Greatest Shooters of All Time (Hollinger)
Solid article posted today by ESPN writing John Hollinger on trying to statistically find the greatest shooters of all time. In short Hollinger put together a simple man's methodology to this debate. He simply took every player in in league history and with the caveats that they must have played at least 10,000 minutes, have a career FT of at least 85% and career FG of at least 45% and then added them together with the the player's career 3PT percentage and subsequently ranked them.
Top All-Time Shooters By Combined Shooting Rating
| Player | 2-Pt% | 3-Pt% | FT% | CSR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash | .515 | .431 | .903 | 1.849 |
| Steve Kerr | .494 | .454 | .864 | 1.812 |
| Reggie Miller | .525 | .395 | .888 | 1.807 |
| Mark Price | .501 | .402 | .904 | 1.807 |
| Jeff Hornacek | .515 | .403 | .877 | 1.795 |
| Chris Mullin | .533 | .384 | .865 | 1.783 |
| Peja Stojakovic | .485 | .400 | .895 | 1.779 |
| Larry Bird | .509 | .376 | .886 | 1.770 |
| Ray Allen | .482 | .396 | .893 | 1.770 |
| Dana Barros | .488 | .411 | .858 | 1.757 |
Min. 10,000 career minutes
Normally this isn't type of research wouldn't be of much interest to Warrior fans. Other than the fact that Chris Mullin shows up #6. However it was the bit at the end of article that I think all Warriors fans should care a lot about. In short, Hollinger throws out which young guns he'd recommend we watch to see if they can crack this list. And two he highlighted were none other that Stephen Curry and Anthony Morrow.
Finally, two young players on the Golden State Warriors have established a great chance of finishing their careers near the top of this list. Rookie Stephen Curry is at 1.770 thus far in his brief career, and should that number hold up, he'll finish his career in the top 10. Since players' shooting often improves dramatically in their second through fifth seasons, he could finish as one of the top-ranked players of all time.
Then again, he also might finish second among current Warriors. Curry's teammate, Anthony Morrow, has played two NBA seasons as a part-time starter, and posted career marks of 48.8 percent on 2s, 45.9 percent on 3s and 87.6 percent from the line. That's good for a CSR of 1.822, which is better than every other player in history except Nash.
Obviously we're dealing with smaller sample sizes with those two, and it's possible they'll regress in future seasons. But when we discuss the great all-time shooters, those two are worth tracking in future seasons to see if they warrant a spot in the conversation.
Whoa... Hollinger having something good to say about a player, let alone two players on the Warriors' roster.
This FanPost is a submission from a member of the mighty Golden State of Mind community. While we're all here to throw up that W, these words do not necessarily reflect the views of the GSoM Crew. Still, chances are the preceding post is Unstoppable Baby!
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Every time Curry or Morrow shoots a 3 I feel a little bit happy on the inside. :)
Every time anyone else on the Warriors shoots a 3 I wonder why they didn’t let Morrow or Curry take it.
My feeling exactly. I wouldn’t mind Monta shooting 3’s, except, when I see Curry or Morrow or even worse, both of them, on the floor. It seems like a foolhardy thing, when the shot clock isn’t even running down hardly. Maggette, too, although less so.
Welcome to the Pit of Despair! Don't even think about trying to escape.
There's not a lot of thought or effort put into it
It may be interesting and all, but it’s really, really simplistic and barely counts as statistics. It looks like a fine metric to judge shooters, and it does pass the basic common sense tests (i.e. guys who are known to be the best show up in the top 10). Oftentimes, the most simplistic analysis is often the best. But that doesn’t mean this analysis pushes any statistical boundaries… at all. Thus, it hurts Hollinger’s reputation as a statistician. From this, he just looks like a writer who knows how to use basic excel functions.
Trust me, learning english isn’t a waste of time. It is actually sort of useful.
-randolphforpresident
by Dubs fan in Boston on Mar 9, 2010 12:46 PM PST up reply actions
What does free throw % have to do with anything? It’s more important to get to the line a lot and shoot 80% than never get there, but shoot 90%. Hollinger…..
Nellie needs to go! but while we suffer....John Wall or Evan Turner please!
by MDB on Mar 9, 2010 6:47 PM PST up reply actions
Again...
It’s not saying that Steve Nash is a better basketball player or a better scorer than LeBron James, just that Steve Nash is a better shooter than LeBron James.
Trust me, learning english isn’t a waste of time. It is actually sort of useful.
-randolphforpresident
by Dubs fan in Boston on Mar 10, 2010 2:14 PM PST up reply actions
Its hard to compare Nash and James
Nash’s number say he’s the better shooter, but when Nash has to carry the Suns offense and he is made the primary scorer Nash doesn’t do well especially if teams force him too shoot the ball because he is more effective when he can drive and get to certain places on the court.
by Rocky632156 on Mar 15, 2010 11:52 AM PDT up reply actions
when Nash has to carry the Suns offense and he is made the primary scorer Nash doesn’t do well especially if teams force him too shoot the ball
?
