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The Shaq Effect?

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Whether or not a Stoudemire to GSW deal is or is not on the table, there's been much discussion about what exactly Amar'e brings with him.  We know STAT can score, but will he be up to the task on the glass?  Sending Biedrins out means sending out our best rebounder, one of the best in the league.  Would Stoudemire be able to step up the plate?  Given a difference of more than 5 rebounds per 36 in Andris's favor, it seems like replacing him in the lineup with a lesser rebounder would only exacerbate our Warriors' woes on the glass.  Stoudemire's 7.9 per 36 is extremely underwhelming for a guy expected to man major minutes at either the 4 or 5.  It is also the lowest mark of his career, one where he has shown the ability to be an above average rebounder in the past. What happened?

Conventional wisdom (read: wild speculation) has it that sharing the paint with Shaquille O'Neal caused the radical drop and it was not so much that Stoudemire regressed but that Shaq pulled down rebounds that otherwise Amar'e would have managed to secure.

Conventional wisdom is wrong. 

Amar'e and Shaq shared the court for 1075 minutes last season while Amar'e played 873 minutes with the Gigantic Socrates resting.  With Shaq in the game, Stoudemire managed 7.7 rebounds per 36.  With Shaq on the bench, he improved...to a whopping (still substandard) 8.2 per 36!   Yes, playing alongside O'Neal cost Stoudemire rebounds, about a half a rebound a game, still by far the worst of his career.  The Shaq excuse doesn't fly. 

You're going to have to do better than that in the future Amar'e, wherever you go.

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Amare can be the best

Listen, under Nellie ball you can’t emphasize defense and defensive rebound cause as you all know, defense will never be a priority for Don Nelson. Guys go back to days when Nelson coached Dallas Mavs, Steve Nash, young Finely, Nowitziki were all stars. How much defense did they play? I bet you Nowitziki wouldn’t have been an MVP playing under Nelson. What I am trying to say is that if Amare came to the Warriors and avgs 26 points a game, that is something that will help us cause when was the last time we had a player avg 26 pts a game?
Finally, I still believe that instead of trading Biedrins I would rather trade Ellis who no way in hell is worth 66 m compared to Turgulo or Gordon or Artest. Our teams weakness is PG and PF, if we trade Ellis for Amare our lineup could be as follows:
PG: Curry
SG: Jackson (can help put facilitate the offense for Curry)
SF: Maggette
PF: Randolph
C: Stoudmire

This lineup can’t defend a crab but it can outscore opponents as our bench rotation would be deep. I simply dislike all the bashing on a Superstar like Amare when we should bash Ellis who is not only not worth the money but would never be a good PG like Parker or Rose and with up and down Nellie ball you need a PG with open vision and pass first mentality not wannabe SG trying be a Steve Nash.

Sorry for the bash guys…….

Waaaarroirs

by puffylove on Jul 10, 2009 7:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Why would the Suns want Ellis? They have Barbosa and Nash already.

You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk

by LostHawkGSW on Jul 10, 2009 7:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Would you rather have Ellis or Nash? End of discussion.

Ellis to the RIM!
Monta for the win?! YES!

by XIAOXIAO on Jul 10, 2009 7:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

“End of discussion” in the sense he used it is synonymous with “I am unable and unwilling to defend my position.” It’s a sign of someone who listens to too much Jim Rome or the likes and believes that cutting off an argument is the same as winning an argument.

by jae on Jul 10, 2009 8:58 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

more like there is no more reason to, as I would then be stating the obvious. Nash, even in his old age, would be a better fit for this team than Ellis is.

Ellis to the RIM!
Monta for the win?! YES!

by XIAOXIAO on Jul 10, 2009 9:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

i meant for the suns.

Ellis to the RIM!
Monta for the win?! YES!

by XIAOXIAO on Jul 10, 2009 9:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Seriously

I thought you meant Monta over Nash.

Its time for a change...

by RunNdGun on Jul 10, 2009 10:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

more like there is no more reason to, as I would then be stating the obvious.

This is wrong. There is a reason. The reaso is that it was totally unclear what you were talking about or which side of the decision you came down on. Communicating is much easier when you try. You didn’t. You decided you’d try to sound authoritative but in fact, just sounded vague and ridiculous. I had no idea that you meant that you’d rather have Nash. If age wasn’t an issue, I would too.

But age is an issue.

A tiny bit of thought before posting will make people take you seriously. Presently, statements like “end of discussion” with no discussion at all just make you look silly.

by jae on Jul 10, 2009 9:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

In fairness

There’s way too much silliness in puffylove’s post to merit “discussion.” Not least of which:

1. The idea that defense and rebounding are not that important.

2. The idea that Monta would be appealing to Phoenix as the centerpiece of an Amare trade, despite the fact that Phoenix is loaded with guards and that Monta is “no way in hell” worth his contract.

