If the lockout ends, there is going to be an extremely abbreviated time period for signing free agents. In this post, I want to use my newly created scoring metric (PSAMS) to see if there are any players we might be interested in. Oh, and if you don't know who Steve Novak is, you're not alone. This is also the first I've heard of him.
Before you think I'm crazy or high, please rest assured I'm not advocating going after Mr. Novak. I don't think we need another 3-point specialist on this team. And that 7.0 3-pt rating is clearly coming on an extremely small sample size. In fact, I would pretty much ignore any player that had fewer than 1000 or maybe even 1500 possessions. It's simply too small a sample size to make reliable conclusions.
So, who might we be interested in? Obviously, the big names at the top (Nene, Chandler, Gasol, and West) are the main attractions. It's not clear that we will have the cap room to sign any of these guys, unless we amnesty Biedrins. For my money (well, Lacob's money), the best case scenario would be to amnesty Biedrins and some how scrounge together the dough to go after Nene. Chandler and Gasol would obviously also be huge upgrades. If you look further down on the list (#42), you'll see DeAndre Jordan. I think his value depends on how much you see him improving. He's still young. It's a risk with a guy like that. He's one of those guys (maybe like Chandler a few years ago) that you figure if he puts it all together, can be an upper echelon center. But do you want to risk signing him to a big contract only to get, well, another Andris Biedrins down the road? I'm not sure that's the way to go.
We should go after Thaddeus Young (+1.07 PSAMS). He's still got upside at 23 years old. His multi-year RAPM rating last season was +2.1 (+0.8 offense, +1.3 defense). I think Young could fit well in our front court, and could play SF or PF depending on the need. Besides Klay, we really have no good backup for Dorell on this team. Thad would be by far our best inside threat (+3.12 inside rating according to PSAMS). I doubt that Philly lets him walk, though.
Other than those names, not a lot excites me. I actually like another Young, Nick Young, for his offense, but we have a guy in Reggie Williams that provides about the same amount of offense, and unfortunately, about the same amount of defense. Young probably isn't an upgrade and would be a little more expensive. Also, we just drafted Klay Thompson, who probably figures to get a lot of time backing up Monta over the next couple seasons. Does Lacob want to invest in a 3-yr deal for a guy like Williams or Young who might only see limited minutes once Klay establishes himself?
What about Rodney Stuckey? His positive offensive rating according to PSAMS is backed up by his +2.0 offensive RAPM rating. I'm not convinced that we should put that much faith in Lin or Jenkins as Curry's backup. Stuckey might work pretty well in that role. He could also play some SG next to Curry. A Stuckey-Thompson backup duo could be intriguing. One guy can drive (look at Stuckey's 2.18 FT rating!) and the other hits 3's. Stuckey's defense is questionable (-1.1 according to RAPM), but overall, if we could sign him for what Bell is getting paid now, it might turn out to be a big upgrade.
Anyway, enough of my yammering. Here's the list:
2011 PSAMS Ratings
For Type, U=unrestricted, R=restricted free agent.
As always, I'll remind you (SAMMY!) this list does not take into account things like defense, passing, and other stuff that helps teams win the games. It's just about scoring.