We’re talking about a guy that year in and year out shoots over 50% from the field, over 40% from 3 and over 90% from the line since joining Phoenix (well over 60% TS% each year). That’s been with Amare, without Amare, with Shaq, without Shaq, with Marion, without Marion….Nash has been the constant, and he’s been the focal point of that offense since he’s arrived, and he’s still an unbelievably efficient/accurate scorer and shooter. I don’t see how you can say he doesn’t do well at anything offensively (except for turnovers, but that’s just because he’s such a big part of the offense)…..
by Missing Barry on Mar 15, 2010 12:30 PM PDT up reply actions
I don’t see how you can say he doesn’t do well at anything offensively
I think he said it in comparison to Lebron? Nash is the perfect example of overrating stats and underrating athleticism, compared to Lebron who has both.
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 16, 2010 8:22 PM PDT up reply actions
they do the same...
thing in baseball – its called ops I believe. It’s valid b/c it grades a combination of percentages – higher percentage = better shooter. Bigs tend to shoot high FG% then drop everywhere else. Guards tend to get less lay-ups and dunks so above 50% FG is looked at as exceptional. Sometimes we can over analyze even the most simplistic of observations.
The most amazing thing is that Reggie Miller, Chris Mullin and Larry Bird are all thought of in my mind as good 3-Pt shooters – which reminds me of a time in the nBA when 37% was considered good!
John 8:44 -Ye are of your father the devil, and the lusts of your father ye will do.
It’s valid b/c it grades a combination of percentages
What do you mean by “valid”? If you are trying to rate baseball players by their offensive production (e.g. how much more potent they’d make an offense), OPS is a reasonable quick measure, but there are other measures that do a better job since the weight of OBS and slugging % aren’t 1:1.
I agree...
there are better ways to measure offensive production – in baseball especially. My point was that it is even done in baseball – an obvious stat driven sport. And it’s hard to argue that an OPS of over 1.0 is not indicative of a good offensive season. Now obviously it doesn’t measure the offensive nuances of baseball – which in my opinion are harder to measure.
What I meant by valid was that it supports the claim of these guys being the best shooters – based on the fact that they make the highest combined percentage of their shots – which I think is the very definition.
People argue that you shouldn’t weigh FT% but these are the only three types of shots a player can take in a basketball game so the better question is why would you not?
John 8:44 -Ye are of your father the devil, and the lusts of your father ye will do.
why would you not?
Well, they don’t shoot them in equal proportions, they don’t count for the same number of points, and some are more difficult than others, plus if we’re just going for “shooter”, many 2 point shots aren’t outside shots….I can see a lot of reasons.
Sure, like OPS, this type of thing can be a quick glance type guide, and obviously the guys it rates highly will all be great shooters, but that doesn’t make it a good stat. In real evaluation, though, OPS is garbage (we only still use it because people are accustomed to it and it came about before fans had access to anything better), just like this stat, and one of the biggest problems I see is that Hollinger presents it as real analysis, just more evidence Hollinger doesn’t do good work….
by Missing Barry on Mar 10, 2010 6:51 PM PST up reply actions
Is there any reason to simply add 3 things together just because they’re all percentages? It double counts 3 point shooting by the way, is that desirable? Is there a reason to weight them all equally? What is the point of controlling for 10,000 minutes besides being some arbitrary minimum, and wouldn’t shots taken be a better standard, anyways? No attempt to factor volume of shots in? Why bother setting a cutoff on FG% and FT% – if those are factors in the end sum, having numbers below the cutoff bring your total sum down, so why control for that?
Without further explanation, all he did was pick 3 random things and add them for no reason whatsoever. It doesn’t make a whole lot of sense, and doesn’t tell us anything all that meaningful.
by Missing Barry on Mar 9, 2010 12:47 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Also, calling this a list of the “Greatest shooters of all time” is blatantly an ESPN attempt to generate interest while feeding you complete BS – this is a very elementary attempt to come up with who’s was the most accurate career shooter – calling that “greatest” without defining what greatest means or why that criteria makes someone the greatest, and not putting it into the context of how it helps their team win…..well, it seems a bit…..dishonest? Lazy? The kind of thing a salesman does to make you think their product is better than it is? I do value intellectual honesty, and part of that means making an honest attempt to correctly identify what the data is saying. This article does not do that.
by Missing Barry on Mar 9, 2010 12:51 PM PST up reply actions
this is a very elementary attempt to come up with who’s was the most accurate career shooter – calling that "greatest" without defining what greatest means or why that criteria makes someone the greatest,
Yeah, by just adding them up it over weights 3 point shots and free throws which are a smaller part of the scoring in the real game and it penalizes a guy like Wilt who shot a career .540 from the field at a very high volume which makes him a “greater” shooter in my opinion?
