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Around the Association: 2010 NBA Draft Previews - San Antonio Spurs: Drafting guys into the Popovich system

Cranking away here. 13 days until the NBA Draft, and this is my 13th team-by-team preview! That means I'm still a few short, but catching up slowly. Let's take a look at the San Antonio Spurs, a franchise I fondly admire.

I admit, back when the Spurs won their first championship in the asterisk (read: Lockout-shortened) year against the New York Knicks, I couldn't stomach this team, with its non-athletic ways. This was further reinforced in their 2nd championship dominance against the New Jersey Nets, when Tim Duncan became the Spurs' entire (plodding) offense.

By the 3rd championship, I was full-on into running basketball leagues here in the Bay and coaching/GM'ing traveling tournament teams consisting of all-stars from my leagues. That's when I realized how important it was to have role players and some type of system and pecking order. I started modeling my teams after the San Antonio Spurs.

Star-divide

It's interesting that in the last ten years, out of a total of 27 Draft-day acquisitions, either through a direct pick or via trade, fifteen of them have been international players. At one point from 2004-07, it had been seven out of eight.

I'm sure you've realized what kind of nice picks the Spurs have made in the past, but to what degree of sick-ness did you know these picks to be?

Aside from the obvious -- Hill, Blair, Parker, Ginobili immediately come to mind for most NBA fans of today -- here's a random sampling of some of the (mostly international) players they have drafted with their relatively low picks...

Granted, perhaps some of these picks were really picks by other teams that they made prior to trading them, but the track record is there. I mean, if you put these past draft picks on the same team, you'd have a pretty damn good NBA team. Sick!

Let's see who they have coming back for 2010-11...

COMMITTEDMAYBEOUT?
pg Tony Parker
George Hill
sg Manu Ginobili
Roger Mason Jr.
Keith Bogans
sf Richard Jefferson
Malik Hairston
Alonzo Gee
pf Antonio McDyess
DeJuan Blair
Matt Bonner
c Tim Duncan
Ian Mahinmi

I've put Duncan at center since it's clear that he'd be on the floor alongside either McDyess or Blair most of the time, in a non-go-small lineup.

Although history shows they will draft the best international player available, if the Spurs decided to draft for need, they could possibly look at the shooting guard or small forward positions. Here's what the mocks think...

No. 20 pick

  • NBAdraft.net: Larry Sanders (pf/c, 6'10", 222, VCU, junior). I'm not sure about this prediction. They do not have as glaring a need in the frontline as they do at sg/sf and, well, Sanders is not an international player! Granted, NBAdraft.net has one of my favorite 2-guards, James Anderson of Oklahoma State, going right before Sanders. Out of the remaining first-rounders on their draft board, I don't like Terrico White (the next pick at #21), and the rest don't seem to be a good fit with the Spurs' IQ/system, particularly Eric Bledsoe. However, Kevin Seraphin of France (international!) is at #26 and Damion James of Texas, a very athletic small forward, is available at #28.
  • DraftExpress: Luke Babbitt (sf, 6'7", 215, Nevada, sophomore). This would be an absolute steal at #20, but I seriously doubt Babbitt, whom I've coined a Baby Dirk Nowitzki one many an occasion on the last 13 team-by-team Draft previews, will drop that far. Babbitt has the right NBA people/trainers surrounding him and it's clear to me that there's no way he's not a Lottery pick (top 14). DraftExpress has the aforementioned Anderson, who's got some serious hang time for a shooting guard, available at #23. There's also Dominique Jones at #27 and Willie Warren at #28, who are in the 2nd round on NBAdraft.net. With Jones you get a wide-body 6'4" guard with the physique of Jason Richardson and the opposite game, at least now that J-Rich is more of 3-point gunner. Jones is an excellent penetrator who uses his NBA body to get where he needs to go. Warren is a versatile, highly skilled dribbler/creator/shooter. He's a bit smallish than Hill, but I like his playmaking ability, potential alpha-dogginess, and physique more than Hill. So Warren's a combo guard, but really more of a 2. I would pick any of these guys assuming Babbitt is not there at #20.
  • Chad Ford: Damion James (sf, 6'8", 227, Texas, senior). A nice pick here by Ford, IMHO. James is very athletic and has filled out nicely. He's very active. It's interesting that Ford has Kentucky big Daniel Orton listed at #21, whereas on NBAdraft.net and DraftExpress, Orton is already gone by the 21st pick. If Orton is available in Ford's Draft world, I take the 6'10" 269 Orton by a country mile over James. Of course, I'm a bit biased, having seen Orton workout over the past two summers by former Spurs head coach and San Antonio native, Bob Hill. I just think if it were up to the Spurs to choose between James and Orton, they (easily) pick Orton. There's also another big in Craig Brackins at #26. He's a 22-year-old junior with good character, traits that fit the Spurs' system. But as I said before, I don't think the Spurs need a big as much as they need a 2 or a 3.