3. The idea that Ben Gordon (5/$55M through age 31) is a paragon of value.

4. The idea that Turkoglu and Artest are comparable to Monta in any way.

5. The idea that citing statistics constitutes “bashing.”

6. The idea that “I bet you Nowitziki wouldn’t have been an MVP playing under Nelson” constitutes an argument.

7. The idea that we should trade for Stoudemire because what we need most is a point guard.

8. The idea that “$66M” and “26 ppg” are meaningful figures with no other relevant context. (As an aside: the last time we had a guy average 26 points a game, in a significant sample size? Monta Ellis, February 2008).

9. The idea that Monta wants to be a shooting guard and is at the same time trying to be Steve Nash.

10. The idea that Stoudemire, Finley, Nowitzki, Turkoglu, and Warriors (see sigline) can be spelled however one pleases.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Jul 10, 2009 9:38 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

Whoops
the last time we had a guy average 26 points a game, in a significant sample size?

Check that: Stephen Jackson, Feb ’09.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Jul 10, 2009 9:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

stackjack was beasting that month

he was up there with kobe, king crab, and other really great score-ers ;O

by waterbottle415 on Jul 10, 2009 11:32 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You listen to Jim Rome? End of discussion.

Haha.

by Atma Brother ONE on Jul 11, 2009 11:10 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Some things that come into mind

1. When Shaq sits, does Amare shift over to the center position, or is there another backup center behind Shaq?
2. Did Amare simply put less effort into rebounding? Only a Suns fan who watches Amare regularly could answer that.

by IQofaWarrior on Jul 10, 2009 7:07 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

i think Robin Lopez is their primary back up at center.

by homer simpson on Jul 10, 2009 7:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought Admunson got way more minutes than Lopez?

by rjnarayen on Jul 10, 2009 8:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

are you sure?

check out Amundson’s % of minutes spent at Center.

http://www.82games.com/0809/08PHO12.HTM

by homer simpson on Jul 10, 2009 8:49 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Louis Admunson played his way into the rotation,he was actually the backup Center...

WHY COULDN’T WE SIGN HIM?!he was playing for our summer league team last year.

Its time for a change...

by RunNdGun on Jul 10, 2009 8:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

still kvetching over amundson?

he and his agent required a guaranteed contract before the regular season began, but the brain trust (obscured in controversy and revisionism who was really in charge, mullin or rowell, plus nelson) wasn’t prepared to set the final roster. at the time, hendrix was still on the roster and the injury exemption for ellis’ spot would not take effect until after the start of the season.(that’s the last spot given to kurz, who’d already been cut and was waiting for phone calls) amundson of course got the guaranteed deal from Phx right after leaving the woe-yrs.

i still hear the shoulda coulda stuff about amundson, that de.nelson (the only healthy lead guard other than m.williams at the time) or some other cut was a better roster move, but i have little doubt that amundson remaining, and contributing in a productive manner similar to what he accomplished in phx, would most likely have profoundly reduced the playing opportunities for randolph. maybe this time, it was all’s well that ends well.

by the.monk on Jul 10, 2009 10:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

JAE

Do you have the stats for Amar’e when he is playing each position (Center and PF)?

You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk

by LostHawkGSW on Jul 10, 2009 7:15 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I have no breakdown. You can use 82games if you like. I cannot vouch (nor assail) their accuracy. I don’t know how 82games or the likes determines what position someone plays. There’s no absolute definition. My biggest suspicion that there might be a problem is that I know they have some fuzzy issues with the way they calculate plusminus that I believe to be flawed. Still this flaw only affects low minute players.

by jae on Jul 10, 2009 9:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Only reason I ask is that I’d like to see how Amar’e’s rebounding changes based on him being the center and him being the PF with a true center out.

For some reason I have a suspicion that Amar’e may be a much better rebounder when he is the center (ie: small ball, his best seasons and his teams best seasons).

You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk

by LostHawkGSW on Jul 11, 2009 1:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

continued (one more thought):

My point is basically that even though Shaq was not in at times, Amar’e would still not be the center usually this passed season (Lopez).

You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk

by LostHawkGSW on Jul 11, 2009 1:43 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jae, you present a hollow stat!

Rebounds/min played needs to be at the very least, factored in with —> How many available rebounds there are in a game/season when that given player in on the court (Efficiency).

by streetballer on Jul 10, 2009 7:49 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Is Total rebound percentage “full” enough for you?

