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Curry vs. Monta debate... again


         I know this has been talked about and re-hashed over and over but i just wanted to put my opinion out there. I have watched almost every single Warriors game this season and feel that Curry is just not comfortable on the court with Monta on the court and vise versa.

I think Monta feels he needs the ball because he's the star of the team (because he basically is) and the offense should go through him. Problem is he is better when he is getting his points off the ball, coming off screens and either driving the lane or hitting an open 15-18 ft. jump shot (like he and Baron Davis did in the "WE BELIEVE" days). That is when Monta game is at its best. You can also tell that Monta doesn't respect Curry as the PG of the team and takes the ball up court almost every time they are on the court together and tries to run the offense. If Monta would let Curry play PG and he play SG they could be a good maybe even great tandem. I also feel Monta feels threatened with Curry success and feels it may not be his team if Curry continues to improve (just my opinion).

Curry needs the ball because lets face it he is the best PG we have on the team and is only getting better every game. He has outstanding court vision and seems to always make the right pass to the open man. Problem is when Monta is on the court it seems Curry defers to Monta to much and doesn't assert himself like he does when Monta is not on the court. I think Curry doesn't want to step on Monta's toes because of his veteran status on the team but by doing this and letting Monta play PG and run the offense its actually hurting the team. Curry should run the PG position every minute he is on the floor and decide where the ball goes. I feel this would improve the flow of the offense tremendously and let Monta get back to doing what he does best.

With all that being said I really dont see these two playing together in the future. I dont feel Monta respects Curry as a PG like he did Baron and will never let Curry fully run the team. The only player that was on the team I feel Monta respected was S.Jackson and possibly Maggette but feels it should be his team now and I dont feel he has any interest in turning the main ball handling job over to Curry (even though he should). I also dont feel Curry will ever reach his full potential with him and Monta on the same team. Curry seems like a totally different player when him and Monta are on the court at the same time. Its a shame because they could be one of the best back courts in the league if they would both realize they need each other to do what they do best to succeed.

side note: Shouldnt Don Nelson be telling both of them this?? You can be good apart or great together...With Monta and Curry on the same page plus a solid big man we could have a good team but with the Warriors front office and coach i dont see it happening unfortunately.

This FanPost is a submission from a member of the mighty Golden State of Mind community. While we're all here to throw up that W, these words do not necessarily reflect the views of the GSoM Crew. Still, chances are the preceding post is Unstoppable Baby!

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“You can also tell that Monta doesn’t respect Curry as the PG of the team and takes the ball up court almost every time they are on the court together and tries to run the offense.”

Where is the evidence for this? Other than the convenient, one-size-fits-all, “Monta is a lying crybaby prima dona” BS getting bandied about in the media by outsiders looking in?

Maybe they don’t work as a backcourt, but I highly doubt it has to do with either of their attitudes’ or their ability to score a boatload of points together. More likely, it is because neither one is a particularly good defender, and they are both undersized for their positions.

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 2, 2010 1:50 PM PST reply actions  

"You can also tell that Monta doesn’t respect Curry as the PG of the team and takes the ball up court almost every time they are on the court together and tries to run the offense."

This might be a possibility, but if you really want to look at it. Monta has become entirely too ball dominant and makes a) poor decisions and is b) inefficient. Because he makes spectacular players it seems to cover this up though.

And then on top of it, Monta is way too undersized defensive at shooting guard.

by tafkasam on Mar 2, 2010 2:30 PM PST up reply actions  

not trying to say Monta is a cry baby at all…Just saying he feels he should be the unquestioned leader of the team and run the offense when that is not neccesarily benifiting the team. If I was Monta I would probably feel the same way since Curry is a rookie. Nobody thought Curry was going to come in and be this good at the PG position but it would be more beneficial for them to work together on the court and clearly that is not happening. Just basising my opinion on being a life long Warriors and watching almost every game this season. Once again just my opinion

God Willing...

by RunTMCfan on Mar 2, 2010 2:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Maybe the issue is management

They gave Monta the big contract. They wanted him to be ’the man.

He’s showing with this much use-age he is not a very good player, but he is being paid to be a #1 or 2 option (1 on this team as its highest paid player).

From 2006-8 was Monta any bigger part of this team (a team vying for last playoff spot) than say Raymond Felton, Rudy Fernandez, Carl Landry or other spark plug players on lower tier playoff sides?

He seemed to get 66 mil based on one really hot month, and more or less a Leandro Barbosa type role otherwise.

by tafkasam on Mar 2, 2010 2:54 PM PST up reply actions  

Hopefully...

…Monta will mature and realize if he starts working WITH Curry, he can have even bigger impact on the game and be an even bigger threat. The sign of them starting to have chemistry is a well prepared pre-game handshake between the two. That would make me happy. MONTA + COREY = BEST PREGAME HANDSHAKE IN THE NBA

Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Pacquiao fans type MANNY CHANT in Ebay!

by JonDoe on Mar 3, 2010 3:59 PM PST up reply actions  

If you recall

The problem Nellie had with Crawford was that when Crawford and Monta were on the court together, it wasn’t good. Apart they were fine.

In deference to developing Monta, they benched Crawford the rest of the way. Crawford traded to Atlanta has been flourishing.

Now, Monta and Curry together seem to be OK – but just OK. When it’s just Curry, the team has looked markedly better.

What is the constant here?

I’m still amazed OJ Mayo isn’t in a W’s uniform right now…

by joegiant on Mar 2, 2010 1:58 PM PST reply actions  

OJ Mayo is a worse defender than Monta. That trade made no sense at all except as fodder for the anti-Monta set. Even with Thabeet (soft-shouldered lunk that he is), we were getting the sh*t end of that stick. If it was actually offered, I applaud Riley for turning it down.

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 2, 2010 2:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Agreed

OJ Mayo is not better than Monta. He may be bigger, but he’s still undersized at 6’4" and he isn’t known for his defense. Rather, he’s known for the same things Monta does but not as good except maybe handling the ball.

Confident Marco Belinelli supporter

by Doctor Kajita on Mar 2, 2010 2:35 PM PST up reply actions  

OJ is also actually a good shooter

He isn’t actually very Monta-like. I don’t see the comparison.

by Reverend_Randy on Mar 2, 2010 2:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Monta’s a bad shooter? He may recently been taking ill-advised shots, but his shot isn’t bad.

Confident Marco Belinelli supporter

by Doctor Kajita on Mar 2, 2010 2:48 PM PST up reply actions  

He isn’t actually very Monta-like. I don’t see the comparison.

They’re both undersized SG’s who are known for scoring. Do you disagree?

Confident Marco Belinelli supporter

by Doctor Kajita on Mar 2, 2010 2:53 PM PST up reply actions  

The way they score is totally different.

by Reverend_Randy on Mar 2, 2010 4:49 PM PST up reply actions  

“The way they score is totally different.”

Huh? Totally different? They both take jump shots, OJ more than Monta. They both get to the rim, Monta more than OJ. But given all the other factors (and given that defense is our biggest problem), on no planet is OJ a better player than Monta.

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 3, 2010 8:21 AM PST up reply actions  

Well that's just it

Monta is a driver who shoots some (probably too much), OJ is a shooter who drives some. They’re very different players.
I’m not saying that OJ is better, just that they way they score is different.

by Reverend_Randy on Mar 3, 2010 6:37 PM PST up reply actions  

What is the constant here?

There is none because it’s been less than one season of them playing together on a flawed, injured, poorly managed, poorly coached team. The latter debatable.

Monta was playing really well after SJax left and then regressed a bit. Then Curry started to play really well. Now Monta is injured (bad coaching or bad luck or both?) and the opportunity for Curry and Monta to play together and form chemistry is taken away.

Give the two some time to play through the end of this season and pre-season and beginning of the season next year.

Confident Marco Belinelli supporter

by Doctor Kajita on Mar 2, 2010 2:32 PM PST up reply actions  

January

January tells the tale about their ability to play together. Curry’s game was settling in (rookie of the month) and Monta was healthy. But they weren’t winning.

Monta IS a good shooter. Monta IS a good player – maybe even better than Mayo. But his MIND is not about being a complementary player. He requires too many possessions to get his points and thereby stops the flow of the game.

He DID “score” better after SJAX left, but that was for 3 reasons:

- More touches with Jax gone
- Decided to be more assertive in scoring
- Injuries forced Nellie to play him 48/game.

His per 36 = 21ppg. Good, but under normal circumstances, he’s not getting 26ppg.

So, in weighing the good 21ppg with the bad (bad ball movement, high turnovers, black hole) I think Mayo would have been a better fit for the TEAM. And his contract FAR less oppressive.

In the upcoming markets, the W’s are going to be hurting giving Monta 10M/season. His real value will be about 7 mill in the coming years. Mayo’s contract is for 2 more seasons at around 5M/season (ballpark). W’s sign Mayo at a market contract in 2 season or he goes as a FA. Monta W’s are stuck w/10M per year for 4 more years.

by joegiant on Mar 2, 2010 3:51 PM PST up reply actions  

I’m still amazed OJ Mayo isn’t in a W’s uniform right now…

you and me both…plus we could have used another big man in Thabeet

God Willing...

by RunTMCfan on Mar 2, 2010 2:43 PM PST up reply actions  

What is the constant here?

 nellie’s player selections and game plans?

Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.

by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 2, 2010 3:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Most of the reasons people hate him is pure speculation with no real evidence

Things like he doesn’t respect Curry or his attitude will stop him from playing off the ball. There is 0 evidence of most of these arguments. Sometimes people won’t even explain why they hate him and will just say shallow things like Mo moped mo problems. It’s starting to sound like a little kid now when you ask them why they like/dislike something they just respond with “cause”.
 
When things get bad people point fingers and usually go to the guy who has been given the biggest load. People than say it’s his fault for doing so much but that’s not his fault. This hatred is like an after shock of an earthquake, they just keep coming. Some people actually make valid arguments and pull up stats but sometimes they rely too much on them. Some have accused him of being ball dominant and needing the ball in his hands which is completely false. He’s an off the ball player and a very good one. Do you think he chooses what plays to call and who is the PG?

We need to see what they can do together when were actually coached and can keep a team together and dont have to use the mos lineups in the league. And the title of this post implies that were comparing two completely different players. Now if we were like Detroit we could be arguing about similar players like Gordan and Rip but were comparing two very very different players.

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 2, 2010 2:40 PM PST reply actions  

Some people actually make valid arguments and pull up stats but sometimes they rely too much on them.

Next time we get a professional NBA level talent scout on this board, I will listen to their partially non-stats based opinion.

by Reverend_Randy on Mar 2, 2010 2:47 PM PST up reply actions  

There is 0 evidence of most of these arguments

I agree with you on this point and your entire post, but also no offense, you have also stated things such as “Cohan needs to sell because he’s in serious debt.” There’s no way for us to know this unless we’re the accountants for the Golden State Warriors.

Confident Marco Belinelli supporter

by Doctor Kajita on Mar 2, 2010 2:52 PM PST up reply actions  

I respect Monta as a player and feel that he is currently the best player on the team but the evidence is what i see with my eyes on the court on a regular basis. thats all i can base my opinion on since none of us know them personally…

God Willing...

by RunTMCfan on Mar 2, 2010 2:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Things like he doesn’t respect Curry or his attitude will stop him from playing off the ball. There is 0 evidence of most of these arguments

What do you count as evidence? Can body language be evidence? How about sulking whenever that player performs well and you aren’t on the court? How about making comments at the beginning of the season that made it perfectly clear that Monta doesn’t think a back court of him and Curry can work:

From Talking Points:

-Q: Can you see yourself playing with Curry in the backcourt?

-ELLIS: I can’t answer that. Us together? No.

-Q: Why not?

-ELLIS: Can’t. We just can’t.

-Q: Too small? Too similar?

-ELLIS: Just can’t.

-Q: The Warriors say you can.

-ELLIS: They say we can? Yeah. If they say it. But we can’t.

-Q: You wouldn’t want to give it a shot?

-ELLIS: I just want to win. That’s… not going to win that way.

Follow the logic there. He doesn’t think that two 6’3" guards can coexist on a winning team. If he still feels that way, and he sees Curry becoming a definite “keeper” as far as the fans and management are concerned, what is his natural response going to be? Resentment towards that player for usurping him of his position as the starting “small guard” on the team.

by randolphforpresident on Mar 2, 2010 3:18 PM PST up reply actions  

I have to say that even here Monta’s comments make him look very dumb at worst and completely unprofessional at best. He says I can’t answer that and then proceeds to answer anyway. Then he says essentially “yes, if the Warriors say we can then we can, but we can’t.” WTF?

by Str8baller on Mar 2, 2010 3:22 PM PST up reply actions  

Ok than look at his comments after he plays with him in the preseason and praised him

When is he sulking when someone does well? He looks like a regular player who is focused, I have never once seen him even look slightly mad about someone else playing well

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 2, 2010 4:50 PM PST up reply actions  

People than say it’s his fault for doing so much but that’s not his fault. This hatred is like an after shock of an earthquake, they just keep coming.

  yeah, I had a lot of hatred for san andreas’s fault after the quake and the aftershocks.

Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.

by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 2, 2010 3:37 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes

I completely agree with this post. You can just tell from Monta’s body language. it seems very obvious. Monta just seems to want his — do you ever see him celebrate with the rest of the team? Never. What a douche. He should be ecstatic to have Curry on his team. But he is JEALOUS. If he wasn’t he would understand that his IQ (what’s the difference between BBALL IQ and IQ? Either you’re smart and you get it or you don’t) is not as high as Curry’s level. You cannot WIN by spinning into three defenders and expecting a foul call — that’s not how you play basketball. You WIN by guile if you don’t have size and by making smart passes. You DO NOT win by walking the ball upcourt at a snail’s pace WHEN we are clearly built to run. You do not win by pretending to look for an open player, dribbling a few times and shooting a mid-range — no one wants to see that more than a few times per game (three at most?). Isn’t this just obvious stuff? Isn’t it painfully clear? Why do Ellis and Maggette not understand this? Are they dense as hell? When they are NOT on the court for extended periods, the dubs play better — case in the point the 17-point comeback when Ellis was OUT! Monta’s defensive strategy is to get the steal ALWAYS and that translates into more steals but also more losses. Sure he had a steal to win the game, but how many points did he give up with his matador defense prior to that steal? Also have to say that Maggette and Eliss pregame routine/ritual is some of the lamest, LEAST INSPIRING crap I’ve ever seen a pro athlete do. GROW THE EF UP. Stephen Curry is getting comparisons to NASH, he was at least invited to the ALL-STAR weekend, so was Morrow — the rest of the league gets it! I have to say its really too bad because Ellis with no doubt extremely talented, but it takes more than just talent at this level.

by Str8baller on Mar 2, 2010 3:09 PM PST reply actions  

You can just tell from Monta’s body language. it seems very obvious.

Often when people are looking for evidence to support their preconceived opinions, that “evidence” does seem very obvious. This tends to happen even when said opinion is wrong. We [people in general] aren’t exactly the most objective observers.

by Missing Barry on Mar 2, 2010 4:15 PM PST up reply actions  

So you think his body language is good? The kind of body language you want from a team leader? What exactly do you mean by “preconceived opinion?” Conceived prior to what exactly? Evidence? The evidence is his body language and his detrimental play on the court. You want an objective fact? The dubs have the third worst record in the league, and ME, when he plays, more often than not touches the ball more than any other player on the team. He shots, what, 20-25 shots per game? He scores, get steals, turns the ball over, and the dubs lose. Over and over again. That is objective.

by Str8baller on Mar 2, 2010 4:33 PM PST up reply actions  

So you think his body language is good? The kind of body language you want from a team leader?

Frankly, I just don’t really care that much. I want talented players that work hard and play winning basketball.

He scores, get steals, turns the ball over, and the dubs lose. Over and over again. That is objective.

And you’d find many around here agree with that, as we’ve been saying for a while now that Monta hasn’t been playing winning basketball this year. Is he selfish? Does he not get along with teammates? Does he want to be “the man”? Frankly, I have no idea. I only get to see him in game situations, which is what, 20% of the time these guys spend together? I don’t know him, I don’t talk to him, I don’t know or talk to anyone with a close up view of this stuff. I just don’t see any way I can really know. Sure, I expect the organization to try to take the proper steps to make sure it’s players have the right attitude (well, maybe not the Warriors organization, but any not horribly run franchise). I just don’t really see a way for us, being so removed from the scene, to really know what’s going on. If you have reports/evidence from people with better knowledge who are closer to the situation than us, I’m all ears, but I just don’t really see a point in speculating about how we interpret his body language during games and what that means about him as a person/player and the future of the franchise. I don’t know, and I’ve accepted that.

by Missing Barry on Mar 2, 2010 6:13 PM PST up reply actions  

And you’d find many around here agree with that, as we’ve been saying for a while now that Monta hasn’t been playing winning basketball this year. Is he selfish? Does he not get along with teammates? Does he want to be "the man"? Frankly, I have no idea.

The thing is. I don’t think he’s a bad guy by any means, and he seems to like his teammates. Seems like a nice enough guy. But that isn’t what we’re talking about

Monta is selfish (basketball player) and has always been. He was a scorer on 07-08 team. He just happened to be 3rd option and got better looks. but he’s paid to be THE scorer on this team and isn’t good enough to be that guy. Thats my honest opinion.

I don’t wanna bash Monta for anything other than his basketball. I don’t think he’s a cancer. I think we have seen cancers in the past (like spree) and Monta is not there.

by tafkasam on Mar 2, 2010 8:19 PM PST up reply actions  

Monta is selfish (basketball player) and has always been. He was a scorer on 07-08 team. He just happened to be 3rd option

If he was always selfish he would’ve commanded the ball regardless of him being a 2nd or 3rd option.
I will Monta is somewhat of an enigma but he’s nowhere close to a cancer.

by Richboievans on Mar 2, 2010 11:13 PM PST up reply actions  

Monta is paid to be the man

So he feels like it is his team to lead regardless if it actually works. When he played with Baron, he was a young 2nd and 3rd year guard playing with a top 5 PG. Steph is a rookie and Monta feels like he needs to take some lumps before he is handed the team. But my main point is that because Monta is paid as the franchise player he needs to carry us there regardless if it is actually the best direction for the team to go in. I believe the Warriors see the gem they have in Steph and that Monta, although he is an unbelievable talent, can be replaced by another scoring 2 guard.

by acohen9928 on Mar 2, 2010 3:41 PM PST reply actions  

this might be the problem

He was his best as a 3rd/4th option who strictly scored. Almost an energy spark plug. He was still flawed on defense. he was still undersized. Nothing has changed in Monta other than a worse supporting cast, higher use-age rate. He’s become a better player. Just not a good enough one to be worth 11 million a year. The more i think about it, this might really be the case.

