orlando: Turkoglu: 6-10, 5.3
76ers: Iguodala: 6-6, 5.3
Phoenix: Barnes: 6-7, 5.5
Portland: Outlaw: 6-9, 4.1
Sac: Nocioni: 6-7, 4.8
Spurs: Finely: 6-7, 3.3
Raptors: Marion: 6-7, 8.5
Jazz: Kirilinko: 6-9, 4.8
Wiz: Butler: 6-7, 6.2
Those numbers are all “per game”, a rather meaningless comparison given that not all those players played the same number of minutes.
your right. It is worthless without equal minutes played. I dont’ know where to find those stats already equated or I would have posted them. I had the same thought as I did the exercise. However, I think that the height comparison speaks volumes and damn, Marions numbers stand out. How much better defensively and rebound wise be with him at the SF. That would be a fast, defensive, rebounding shot blocking, stealing, team. Sign and trade for Crawford?
i think iguodala is a SG
i thot the sixers line up was
1. Miller
2. Iguodala
3. Young
4. Brand/Green/Evans- due to Brands injury
5. Dalembert
and young averaged 5 rpg, which is actually less than Iguodala, but nice work. And not only to Maggs and Bukie rebound with them, maybe with the acception and Artest and maybe Melo, they’re the strongest players on that list.
and james
how i could i forget about LeBron, he is also stronger than maggs and bukie
With Randolph at PF and Biedrins at C
you won’t need a mega rebounder at SF. Before, yes because we played so much small ball, Azubuike gets 4 rpg, Maggette gets 5 rpg at PF doesn’t cut it. Jackson should be the SF, period. On any other team there is no discussion, Jack would be the starting SF. At SG we’re gonna need ball handling if you’re gonna play with Monta. That’s why Evans, Holiday, Harden these guys fit perfectly.
Kelenna got 5 RPG (7.5RP48) and Corey got 5.5RPG (~8.5RP48).
But you’re pretty spot on. I like Harden and hope he falls… though his no-show in both tourneys are suspect. With Jax and another “SG that can spot at PG” to go along with Monta, we’re pretty set. Also, adding Terrence Williams at SF as another player who’s played “point forward” in the past, we’d be pretty good on “guys who can pass”. Again, I’m still hoping that having some other options on offense will lead to Jax not thinking he needs to do everything and he’ll stop trying to do too much. Wishful thinking? Maybe.
You have been DFiBrillated.
by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 8:14 AM PDT up reply actions
But
Jackson as a starting 3 with Randolph and Biedrins is not going to cut it defensively. The Warriors are going to need more bulk or athleticism at the 3 with that combo down low. Jackson is better suited for the 2 with the team’s personnel. Buike is no 3, and Maggette really isn’t either. Remember that their rebounding stats are inflated because they play for the Warriors. We need a 3 that can guard the Turkoglus and Carmelo Anthonys of the league.
by eastbayglory on Jun 11, 2009 8:43 AM PDT up reply actions
“We need a 3 that can guard the Turkoglus and Carmelo Anthonys of the league.”
I don’t see where that translates into “Not Stephen Jackson”. Jack seems at his best against guys a little bit bigger and slower. Look what he did to Dirk. Since Jack doesn’t have the greatest foot speed himself, guarding smaller, quicker 2’s scares me and I much prefer him out on the 3’s. Though as I’ve said multiple times, Jack’s rebounding issues are worse that the 3.
by Missing Barry on Jun 11, 2009 9:10 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Agreed
Jack would be our SG on offense and our SF on Defense, unless of course we’re playing a team like the Lakers, where the 2 is better than the 3.
Just because you’re listed as a SG, doesn’t mean you have to play it on both ends, or even for the whole game.
by myk on Jun 11, 2009 3:33 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Jack would be our SG on offense and our SF on Defense
What does that even mean?
You have been DFiBrillated.
by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 3:56 PM PDT up reply actions
Yeah, that does need clarification. I’m just basically saying that SG/SF doesn’t really matter on this team. When you have Jack/Buike as the wing players, or Jack/Maggs, or Maggs/Buike, it doesn’t matter who is technically the SG or the SF. Basically the better defender will guard the better player between SG/SF on the other team. Like against the Lakers, Jack would guards Kobe, Buike on Ariza. Nuggets, Jack on Melo, Buike on Jones/Smith. That comment was just specific to when we play teams like Denver and Orlando.
Balance, I think you're onto something
Really, this whole time a lot of us have operated under the assumption that the Dubs would concede the fact that Ellis is a 2 and would go for a true point in this draft. But my impression is that they’re sticking to the Ellis at point experiment and want to pair him with Jackson in the backcourt. If this is the case, paired with the fact that the future at the 4 and 5 are set with Randolph and Biedrins, the SF position is ultimately the one with the opening for an impact player. Buike is really a 2 and Maggette just doesn’t board or play D enough to be a legit starting 3 for a contender. My guess is that we’ve all been looking the wrong direction, and will be really surprised with DeRozan is the pick. The thinking will be that a core of Ellis, DeRozan, Randoph, and Biedrins will be the best complement of players of moving forward. i wouldn’t be surprised
i wouldn't be
surprised if they go with a 3 either…
except by the name of Terrence Williams
LeBron James? I'm the only Ty Crane.
by misterjennings on Jun 11, 2009 9:35 AM PDT up reply actions
The thinking will be that a core of Ellis, DeRozan, Randoph, and Biedrins will be the best complement of players of moving forward.
i assume you meant “group” & not “complement”, but this kind of leads me to another point; that “core” of players probably wouldn’t complement each others games very well. with the ability to zone, you could pretty much pack the paint & dare them to shoot outside while not being hurt by the 3 pt line.
even Monta in 07-08 was only a 43.9% jump shooter from mid-range.