Total rebound percentage is an estimate of the percentage of available rebounds a player grabbed while he was on the floor. The formula is 100 * (TRB * (Tm MP / 5)) / (MP * (Tm TRB + Opp TRB)).

Total rebound pct% last year:
--
Biedrins 20.2%
Amare 12.9%

Not even close. Amare was much, much closer to Brandan Wright (12.4%) who gets constant crap on this site for being a bad rebounder.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Jul 10, 2009 9:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nice SF...

Your discussion is raising this blog above the Real GM and Warrior World blogs.

If you run now – RB efficiency by position —> Consider AB a 5 and Amare a 4, see where in the league they both rank.

SF, harder to quantify is the open/closed offense/defense schemes used by teams and how that plays on efficiencies. Example, AB plants himself 3 feet in 90% of the time, while Amare plants himself 10 feet in. WHY? AB is not a threat beyond 3 feet and can not guard a man beyond 5. Not sure you played the game – don’t know you – but easier to grab an RB when you stand under the basket.

Moreover, JAE you should not base your post just by looking at the SHAQ effect in Phoneiz, how about Miami or the Lakers?

by streetballer on Jul 10, 2009 9:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The “effect” I was referencing was the comments from some that the reason for Stoudemire’s rebound decline was the presence of Shaq. What Shaq did in Miami isn’t relevant to this since Stoudemire wasn’t in Miami.

by jae on Jul 10, 2009 11:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hear you...

However, if there truly is a Shaq “effect”, then you should be able to see it whereever Shaq plays – Repetetive… Almost a Shaq “law”. Otherwise the "effect " may merely be due to other qualitative or yet undefined driving circumstances (i.e.- open/closed offense/defense) – Situational/Occasional.

Let’s see if LeBrons RB numbers do down this next season.

by streetballer on Jul 11, 2009 8:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Amare was much, much closer to Brandan Wright (12.4%) who gets constant crap on this site for being a bad rebounder.

subtle difference, but Amare was at 18.5% last season on the defensive glass (over his career 20.1%) vs Wright who was only at 15% (16.1% career).

by homer simpson on Jul 10, 2009 10:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Question for jae: is there a difference between offensive and defensive rebounds in terms of their correlation to wins? I’ve heard people who think O rebounds are slightly more valuable and others who think D rebounds are. Anecdotally, it seems to me that O rebounding is a bit more about “natural” gifts — quickness, timing, strength, hands — where D rebounding is a bit more about fundamentals (positioning, etc.) My guess is that since jae rarely draws a distinction between the two, the difference in their value is pretty minimal.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Jul 10, 2009 10:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Question for jae: is there a difference between offensive and defensive rebounds in terms of their correlation to wins?

 Not to any significant level. Intuitively, this should be true since an offensive rebound is a defensive rebound the opposition did not get, thus preventing them from otherwise raising their win probability.

There is some disagreement as to whether or not the credit to an individual for O and D boards should be apportioned equally, but they affect probability the same way. This might matter when calculating how many additional boards someone will bring to a new team however.

by jae on Jul 10, 2009 11:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

pretty much agree with all your assessments here. i was looking at it more from a team weakness standpoint. the dubs were last in the league in defensive rebounding – which actually makes no sense because the dubs would still be losing the best defensive rebounder in the trade in Andris.

by homer simpson on Jul 10, 2009 11:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The difference in rebounding rates for Amar’e with and without Shaq in is insignificant. It’s less than a half a percent, and it’s still by far the worst of his career.

by jae on Jul 10, 2009 9:23 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dotn forget that

Andris gets alot of cheap off rebounds from all his botched lay-ups.

Get on my level. STIX

by STIX on Jul 10, 2009 8:29 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

true

Stop.......... Hammertime!!!!!

by MR. Bigshot 123 on Jul 10, 2009 8:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

False.

by jae on Jul 10, 2009 9:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

pardon the mistakes....

its friday….. mmm beer

Get on my level. STIX

by STIX on Jul 10, 2009 8:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

dang thats right

he gets 2-3 offensive rebound per missed layup.

Its time for a change...

by RunNdGun on Jul 10, 2009 8:48 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Say what?

How do you get more than 1 offensive rebound for 1 missed layup?

by IQofaWarrior on Jul 10, 2009 8:59 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

wait wait Im confusing you I meant...

he goes up for 1 layup,miss,gets rebound,goes up for another,misses another and puts it back in.
Im just confusing you more,forget what I said.

Its time for a change...

by RunNdGun on Jul 10, 2009 10:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And for a guy who hits 60% of his shots (which, if you’ve been following most posters here, are all ‘dunks and put backs’) misses consecutive shots how often?

by jae on Jul 10, 2009 11:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Huh? Among the top FG% leaders and he’s getting his rebounds off of his botched layups?

by jae on Jul 10, 2009 9:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

All his...