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 9, 2010 3:08 PM PST up reply actions
wilt a great shooter?
His range was from 2 ft. in. Ever see him actually shoot the ball? That would be like calling Biedrins a great shooter 2 years ago when he lead the league in shooting perentage.
8th alias and on probation
I promise to be kinder and gentler
by StinkyFingers on Mar 9, 2010 6:13 PM PST up reply actions
when he lead the league in shooting perentage.
But wilt could shoot high percentage and high volume. His 61-62 season average was 50.4 point per game and to show his versatility in 62-68 he averaged 8.6 assists per game. So you say high percentage and high volume is not “greater” shooting than high percentage and low volume just because he didn’t need to shoot from outside? or 100 points per game is not “great” shooting? In a sport that determines the winner by points scored it seems that the “greatest” shooter would be the one who scored the most no matter from what range?
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 9, 2010 10:41 PM PST up reply actions
This is a ranking of jump shooters
not just scorers.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 10, 2010 4:27 PM PST up reply actions
This is a ranking of jump shooters
one can jump and dunk if they are the truly the best shooter?
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 10, 2010 4:42 PM PST up reply actions
I don't know
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 10, 2010 9:36 PM PST up reply actions
Yeah, by just adding them up it over weights 3 point shots and free throws which are a smaller part of the scoring
yeah but they are a BIG part of shooting.
John 8:44 -Ye are of your father the devil, and the lusts of your father ye will do.
Yeah, I think this isn't trying to find the best "scorers" or else players like Iverson could come up.
I think there isn’t a big different between the players that would be mentioned in these categories
Best scorers (this could be where AI and Kobe and maybe Lebron could be mentioned)
Efficient scorers (This is where Wilt and Shaq would be)
Best/Efficient shooters (This is where Morrow, Reggie, and the players on the list above would be)
by freerandolph on Mar 10, 2010 4:13 PM PST up reply actions
Iverson is possibly the most overrated scorer of all time
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 10, 2010 4:28 PM PST up reply actions
Iverson is possibly the most overrated scorer of all time
Haha, does this metric make him look too good?
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 10, 2010 4:42 PM PST up reply actions
Thats because this metric isn't measuring who is a good scorer!!
Its measuring who is a good shooter, which is a different thing completely.
by freerandolph on Mar 13, 2010 1:47 AM PST up reply actions
but they are a BIG part of shooting.
If he wanted to do it right he could average the total NBA points scored by 2 points, 3 points, and free throws then weight the players averages and their actual point totals to reflect the relative importance of the categories and the minutes actually played? A guy with high averages that can’t play a lot of tough minutes is not really the best shooter is he? and a guy who has a high freethrow average but doesn’t get to the line as much should not rate better than a guy who takes more freethrows and scores more even if it is at a lower average? The method used just seems to lazy to mean much to me.
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 10, 2010 4:24 PM PST up reply actions
"A guy with high averages that can’t play a lot of tough minutes is not really the best shooter is he?"
It depends on your definition. I would say that the guy who can’t play the tough minutes but does have a higher average is the better shooter. Not the better player necessarily. Not the better scorer necessarily. Not the more clutch player. But yes, he is the better shooter.
E.G. Anthony Morrow is a better shooter then Chris Paul. Who is the better player? Paul, no question. Who would I want with the ball in their hands at the end of a game. Paul again, no question. Who is the better shooter? Morrow.
by freerandolph on Mar 13, 2010 1:51 AM PST up reply actions
But yes, he is the better shooter.
Too bad the game isn’t darts then? Now that the best shooter definition is settled who is the best runner? the best boxer outer? or the best screen setter? or the best trash talker? Why just honor the shooters?
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 13, 2010 11:33 AM PST up reply actions
Because having a great shooter can be very valuable for an NBA team that wants to win games.
by freerandolph on Mar 13, 2010 9:12 PM PST up reply actions
having a great shooter can be very valuable for an NBA team that wants to win games.
Yep, and the closer to the basket they can take the shots the better the shooter
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 14, 2010 3:18 PM PDT up reply actions
It double counts 3 point shooting by the way
Nope. It separates them into 3 point % and 2 point %.
Is there a reason to weight them all equally? What is the point of controlling for 10,000 minutes besides being some arbitrary minimum, and wouldn’t shots taken be a better standard, anyways? No attempt to factor volume of shots in? Why bother setting a cutoff on FG% and FT% – if those are factors in the end sum, having numbers below the cutoff bring your total sum down, so why control for that?
Yep, completely arbitrary.
Without further explanation, all he did was pick 3 random things and add them for no reason whatsoever. It doesn’t make a whole lot of sense, and doesn’t tell us anything all that meaningful.