He made an interesting choice to scrap the 3-pointer from his arsenal, only attempting 52 all year, and instead focused on knocking down midrange jumpers — he took nearly twice as many as a year earlier and improved to a respectable 43.9 percent from that distance.
Randolph & Biedrins also don’t really complement each other size wise. ideally, you want one big guy w/ bulk (Kendrick Perkins or Bynum/Odom) and one guy with quickness (KG/Gasol) for match up purposes. though, obviously, that ‘ideal’ is trumped by the need to get the best players out on the court as much as possible.
by the evil monkey on Jun 11, 2009 11:51 AM PDT up reply actions
It’s not the most common use of the word, nor is it perfect grammar (I think), but it’s a valid use of the word “complement.”
http://www.thefreedictionary.com/complement
you want one big guy w/ bulk (Kendrick Perkins or Bynum/Odom) and one guy with quickness (KG/Gasol) for match up purposes.
Doesn’t Turiaf count? We’re not the Lakers or Celtics, we’re the Warriors. We run up and down the floor with mismatches galore.
You have been DFiBrillated.
by Dubs fan in Boston on Jun 11, 2009 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions
doh. i think i’ve actually heard it used like that – didn’t think to consider that the “whole” would be the “core” (& not the 5 starters).
on Turiaf, i was assuming w/ Randolph & Biedrins already on the court that Turiaf would likely be on the bench.
by the evil monkey on Jun 11, 2009 6:52 PM PDT up reply actions
Dude
I’m not saying that it’s necessarily the best group, but I’m just wondering what Nelly might be thinking. Of course, the 3 point shooting would be suspect with that group, and there isn’t much bulk up front. But we already have what we have (Ellis, Randolph, Biedrins), so there’s no point for you to belabor the point that Randolph and Biedrins are not the ‘ideal’ combo.
Who do you think would be the best complement with what we have then? Ellis, Randolph, Biedrins=skinny. So my guess is that they’d want to add a physical specimen-DeRozan or Hill. Those two don’t shoot 3’s, but if our thinking about team-building is as deep as a balanced stat sheet then we’re totally screwed!! My point: just because they don’t shoot 3’s doesn’t mean they wouldn’t be great complements to an Ellis, Randolph, Biedrins core.
by eastbayglory on Jun 11, 2009 2:50 PM PDT up reply actions
Dude I’m not saying that it’s necessarily the best group, but I’m just wondering what Nelly might be thinking.
never said you were. if you read my 1st sentence, i said that your sentence (which i misinterpreted, sorry) lead me to a thought on how those players would complement each others games’. and that those 4 collectively don’t complement each other well on the offensive side of the court.
Who do you think would be the best complement with what we have then?
like DFiB posted, i actually think Ronny better complements Andris’ & Randolph defensively (though Ronny probably doesn’t fit the definition of a “core” type player).
as to a SF in the draft, i don’t know that any of the top SF’s really complement who we have or even qualify as “core” players.
My point: just because they don’t shoot 3’s doesn’t mean they wouldn’t be great complements to an Ellis, Randolph, Biedrins core.
if you have 4 guys on the court who don’t really space the floor well, (with zone defenses) you could basically just put at least 4 defenders around the paint and turn that team into a bunch of jump shooters. (consider in 07-08 that Monta is a 43.9% jump shooter & an incredible 63.8% shooter in the immediate basket area (which is better than Andris’ league leading 07-08 FG% – i assumed all of Andris’ shots came within the immediate basket area)).
the only reason teams don’t do this regularly is the threat of the 3 point line where 35% is like shooting 53% from 2 pt land (only two teams shot below 35% from 3 pt land last season – Washington & Philly). even a 30% 3 pt shooter is effectively shooting 45% from 2 (which is better than Monta’s vaunted mid range jump shooting % in 07-08).
thing is, with those 4 as your core players, the opposition doesn’t really have to worry about the 3 pt shot. when those 4 are in the game together, play zone, pack the paint and take away driving lanes, post ups, pick n’ roll and basically let them shoot mid range jumpers. at best those jumpers are falling at 40-44% probably more likely in the 30s.
so what you end up with is that oftentimes, (whoever the coach is by that time) will be forced to sit 1 of their “core” players in favor of guys who don’t clog up the lanes, b/c all 4 of those players need space to work that the other 3 don’t necessarily provide.
by the evil monkey on Jun 11, 2009 9:30 PM PDT up reply actions
Good responses by all.
I enjoy the different opinions. I’ll try to dig up the same list with rebounds per 35min. That might tell a different story. I think in the least this exercise shows why Jackson struggles at the SF position and why we’ve had rebounding trouble in the past with Ellis, Crawford, and Jackson, playing the 123 or BD substituted for Crawford the year before.
A healthy dose of Randolph and Wright this year should help out Immensely (with a healty Goose at Center).
Conclusion: If Ellis does not work out a PG we are going to have to trade either Jackson or Ellis.
Jackson doesn’t rebound well enough to play SF and if Monta can’t play point guard then jackson and monta will be fighting for SG.

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