A crude example: the warriors paid a Leandro Barbosa type player to be Kobe Bryant.

by tafkasam on Mar 2, 2010 3:49 PM PST up reply actions  

A crude example: the warriors paid a Leandro Barbosa type player to be Kobe Bryant.

Definitely crude, if only because he’s paid more like…..well, I don’t know exactly, because Hoopshype only gives the top 30 NBA salaries and the last player on that list (Chris Paul) is still making $2.5M more than Monta (and keep in mind Monta’s contract doesn’t escalate).

by Missing Barry on Mar 2, 2010 4:18 PM PST up reply actions  

Considering Cohan won't pay the luxury tax

11 mil is about 20% of our total cap. Eitherway he is our highest paid player, but isn’t necessarily deserving of that.

by tafkasam on Mar 2, 2010 4:28 PM PST up reply actions  

It's much lower this year but you're right.

Most projections for next year are Cap at 52ish and luxury tax @60.

by tafkasam on Mar 2, 2010 5:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Tony Parker is pretty much exactly what I was hoping/expecting out of Monta. His ballhandling has really let me down.

by Missing Barry on Mar 2, 2010 6:14 PM PST up reply actions  

Tony can at least get to the line and pass too.

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 2, 2010 8:36 PM PST up reply actions  

Random question from a Blazers fan...

If the Monta/Curry duo ends up not looking like its going to work after this year would you be willing to part ways with Curry? I like Monta too, but his price tag would make him quite a bit harder to work with. But Curry is still cheap so i’m focusing on him.

I’m wondering what exactly you think it would take to trade Curry.

Would Curry for Rudy Fernandez + Jerryd Bayless get it done?

I asked that to Blazer fans and they seem to think we’d be giving up to much for Curry…. But we tend to over value our players here in Portland.

What do you think?

by In Walks Rudy on Mar 2, 2010 4:01 PM PST reply actions  

In a word: No

Curry is arguably the most valuable player on our entire team. Among the reporters/posters who don’t believe a Curry/Ellis backcourt can be successful, I don’t know of one among them who suggests we get rid of Curry instead of Ellis. The bottom line is that Monta’s skill set (one dimensional scorer) is much easier to replace than Curry’s.

by randolphforpresident on Mar 2, 2010 4:14 PM PST up reply actions  

Is this a serious q?

You do realize Curry is pushing hard for ROY. You realize he’s put up over 20 ppg, 6+ apg, almost 5 rpg since January 1 (27 games) with a TS% of 57.8%! (just worked that out). This kid is only positive for the Warriors

I’ll make sure to go ask BlazersEdge if you’d consider Monta + Morrow 4 BRoy (though I feel like we’re giving up a lot there ;))

by tafkasam on Mar 2, 2010 4:17 PM PST up reply actions  

lol, yes my question was serious

and no didn’t realize just how great he’s been playing. I’ve only watched a few times and his shot is just insanely good. I’m not trying to insult by asking how much you value him.

by In Walks Rudy on Mar 2, 2010 4:24 PM PST up reply actions  

Fair enough

Pretty much he’s only player Warriors fans agree upon as our future.

I do love Batum though (and did last year too). Any chance at him?

by tafkasam on Mar 2, 2010 4:30 PM PST up reply actions  

I think i proposed trying to swoop Batum + fillers (I think outlaw)....

in beginning of year when he was hurt 4 Stephen Jackson when he acted out, saying we’d go nowhere and Batum was a great looking SF for the future and it’d benefit portland who were more a team of the now…..

I think it’s safe to say no one is getting Batum as a “throw in” anymore

by tafkasam on Mar 2, 2010 4:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Cury has done things that only a handful of rookies have ever done

He and Oscar Robertson are the only rookies ever to have 3 30 point games and 3 13 assist games in one month. He also had a trible double.

by duballers23 on Mar 2, 2010 4:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Short of Roy and Oden (and even then I’d have to think long and hard about it and have 10 doctors examine him), there’s not really anything you guys have that would pry Curry away from the Warriors. Monta is your only chance.

by Missing Barry on Mar 2, 2010 4:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Umm hb Oden and Rudy for Curry.
I’d do that….and you take Maggettes contract. I’d MAYBE consider that.

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 2, 2010 5:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Would Curry for Rudy Fernandez + Jerryd Bayless get it done?

  no, Curry-bury for oden would however.

Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.

by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 2, 2010 5:52 PM PST up reply actions  

then monta 4 thabeet + mayo....

5 center lineup? Turiaf at point, Hunter at the two, Biedrins at point forward, Thabeet at power forward and Oden at center?

by tafkasam on Mar 2, 2010 8:21 PM PST up reply actions  

Really?

you want an oft injured big man for Curry?

Or when you say Curry do you mean Maggeturry

by saint.dee on Mar 2, 2010 8:29 PM PST up reply actions  

That oft injured big man is an impact player when he plays. If he stays healthy, heck yes I want Oden on my team.

by Missing Barry on Mar 2, 2010 8:55 PM PST up reply actions  

but i want other pieces along with oden because there is no guarantee that Oden will be healthy.

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 2, 2010 9:04 PM PST up reply actions  

I would trade Monta for an “Oden-esque” player. But not for Oden himself. Dude has issues.

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 3, 2010 9:00 AM PST up reply actions  

Oden

Yeah, I’ll pass on him if Curry is involved. I wouldn’t even consider it one tiny bit.

The Ultimate Opportunist

by Rated-R Superstar on Mar 2, 2010 9:06 PM PST up reply actions  

You have to at least have your doctors look at Oden, right? Healthy Oden > Curry.

by Missing Barry on Mar 2, 2010 9:39 PM PST up reply actions  

and who is going to set up this Healthy Oden with easy baskets huh? Monta?

by randolphforpresident on Mar 2, 2010 11:25 PM PST up reply actions  

I think Oden is good enough to do that by himself.

by DubsFan408 on Mar 2, 2010 11:31 PM PST up reply actions  

No

He’s great on the boards and plays great defense when healthy, but he isn’t skilled offensively. He was never a dominant scorer at Ohio State even if he played there for just one year, but he wasn’t going to become one in two, three or four years.

The Ultimate Opportunist

by Rated-R Superstar on Mar 3, 2010 11:59 AM PST up reply actions  

Who cares, we’ll actually have a legitimate defensive presence. Defense, you know, that thing you do when the other team has the ball? No? Never heard of it? Well I’ve heard it’s important.

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 7:19 AM PST up reply actions  

and who is going to set up this Healthy Oden with easy baskets

our new point guard JohnWall

Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.

by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 5, 2010 10:22 AM PST up reply actions  

Are you Crazy??!!!

There is NO WAY the Dubs front office would even think about that trade. I would no longer be a Warriors fan if they did….

Plus i think Curry is pretty untouchable at this point. Dont think the Dubs are thinking about trading him at all

God Willing...

by RunTMCfan on Mar 3, 2010 7:45 AM PST up reply actions  

:) I've come to the conclusion you guys love Curry

lol. I’m sorry for making such a crappy trade Idea. I guess i’ll just have to start watching more GS games to get my Curry fix.

by In Walks Rudy on Mar 3, 2010 9:06 AM PST up reply actions  

You should check out the stats/gamelogs and see how he’s been performing recently. Always good signs from a rookie to perform like that. Also, quality is better than quantity, we’re looking for a star and trading a guy like Curry for multiple lesser players makes us worse. One of the players in the deal would have to be pretty close to as good (both now and in the future) as Curry.

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 9:21 AM PST up reply actions  

I totally agree with you on the quality is better than quantity

Its hard to come up with a fair trade when your constantly bombarded with the thinking that the players you have are full of potential. Blazer fans (the majority) seem to think the Bayless would be just as good if not better than Curry if he were playing for Don Nelson. I understand their reasoning (not that I agree with it) in that Nelson is way less controlling than Nate, and you have a much more free flowing, running offense. Either way, i’m glad you guys got Curry before the Knicks could grab him, lol. Later

by In Walks Rudy on Mar 3, 2010 10:47 AM PST up reply actions  

Ha, it’s funny to me – I constantly see people make claims that some player will be better in Nellie’s offense, but I’ve never seen a claim that a player will be worse in Nellie’s offense. If Nellie’s offense was so revolutionary/effective, everyone would be running it. It’s not, it’s just another system, and while I see an argument that Nellie might be better offensively than most (and probably worse defensively), it’s not like it’s a huge difference and everyone is just gonna magically get good under Nelson….

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 11:00 AM PST up reply actions  

Yep thats why I said I don't agree with that thinking.