As I mentioned above, there’s no effort put in here. Definitely lazy. Definitely was done for marketing purposes. It does tell Phoenix Suns and Indiana Pacers fans something meaningful: “Steve Nash is the greatest! Reggie Miller sux! Discuss!”
Trust me, learning english isn’t a waste of time. It is actually sort of useful.
-randolphforpresident
by Dubs fan in Boston on Mar 9, 2010 12:56 PM PST up reply actions
Ah that’s what I get for not looking closely – I assumed FG% not 2pt%.
by Missing Barry on Mar 9, 2010 1:11 PM PST up reply actions
I will say one thing
The metric is designed to measure shooting ability. It is not meant to measure ability to draw fouls, scoring ability, scoring efficiency, or any other things that are definitely very, very useful on a basketball court. How do you measure a shooter? How well they shoot. You factor in 3 point shooting to eliminate players like Shaq. You don’t account for FGA or FTA because you don’t care about volume or scoring efficiency (there are plenty of other metrics out there for that).
The question seems to be: “Who’s the best ‘pure shooter’ ever?” Sure, it’s an inane question because there are too many unquantifiable factors. And absolutely, it’s a lazy, lazy analysis and a transparent marketing gimmick. But that doesn’t mean it’s worthless.
Trust me, learning english isn’t a waste of time. It is actually sort of useful.
-randolphforpresident
by Dubs fan in Boston on Mar 9, 2010 1:04 PM PST up reply actions
Well, the metric is telling us career shooting accuracy. Does that make someone the best? I don’t know, that’s pretty subjective. Not all shots are equal, and some guys might be better at picking their spots, or play with teammates that generate more open shots for them, or some other factor that affects their accuracy, but that doesn’t necessarily change how good of a shooter they are. I think the author needs to either define what their interpretation of a subjective criteria like “best” is exactly, or they need to just report exactly what the data says and leave the subjective interpretation up to the reader…..
And I’m not saying it isn’t something interesting to look at, I just think we should make an effort to interpret those numbers for what they are. Looking at something like that makes me feel good about my opinion that Steve Nash is the most skilled player of my lifetime (and possibly beyond). :)
by Missing Barry on Mar 9, 2010 1:17 PM PST up reply actions
Wow you guys amaze me
What were your expectations from the headline of that article? If someone walks up to you and asks you to name the 5 greates shooters of all time I believe Bird, Nash, Allen, and Miller would be 4 of the 5 on most peoples list. Now before answering you might ask if they mean clutch shooter, jump shooter, shooter in general. But when you write an article you put a headline on it that is eye catching and a lot of the time general to your article not specific. Just because his rationale for his ratings were simple and not complex doesn’t take anything away from the article when his results from his “simple” formula are legit. Every player on that list were/are players you fear having an open shot because they are great shooters, period. There are 10 players on that list and 4 of them could be argued as THE greatest all time. Who did he miss?? I’m by no means on Hollingers Nu*s but there is no reason to complain about an article that produces undeniable truths.
Well, the metric is telling us career shooting accuracy. Does that make someone the best?
How does one respond to that?
Is the basketball player that makes the highest percentage of the shots he takes the best shooter?UM…..yes.
John 8:44 -Ye are of your father the devil, and the lusts of your father ye will do.
It’s such a deeper issue for one word. I’m trying to have well thought out conversations here. Is a player who finishes his career 1/1 the best shooter ever? Obviously not. Volume has to matter, right? If one guy is taking more shots and thus a higher percentage of more difficult shots (it stands to reason that every shot you add is probably a more difficult shot because a good shooter is already going to take every open opportunity he gets), his percentage will go down, but does that make him a worse shooter? If a guy like Reggie Miller is running off screens and shooting tough shots but still hitting a high percentage all over the place, scoring tons of points, helping his team….but overall doesn’t shoot as high a percentage as a guy like Steve Kerr who stands there and waits for Duncan or MJ to get him open, and then only takes open set shots…..who’s the better shooter? Do we care how much their shooting helps their team win? Or do we just care who would win a hypothetical shoot off? There’s so much more to it, responding with “yes”…….ugh. If you want that kind of low level banter go to the ESPN message board. I prefer intelligent, well thought out discussions myself.
by Missing Barry on Mar 10, 2010 6:56 PM PST up reply actions
hahahahaha!
your ability to apply math to real life situations is so not going to to work! you need to let it go and just feel where the words take you. who do you feel is the best shooter? hahaha couldn’t help myself…
bring back warriors roundtable! warriors weekly is a pretender to the throne of warriors themed TV shows!
by The Bimbo Coles Experience on Mar 10, 2010 8:18 PM PST up reply actions
Rec'd 44 thx
Yes I smile inside/outside too…..especially when I imagine their future development as well…
by Only In Fairfax on Mar 9, 2010 11:39 AM PST reply actions
Interesting
Ultra simplistic. There probably should be a notation for useage. All those guys on the list were big time shooters/players. not bit/role players like Morrow is destine to be. Curry could easily be a top 10 player on that list though
Bit/rolel players.