…botched layups? He’s got a sky-high shooting percentage.

by Zack Vank on Jul 10, 2009 11:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

false

LeBron James? I'm the only Ty Crane.

by misterjennings on Jul 11, 2009 6:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Woow with some questions!!!

Of course I would take Nash over Ellis any day, anytime, any place. As far as why would Suns take Ellis when they have Nash and Barbosa, well the same reason they would love to get Curry in a deal for Amare. So all I am saying is instead of trading Curry, I would get rid of bad contract Ellis who will never be an all star and replace him with Amare.
Personally, I would trade Ellis, Biedrins and Wright for Amare and Richardson along with whateva salary pieces needed. My reason is as follows, with Ellis and Biedrins we know what we would get another non playoff season, but with Amare and Richardson I think it is a gr8 risk reward. The lineup could be good for both teams

PG Curry Nash
SG Richardson Ellis or Barabosa
SF Jackson Hill
PF Randolph Fry
C Amare Biedrins

Waaaarroirs

by puffylove on Jul 10, 2009 9:22 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Personally, I would trade Ellis, Biedrins and Wright for Amare and Richardson along with whateva salary pieces needed.

Ok but heres the problem.

PG Curry Nash
SG Richardson Ellis or Barabosa
SF Jackson Hill
PF Randolph Fry
C Amare Biedrins

Steve Nash magically appears in this deal as if he’s a throw-in.
Wow. Puffylove.

Cause Havoc. Bring Nash in and 120 point games will be very expected

by monta.da.boss on Jul 11, 2009 12:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

and

Ellis is still there

Get on my level. STIX

by STIX on Jul 11, 2009 1:44 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

he’s listing his proposed GSW and then PHx lineups by position, I think

PG Curry (GSW) Nash (Phx)
SG Richardson (GSW) Ellis or Barabosa (Phx)
SF Jackson (GSW) Hill (Phx)
PF Randolph (GSW) Fry (Phx)
C Amare (GSW) Biedrins (Phx)

by hardcore on Jul 11, 2009 8:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Haha.

That makes more sense. Man, that Phoenix lineup is crappy. And weirdly, the Ws lineup isn’t much better…

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Jul 11, 2009 9:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Since when are teams after Amare for his rebounding?

I thought everyone was after his complete domination on the offensive side of the ball. If we really wanted a rebounding specialist we would be going for Milsap or Boozer but lets face it their not Nellie guys. Amare is the apex of a Nellie Power Forward the only problem is were giving up the perfect Center to put next to him. The one thing i keep thinking is why of why did they extend Jackson how nicely his expiring would be right now.

by Warriorfan on Jul 10, 2009 9:27 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Teams aren’t after him primarily as a rebounder, but nonetheless, as a big man, he’ll have to rebound. Big men who only score, who are pathetic rebounders, don’t tend to play on winning teams. It’s a very important part of the job.

by jae on Jul 10, 2009 9:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd agree with you if

You were considering Amare as a Center but as a Power Forward hes on par with the league. I’m not saying he doesnt need to improve there to be the Top 10 player he thinks he is but really has potential to be. While I think the proposed trade would make us playoff bound I think Amare is right is saying were giving up too much for him. The deal that would make us contenders would be Amare for Maggs,Bwright,Marco,and Speedy/buike(expiring or talent) but things would have to swing our way alot.

by Warriorfan on Jul 10, 2009 10:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The deal that would make us contenders would be Amare for Maggs,Bwright,Marco,and Speedy/buike(expiring or talent) but things would have to swing our way alot Steve Kerr would have to be an idiot.

Then again, he did just sign Channing Frye….

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Jul 10, 2009 10:16 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

Kerr got Wildcat sentimental there. It will cost him.

by jae on Jul 10, 2009 11:29 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

if stoudemire is 'the apex of a Nellie Power Forward'

does he surpass nowitski in that fictional category? the two do not really have similar games—on offense alone, nowitski has more all-around skills with the ball.

by the.monk on Jul 10, 2009 10:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Amare shoots a way better FG% then Dirk

Amare is a true low post player while Dirk is a better shooter his inside game is below average. Dirk at his best is not better then Amare at his best atleast in my opinion. Also all Nellie and Riley have been talking about is inside presence who better fits that description.

by Warriorfan on Jul 10, 2009 10:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

true fg is way higher for Dirk though.

But then again most back to the basket players are lower.