I understand it, because faster offenses naturally give you more opportunities to score, get assists, rebounds and all that stuff so a players stats look better. His system isn’t making players play better, they’re just getting more chances to have the ball in their hands.

by In Walks Rudy on Mar 3, 2010 11:14 AM PST up reply actions  

Yep, their numbers (on the surface) might go up from a faster pace, but that also makes the other teams numbers go up, so the question is – does it make them any more effective? In certain cases it does – many of the “We Believe” players had their best years here, but at the same time, it’s just funny that people assume everyone will get better, which is definitely not the case.

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 11:37 AM PST up reply actions  

Curry vs Ellis

Curry -

Pros: Shoots 3’s very well and his FG % isn’t that bad either. He’s a pretty good passer and his ball handling is good for a PG. What’s good about him is that he’s headstrong. Doesn’t overreact to calls and is very mature, especially for a rookie. Also, he’s been trying to get his teammates involved lately, which is a good thing and his steals are always a plus.

Cons: He’s still developing since he’s still a rookie. Also, learning how to play the game and handling the minutes (seems tired lately with the heavy minutes). His 1 hand passing hurts the team here and there (half the times it gets deflected). Curry is also pretty foul prone too.

I like Curry though, he’s transitioning into a PG and is playing well these last couple of months, has more pros than cons.

Ellis -

Pros: He’s one of the league’s leading scorers, has a good mid range jump shot, and can slash to the rim easily. His passing ability seems a bit better. Decent defender while a good pick pocketer

Cons: – Shooting efficiency went down, taking a lot of shots, getting to the line but shooting a poor % (ft’s have never been Monta’s strength, even with the 07-08 version). Not even going to go in depth with his A/TO ratio and his ball handling is disappointing.

Overall, I still like Monta. I think that he was a better player before the whole tattoos and moped incident. He’s currently the best player on this team, weather Curry is the better PG or not.

I like your post, but some things I have to disagree with.

You can also tell that Monta doesn’t respect Curry as the PG of the team and takes the ball up court almost every time they are on the court together and tries to run the offense.

If Monta didn’t respect Curry, I think we’d see some tension between them already, but nothing really has happened. It might be more of a trust issue where Monta feels more comfortable running the point over Curry, but I don’t talk to Monta so I wouldn’t know :).

We can’t really just assume that Monta would play better playing off the ball. I know that he had a lot of success doing so when we had Baron Davis, but Curry is no Baron. Baron was a veteran and played like one. Better passer and play maker than Curry, but he’s just a rookie so we’ll see. Part of the reason why Monta had much success in 07-08 is because he rarely took 3’s and took less shots. Of course when you take a bunch of shots on a daily basis (especially bad ones) you’re bound to miss some. The strongest part of his game is finishing at the rim (to me, he does less now) and his mid range jump shots. Chemistry is definitely a big part too. Monta felt comfortable playing alongside Baron and they had a strong connection.

On another note, I feel that Curry and Monta have chemistry with other players. Dunno if anyone noticed, but Curry often finds Turiaf in the paint a lot (I like to call that the Curriaf connection) along with Monta and Biedrins (no idea what to call this). Curry is becoming the better PG than Monta (if not, already is) but got to give Monta some credit, he does find open guys at times.

by DubsFan408 on Mar 2, 2010 9:23 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

His tats are the worst in the league.

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 2, 2010 9:35 PM PST up reply actions  

Why does everyone feel the need to make such a big deal about tattoos? I just don’t see what the noteworthy aspect of them is.

(I agree from a visual standpoint I’m not a fan of what Monta’s done, but that’s just personal preference rather than something against his character)

by Missing Barry on Mar 2, 2010 9:41 PM PST up reply actions  

I just find it weird that in one summer he got tons of tats, jumped off a moped, lied about, sulked about it, and acted immature as all heck. Who was he hanging out with? Jack? Zeebo?
And I personally am against Tatoos on players….. seriously a couple are okay, but being covered in them is disgusting. Lebron is the only guy who pulls it off well.

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 2, 2010 9:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Who are you to judge someones tatoos?

To many people they are body art. Thats like calling out someones basketball skills because you hate their shoes.

You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk

by LostHawkGSW on Mar 2, 2010 10:56 PM PST up reply actions  

I’m against tatoos on players because this is the NBA where the average player makes 5.5 million a year, and i expect them to look decent, and not have tatoos all over themselves like Iverson, JR Smith, Monta, Jackson, etc. I’m okay with a little ink. Pierce and Baron have a meaningful tatoo about their childhood on their inner wrist but thats it.

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 3, 2010 12:43 AM PST up reply actions  

Honestly it doesn't matter

It doesn’t reflect on them as a person or there game. I’ve never heard anyone talk about CJ’s ink. He’s got quite a few himself

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 3, 2010 12:51 AM PST up reply actions  

Cj has one tatoo, that doesn’t take up much room. It looks good. it has quiet storm, his nickname, on it. What does Monta have? It looks like chains, and spikes. They look terrible. BTW who gets tatoos all over their legs like monta?

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 3, 2010 1:00 AM PST up reply actions  

No he's got lots more he just wears a sleeve so it doesn't look like it

He’s got at least 6-10. Also Monta’s are a picture of Mississippi , his initials, an angel, his family, and some bible verses. Where are you getting chains and spikes? They may look that way cause there poorly done and close together. And I agree with MB below me, you shouldn’t give someone expectations to think like you. Now were getting into a more personal thing that we have no business in

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 3, 2010 9:20 AM PST up reply actions  

i expect them to look decent

And that’s exactly my problem. Who are you to tell them how they should look and place those kinds of expectations on them? Why should someone be expected to look a certain way that someone else wants them to. If it was something that actually affected their performance – showing up with tats, looking like a bum if you’re a salesman who does a lot of face to face, for instance, sure, I could see that, but it’s not related to their job, and if they choose to look a certain way, that’s certainly their right. I hate the attitude that people have that expects others to present themselves in a way they [being the first group of people] prefer.

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 7:22 AM PST up reply actions  

+10

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 3, 2010 9:20 AM PST up reply actions  

He has bad tats — its like the artist who did them can’t really draw. if you’re going to permanently alter your body, you might as well make sure it looks high quality.

by Str8baller on Mar 3, 2010 12:06 PM PST up reply actions  

(I agree from a visual standpoint I’m not a fan of what Monta’s done, but that’s just personal preference rather than something against his character)

-Missing Barry

;)

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 12:28 PM PST up reply actions  

He has bad tats — its like the artist who did them can’t really draw. if you’re going to permanently alter your body, you might as well make sure it looks high quality.

Good tattoos aren’t cheap. Cheap tattoos aren’t good.

by jae on Mar 3, 2010 12:35 PM PST up reply actions  

But thrifty!

"I could be chasing an untamed ornithoid without cause."

by olympicmike on Mar 4, 2010 1:57 PM PST up reply actions  

And I personally am against Tatoos on players

 and I’m against guys telling others how they should look.

Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.

by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 5, 2010 10:28 AM PST up reply actions  

I don't think it's at all the fact that he's gotten tattoos

It’s just those paisley tatts of Monta’s shows a tendency toward inextricable bad taste.

by War Years Legacy on Mar 3, 2010 12:51 AM PST up reply actions  

Bad taste in art or as a person?

Cause I’m not sure if your talking about poor mindsets or a poor choice of ink

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 3, 2010 12:52 AM PST up reply actions  

His tats are the worst in the league.

 good thing they don’t affect his play then

Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.

by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 5, 2010 10:27 AM PST up reply actions  

I think this is pretty accurate

And yes, Monta does find people at times. I think that’s usually when a play sets up players to be at certain spots on the floor. When a play breaks down and he has to make something up on the fly, Monta’s natural mindset is to think score, whereas Curry’s natural mindset is to think where the other players are.

As for Monta taking a lot of shots, we also have to factor in the variable that he’s now the team leader, which means he now shoulders the responsibility and pressures of helping the team win. When his teammates have nothing going, the pressure falls completely on him to do something. Any mistrust, doubts, or frustrations that he has about his teammates’ reliability will be amplified by that pressure. Combine that with Monta’s competitiveness to win, and he’s less likely to pass it and more likely to shoot it and try to get it done himself.

It reminds me of a Kobe Bryant story a few years ago. From what I remember, he was criticized because he kept shooting and hogging the ball, and didn’t pass to his teammates, because he didn’t trust his teammates. Then one game, he didn’t take a shot in the 2nd half and instead deferred to his teammates. I think his teammates failed to deliver, and the Lakers lost. So Kobe got criticized for not taking shots. I think the story was that Kobe took most of the shots because his teammates simply weren’t that reliable, and Kobe wanted to win, so he tried to win it himself.

by IQofaWarrior on Mar 2, 2010 10:19 PM PST up reply actions   2 recs

Difference is Kobe Bryant was a lot better then.

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 2, 2010 10:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Thats not the point

Unneeded contradiction

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 3, 2010 12:54 AM PST up reply actions  

I think the story was that Kobe took most of the shots because his teammates simply weren’t that reliable, and Kobe wanted to win, so he tried to win it himself.

Well, the question the coach and player should be asking themselves is “are those shots Monta/Kobe take better than the shots their teammates would take instead”, and the problem most of us have is the evidence, in this case, points to “no”.