That’s what the min 10K career minutes is supposed to control for.
Morrow has averaged over 25min/game for his career. If he keeps that up, he hits the 10,000 mark in five full seasons. It’s quite possible, however, that on a better, healthier team he’d struggle to consistently get that many minutes, althoughI don’t know.
A guy who gets 25min/game isn’t a “bit” player, even if he is a role player. Nor is his usage particularly low (12.5 FGA/36 is not scraping the bottom of the barrel.)
meh
10,000 minutes isn’t THAT much ti imply a player has been in NBA forever. BTW just noticed guy like Steve Kerr is on the list who fits that role player definition I think of with Morrow.
8 seasons getting 15 mins a game also gets you 1000 minutes. Just saying a truly great shooter who puts up those numbers when defenses key on them like say Reggie Miller, Nash, Ray Allen is more impressive than say a dull curry/steve kerr/Morrow. Doesn’t discredit there shooting ability though
Just saying a truly great shooter who puts up those numbers when defenses key on them like say Reggie Miller, Nash, Ray Allen is more impressive than say a dull curry/steve kerr/Morrow.
To some extent, but it goes the other way too. Miller, Allen, and Nash all have tons of plays called where they get the ball in good situations. Curry/Morrow/Kerr? Not nearly as much. And you know Morrow’s defender constantly telling himself “Coach said not to let this guy get an open shot or I’m getting benched.”
Trust me, learning english isn’t a waste of time. It is actually sort of useful.
-randolphforpresident
by Dubs fan in Boston on Mar 9, 2010 12:52 PM PST up reply actions
Nash doesn't really
the article was right on about Nash handling the ball and taking an awful lot of shits off the dribble. Reggie was the king of coming off screens. Ray was kind of in between the two.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 9, 2010 7:10 PM PST up reply actions
and taking an awful lot of shits off the dribble.
I hope you meant shots :)
Nellie needs to go! but while we suffer....John Wall or Evan Turner please!
by MDB on Mar 9, 2010 7:59 PM PST up reply actions
Oh I did
woops, lol. The keys are actually right next to each other, lol.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 9, 2010 8:58 PM PST up reply actions
It’s quite possible, however, that on a better, healthier team he’d struggle to consistently get that many minutes, althoughI don’t know.
I’d like to believe that a guy who’s on pace to go down as one of the best shooters of all time would earn some minutes on a decent team.
Trust me, learning english isn’t a waste of time. It is actually sort of useful.
-randolphforpresident
by Dubs fan in Boston on Mar 9, 2010 12:50 PM PST up reply actions
Morrow would find minutes on any team
Especially any contending team. To me, he is an elite role player (if that term makes any sense). For example, I am a Laker fan and would LOVE to see him play as a spot-up shooter in the triangle (assuming Kobe ever lets the team run it again, but that’s a discussion for the Laker fan blog). Even if he’s just an average defender, he would outscore his man every night just by making open shots. I am a huge fan of Morrow’s game and like his progression from last year to this one. Anybody that can make three quarters of the open shots he gets will get good minutes on any team in the league, and I’ve watched just about every Warrior game this season and I am convinced that Morrow is a very, very good role player. Because he seemingly NEVER misses an open, uncontested shot.
Even if he’s just an average defender
Great shooter, yes. But this assumption might be a bit of a stretch…
by Missing Barry on Mar 9, 2010 1:18 PM PST up reply actions
assuming Kobe ever lets the team run it again
hah. Glad to see a Lakers fan who acknowledges Kobe ruins there offense to a degree
As a REAL fan.....
With some knowledge of basketball, I know what the triangle offense is supposed to look like. I’ve been watching it for years. And I see that when Kobe gets the ball often times the triangle becomes a rectangle. Which is not good. To Missing Barry’s point, I do believe that on a better defensive team (Spurs, Cavs, Lakers, etc.) that Morrow would not bring down the level of team defense. However, on a team with negative shot blocking his weaknesses defensively (getting beat off the dribble by quicker 2-guards) seem to be exposed a whole lot more. Also, the fact that he would be a 6th man on a better team means playing mostly against backup guards would be helpful. I could be wrong but that’s just my personal opinion from watching him play.
That reminds me of what Al Harrington said about the Warriors
they would run a pretty good amount of plays, but it would find its way in to Baron or Jackson’s hands, and they would just chuck it, so the play never got run right.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 9, 2010 7:12 PM PST up reply actions
thats funny going from Al
because he was a blackhole too….