No. 49 pick

The Spurs are perhaps the only team where it'd be a good bet they could pull a rabbit out of the hat this late in the Draft. In the past, they'd be international names you've never heard of. Well, we can thank increased scouting staffs and, to a degree, DraftExpress for opening up the bag even more these days for more cats. So don't be surprised if the Spurs start trending downward in the late-late pick department. Here are the mocks' predictions...

  • NBAdraft.net: Art Parakhouski (c, 6'11", 268, Radford, senior). I hope to watch some tape of him soon, but to date, I have not seen him play. It's kind of ironic that he's picked here per NBAdraft.net when DraftExpress is the board with the international penchant, but then again he's picked right before at #48 on the DraftExpress board. Being a foreign-born player and playing for a mid-major like Radford seems right up the Spurs' alley.
  • DraftExpress: Charles Garcia (pf/c, 6'10", 230, Seattle, junior). Love this pick, and I've mentioned that now in three consecutive team-by-team Draft profiles. Once again, let me say that he reminds me of Thaddeus Young, having length and making NBA face-up moves that leave you doing a second take.

I think this is the first time in 13 teams that I've actually agreed with both NBAdraft.net and DraftExpress's 2nd-round prediction!

Of course, trades and anything else can happen. It's not like any of us are General Manager mind-readers. I'm sure we'll all be wrong with our predictions and scoffing or applauding at such predictions, come June 24th.

But one thing's for sure, you better keep an eye on whomever it is that San Antonio picks! You probably won't have heard of him much, but he very well could be a solid starter or rotation NBA player in a few years.

 

NEXT: Miami Heat and/or update on the Boston Celtics' 19th pick, which I forgot to preview!

PREVIOUS:
POR - Odin a bigger impact than Oden? (22nd, 44th picks)
NYK - What if they don't get any marquee free agents? (38th, 39th picks)
OKC - Drafting bigs? (21st, 26th, 32nd, 51st picks)
LAL - D-Fish most talked about this summer? (43rd, 58th picks)
BOS - Oh Danny boy! (19th, 52nd picks)
PHX - Shoring up behind Amare? (46th, 60th picks)
ATL - Calling all shooting guards not named Joe (24th, 53rd picks)
ORL - Improving while Dwight improves (29th, 59th picks)
DAL - Depends on Dirk and Dampier dollars (50th, 57th picks)
CHA - S-Jax stuck (no draft picks)
DEN - Just need Coach Karl back? (no draft picks)
CLE - If you leave (no draft picks)

Poll
Do you think DeJuan Blair will develop into an all-star under the Spurs' system?
Yes
377 votes
No
304 votes
Maybe (explain in the Comments!)
115 votes

796 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 13 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Thx for your interesting posts

I noticed that you have sometimes trouble to get the correct contract data. Use: http://www.shamsports.com/content/pages/data/salaries/index.jsp
Sham is ridiculously accurate even about the last dude on a rotten roster.