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 7:26 AM PST up reply actions  

Not fair

While I do think Kobe is overrated (in the sense it’s ridiculous the media say he’s better/on par with Lebron), he is still a VERY elite player.

The 2 years you refer to where his useage was sky high (post shaq/pre-bynum emerging/gasol) he still had a TS% of .560 making him efficient, just not elitely efficient. However his defense was MILES better than Monta, probably holding players below an average efficiency aka only widening the gap. Monta is below average efficient (for how high volume he is) WHILE not defending well enough (mostly cause of physical limitations).

In 2004-2005 he only played 66 games and laters went 28-38 with him and 5-11 without him. That was statistically his worst year with only a 43.3FG%

However everyone overlooks in 2005-6 he led lakers to a 48-34 averaging an awesome 31.1 ppg at a decently efficient rate .560 (TS%) while being all NBA first team defense (something Monta won’t get a single nomination for, let alone a vote)

Kobe did have his lowest assists per 36 (since bieng a teenager that season though). But what you fail to mention, on that 05-06 team there was only one player who shot more efficiently than kobe… Brian Cook, a role player getting 19 mpg. They were only a 7 seed who got bounced from playoffs quickly, but only because it was a SUPER competitive west. In many ways you could say it was individually Kobe’s best year

by tafkasam on Mar 3, 2010 9:01 AM PST up reply actions  

the problem most of us have is the evidence, in this case, points to "no".

This sentence was specific to Monta.

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 9:23 AM PST up reply actions  

So many people on this site are undervaluing Monta right now. He is an extremely talented scorer who gets to the rim as well as anyone in the league. He has had way too much pressure lumped on him this year by Nellie forcing him to play 40+ every night and not guiding his decision-making process at all. This is also the reason the team plays better without Monta: they are not coached to continue to be aggressive with Monta in the game, so they defer to him and stop sharing the ball. Is it Monta’s fault that these guys play better without him? I really don’t see how you can make that argument. Nellie and the rest of the coaches are the ones at fault.

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 3, 2010 8:56 AM PST up reply actions  

He is an extremely talented scorer who gets to the rim as well as anyone in the league

Yeah he’s super exciting. But he shoots 46% without getting to line often, or hitting 3’s very effectively (while taking too many). He may be more exciting than other players but he just isn’t as good.

You realize his true shooting percentage doesn’t rank him in the top 50 AMONG SHOOTING GUARDS! Thats awful. Granted alot of those players r role players like belinelli/Morrow. But even among starting SG’s he’s in bottom 10

by tafkasam on Mar 3, 2010 9:12 AM PST up reply actions  

46% is pretty good

And his 3’s are actually the same as Kobe’s (32%), and if we nitpick he is slightly better than him in that category.

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 3, 2010 9:25 AM PST up reply actions  

kobe is 32% this year… but his career is higher w/ 35-36 being his average last few years

by tafkasam on Mar 3, 2010 9:40 AM PST up reply actions  

46% is good if you play defense

The cavs and celtics can shoot 46% cause of there D. We cannot

by tafkasam on Mar 3, 2010 9:40 AM PST up reply actions  

Thats a different conversation about defense

As an individual being worked as much as he is it’s pretty good

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 3, 2010 9:49 AM PST up reply actions  

46% is pretty good


“46%” is very different from 46% while also getting to the line and having a significant percentage of the makes from behind the arc. FG% on its own is limited accordingly. That’s not nitpicking. It’s facing reality.

by jae on Mar 3, 2010 12:31 PM PST up reply actions  

ESPN just had an article about this

“Secondary Percentage” which is the difference between a players FG% and their TS%. It was primarily about Chauncey Billups, who has a crumby FG% but a very good TS% because 40% of his shots are threes (40+ 3P%) and he shoots 90% from the line.
Monta’s FG% seems good, but he only gets to the line 6 times a game and shoots 75% from there. He also isn’t a good three point shooter, so he doesn’t make it up there. His TS% of 51 just isn’t good.

by Reverend_Randy on Mar 3, 2010 6:44 PM PST up reply actions  

In addition, I don’t really think he gets to the rim as well as anyone in the league. I would say Maggette gets to the rim better (tends to draw a foul) as evidenced by his effectiveness compared to Monta (TS%), but more importantly, I think there are a lot of guys like Wade, Lebron, Rondo, Parker, and others that get to the rim better than Monta. Monta has the tools to be in their class, but until he cleans up his ballhandling, he’s always going to have turnover problems and distribution/poor shot selection problems when he drives that these other guys don’t have.

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 9:26 AM PST up reply actions  

Fine, maybe not as well as Wade and Lebron, but we are talking about real people, not androids.

There are so many things conspiring against Monta being an effective and efficient player this year that I do not really think it is fair to judge. In the past he has shown no ego at all about deffering to another ball handler and I am confident he can see as well as anyone else that Curry is becoming an elite distributor.

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 3, 2010 10:20 AM PST up reply actions  

In the past he has shown no ego at all about deffering to another ball handler and I am confident he can see as well as anyone else that Curry is becoming an elite distributor.

Or was he just surrounded by equally selfish players like Baron, Jack, Al who need “there shots” where as this team will just feed monta

by tafkasam on Mar 3, 2010 10:26 AM PST up reply actions  

Well that is a valid concern. But you can’t blame Monta if his teammates go slack jawed and stand in the corner when he is on the floor. They need to be just as assertive, and the coaches need to make sure that they are. More to the point, if Monta is not the primary ball handler then the decision will not be in his hands as to who gets the shot (see what I did there?). Again, maybe he’s wrong for this team, but it is not because of his ability to mesh with the other players on offense.

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 3, 2010 10:49 AM PST up reply actions  

he's still just an undersizes scorer @ the 2

Leandro Barbosa. He scored just as efficiently (actually MUCH MORE) as monta did in 07-08. He was suns 3rd/4th option really….. and thats what monta is ideally.

Problem is he’s paid to be “the guy” and he never was, or never will be

by tafkasam on Mar 3, 2010 10:54 AM PST up reply actions  

Problem is he’s paid to be "the guy" and he never was, or never will be

I disagree. He’s not paid to be “the” guy. He’s paid to be an important part of the team, no doubt, but centerpieces on contenders are paid a lot more than $11M, especially since Monta was expected to improve more when he was given his contract.

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 11:03 AM PST up reply actions  

Well, as I’ve laid out more than a couple times, we’re still looking for top talent/star player(s)……so, hopefully we find it soon!

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 12:01 PM PST up reply actions  

We need 4-5 players who are as good at doing other complementary things as Monta is at getting to the rack. Fortunately, we appear to have an elite passer, an elite shooter, and two elite rebounders already on the roster. Now I know there was something else we needed…starts with a “D” maybe?

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 3, 2010 1:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Fortunately, we appear to have an elite passer

I don’t think that anyone on the Warriors presently qualifies as an elite passer. I assume you mean Curry, as I can’t see anyone else about whom you could possibly be mentioning. 5.4 assists per 36 and an A:TO ratio under 2 is far, far, far from elite. Could he wind up being quite good? Perhaps, but presently, he is far, far, far from elite.

by jae on Mar 3, 2010 2:05 PM PST up reply actions  

problem with what you say

(aside from jae’s point curry isn’t elite yet) is we need players who can do ALL things, not just a rebounding specialist with no offense or defense. A shooting specialist who can’t dribble or defend etc. etc.

by tafkasam on Mar 3, 2010 3:06 PM PST up reply actions  

I was being slightly facetious in that comment above, although I do think that Curry is on the road to “Elite Passer” status. He sees the floor so well and is able to make passes that other guys just aren’t. I saw a couple situations last night where someone else actually got an assist because they were able to make the extra pass after Curry set them up brilliantly. I also think his assist numbers would benefit greatly from having better teammates around him.

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 3, 2010 4:25 PM PST up reply actions  

although I do think that Curry is on the road to "Elite Passer" status.

Dunno that he’ll ever be an ‘elite’ passer. But he can be a very effective PG. He also shoots better than almost every PG in nba right now.

I’m still a big fan of teams who move the ball well w/o having 1 central play-maker. Sure it works with a central playmaker if you have chris paul or jason kidd, but for the majority of teams that isnt the case. We’d benefit greatly but surrounding Curry with more good/willing passers.

for me, the biggest issue with Monta is he’s never been that player. not in 07-08 not now. He’s always been just a scorer. He gets some assists but he looks to go straight to basket first without surveying the court, he doesn’t particularly move well without the ball. I don’t think anything has changed in his game (nor should it) except now he’s option #1 and drawing best defender where as 2 years ago he drew 3rd defender. I really think he’s just a glorified 6th man scorer on a good team. Barboa/Terry type player. Making his contract VERY toxic if we don’t move him now

by tafkasam on Mar 4, 2010 8:56 AM PST up reply actions  

Doesn't move well without the ball?

People have short memories…

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 4, 2010 9:38 AM PST up reply actions  

Well out of his 5 seasons, he only did it well in one.

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 4, 2010 4:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Let’s keep in mind, out of those “5 seasons”, one he was a rookie straight out of HS who only averaged 18 minutes per game and didnt play much more than half the games on the season, and another he played less than a third of the season after coming back from a serious ankle injury….

by Missing Barry on Mar 5, 2010 5:37 AM PST up reply actions  

…and in another, his entire supporting cast was lost to injuries.