Yeah
he was as guilty as the other two.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 9, 2010 8:59 PM PST up reply actions
And I made the point in another post that I’d like to keep Morrow around as opposed to someone like Watson, not because Morrow is so much better than Watson, but because Morrow’s skill that makes him useful is so elite, I think a quality team could take advantage of his strengths and cover up his weaknesses well enough to really make him a more useful player than someone like Watson. Since Morrow’s strength is so good (shooting)….he can really contribute a lot in that way.
by Missing Barry on Mar 9, 2010 7:28 PM PST up reply actions
Wow you are first Lakers fan I've ever liked
Kobe is great, no denying that, but i often find him the downfall of lakers too when they r in a bad patch. He gets overly selfish to lift them and leaves the offense. When you have Gasol, Odom, Bynum and co you should never leave your offense even if you have a bad 5 min run. The whole Lebron/Kobe debate is a joke. Put Lebron on the lakers and you have 70 wins and title after title…
On the Morrow point. It’s hard to say. Present day Morrow yes. But rookie Morrow would get cut from almost every team. Still you see Cleveland with anthony Parker, Boobie Gibson and co leading league in 3pt percentage, and I wonder, just what Morrow would do in context of there offense with Lebron getting him open looks. 55%? Not unfeasible
That's exactly what I think
As far as Morrow is concernced. He would shoot a ridiculous percentage as a hired gun on any very good or elite team. I for one believe he could shoot at least 50 percent on a team like Phoenix (if Channing Frye can shoot well there) or Cleveland. To your first point, I don’t think the Lakers would win 70 with LeBron, though, and I don’t even know if they would win titles. Becuase their main problem is one that even LeBron can’t help, which is the fact that they very rarely play hard or focused for more than 6 or 8 minutes a night.
Limited List
All those guys are great shooters … no question.
But there were no great shooters before the 3 point shot?
In the old days teams put up a lot more shots … kinda like the Warriors now. First good shot went up. Shooting percentages were lower but more points were scored on average and rebounding stats were higher.
To some guys every shot looked good. Maravich for example. His stats wouldn’t measure up but few who saw him play would leave him off any all time shooters list. And if there had been a 3 pt shot in Maravich’s day … forget about it!
Then you have go to guys like Jerry West and Rick Barry, great shooters who had to take many more contested shots than lesser players who took open shots most of the time.
That said, with these criteria Curry will move up the list and so will Morrow.
West, Maravich, A.English
just to name three clearly great shooters who are left off, all shot fouls at 81-83%, eliminating them by that guy’s criteria. You make an excellent point made about taking contested shots, but we all knew that the espn highlights are rarely the best, or most difficult-to-execute-under-extreme-duress plays.
In Hollinger's article
He laments the fact that this can’t included guys like Barry, because there was no 3PT shot. That said, he could have included ABA stats to get some numbers on Barry and other ABA guys, but that also leaves out other greats.
A Sonics fan without a team... but after 6 seasons now of GS Warriors season tickets have convinced me to adopt the boys from Oakland.
STOP ARGUING WITH THIS STATISTIC!
It says that Curry and Morrow are gonna be real good!!!!! Maybe if we find enough statistics that support that and say that they will be good enough times it will come true!!!!
Do you really need this stat to tell you they’re really good shooters…? We all already knew that, right?
by Missing Barry on Mar 9, 2010 1:29 PM PST up reply actions
This stat tells us what we know
They can shoot along with majority of the Warriors. Problem is we lack players who can do EVERYTHING else
Cool Stuff
I don’t agree 100% with the stats, just because it doesn’t take into account the intangibles such as difficulty of shot/defense (i’m pretty sure Steve Nash has taken a higher % of open 3s than Ray Allen), but still really cool, and good for the Dubs.
Hollinger also tweeted that Biedrins took offense to missing the list….can’t always be nice to us, I guess.
Biedrins on the list? That list takes FT into account so that would knock him out right there.
"If God made us in his image then he must be dumb too, and a little ugly on the side."
Frank Zappa
by qin on Mar 9, 2010 3:57 PM PST up reply actions
On Biedrins
NBA All-Time Career FG% leader:
Artis Gilmore – 59.9%
Andris Career FG% – 60.3%
Yeah, Andris has a legit chance to become the career FG% leader.
Trust me, learning english isn’t a waste of time. It is actually sort of useful.
-randolphforpresident
by Dubs fan in Boston on Mar 9, 2010 4:08 PM PST up reply actions
You guys are way too serious
This isnt a statistical analysis done to create a monument in the Smithsonian Museum for basketball or Library of Congress, this is fodder for on of the best sports discussions going.
The stats are fine, and they are on track when you look at the list. Biedrins is not even in the conversation for best shooter, you ned to take distance into account, especially since there is no way to measure difficulty
by warriorsvictim on Mar 10, 2010 12:24 PM PST reply actions
It's an interesting thing to discuss
but the actual stat he uses is terrible. I don’t have any problems with calling Nash the greatest shooter of all time, but I don’t like that it doesn’t account for volume.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 10, 2010 4:31 PM PST up reply actions
Well somehow it doesn't really matter that it doesn't account for volume.