Cause Havoc. Bring Nash in and 120 point games will be very expected

by monta.da.boss on Jul 11, 2009 12:03 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m not sure what you’re saying exactly, but if you’re saying that Nowitzki has a higher “True
FG%” than Stoudemire, you are incorrect. Stoudemire is a more efficient scorer.

by jae on Jul 11, 2009 2:08 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Trade Ellis

Warriorfan, that is why I am saying trade Ellis along with Wright and Rocky you could get Amare instead of Curry Wright Biedrins and Rocky. Our biggest mistake as a team was giving a young high school player $66 m when noone in the world would have given him more than $50. He was restricted free agent so we could have matched any teams offer if he received any, if I am not mistaken Cavs were offering him 5 yr midlevel but that was the closest he got. On top of that we had the chance to waive him and save $66 m use it on Turgulo or a cheaper Gordon (even though he is another version of Ellis but with reliable jump shot and cheaper money)

Waaaarroirs

by puffylove on Jul 10, 2009 9:43 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

giving a young high school player $66 m

Monta was 23 years old when he got his big contract, not a “young high school player”.

by IQofaWarrior on Jul 10, 2009 9:48 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

Mutombo finger wag ftw!

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Jul 10, 2009 10:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

...

1. Monta wasn’t a “young high-schooler” when we extended him. He was a 22-23 year old three-year NBA vet who was coming off a full season in which he was the best player on a 48-win team.

2. Gordon’s shooting is not as reliable as Monta’s. Nor is any other aspect of his game. And he’s got the exact same contract as Monta (5/$55M remaining) only it takes him a bit past his prime instead of right into it.

3. Why the heck are you talking about Monta? Look back at jae’s diary, read to achieve, and stop babbling. If you have something totally irrelevant to say, try writing your own diary.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Jul 10, 2009 9:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

2. Gordon’s shooting is not as reliable as Monta’s.

Gordon, career TS% of .554 with his last 3 seasons being 57.2, 55.8 & 57.3 vs Monta at .548 with 54.5, 58.0 & 50.3 being his last 3 seasons. granted that 3rd season was the year of moped, but the point is more that Gordon’s shot has become pretty consistent over the last 3 seasons.

Nor is any other aspect of his game.
surprisingly, Gordon has a slightly higher assist% and better TO% than Monta and most of his other percentages are within 0.8% from Monta’s. plus, from what little i’ve seen of him, he’s a much better & more willing defender than Monta is.
And he’s got the exact same contract as Monta (5/$55M remaining) only it takes him a bit past his prime instead of right into it.
yes, he’s still an overpaid combo guard, but when you factor in defense, so are Monta & Kevin Martin (though K-Mart has a pretty impressive track record in terms of TS% w/ 4 straight seasons over 60%, including his injury-filled year last season). if i were to guess based on their games at this moment, i’d actually lean towards Ben lasting longer than Monta because Ben’s game relies less on athleticism.

by homer simpson on Jul 10, 2009 11:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good points

I guess I should have said “Monta’s and Gordon’s games and contracts are pretty comparable.”

But really, I should have said “how the heck are Monta and Gordon germane?”

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Jul 10, 2009 11:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

3. Why the heck are you talking about Monta? Look back at jae’s diary, read to achieve, and stop babbling. If you have something totally irrelevant to say, try writing your own diary.

Oh no. please don’t ban him. that would be a jerk thing to do.

Cause Havoc. Bring Nash in and 120 point games will be very expected

by monta.da.boss on Jul 11, 2009 12:05 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, yes it would be. Fortunately, I don’t have that kind of clout, nor would I use it if I did. I’m just a “civilian” like you who doesn’t like to see interesting diaries totally hijacked by uninteresting posts.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Jul 11, 2009 7:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wait, what?

Why the hell is that post on the front page on GSoM? lol.

It’s just some random guy who obviously doesn’t like Amare Stoudemire. A post like that can be seen written by several people in different diaries. It’s just a random short opinion statement.

Who cares if Amare didn’t rebound a lot in Phoenix, he’s still better than Biedrins. If Andris Biedrins can average 10 rebounds in Golden State then imagine how many rebounds Amare Stoudemire can average. The Warriors need someone who can dominate on offense in the paint so we don’t have to rely on our guards to chuck stupid shots all the time. We need that inside-out game, it’s not like our rebounding will get any worse. At least with a 20/10 big man to pair up with Randolph we have a higher chance of winning games and form a more balanced offense. If there were to be a drop in rebounding, I doubt it’s of any significance and would easily be made up for by the amount of scoring the Warriors can provide from post game and the perimeter (instead of back then when all of our offense came from perimeter shots and layups from guards).