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 5, 2010 10:16 AM PST up reply actions  

He actually did it well in both the We Believe year and the year after. His TS% was pretty good both years.

Other than this year, those were the only 2 meaningful full seasons he has had. so you really can’t call 2 out of 3 full seasons an outlier.

by FitzPRSpin on Mar 5, 2010 4:26 PM PST up reply actions  

Well as in league average player on offense to go along with his horrendous defense?

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 5, 2010 5:39 PM PST up reply actions  

His defense used to be bad

It’s gotten much better, he still reaches but is much better

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 5, 2010 8:06 PM PST up reply actions  

I wasn’t referring to now. He was talking about 06-07 and thats what i was referring to as well.

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 5, 2010 8:20 PM PST up reply actions  

I guess I dont quite remember the stats league-wide from that year. Was 16.5 pts on 48% shooting with 4 assists the league average?

by FitzPRSpin on Mar 6, 2010 12:57 PM PST up reply actions  

His Per 36 and TS% came out to average.

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 6, 2010 3:48 PM PST up reply actions  

Just curious about your definition of “average”, as there are 350+ players in the league and he was top 60 in points/36.

Granted, maybe only 250ish of those players (about 8/team) play significant minutes. But, by definition, he was well above average.

Outside of simply looking at stats, he was also awarded most improved, so quite a few people who follow basketball much more than you or I apparently thought he was better than average.

Just playing devil’s advocate here, but your definition of “league average offensive player” seems to be pretty skewed to prove your point.

by FitzPRSpin on Mar 6, 2010 6:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Most awards voted on by the press, by fans and coaches are a recognition of scoring. I haven’t found the awards to be particularly meaningful and I don’t think that as a group, the voters are terribly astute in their judgment. “Most improved” almost always goes to someone who increased his per game scoring average considerably, even if the bulk of the increase was just through more playing time and/or more shots taken. I don’t think that the most improved was “outside of looking at stats.” One statistic in particular flavored the voting.

by jae on Mar 6, 2010 9:06 PM PST up reply actions  

Then why is it used so often?

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 7, 2010 1:57 PM PST up reply actions  

For the same reason batting average is used so often in baseball – it’s easy to calculate, intuitive, and most importantly in my opinion – tradition.

by Missing Barry on Mar 7, 2010 2:34 PM PST up reply actions  

its still not good

not cause of lack of effort. Just cheer physical limitations

by tafkasam on Mar 7, 2010 10:47 PM PST up reply actions  

I honestly don't understand the point of pitting our two best players against each other...

All this seems like hurtful speculation to me. You don’t know what’s on Curry’s mind and you don’t know what’s on Monta’s mind. Instead of jumping to conclusions of Monta being a ball hog, see how he incorporates himself into the offense with a healthy roster.

by Richboievans on Mar 2, 2010 11:22 PM PST reply actions  

Hurtful

It’s not like anyone that actually matters reads this blog.

by Reverend_Randy on Mar 2, 2010 11:29 PM PST up reply actions  

Word gets around to players though and they hear it

I remember in a chat room with Steph someone asked why him and Monta hate each other and he said he doesn’t know where this comes from and I remember he said they just left the weight room together. But of course lots could have changed from then to now. This was near the beginning of the year so maybe something we don’t know may have happened, CUrry may have said something or vice versa but we simply don’t know anything about them past there game and shouldn’t read to deeply into anything like this

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 3, 2010 12:57 AM PST up reply actions  

Steph "makes other players better" with his passing and decisions...

Monta doesn’t. Watching Steph abuse Miami on the pick and roll last night makes me give some consideration to the “Monta hurts Biedrins” argument.

by ToddFullerBaby! on Mar 3, 2010 7:26 AM PST reply actions  

The function of the PG is to make other guys better by getting them open looks. The function of the SG is to score the basketball. These guys do not play the same position. It is obvious at this point. Move on.

The argument that they cannot play together may in fact hold water, but it is entirely because of their defensive shortcomings, not their ability to generate a ton of points.

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 3, 2010 8:58 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

+100000000000000000000000000000000000000000000

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 3, 2010 9:28 AM PST up reply actions  

Well, a good SG should still make his teammates better…..

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 9:35 AM PST up reply actions  

a coach coach makes his players better

Kind of like turning 2nd rounders.dleaguers into nba players…

by tafkasam on Mar 3, 2010 4:22 PM PST up reply actions  

Our experience with D Leaguers just makes me think that there are way too many overpaid, over-the-hill veterans locked into bloated contracts in the NBA, not that we have some magical scouting prowess.

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 3, 2010 4:27 PM PST up reply actions  

our exerience w/ dleaguers...

proves nellie runs a gimmick system where you don’t need to play actual defense, just gamble and be able to run the floor, fill lanes and shoot.

Do you think a young buike, 1st year morrow, young cj and other dleaguers could play in 99% of nba teams . They can now, after years of pro experience, but it’s no different than say a jamario moon or roger mason who went overseas for years….

by tafkasam on Mar 3, 2010 4:31 PM PST up reply actions  

It seems to me that wings that can play offense are readily available, and basically a competent offensive wing who doesn’t do much else is a “replacement level” player. Our problem is finding wings that do more than 1 or 2 things….

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 5:03 PM PST up reply actions  

But Monta is running the PG position most of the time. He rarely lets anybody else initiate the offense…Thats the point…He needs to go back to SG and let Steph run the PG

God Willing...

by RunTMCfan on Mar 3, 2010 11:19 AM PST up reply actions  

determining who runs the point and initiates the offense…is the function of the coach

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 3, 2010 1:45 PM PST up reply actions  

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 3, 2010 9:28 AM PST up reply actions  

bottom line

and of course it is my opinion as many of you may throw stats in response….
monta and maggette need to go this offseason. there are too many wasted possessions and lazy defensive posessions while they are in the game. again, this is based off of what i see in games. not stats. as far as i know, there is no stat for maggette being lazy and watching a rebound go past him.

by diablo21911 on Mar 3, 2010 1:13 PM PST reply actions  

this is based off of what i see in games. not stats. as far as i know, there is no stat for maggette being lazy and watching a rebound go past him.

Um, yeah, there is – he doesn’t get credit for a rebound, whereas someone who’s not “being lazy and watching a rebound go past him” would. You know that statistics are just a record of what actually happens – that is, at it’s core, all the stats are doing is recording what you’re seeing – right?

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 1:37 PM PST up reply actions  

Statistics are recording what is actually happening. What he’s seeing may well be something entirely different from what actually happened. Suggesting that Maggette lets an extraordinary number of rebounds go past him would indicate that what happens and what he sees are not equivalent.

by jae on Mar 3, 2010 2:09 PM PST up reply actions  

what i'm seeing

is maggette having the chance to not be lazy and get more rebounds. play better defense. have a better shot selection.

by diablo21911 on Mar 3, 2010 4:02 PM PST up reply actions  

This inane debate again?

Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!

by Supafishal on Mar 3, 2010 4:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, Maggette’s not much of a defender, we all know that. He’s one of the most efficient scorers in basketball, though, while rebounding at a high rate for a SF, so those two arguments don’t carry any water. What you see, frankly, is wrong in those regards.

by Missing Barry on Mar 3, 2010 5:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Better shot selection?
He has a TS% over 62%. He’s taking the right shots.

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 3, 2010 7:28 PM PST up reply actions  

This whole topic is getting crazy....

Get over it… Curry is no Monta. They are completely different players and at times Curry has looked very good without Monta there, but he has looked bad at times too. Im sorry but everyone that knocks monta for his efficiency cannot be overly impressed by curry’s numbers the last two games.

People need to relax. We have not have a healthy team all season. Not saying we would be a fantastic team, but Kelena, Bell, Randolph, Wright, Beidrins and Turiaf (from the season start) would have had a decent size impact on our record and competitiveness in this league.

Monta is not to Blame and Curry is a good young player. I am not writing this duo off just yet as I have seen great improvement from curry and Monta will always score no matter if he is at the 1 or the 2.

by shooter1525 on Mar 4, 2010 12:41 AM PST reply actions  

The one thing that we can count on is that

you will use half the punctuation that you should.

by Reverend_Randy on Mar 4, 2010 1:00 AM PST up reply actions  

Im sorry but everyone that knocks monta for his efficiency cannot be overly impressed by curry’s numbers the last two games.

Judging a player by two games will lead to many, many flawed decisions. Overall, Curry has been rather efficient. If you have reason to believe that the last two games are somehow more indicative of his future than the previous 50 or so, you should voice why you feel this way. If you’re merely taking two games to try to justify that it’s ok for Monta to be inefficient more often than not, you’re not making a good case at all.

by jae on Mar 4, 2010 4:09 AM PST up reply actions  

Dictating players by one year is no way to judge each other

See what I did there?

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 4, 2010 9:39 AM PST up reply actions  

All I am saying is that.

You can make an argument that Monta may take enough defensive attention off of curry which allows him to be so efficient. With Monta out the last two games you got to see a defense actually key in on curry and his numbers were not overly impressive. Not saying he is a bad player, not saying he is a good player.