Since everyone on that list has took a lot of shots.
by freerandolph on Mar 13, 2010 1:54 AM PST up reply actions
But there are two guys on that list who have taken a lot more shots than anyone else
at least from 3.
Ray Allen has a career 39.5% three point percentage, which isn’t especially impressive, but he has also made 2,406. Steve Nash’s 43% looks better, but he’s made like 1000 less threes than Ray Allen, at 1464.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 13, 2010 5:05 PM PST up reply actions
So does that mean that Steve Nahs has played to his strengths more, keeping his attempts down and at a high percentage
Or do you respect Allen more because he has attempted more, which probably means that more of them have been more difficult. But why was Allen taking a lot of difficult three point attempts and not Nash?
The volume of shots is an interesting topic and can tell about what kind of player different players were, but it is debatable what exactly having more shot attempts means. It probably means different things for different players. It seems to me that all these players probably have enough attempts for a decent sample size.
by freerandolph on Mar 13, 2010 9:17 PM PST up reply actions
Yeah
Ray made a career out of taking and making difficult three point shots. Nash was more likely to just take it when he was really open, or the team needed a 3 at the end of a game.
I know most people would like Kobe to take that last shot, but I trust Steve Nash in the clutch more than just about everyone else.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 13, 2010 11:38 PM PST up reply actions
It’s not a question of sample size, it’s a question of whether the two groups (in this example, Allen’s group and Nash’s group) are the same. The difference in volume may suggest they’re not – if one guy is shooting a lot more, it might be because his shots, on average, are more difficult and thus you expect a lower percentage. If those added shots are still above average in terms of efficiency, they’re still helping the team win games, despite bringing the players percentage down.
In the end, it comes down to a lot of factors we really don’t know, and it all depends on the individual. I don’t have any real answers to “who’s the greatest”, and it’s a subjective evaluation anyways, but there are good reasons to think % alone doesn’t tell you everything you need to know.
by Missing Barry on Mar 14, 2010 5:21 PM PDT up reply actions
this is fodder for on of the best sports discussions going.
Some people like well thought out discussions. Apparently, some people could care less how valid the opinion/evidence is…..
by Missing Barry on Mar 10, 2010 6:57 PM PST up reply actions
you need to take distance into account,
Why, Games are won on points scored not degree of difficulty. You’ve been watchin too much figure skating :>)
I’d say the greatest shooter in the one who can stuff in the most points from preferably the shortest distance?
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 10, 2010 2:17 PM PST reply actions
Your definition of shooter
is too general, or at least is not in line with what the article is discussing.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 10, 2010 4:31 PM PST up reply actions
at least is not in line with what the article is discussing.
If they more accurately called it “the highest percentage field goal added to the highest percentage 3 pointers added to the highest percentage free throws rankings” instead of the “greatest shooters” I wouldn’t have a problem with it.
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 10, 2010 4:46 PM PST up reply actions
No
“Greatest shooters” is accurate. A shooter is someone who takes jumpshots. When they’re talking about shooters, they aren’t talking about guys who live in the post. Your definition of shooter is too general.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 10, 2010 6:02 PM PST up reply actions
We still have lots of issues with calling them the greatest shooters, though. I think Skep’s got the best description of what that list is so far:
the highest percentage field goal added to the highest percentage 3 pointers added to the highest percentage free throws rankings
by Missing Barry on Mar 10, 2010 6:58 PM PST up reply actions
It's a crap stat
but it’s specifically addressing jump shooters and not efficient low post scorers, so it’s silly of Skep to keep bringing up guys like Wilt.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 10, 2010 8:41 PM PST up reply actions
Obviously, but I’ve been enjoying his quips lately, so I’m letting it slide. I did honestly like that description, though.
by Missing Barry on Mar 10, 2010 8:56 PM PST up reply actions
but it’s specifically addressing jump shooters and not efficient low post scorers
Then it shouldn’t be called “greatest shooters” cause obviously it doesn’t include the “greatest” ?
Even the jump shooters are not in correct order. Reggie Miller had 25,279 points, 2,560 made 3’s and 6,237 made FT’s yet he’s ranked below Kerr who only had 5,437 points, 726 made 3’s and 627 made free throws, or roughly one tenth as many as made FT’s as Reggie? and Bird is way down there but he had 21,791 points, 649 made 3 ‘s and 3,960 made FT’s.
In comparison the really “great” shooters like Kareen had 38,387 points, 1 made 3 and 6,712 made ft’s and Wilt had 31,419 points , 3’s not recorded in those days, and 6,057 made FT’s.
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 10, 2010 10:17 PM PST up reply actions
Yeah, it was a bad stat
but it was about shooters. When people say shooter, they don’t mean post scorers or scorer. They mean shooter. It didn’t account for volume, which kinda bugged me because Ray and Reggie should be higher.