|
RANK |
NAME |
TYPE |
TEAM |
POS |
POSS |
TOT |
INS |
MID |
3PT |
FT |
|
1 |
Steve Novak |
U |
SAS |
PF |
372 |
4.21 |
-2.03 |
-0.21 |
7.07 |
-0.63 |
|
2 |
U |
DEN |
C |
4495 |
3.69 |
2.94 |
-0.59 |
-0.01 |
1.36 |
|
|
3 |
U |
MEM |
C |
263 |
2.58 |
0.54 |
1.33 |
-0.73 |
1.43 |
|
|
4 |
U |
DAL |
C |
3935 |
2.25 |
1.97 |
-0.66 |
0.03 |
0.92 |
|
|
5 |
U |
NOH |
PF |
4485 |
1.89 |
-0.06 |
1.23 |
-0.26 |
0.98 |
|
|
6 |
R |
MEM |
C |
4851 |
1.77 |
0.72 |
0.28 |
0.07 |
0.70 |
|
|
7 |
U |
NOH |
PF |
1094 |
1.74 |
0.83 |
0.51 |
-0.28 |
0.68 |
|
|
8 |
U |
NYK |
C |
400 |
1.65 |
-0.37 |
0.46 |
0.03 |
1.53 |
|
|
9 |
U |
BOS |
C |
1037 |
1.43 |
1.05 |
-0.61 |
0.03 |
0.95 |
|
|
10 |
Nick Young |
R |
WAS |
SG |
3915 |
1.34 |
-0.45 |
0.67 |
0.59 |
0.52 |
|
11 |
U |
PHX |
SF |
4696 |
1.23 |
0.47 |
0.36 |
0.04 |
0.36 |
|
|
12 |
Rodney Stuckey |
U |
DET |
PG |
3990 |
1.23 |
0.28 |
-0.65 |
-0.58 |
2.18 |
|
13 |
R |
SAC |
SG |
2060 |
1.08 |
0.94 |
-0.30 |
-0.03 |
0.48 |
|
|
14 |
Thaddeus Young |
R |
PHI |
PF |
4003 |
1.07 |
3.12 |
-1.25 |
-0.29 |
-0.51 |
|
15 |
U |
GSW |
SF |
606 |
0.88 |
1.88 |
-1.01 |
-0.57 |
0.58 |
|
|
16 |
Reggie Williams |
R |
GSW |
SG |
3171 |
0.84 |
0.53 |
-0.78 |
1.47 |
-0.38 |
|
17 |
U |
LAC |
PF |
1113 |
0.77 |
1.60 |
-0.19 |
-0.64 |
-0.00 |
|
|
18 |
U |
MIL |
PG |
1608 |
0.71 |
-1.12 |
1.37 |
0.47 |
-0.19 |
|
|
19 |
U |
ATL |
SG |
4316 |
0.57 |
-0.37 |
0.49 |
-0.42 |
0.87 |
|
|
20 |
R |
DEN |
SG |
4567 |
0.55 |
0.07 |
-0.10 |
0.86 |
-0.28 |
|
|
21 |
U |
MIA |
PG |
1094 |
0.48 |
-0.70 |
-1.47 |
2.65 |
-1.74 |
|
|
22 |
U |
DEN |
SG |
3932 |
0.44 |
-0.48 |
0.22 |
0.74 |
-0.04 |
|
|
23 |
R |
NOH |
SG |
3637 |
0.44 |
-0.78 |
0.17 |
1.56 |
-0.51 |
|
|
24 |
U |
TOR |
C |
525 |
0.38 |
0.92 |
-0.04 |
0.03 |
-0.53 |
|
|
25 |
U |
DAL |
SF |
1657 |
0.35 |
-0.82 |
0.43 |
0.74 |
0.00 |
|
|
26 |
U |
DAL |
PG |
3130 |
0.30 |
0.71 |
-0.55 |
0.01 |
0.13 |
|
|
27 |
U |
ATL |
C |
162 |
0.29 |
-0.74 |
-1.04 |
0.03 |
2.04 |
|
|
28 |
R |
NYK |
PF |
175 |
0.28 |
0.29 |
-1.39 |
2.67 |
-1.29 |
|
|
29 |
R |
PHX |
PG |
935 |
0.23 |
0.21 |
0.41 |
-0.39 |
0.09 |
|
|
30 |
U |
IND |
SF |
3361 |
0.05 |
-0.30 |
-0.29 |
1.14 |
-0.50 |
|
|
31 |
R |
POR |
PG |
1464 |
0.02 |
-0.38 |
0.13 |
0.27 |
-1.03 |
|
|
32 |
U |
DAL |
SF |
990 |
-0.02 |
-0.73 |
0.02 |
1.72 |
-1.03 |
|
|
33 |
R |
MEM |
C |