I will say that it is way too soon to tell how good or bad of a backcourt Monta and Curry can be. But everyone who argues that Baron affected Monta in such a positive way because he drew defensive attention away from Monta could easily say that Monta takes the attention away from Curry allowing him to be more efficient as well.

by shooter1525 on Mar 4, 2010 8:40 PM PST up reply actions  

Let's look at the other games that Monta was out

didn’t Curry have his triple double and a couple other incredible games without Monta?

by Reverend_Randy on Mar 4, 2010 9:27 PM PST up reply actions  

No, Curry has been efficient the whole season. Monta “drawing attention” doesn’t do anything. Monta is never doubled. Monta never gives it up when two or three players are coming at him. If this were so maybe you have a valid point, but Monta doesn’t make life easier for teammates, he makes it harder.

banned like chris andersen

by MDB on Mar 4, 2010 9:28 PM PST up reply actions  

You can make an argument that Monta may take enough defensive attention off of curry which allows him to be so efficient.

And that’s the sort of argument that you can address with real data. If Curry is significantly less efficient when Monta is out of the lineup, then you’ve got evidence. I do not know that this is the case, but given that most players do not show strong effects of teammates on their efficiency, the null is that Curry is efficient because he’s efficient.

by jae on Mar 5, 2010 3:47 AM PST up reply actions  

Curry overall this season:
35.5 min/gm 15.6 pts 5.3 assists 4.2 reb 2.9 TO 45.6 FG% 55.7 TS%

Curry when Monta is out:
42.1 min/gm 22.1 pts 7.5 assists 5.6 reb 3.8 TO 42.1 FG% 52.3 TS%

Interesting, but way too small a sample size, is Curry with Monta out against playoff level teams:
40 min/gm 15.8 pts 5.5 assists 3.8 reb 3.8 TO 33.3 FG% 41 TS%

I would tend to say this gives evidence to Curry being more efficient with Ellis in the lineup, though it is a very small sample size.

Also, you could argue it also shows how playing 40+ minutes a game leads to considerably decreased efficiency.

by FitzPRSpin on Mar 5, 2010 11:10 AM PST up reply actions  

Thanks for the info. Interesting numbers – not sure what to make of it, but definitely interesting anyways.

by Missing Barry on Mar 5, 2010 11:55 AM PST up reply actions  

I would tend to say that you’ve still got a tiny, tiny sample size without proper controls.

A more meaningful look would be those minutes where Monta was on the court and those where he wasn’t. Those 35mpg aren’t all “with Monta” minutes. The within game splits do a much better job of controlling for the opponents and any other limits of the Warriors own lineup on a given night.

by jae on Mar 5, 2010 12:48 PM PST up reply actions  

I agree with the sample size issue, just thought the numbers were interesting.

The problem I still have with any stats presented about with/without player x on the floor is that no stat factors in the opposing players on the floor at the same time.

CJ, for example, played a lot of his minutes (not all) the first half of the season against the back end of the opposing bench in blowout situations where there was more than likely a lot less pressure by the defense. You obviously cant put everything into this argument, but it can’t be discounted when talking about how the team played.

by FitzPRSpin on Mar 5, 2010 1:13 PM PST up reply actions  

The problem I still have with any stats presented about with/without player x on the floor is that no stat factors in the opposing players on the floor at the same time.

Well, this isn’t entirely true. You can control for strength of opponent, but you rather rapidly get to the same problem that I see with adjusted plus-minus: the standard error tends to dwarf the actual measure.

Nonetheless, I’ve seen very little indication that the “strength of opponent”, over a reasonable sample, plays much of a role in individual player statistics. I did some preliminary stuff looking at how players performed with varying numbers of opponent starters on the court. It’s rarely the case that starters are only playing against other starters because most teams don’t really engage in much substitution matching (e.g. starter goes out on one team, other team pulls their starter at the same time) with the exception of some big men.

A perfect way of looking at it? No, and of course all teams do not have similarly strong starters, but if there were a strong “opponent strength” influence, one would expect that the average number of starters (usually the team’s best players) would influence how players do. It may be a factor, but it doesn’t seem to be a significant factor. To this degree, you can largely discount a bunch of the opponent strength factor when you’re talking about players who are playing a signficant amount of their team’s minutes.

How many of the minutes has CJ actually played against “back end” players vs. starters? That’s a real number. Hypothesizing that it’s many and thus he looks better doesn’t match up with the pattern I’ve observed for most of the NBA.

by jae on Mar 5, 2010 3:15 PM PST up reply actions  

We all have to agee that Monta is a developing"talent"....

Question seems to be …is he the “right” talent for the team now..since talent is so hard to aquire and we have not had a full team in 2 years to observe if Monta can develope/is flexible… into the right component or is willing etc……we should give it a chance. He is still young and seems to be doing what has been expected of him from the coaches ie: in the early season shoulder the scoring for the injured team along with Maggette….now that Curry has emerged(and Morrow is back on tract as well) everyone is looking back with short memories and calling Monta’s play selfish..unfair I think..since he is a natural scorer without much help then I think he just pushed what he does best…..why assume too fast that he would not be able to evolve with the full team in play and decent coaching…….hate to discover that he can “after” he ison someone else
’s team……I have to admit that I am pessimistic that we would actually get equal talent back if we unload him………..everyone talks about grabbing the best talent available rather than need in the draft but is willing to give away young developing talent in a trade for lower talent compatility….I dont quite get that……

by Only In Fairfax on Mar 9, 2010 12:09 PM PST reply actions  

We all have to agee that Monta is a developing"talent"….

Is there a law? We have to agree? I agree that he’s got impressive physical talents and when used correctly, he’s performed rather well. But as to the developing part, I don’t think there’s anything compulsory about agreeing that he’s still developing. He’s 24, an age where most players are at or near their peaks.

by jae on Mar 9, 2010 3:44 PM PST up reply actions  

You may have to explain where you are getting the idea that most players are at or near their peak at 24.

Listen to many NBA analysts (not going to call them experts, but still know more than anyone on this site) talk about LeBron (not comparing to Monta obviously, but general age topic), for example. He is currently 25, and so often the analysts make comments to the effect of “he’s only 25 and he’s this good, imagine what he’s going to be like in his prime.”

Jordan didn’t start winning championships until he was 27. John Stockton didn’t hit his stride until 26/27. Wade is 28 and has been improving his all around game over the last 2 or 3 years. Players still have a ton to learn in their mid to late 20s, and most dont put it all together until this time.

Players who stay 3 or 4 years at college dont start playing in the league until 21/22. And they peak in their 3rd or 4th year? Curry is soon to be 22, and you think he will be at his best 2 or 3 years from now? I find this argument hard to believe.

by FitzPRSpin on Mar 9, 2010 8:36 PM PST up reply actions  

Listen to many NBA analysts (not going to call them experts, but still know more than anyone on this site)

I’m not sure that this statement is true, at least for certain aspects of knowledge. For instance, I know I have a much stronger statistical background than just about any NBA analyst you’ll find on TV, and if I sit down and take the time to learn/research the statistics side of basketball, I absolutely will end up knowing more about that particular aspect than they will, simply because I know more statistics than they do. Not that I’ve done that, but there are others on this site who know a lot more about basketball statistics than myself.

My guess as to Jae’s comment is it’s less about age and more about how long someone has been in the NBA. From listening to others, it seems the normal aging curve in the NBA has players developing a lot in their first ~3 or so years, and then any gains from there are marginal. Monta probably isn’t in his prime (or Lebron for that matter), but he has been in the league for 5 years now, and what Monta/Lebron are doing is likely very close to the peak production they’re ever going to achieve because they’ve already gone through the period where players tend to improve a lot, and now are at the point where they’ll see only small gains until they reach their prime, and then start declining from there….

by Missing Barry on Mar 9, 2010 9:20 PM PST up reply actions  

My guess as to Jae’s comment is it’s less about age and more about how long someone has been in the NBA.

I thought that, but it appears that absolute age is in fact rather important. Guys who enter the league younger tend to reach their peak only about a year younger than the guys who stayed in school longer. When I looked at guys playing less than 2 years of college, they seemed to improve up until about 24, where guys who played 2 or more years improved significantly up until about 25. It wasn’t what I expected to see, but it was what seems to be the case.

This doesn’t mean that every player follows the same curve and it may be that the absolute best players improve for longer. I don’t have those data breakdowns. But on average, peak is about 24-25, regardless of when someone enters the league, followed by an almost imperceptible slope down for a few years into the late 20s.

There’s an illusion that players tend to get better into their late 20s largely because they tend to play more minutes, inflating per game totals in most cases. it’s possible that less easily measured aspects like defense improve for longer as well, but for most measured aspects of the game, the pattern holds. The additional minutes may be that coaching staffs, now feeling heavily invested in a player (that age is around when a player gets his biggest boost in salary) feel the need to play these guys more, or may be for some other reason, but it doesn’t seem to be because the player is more productive on a per minute basis.

by jae on Mar 9, 2010 10:54 PM PST up reply actions  

but it doesn’t seem to be because the player is more productive on a per minute basis.