 I’m tired of that glorified garbage man Biedrins, everytime we need an answer he disappears in games; can’t even hit a shot outside 3 feet of the basket. I don’t understand why people like him just because he can tip in loose shots and has “GREAT HANDS”, Amare could do the same thing but they rarely took stupid shots in Phoenix like they do in Golden State. At least learn how to make a damn free throw, jeez.

I’ll be happy with whatever happens. If we get Amare, then we finally get the big man we’ve been waiting for since we lost Chris Webber back in ‘94. If we keep Biedrins, then we’ll have one of the most handsome players in the league.

by Precise Films Productions on Jul 10, 2009 9:50 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

If Andris Biedrins can average 10 rebounds in Golden State then imagine how many rebounds Amare Stoudemire can average.

PFP, this is at least the 3rd or 4th time that you’ve posted this garbage. Amare is much better than Biedrins at a lot of things, but he’s not nearly as good at rebounding. It’s a fact, not a question for “debate.” Seriously, use your brain and stop making a complete fool of yourself.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Jul 10, 2009 10:00 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

If Andris Biedrins can average 10 rebounds in Golden State then imagine how many rebounds Amare Stoudemire can average.

In the same amount of time? Fewer than 10.

by jae on Jul 10, 2009 11:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

1. “If Andris Biedrins can average 10 rebounds in Golden State then imagine how many rebounds Amare Stoudemire can average.”
   
   ???? This makes no absolutely no sense to me, why would Amare’s rebounding numbers suddenly shoot up here? Rebounding is a LOT about attitude and Amare seems to be losing his desire to crash the (defensive) boards hard.

2. I’d love a post player as much as the next guy, but Amare’s game is largely pick and pop now. He doesn’t really play back to the basket that much anymore, though as a slasher he is electrifying.

3. I agree, Amare would give us a more balanced offense and make us less guard-dominated.

4. " I’m tired of that glorified garbage man Biedrins, everytime we need an answer he disappears in games"

Biedrins is what he is, an offensively limited guy who inhales rebounds at a high rate and finishes well around the basket. It doesn’t look like, besides his lefty jump hook, he’ll ever have a go to post move. So his “disappearance” (if it in fact occurred) is probably more a product of poor guard play than Biedrins himself.

by rjnarayen on Jul 10, 2009 10:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

false

amare is not a 20/10 big man and does not play defense.

LeBron James? I'm the only Ty Crane.

by misterjennings on Jul 11, 2009 6:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

the answer is not as simple as any one, isolated stat - even if it is re STAT

I wouldn’t take Nash over Ellis at their respective ages at this time, and while it’d might be ideal to land Amare for Ellis instead of Andris Phx aint drinking that koolaid so that’s a moot point and not germane to the original post either – which, frankly was not clear at the outset. Also moot are prior contract decisions re Maggette, Jax, etc. Also moot are any references to the totality of the stats Andris+Marco+BWright might have. All that nonsense is old, moot, and over and done with. Enough moot already.

While I’m ranting, why we are leading with a pic of the big fundamental but talking about Amare vs Andris was not immediately clear until we realize that what we are really trying to discern is Amare’s rebounding w/o Shaq so that we can ascertain what he’d likely bring to the dubs …. ascertain? sorry, too many SVU episodes … ok, so here’s the factor so often left out of all these “equations” – we are not measuring what Amare can bring with or without Shaq while playing the C for the Suns or Dubs. That’s missing the point (although not altogether moot).

Here are the factors we should be evaluating.

First, visa vie rebounding, we are measuring what Amare and Anthony Randolph can do as a starting tandem, and most importantly whether that starting tandem is better than and more likely to get us to the playoffs ( and maybe, beyond the first round ) than Andris and Anthony can. The answer is yes, pure and simple.

The evidence lies in the added rebounding we can expect from Anthony over the previous season’s assortment of starting PFs, as well as the complementary skills Amare and Anthony have both on defense and rebounding. Without looking at the likely (because this is all conjecture) increase of Anthony over Maggette et al at PF last year, we are not really looking at the situation we would have with Amare this next season. Also, the increased rebounding & def AR will add in a starting tandem will not make up for the difference in overall effectiveness of an Amare – AR starting tandem when factoring the offensive side of the equation. Neither Andris or AR is a threat outside 12 feet, nor is Adris a threat with the ball either at the block or the elbow. Amare is all of those.

So, the answer also lies in how much more attention Amare will demand on the part of the opposing defense, thus opening up opportunities for Anthony and the rest of the team. This most of us can reach some consensus on – it’s greater than Andris, pure and simple.

The answer also lies in how much better at FT shooting Amare is over Andris, how much more of a weapon he’d be late in games than hack-a-shaq-Andris, & how much more versatile he’d’ve been in Nelson’s scheme. Again, we have a decent consensus.