Btw: Listing Duncan as C is totally correct. He effectively is playing as a C since ages. The NBA ignored it for most of the All-Star ballots but what do they know?

"It really is a choice of whatever rotten fruit you fancy least." (Kelly Dwyer about NBA Franchise owner)

by TheGerman on Jun 13, 2010 2:44 AM PDT reply actions  

DeJuan Blair

 still has those balky knees to deal with. They were the reason he slid so badly in the draft. Who knows if he will be able to still be playing effictivly 4 years from now.

Thing B

by warriorsscore110 on Jun 13, 2010 9:44 AM PDT reply actions  

He should be an all star, but he won’t score enough PPG to sway the voters or dumb coaches.

Kobe sucks

by GovernorStephCurry on Jun 13, 2010 1:13 PM PDT reply actions  

its possible, but the spurs have to stay a winning team

i see blair as the kind of guy that could average 13+ rebounds per game. easily get about 12-15 points. give him starters minutes, he could get 5 or 6 steals/blocks/assists combined per game. low turnovers, high %’s. easy to root for.

whats more, i could see him doing that for a number of years consistently. if it shows that he really helps his team win, he could certainly pull an all-star appearance, or three

twitter.com/aighttho
http://aightthen.tumblr.com/

by stingy d on Jun 13, 2010 3:46 PM PDT reply actions  

Thanks for the primer, it should be fun to watch the dominoes fall.

It all depends on Tiago Splitter, our stashed center and MVP of the Spanish ACB league. If he comes over, the brass probably goes for a wing player. If he says that he’s not coming over, they probably try to move up and nab a big man. There should be some interesting stuff happening over the next 11 days, anyhow. :)

Free Tiago Splitter!

by Tim C. on Jun 13, 2010 8:09 PM PDT reply actions  

you think he'll come? pause

i heard he makes like 3 million euros and would probably make a ton more on his next contract, whereas he would stand to make the league minimum in the nba for three years.

i wouldn’t play in no nba for chump change. unless i was a chump.

twitter.com/aighttho
http://aightthen.tumblr.com/

by stingy d on Jun 14, 2010 2:31 AM PDT up reply actions  

Spurs can pay him the MLE – after three years, he’s no longer bound by the rookie scale.

Free Tiago Splitter!

by Tim C. on Jun 14, 2010 5:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

even though he hasn't played?

thats interesting. i think he still would stand to make more in europe.

twitter.com/aighttho
http://aightthen.tumblr.com/

by stingy d on Jun 14, 2010 9:48 AM PDT up reply actions  

NEXT: Miami Heat and/or update on the Boston Celtics’ 19th pick, which I forgot to preview!

I can see how fond you are with SA. :) Thank you!

For Sale:Anyone interested with Spurs SF Richard Jefferson? Then just pick up your phone and dial 781-452-0659.Oh,wait its the rejection hot line.(Just joking,we're stuck with him,let's deal with it that we got no other SF and I guess he is much better than what he is showing us.)

by tp_09 on Jun 14, 2010 8:47 AM PDT reply actions  

Blair -- an All-Star???

He did pretty well in his rookie season, but he has some glaring deficiencies. His defense on perimeter players needs a lot of improvement; he needs to work on a 15-18 foot jumper; his faceup game is a bit weak and his MO is now pretty well known around the league. You’ll notice he was much less effective in the playoffs although he had his moments. I think overall he will become a very effective player, but I don’t think he’ll become an all-star.

by jimjule on Jun 15, 2010 9:25 AM PDT reply actions  

I dont think he will ever be an allstar, he will have a limited career cause of his knees, and nobody likes to say but he is only 6’7, he will be a really good paul millsap. i know there is a new trend in having little BIG MEN, but to win a championship length is important, you need shot blockers. Just imagine him trying to defend KG back in the day, or having to defend pau gasol.

by businessbmw on Jun 15, 2010 2:06 PM PDT reply actions  

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