327 |
-0.09 |
3.25 |
-3.19 |
-0.27 |
0.13 |
|
|
34 |
U |
DET |
PF |
1856 |
-0.21 |
2.39 |
-1.27 |
-0.25 |
-1.08 |
|
|
35 |
R |
BOS |
PF |
1108 |
-0.32 |
-0.55 |
0.46 |
-0.46 |
0.23 |
|
|
36 |
U |
UTA |
SF |
3718 |
-0.34 |
0.22 |
-1.02 |
-0.16 |
0.62 |
|
|
37 |
U |
DET |
SF |
4617 |
-0.45 |
1.12 |
-0.45 |
-0.32 |
-0.79 |
|
|
38 |
R |
CHA |
PF |
946 |
-0.45 |
-0.32 |
1.83 |
-0.83 |
-1.14 |
|
|
39 |
U |
UTA |
C |
1101 |
-0.47 |
-0.84 |
0.59 |
0.03 |
-0.25 |
|
|
40 |
U |
SAC |
C |
3751 |
-0.51 |
-0.51 |
0.15 |
-0.02 |
-0.14 |
|
|
41 |
R |
OKC |
SG |
1087 |
-0.54 |
-1.12 |
-0.81 |
2.43 |
-1.04 |
|
|
42 |
DeAndre Jordan |
R |
LAC |
C |
3910 |
-0.60 |
2.22 |
-1.54 |
0.01 |
-1.29 |
|
43 |
U |
NOH |
SG |
3074 |
-0.67 |
-0.30 |
0.65 |
-0.38 |
-0.64 |
|
|
44 |
U |
LAL |
SG |
2929 |
-0.71 |
0.60 |
-1.01 |
-0.20 |
-0.11 |
|
|
45 |
U |
NJN |
SG |
2965 |
-0.82 |
-1.09 |
0.46 |
0.30 |
-0.50 |
|
|
46 |
U |
MIL |
SG |
1660 |
-0.87 |
-0.68 |
-0.04 |
-0.67 |
0.51 |
|
|
47 |
U |
PHI |
C |
712 |
-0.89 |
0.02 |
-0.29 |
0.45 |
-1.07 |
|
|
48 |
U |
CHA |
C |
3116 |
-0.91 |
0.34 |
-1.18 |
0.03 |
-0.10 |
|
|
49 |
U |
NJN |
PF |
3753 |
-1.02 |
0.86 |
-1.04 |
-0.22 |
-0.63 |
|
|
50 |
U |
BOS |
SG |
816 |
-1.02 |
-0.87 |
1.02 |
-0.24 |
-0.93 |
|
|
51 |
R |
DEN |
SF |
1268 |
-1.03 |
-0.48 |
0.03 |
-0.17 |
-0.41 |
|
|
52 |
U |
MIA |
SF |
2915 |
-1.14 |
-1.44 |
-1.37 |
2.41 |
-0.74 |
|
|
53 |
U |
WAS |
SF |
1303 |
-1.15 |
-0.50 |
-0.17 |
0.21 |
-0.68 |
|
|
54 |
U |
SAC |
PG |
1739 |
-1.29 |
-0.41 |
0.04 |
-0.91 |
-0.94 |
|
|
55 |
U |
IND |
PF |
3162 |
-1.29 |
0.50 |
-1.35 |
0.09 |
-0.53 |
|
|
56 |
R |
PHI |
C |
3256 |
-1.34 |
0.17 |
-0.30 |
-0.28 |
-0.94 |
|
|
57 |
U |
SAC |
PF |
986 |
-1.35 |
-0.07 |
0.06 |
-0.39 |
-0.94 |
|
|
58 |
U |
PHI |
C |
139 |
-1.37 |
0.77 |
-0.98 |
0.03 |
-1.19 |
|
|
59 |
U |
ORL |
SG |
3530 |
-1.39 |
0.11 |
-1.10 |
0.75 |
-1.15 |
|
|
60 |
U |
HOU |
C |
4002 |
-1.39 |
0.07 |
-0.93 |
-0.02 |
-0.51 |
|
|
61 |
U |
DET |
SG |
3046 |
-1.42 |
0.27 |
-0.43 |
-0.54 |
-0.72 |
|
|
62 |
U |
ATL |
SF |
1263 |
-1.48 |
-0.79 |
0.68 |
-0.72 |
-0.64 |
|
|
63 |
U |
MIN |
PF |
2698 |
-1.50 |
-1.09 |
-1.24 |
0.77 |
0.06 |
|
|
64 |
R |
TOR |
SG |
2776 |
-1.65 |
-0.03 |
0.02 |
-0.97 |
-0.68 |
|
|
65 |
U |
GSW |
PG |
1218 |
-1.72 |
0.78 |
-0.61 |
-1.27 |
-0.64 |
|
|
66 |
U |
ATL |
C |
1095 |