I would add that there is an unmeasurable asset Amare brings to Anthony – not only does he draw more attention from the def, but AR is going to learn from one of the very best to ever play PF how to break down defenders and score efficiently. That is going to pay dividends down the line that we can’t quantify. Not everything about this game is a stat.

No, Amare doesn’t rebound as well as Andris but an Amare-Anthony tandem will rebound well enough, plus be more versatile scoring, and Anthony will help in the areas where Amare is not as strong – rebounding and defense, while Amare can help do what Andris can not: score, hit FT, and draw defensive attention away from Anthony. Add Ronny to either and you still have a complementary set of bigs, which we do not have in any scenario with Ronny + Andris or BWright. Amare fills out the complementary skill set of our bigs and does so at an All Star level.

In summary, the answer lies in all the above, not parsing it out in one or two little stats singled out in exception and unrelated to the context of the bigger picture or by clouding it with the big fundamental.

For those who don’t want to give Amare a max contract, I’d simply ask who are we getting this year, or next year, or the year after that who deserves a max contract more than Amare? Who? and how are we landing that guy? Because I don’t see it, haven’t read it, other than the hypothetical “maybe someone will be there and we don’t want to be tied to Amare if the saviour arrives and he’d show up and put on our glass slipper.” I don’t see anyone who fits our current and prospective roster better than Amare will in either the short or long term.

For those of you who say Amare will not deliver a championship, wake up. We are more than one player from making the jump from 29 wins to a ring. Even KG couldn’t do that himself. We will need another player, not necessarily a Kobe or LJ, but a top notch player to get there. But to wait until then to grab Amare is foolish, because then will never arrive.

And, it you’re still reading, and you shouldn’t be because I’m still drinking but what the hell, it’s all probably moot now that Phx has renegotiated with Hill and Nash, and look to be keeping AS after all (ya, I know I said enough moot). If we missed this opportunity, it will be second only to losing an opportunity to land KG (which, was admittedly slimmer by far). Opportunities like this simply do not come along often and you have to grab them when you can, as we did with Baron when he was available. Piss away this opportunity if you want, I’d’ve taken a stab at it …

by hardcore on Jul 10, 2009 10:16 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

please re-read your own reasoning in a more sober moment

hardcore, some of the reasoning is a bit sketchy to me. the unlikelihood that another max-contract level of player showing up to play in oaktown—why should that justify giving one to any player who’s not a transformational/franchise type? yes, it’s obvious that many here believe stoudemire could be all that, but the evidence actually points in another direction. he hasn’t conducted himself like a team-oriented leader, and doesn’t commit full effort on defense. you construct a fantasy scenario based on randolph and stoudemire collaborating in a special, synergistic way that paves the path to conference finals nirvana. stoudemire wasn’t considered a great team mate in phx—are you sure if you give him a max contract that randolph won’t resent it when he does much more dirty work under the boards, makes more plays for his ’mates and plays better team d, then has negotiations for his second contract pending and gets offered about half of what stoudemire gets? that would be my alternative fantasy.

no one doubts that stoudemire would boost the offense in ways beyond biedrins’ abilities. would he make the team so much stronger to deserve getting paid twice as much? that requires too much faith to convince me.

by the.monk on Jul 10, 2009 11:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

reasoning is a good thing – there’s more than a fair share of reasoning in there imo

to your points -

whether or not Amare is a “transformational/franchise type” player is an opinion, one we disagree on in degrees – he could transform this team in his own way just as Baron had done before him … operative word: could – you’re right though, it might take a leap of faith from some that we’d get more out of Amare’s presence than Andris, Wright, and Marco’s.

as for whether he was/is a “team-oriented leader” in Phx or not, I couldn’t say and unless you’ve been inside their locker room I’d venture neither of us has enough insight into the question you pose. I have been on www.brightsideofthesun.com lately, and can say Amare has his share of supporters and detractors there. I would say that Nash is the leader of that team. But you raise a new, and interesting concept – with or without Amare our team leader probably is Jax, for better or worse

as for my fantasy scenario, I think mine’s at least as likely as your nightmare about AR, in fact – that “fantasy” be a good problem to have (AR performing so well he’d expect a similar contract).

and, ya, there’s a sentence in there I’d edit now if I could, but I’ll stand by the reasoning on whole … now, where was that glass …

by hardcore on Jul 10, 2009 11:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Off topic...

Who raised the threshold of recommended comments from two to three before turning green? I thought it worked fine the other way since not that many people take the time to recommend comments. This could be better if people become a little more aware of using that feature though.

