Well, for starters I'm pretty much a homer, though I do believe that I can objectively look at the Warriors and discern fact from fiction when it comes to our team.
I've been having the argument w/ some of my boys about how Steph Curry is and may end up being the better player than Tyreke. And IMHO he deserves a good shot @ the ROY and should WIN it. So I figured I'd look @ some numbers and show folks a bit of a foundation for my argument.
First off, let me define my interpretation of what the ROY award is. I know it's pretty much up for interpretation, but the award is given to the "Top" Rookie of the year. It's a matter of whether that really means best statistical year, or best player overall, which we know can be 2 different forms of measurement. For my argument, I'll be using the best overall player approach with a bit of stat comparisons. Lets look at the current stat lines, per game:
Tyreke: 20.0 Pts, 5.8 Ast, 5.3 Reb Steph: 16.8 Pts , 5.8 Ast, 4.2 Reb
These are the primary and simplest measures of a players production, from comparing these two, I'd say Tyreke clearly is the slightly better player.
Now lets look @ a few more stats, a little more in depth.
45.8 FG%, 43.0 3P%, 88 FT%, 35.8 MPG
45.5 FG%, 26.5 3P%, 74 FT%, 37.4 MPG
The top represents Steph percentages through out the year, while the bottom is Tyreke's. I'd say this clearly goes to Steph in that he's been much more efficient. Then we look a bit deeper, it gets even better for him.
Steph has taken 1046 FG's compares to Tyreke's 1095 FG's.
Steph has taken 349 3's compared to Tyrekes's 136
Steph has taken 172 FT's compared to Tyreke's 442 Steph has played 75 games, compared to Tyreke's 68
This is my counter to peoples perception that the Warriors "Pace of Game", inflates Curry's stats. Even though he's played 7 more games thus far through the season, Steph has LESS shots. It's a coincidence that the percentage of 3's made by Steph compared to Tyreke, is EXACTLY the same percentage of FT's made by Tyreke compared to Steph.
What this says to me is that Tyreke's differential to Steph in PPG's is really a matter of taking easier shots. That is regular FG's and FT's. Not to discredit Reke for being able to get to the line like he does, we all know that it's a great ability to have. (A-la-Maggette)
Now lets get to players in "real time". Currently, I averaged month to month stats since the turn of the new year.
Tyreke: 20.1 PPG, 6.5 Ast, 5.4 Reb
Curry: 20.1 PPG, 7.0 Ast, 4.7 Reb
(Not counting April where Curry has clearly had the advantage 23.7 PPG, 8.7 Ast, 4.3 Reb compared to Tryeke's 14.0 PPG, 6 Ast, 7 Reb)
Tyreke has had 30+ ppg 3 times this season, while Curry has done it 7 times, all since December.
Tyrekes has had 10+ apg 7 times this season, Curry has done it 8 times, all since December.
This makes the ROY race much, much closer if you look at who the better player is right now. And if current trends continue, Curry is improving month to month, while Tyreke's play seems pretty steady and seems to be "All you see is all you get" type.
Lastly I want to point the intangibles of each players situation. Curry has played with Monta (25.5 ppg) and Corey (20.2 ppg) most of the season, league wide the 6th and 16th best PPG in the league. Tyreke hasn't had another 20 ppg player to contend with all season, aside from the 22 games w/ K.Martin(19.8 ppg) who struggled with injuries, and Carly Landry who just came aboard averaging 18 ppg. The only consistent King he's had to compete with for points is Beno Udrih @ 12.9 ppg. This also effects each player current PER ratings, as Curry has had to content with much better "performers" on a his team that Tyreke, and PER is a per minute productivity measure.
In summation, I think the ROY of the year race should be MUCH closer than most people anticipated. I agree that Tyreke is def deserving in the comparison of their whole body of work to this point, however I think Curry has made a great argument as to why he deserves this as much as any Rookie in the league.
I'd like to hear some Kings fans perspective to this, and what the rest of GSoM thinks? Lets Go Warriors!