-1.73 |
-0.93 |
-0.61 |
0.21 |
-0.40 |
|
|
67 |
R |
WAS |
SF |
215 |
-1.73 |
-0.97 |
-0.73 |
1.92 |
-1.95 |
|
|
68 |
U |
NOH |
C |
958 |
-1.76 |
0.73 |
-1.39 |
0.03 |
-1.13 |
|
|
69 |
U |
SAS |
PG |
542 |
-1.82 |
-0.69 |
-0.11 |
-1.02 |
-2.05 |
|
|
70 |
U |
BOS |
PF |
4221 |
-1.84 |
-0.53 |
-0.94 |
-0.40 |
0.04 |
|
|
71 |
U |
IND |
C |
1042 |
-1.88 |
-0.89 |
-0.90 |
-0.06 |
-0.02 |
|
|
72 |
R |
DEN |
SF |
1616 |
-1.93 |
0.32 |
-1.25 |
-0.47 |
-0.54 |
|
|
73 |
U |
BOS |
SG |
280 |
-1.98 |
0.31 |
-2.09 |
1.18 |
-1.38 |
|
|
74 |
U |
CLE |
SG |
4022 |
-1.99 |
-0.82 |
-0.39 |
0.16 |
-0.95 |
|
|
75 |
U |
NOH |
PF |
2044 |
-2.10 |
-1.38 |
-0.05 |
-0.29 |
-0.38 |
|
|
76 |
U |
NJN |
PG |
803 |
-2.17 |
0.15 |
-2.17 |
-0.16 |
-1.12 |
|
|
77 |
U |
BOS |
C |
331 |
-2.22 |
0.74 |
-1.21 |
-2.08 |
0.34 |
|
|
78 |
U |
IND |
PG |
1500 |
-2.28 |
-1.00 |
-0.07 |
-1.21 |
-1.15 |
|
|
79 |
U |
DEN |
C |
717 |
-2.30 |
0.30 |
-1.86 |
0.03 |
-0.78 |
|
|
80 |
U |
ATL |
PF |
1243 |
-2.31 |
-1.84 |
0.34 |
-0.27 |
-0.54 |
|
|
81 |
Hamady N'Diaye |
R |
WAS |
C |
140 |
-2.34 |
-0.68 |
-2.01 |
0.03 |
0.31 |
|
82 |
U |
DEN |
PF |
2442 |
-2.37 |
0.91 |
-1.64 |
-0.31 |
-1.32 |
|
|
83 |
U |
BOS |
SF |
1044 |
-2.40 |
0.11 |
-0.56 |
-1.65 |
-0.30 |
|
|
84 |
U |
NYK |
SG |
622 |
-2.44 |
0.98 |
-0.91 |
-1.25 |
-1.26 |
|
|
85 |
U |
PHI |
PG |
63 |
-2.47 |
-0.88 |
1.86 |
-3.45 |
-0.42 |
|
|
86 |
U |
DAL |
PF |
1154 |
-2.48 |
-2.28 |
-2.27 |
3.10 |
-1.02 |
|
|
87 |
U |
BOS |
PG |
348 |
-2.53 |
-0.88 |
-2.52 |
0.87 |
-0.57 |
|
|
88 |
U |
ORL |
SF |
734 |
-2.53 |
1.04 |
-1.71 |
-1.09 |
-0.78 |
|
|
89 |
R |
MIA |
PG |
2984 |
-2.55 |
-0.54 |
-1.09 |
0.32 |
-1.25 |
|
|
90 |
U |
MIA |
C |
1553 |
-2.58 |
-0.02 |
-1.55 |
-0.03 |
-0.97 |
|
|
91 |
U |
NYK |
PF |
1375 |
-2.61 |
-1.87 |
-1.81 |
2.21 |
-1.14 |
|
|
92 |
U |
CHI |
PF |
2127 |
-2.62 |
-1.60 |
0.63 |
-0.19 |
-1.47 |
|
|
93 |
U |
MIA |
PF |
1102 |
-2.64 |
-2.10 |
0.24 |
-0.19 |
-0.59 |
|
|
94 |
U |
DET |
SF |
376 |
-2.66 |
-0.90 |
-1.05 |
1.19 |
-1.91 |
|
|
95 |
R |
WAS |
SG |
598 |
-2.67 |
0.74 |
-2.13 |
-0.78 |
-0.50 |
|
|
96 |
DJ Mbenga |
U |
NOH |
C |
604 |
-2.71 |
-0.87 |
-1.65 |
0.03 |
-0.21 |
|
97 |
U |
DAL |
SG |
2188 |
-2.73 |
-1.26 |
-1.24 |
0.90 |
-1.13 |
|
|
98 |
U |
MIA |
C |
291 |
-2.74 |
-0.34 |
-1.31 |
0.03 |
-1.13 |
|
|
99 |
U |
MIL |
SG |
245 |