Thing 2

by olympicmike on Jul 11, 2009 2:31 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I fiddle around and experiment with this sort of stuff behind the scenes from time to time. I think 3 (the original setting I believe) should work better now that more folks are using the “Rec” feature, but we’ll see.

by Atma Brother ONE on Jul 11, 2009 11:19 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

This could be better if people become a little more aware of using that feature though

disagree
-rec is one of the better sign of active community -people should not be aware to show they like something -even if it’s total BS

30 Y 197 cm 115 kg 0 IQ

by Lat We N Trash on Jul 11, 2009 3:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would love to be understood before judged

Guys, I know there is no magic gps device to read whats on my mind, but all I tried to say is that contracts like Gordon, Turgulo, Artest, Nelson, etc are far cheaper and better than Ellis contract. When we signed Ellis noone in the league would have paid him $66 m since he was restricted free agent. Regardless if he was unrestricted free agent he would not command that crazy money. Ellis is our weakness, he will never be a true PG for Nellie ball which needs a player like Nash, he can’t play SG without a big PG like Billups who can defend the two, therefore, all I am saying is if Suns were or still interested in Curry, then offer them Ellis and whomever they want for Amare because we know what he will do under our system.
Matter fact lets be honest and look at the West bigs, Utah, Lakers, Denver, New Orleans, Dallas, Portland, Houston (before Yao’s injury), San Antonio all have big Cs and PFs that we can’t face. Amare would make our team better atleast fighting against those bigs and simplify our game with his post moves. We are good shooting team that can get rid of Ellis and feel no lose but we do need a solid low post player like Amare and if you believe AR, BW can avg over 20 pts a game by playing low post, I would love to hear you guys argument.
Finally, I am passionate Warrior fan that believes a change is needed since our current team cannot make it to the playoff with its current roster. Success requires hard measures.

Waaaarroirs

by puffylove on Jul 11, 2009 5:35 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

You can forget about Amare's numbers last year

Amare has never been a good rebounder…but he could be. The thing w/ Amare on the glass and on D has always been about effort and desire. He loves to score. The rest of it…not so much.

As for last season he actually started the first couple of weeks REALLY well on both ends and on the glass but then after 8 games he and a couple of other players (including Nash) decided they didn’t like Porter and his system and they pretty much gave up on him.

Amare played like crap from that point on until Porter was fired and then two games later his season ended.

Here’s what Amare told me about Porter and coaches at the end of last season.
http://www.brightsideofthesun.com/2009/4/14/837585/amare-introduces-terry-porter-to

I can’t image him and Nellie working out together and believe me, Amare is not going to play up to his potential if he’s not happy and as far as I can tell he’s never really been happy.

by Phoenix Stan on Jul 11, 2009 6:57 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The difference is, you cannot pull anything close to that with Nellie. He is extremely smart and manipulative.

You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk

by LostHawkGSW on Jul 12, 2009 12:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dunno if this thread is still going, it’s been an interesting discussion so far, but is missing the most important point. If we trade for Amare, what kind of rebounding production should we expect out of him? Amare’s rebounds per 36:

2002-2003: 10.1
2003-2004: 8.8
2004-2005: 8.9
2005-2006: 11.5 (3 games)
2006-2007: 10.5
2007-2008: 9.7
2008-2009: 7.9

What do we know? Prior to this last season, he was pretty much a 9-10 rebounds per 36 player. He came back from microfracture surgery to post the best full season rebound rate of his career, and followed it up with another respectable year. Then last year? Everything fell to pieces. Jae has provided us splits with Shaq, showing how Shaq doesn’t appear to be the cause. If Shaq isn’t the cause, what is, and will it continue in GS? Or will he get back to a ~9-10 per 36 rate? Could he regain his form back to a 10.5 per 36 guy?

I’m not sure how to answer these questions. I think it could be interesting to look through history at other players who have seen a large drop in their rate, and whether they regain their form or not. I’m guessing most of them are older players and the answer is “not”, so it would be interesting to see if any players in their prime have experienced this type of decline. We could also go about trying to explain the drop. Maybe he didn’t gel with Porter and that was the reason for a lack of effort on the glass. Maybe there really is a “Shaq effect”, but when Shaq is out the player replacing him has a similar (and greater?) effect on Amare’s rebounding that Shaq. Maybe Amare has just changed his game and doesn’t play as close to the hoop anymore. Both his offensive and defensive rebounding numbers have gone down, maybe playing PF and guarding PF’s has been a cause for that.

I’m not sure if any explanations will satisfy me, but the only way to find out is discussion. The relevant point with Amare, after all, is not what he’s done in the past, but what he would do in the future if we traded for him. So I’m interested in any ideas and thoughts people have on the subject of Amare’s future performance.

by Missing Barry on Jul 13, 2009 7:41 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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