3’s not recorded in those days
Wilt wasn’t a shooter. He was a scorer. He was, in fact, a very very bad shooter.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 10, 2010 11:09 PM PST up reply actions
I think this stat is designed, basically, who would win a 3 point shoot competition between the players, and I don't think it does a bad job of assessing that.
by freerandolph on Mar 13, 2010 1:57 AM PST up reply actions
I think this stat is designed, basically, who would win a 3 point shoot competition between the players,
and my definition of shooter would show who would win a real basketball game
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 13, 2010 11:35 AM PST up reply actions
I guess you just have a different defintion of "best shooter" than I do.
You’re definition doesn’t make that much sense to me personally. I think thats the definition of best player. By your definition Shane Battier would be a great shooter…
by freerandolph on Mar 13, 2010 9:19 PM PST up reply actions
By your definition Shane Battier would be a great shooter…
Naw, I don’t think he dominates enough to be a great shooter. Kareem, Wilt, MJ , guys that rack up the points from whatever distance to win games are my definition.
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 14, 2010 3:23 PM PDT up reply actions
That’s nice, Skep, but it’s not the definition being used in the article, or by anyone this thread (except you).
I think my cat is a dog ‘cos he runs around on all fours, chases birds, and gets excited about dinner. That’s my definition of “dog.”
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Mar 16, 2010 7:03 PM PDT up reply actions
but it’s not the definition being used in the article, or by anyone this thread (except you).
well, my guy will win the games but they can win the definition battle? or maybe the definition of “great” is wrong?
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 16, 2010 8:24 PM PDT up reply actions
No, it’s your definition of “shooter” that’s problematic. By your definition, Andris Biedrins is a great shooter. Then again, you’re pretty obviously clown-trolling, so as long as you’re just trying to amuse people, carry on.
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Mar 16, 2010 8:37 PM PDT up reply actions
By your definition, Andris Biedrins is a great shooter.
since when does Dre dominate like Kareem, Wilt, and MJ?
If they want to call these guys the “greatest” long distance shooters that’s fine but I don’t see that distinction in the head line? Adding 3 pointers at the same weighting as field goals makes it a long distance heavy list dontcha see? and not weighting total points scored per career takes away a lot of the “greatness” factor no matter what the distance emphasized?
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 16, 2010 9:33 PM PDT up reply actions
I don’t think it does a bad job of assessing that.
I do. To try to do a decent job figuring out this type of thing, you would need to compare %‘s from of shots of equal difficulty. I don’t think that assumption is accurate at all. These players aren’t all taking the same shots, some of them will take tougher shots, and others will generally only shoot when they’re open.
by Missing Barry on Mar 14, 2010 5:22 PM PDT up reply actions
Why is Curry one of the best shooters but his PER is so low?
The PER places way too much emphasis on per 36 minutes I guess.
Doesn’t make since Hollinger saying he is one of the best shooters but his “efficiency” rating is below average. Especially when he assists well and rebounds well.
Harden shooting 0.396 has a PER of 14.07 and Curry is at 14.96.
But prevalent and important in the ESPN world
Unfortuantely, to the average fan, it’s what they refer to.
I even hear NBA analysists refer to it now. Tyreke > Curry because of PER.
Well then you should go out and educate them on the worthlessness of PER!
by Missing Barry on Mar 11, 2010 7:15 AM PST up reply actions
Average PER is 15 (by definition). Curry was rating as right around average by Wins Produced as well. I don’t see much out of line with where he stands as a point guard.
Curry shoots well, above average efficiency scoring, but not in the elite class at this point. He’s a shade over average rebounding. He does not “assist well” for a point guard. He’s a below average per minute in handing out assists, but still turning the ball over at a reasonably poor pace.
Above average individual scoring, below average distributing, average in rebounding all equating to a more or less average rating? What’s surprising about that?
Above average individual scoring, below average distributing, average in rebounding all equating to a more or less average rating? What’s surprising about that?
The only thing surprising is that he’s more or less around the averages as a rookie, which speaks well for his intelligence and dedication, even if he doesn’t become a star he’ll probably be valued part of some team for a long time?
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Mar 12, 2010 3:40 PM PST up reply actions
When you only look at per minute averages..
That skews the data.
The per minute data does not do well comparing 5 mpg guys with 40 mpg guys.
Curry also is doing well later in the season. Taking season average would skew what he’s doing now.
I wonder if Curry compares favorable when the data is limited to only point guards with 20 mpg minimums. Seems like he’s above average.
Another question: PER by position. Do all positions average out to 15? Always seems to me PER favours centers and PFs.
Per game data is less effective
especially when we’re not comparing 5 minute guys to 40 minute guys.
by Reverend_Randy on Mar 13, 2010 5:08 PM PST up reply actions
I was thinking with all the stat heads on this site.
Can you come with a better measure?
A GSOM PER?
We’ll start touting that over the internet.

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