-2.82 |
1.74 |
-1.00 |
-2.65 |
-0.91 |
|
|
100 |
U |
GSW |
PF |
2269 |
-2.84 |
-1.09 |
-2.09 |
1.44 |
-1.10 |
|
|
101 |
U |
IND |
C |
1805 |
-2.95 |
-0.98 |
-0.85 |
-0.13 |
-0.98 |
|
|
102 |
Shawne Williams |
U |
NYK |
PF |
1189 |
-3.02 |
-1.00 |
-1.50 |
0.31 |
-0.83 |
|
103 |
U |
TOR |
SF |
1460 |
-3.13 |
0.64 |
-1.52 |
-0.68 |
-1.57 |
|
|
104 |
Luc Mbah a Moute |
R |
MIL |
PF |
3838 |
-3.17 |
-1.09 |
-1.25 |
-0.37 |
-0.46 |
|
105 |
U |
LAC |
SF |
551 |
-3.22 |
0.02 |
-2.35 |
0.50 |
-1.39 |
|
|
106 |
U |
TOR |
C |
988 |
-3.22 |
-0.55 |
-1.50 |
0.03 |
-1.21 |
|
|
107 |
U |
WAS |
PF |
2014 |
-3.33 |
-1.22 |
-0.91 |
-0.39 |
-0.81 |
|
|
108 |
U |
UTA |
PG |
2869 |
-3.34 |
-0.35 |
-1.11 |
-0.38 |
-1.50 |
|
|
109 |
U |
UTA |
PG |
1281 |
-3.41 |
-0.16 |
-2.34 |
-0.90 |
-1.33 |
|
|
110 |
U |
NJN |
C |
304 |
-3.45 |
0.61 |
-2.60 |
0.03 |
-1.49 |
|
|
111 |
U |
WAS |
PG |
298 |
-3.65 |
-0.53 |
-0.83 |
-2.29 |
-1.64 |
|
|
112 |
U |
ORL |
C |
322 |
-3.72 |
-0.45 |
-2.06 |
0.03 |
-1.25 |
|
|
113 |
U |
MEM |
SF |
1055 |
-3.76 |
-0.86 |
-1.47 |
-0.40 |
-1.03 |
|
|
114 |
U |
CHA |
SF |
1407 |
-3.76 |
-0.92 |
-1.40 |
-0.55 |
-0.89 |
|
|
115 |
Roger Mason |
U |
NYK |
SG |
626 |
-4.05 |
-1.60 |
-1.46 |
0.03 |
-1.02 |
|
116 |
U |
NJN |
PF |
343 |
-4.26 |
-1.11 |
-3.07 |
-0.19 |
0.11 |
|
|
117 |
U |
NJN |
SF |
217 |
-4.29 |
-0.97 |
-0.98 |
-0.87 |
-1.49 |
|
|
118 |
U |
UTA |
C |
857 |
-4.36 |
0.15 |
-2.71 |
-0.08 |
-1.72 |
|
|
119 |
U |
WAS |
SF |
794 |
-4.67 |
-1.56 |
-1.07 |
-1.29 |
-0.76 |
|
|
120 |
U |
TOR |
PF |
1510 |
-5.97 |
-2.07 |
-2.35 |
-0.32 |
-1.22 |
|
|
121 |
U |
CHA |
PG |
227 |
-6.28 |
-1.75 |
-2.04 |
-2.48 |
-0.87 |
|
|
122 |
U |
ATL |
PF |
144 |
-6.38 |
-2.02 |
-0.51 |
-0.19 |
-3.67 |
|
|
123 |
U |
CHA |
C |
131 |
-6.46 |
-2.89 |
-1.65 |
0.03 |
-1.95 |
|
|
124 |
U |
NYK |
PF |
891 |
-6.46 |
-1.90 |
-2.55 |
-0.19 |
-1.82 |
|
|
125 |
U |
PHI |
SF |
231 |
-7.02 |
-1.44 |
-1.90 |
-2.57 |
-1.12 |
|
|
126 |
U |
LAL |
C |
81 |
-7.76 |
-3.85 |
-3.97 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
There are 32 Comments. Load Now.
Shortcuts to mastering the comment thread. Use wisely.
C - Next Comment
X - Mark as Read
R - Reply
Z - Mark Read & Next
Shift + C - Previous
Shift + A - Mark All Read
Comment Settings
Live comment alert: Hide it!
Comments for this post are closed.