 Well yeah I think it could be? The good 27 year old players are more experienced at that age than the good younger players so they can actually play more minutes at higher productivity. The younger guys put up better numbers per minute in limited minutes than they would if they had to actually play those more minutes.
  It’s pretty much true of any profession, more experience gets the job done better, the only difference is that in sports the age of maximum performance comes a lot earlier and the career path is a lot more compressed, but there’s no reason to think that the body is failing at 25 even for an NBA player. It makes more sense that the plateau or slight downslope actually represents more responsibility on their own team and being the focus of the other team’s defense?

Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.

by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 9, 2010 11:11 PM PST up reply actions  

there’s no reason to think that the body is failing at 25 even for an NBA player

Actually, from the research I’ve seen, ~25 is basically people’s physical peak for both normal people and athletes. I would imagine their skills continue to improve after that, but physically, they lose some athleticism….

by Missing Barry on Mar 10, 2010 7:46 AM PST up reply actions  

Depending on the sport, there is an intersection of skill and physical ability can occur at different ages. If I recall correctly, major league pitchers tend to lose some zip on their pitches after about 24, but continue to see their control improve into the next decade. Their ‘peak’ tends to occur some time in between.

Baseball players often play into their mid to late 30s. This is not common for basketball players. Roughly 10% of all MLB players were 35 or older last year. Only 3% of NBA players were as old. My guess (speculation) is that the gain in skill just doesn’t offset the decline in physical ability as well in basketball. Outside shooting seems to improve in many players. So does FT shooting. But overall, most of what we can measure declines after 25.

I think the illusion that some players ‘learn how to win’ is really a product of those rare very, very good players finally finding themselves in situations where they had teammates good enough to get them over the hump towards a championship. It takes time for management to get the rest of the pieces in place once they realize that they’ve got a special talent, to decide to mortgage the future for a title as the window starts to close. That may make it appear that the star finally figures it all out even if nothing changes about the player.

by jae on Mar 10, 2010 8:55 AM PST up reply actions  

My guess (speculation) is that the gain in skill just doesn’t offset the decline in physical ability as well in basketball.

   I’d have to agree with that, basketball takes a lot more pure physical exertion than most sports. I’ve never needed to call a time out in baseball or football simply to catch my breath :>)

Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.

by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 10, 2010 9:24 AM PST up reply actions  

You may have to explain where you are getting the idea that most players are at or near their peak at 24.

I am basing this on data that David Berri ran looking at every player over the last few decades and showing that on average their peak productivity came at about 24.

I would suggest that you don’t try to refute it with anecdotal evidence, especially in cases like Wade, where he was more productive at 25 than he is currently.

by jae on Mar 9, 2010 10:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Agree that there may be only small gains from a production standpoint (Jordan put up better stats in the years before the championships). For many though (Nowitzki, McGrady, Joe Johnson, Billups, Gerald Wallace, Redd, KG, Ray Allen), their production increased significantly after year 5.

Not only looking at production/stats, but from a “better basketball player” standpoint, encompassing more “game intelligence”, picking up the nuances of the league, how to win, perfecting your strengths, most players’ games continue to improve well into their late 20s.

LeBron is no where near his ceiling yet (scary), and to think that players like Monta (or Bynum, Bogut (same draft as Monta), Rudy Gay, Rondo, Aldridge (the year after)) aren’t still developing and improving seems foolish.

by FitzPRSpin on Mar 9, 2010 9:43 PM PST reply actions  

Monta already had a huge jump in production

he already made a big improvement as a player, and I haven’t seen him get noticably better since then. I think it’s more foolish to assume that he’ll get much better.

by Reverend_Randy on Mar 9, 2010 10:50 PM PST up reply actions  

There is no reason a 24 year old can't get better

And since his jump in production in 08’ he was injured and this year playing a bit out of position and asked to do way too much. When a player isn’t over worked or used correctly people start to think thats the true player himself. Same thing happened to Jack last year. Great player when used as a 2nd or 3rd guy but when forced into the 1st role does not look good. That doesn’t mean he isn’t a good player and can’t help you win especially since Jack and Monta were both on a team that got to the second round of the playoffs and almost won 50 games.

We all love the Warriors..
We all hate Cohan as an owner of this franchise…

by dubzfan on Mar 10, 2010 2:09 PM PST up reply actions  

Read what jae posted above

most players that played <2 years of college usually peak at 24.
I don’t doubt that he could return to his old production, but I think this is about as talented as Monta is ever going to be.

by Reverend_Randy on Mar 10, 2010 4:36 PM PST up reply actions  

I’m still not sure there has been any evidence of this presented, other than the study done by one guy (Berri) based only on the wins produced stat that he himself came up with.

There are other studies that have been done that show this isn’t the case, and there are many cases of recent players have improved greatly past this time.

I guess buying into Wins Produced as the end all stat for productivity is a requirement to the 24/25 peak argument.

by FitzPRSpin on Mar 10, 2010 8:33 PM PST up reply actions  

I guess buying into Wins Produced as the end all stat for productivity is a requirement to the 24/25 peak argument.

and not being older than 40 to see for yourself how aging works?

Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.

by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 10, 2010 10:23 PM PST up reply actions  

Issue here is productivity peak, not “athletic” peak. Things like court vision, decision making, etc. obviously don’t follow the same trend as how the body grows/matures.

by FitzPRSpin on Mar 11, 2010 4:06 PM PST up reply actions  

But things like court vision, decision making, etc do show up statistically. It may not be a perfect 1:1 relationship, but if these improvements don’t show up somewhere, like increasing scoring efficiency or taking better care of the ball and distributing better, then they’re pretty inconsequential to winning. Whether or not you believe that wins produced is an accurate measure of worth between players, those areas it measures do reflect things critical to winning: scoring efficiency, rebounding efficiency, turnovers, assists, blocks. Unless you’re speaking only of unmeasured defensive contributions (and there are some) it’s hard to fathom how one could improve without some of it showing up as an increase in wins produced. If there were improvement in any of the components, there would be improvement in the total. Yet it seems that on average, there isn’t improvement here after 25.

by jae on Mar 11, 2010 6:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, only sorta

the stat is compared to itself internally. He’s comparing a player’s win produced stat with itself.

There are other studies that have been done that show this isn’t the case, and there are many cases of recent players have improved greatly past this time.

I don’t really care about the second one. Anecdotes aren’t worth banking on. I do care about these other studies and would LOVE for you to show me them.

by Reverend_Randy on Mar 10, 2010 11:05 PM PST up reply actions  

You are producing anecdotal evidence to try to refute a general trend. Showing that some players seemed to improve after age 24 goes not change the general pattern. You are supporting your feeling only with your own feeling that it has to be right and reference to an unquantifiable opinion about being a “better basketball player” [quotes yours]. I have reason to believe real evidence. I have no reason to believe your opinion is worth more anything remotely equivalent to evidence.

by jae on Mar 9, 2010 10:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Got it. Seems like your argument is based solely on the Wins Produced-like stats, but if that is incorrect, my apologies. From what I understand about Berri’s studies, he puts a pretty heavy weight on rebounding, which tends to lower his version of the peak age. (Just so you know, not my opinion, but that claim has been made by some of his critics)

The problem is, there are many instances of players over the last 10 years or so that go completely against your 24/25 claim. You can write this off as “against the general pattern”, but it is valid nonetheless. Many players have improved considerably well into their late 20s. This is not to say that Monta (or other 24/25 yo players) will definitely improve, but to claim it as a certainty seems pretty short sighted.

Some interesting reads from basketball prospectus, if you are interested, that use other metrics that put the average peak age at right around 27.

by FitzPRSpin on Mar 10, 2010 12:12 AM PST up reply actions  

“but to claim that he wont improve”

by FitzPRSpin on Mar 10, 2010 12:13 AM PST up reply actions  

The problem is, there are many instances of players over the last 10 years or so that go completely against your 24/25 claim.

Please read more carefully and respond to what I wrote rather than what you thought I wrote or what you wish I’d written. Your inventive misrepresentation of what I’ve posted does not change what I’ve actually written.

A general pattern is a general pattern. Exceptions to it means that exceptions can occur. It does not mean that without additional evidence we should expect an exception. If I had made the claim that “all players peak at 24 or 25” the exceptions would go against my claim. But since this is not what I said, these exceptions aren’t counter to my “claim”. It is only counter to what you seem to be pretending I claimed.

but to claim it as a certainty seems pretty short sighted.


And to claim that this is what I said is not only short sighted, but flat out wrong. I challenge you to show me where made such a claim at all, let alone state it as a certainty. Don’t waste too much time on it. You won’t find it. I never said it. Those words were your invention, not mine. I did point out when someone said that we “have to agree” that he’s a “developing talent” that there’s reason to doubt that he’s still developing because he’s at an age where on average a player’s productivity has peaked. Please do notice the difference between this statement and saying that he won’t improve. They are very, very different things. I dislike it greatly when people tell me I said something that I most certainly did not.

by jae on Mar 10, 2010 5:07 AM PST up reply actions  

jae is there anything out there stats wise related to the curve of a mid/top level players ability to adjust his play to "make those around him better"?

That is the question with Monta’s future developement it seems, especially related to to the Warriors. His flexibility etc. or is it just chemistry/player attitude/basic smarts etc.?

by Only In Fairfax on Mar 10, 2010 3:26 PM PST up reply actions  

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