SB Nation Bay Area Editor's Pick
ESPN's Chad Ford: Warriors are "Sleeper" to land Deron Williams
Not sure if I'm supposed to do this... but oh well. You guys should know anyway.
According to ESPN NBA Insider Chad Ford, the Golden State Warriors are a "SLEEPER" to land Utah star point guard Deron Williams. But it's not going to come at a price that even the most hardcore Warrior fan likes:
"One sleeper would be the Golden State Warriors, who might be willing to offer Stephen Curry, lottery pick Ekpe Udoh and multiple first-round picks to pair Williams and Monta Ellis in the backcourt."
A lot to give up, but would this be a return to a "We Believe" style of lineup?
This FanPost is a submission from a member of the mighty Golden State of Mind community. While we're all here to throw up that W, these words do not necessarily reflect the views of the GSoM Crew. Still, chances are the preceding post is Unstoppable Baby!
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Most reports indicate they got rid of Sloan to appease Deron. I don’t really think the next move will be trading Deron.
Thing A
"Correlation between inability to use the reply button and general crappiness of analysis: pretty high." -Sleepy Freud
I don't know
but I remember reading other reports that said Utah might be looking to trade Williams as well. I need to find that link.
Williams has stated that those reports aren't true.
Although I would just take it with a grain of salt. I’m sure there are people that would lie and say it’s not their fault if it was truly them that caused their head coach to leave. Deron might be one of them.
by Precise Films Productions on Feb 11, 2011 2:45 AM PST up reply actions
Yeah I do't think he'd just say yes I got him fired and threatened to demand a trade otherwise
He’s not that type of guy
"There is nothing like a wise phrase or quote to help convince others that your decision makes sense." - Anon
"If you're ever in a fair fight, then your tactics suck." ಠ_ಠ
Maybe we are getting some good Karma
After the Nellie-CWebb incident, which was a big step in the derailing of the franchise, we maybe we will be the benefactors of another team going through the same thing.
by WestCoastWarrior on Feb 11, 2011 4:16 PM PST up reply actions
If you go to the jazz site they have a post on this already, and poll
They have a couple options but the warriors is the most popular other than “other”
nice find
but not exactly a ringing endorsement.
25 out of 86 votes…about 29% say yes (to Steph, Udoh, and picks for DWill)
I’m still not sure that DWill is really going to add much beyond what we already got. Factor in salary and the fact that they are talking about Steph and not Monta…
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 21, 2011 4:15 PM PST up reply actions
I would do this in a heartbeat.
The only thing is, I might be kinda iffy about him staying since he’s a free agent in 2012. If we do the trade with Curry, Udoh, and multiple picks, we can use our expirings to get a solid bench player or a good Center. I’d take a good look at trying to trade for DeAndre Jordan, and definitely not Nene.
uh
nene
lee
wright
ellis
williams
would be straight DIRTY. that’s a playoff roster in a heartbeat
It's lonely being the only Warriors fan at UMass :(
Nice Line-up...
…but we’d still have to address the lack of depth on the bench.
Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Raider fans copy & paste 130484703815 in Ebay!
Raider fans copy & paste 130484703815 in Ebay!
we wouldnt need a deep bench
(although it would help)
a lineup like that would go places. far places.
nene, ellis, and williams would work like clockwork. and then lee can focus on sucking in the rebounds, and dorrell just continues to turn into a solid sf (he’s gonna be REAL good in a couple years).
i’d be more than ecstatic if that’s how we started next season
It's lonely being the only Warriors fan at UMass :(
wait
how’d we get Nene again?
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 11, 2011 10:43 AM PST up reply actions
We won a game of rock paper scissors
with the jazz. Winner get Nene, loser get’s Dan Gad and Vlad Rad
Lol
And did you know there is actually such a thing as Ro-Sham-Bo (or however you spell it) world championships?
by supersugarCrisp on Feb 11, 2011 5:08 PM PST up reply actions
just speculatory
It's lonely being the only Warriors fan at UMass :(
by j-spliff415 on Feb 12, 2011 12:45 AM PST up reply actions
so you would trade Curry for Nene?
because thats a stupid trade.
Deron Williams for Stephen Curry is a win for us (if we're talking about winning now).
We’re trading our starting point guard for an even better starting point guard (who is also the best player in the trade).
We’ll miss Stephen Curry’s shooting, but we’ll finally have a big point guard to play alongside Monta again. Deron has strength, he’s also a good scorer and a great playmaker; Can Deron bring Biedrins back to his 07/08 form?
This trade will also depend on how good/great Curry will be in the future and if Deron will be re-signing with us when he becomes a free agent. Another gamble is how valuable those multiple first round draft picks (exactly how many?) could become.
For current roster differences after the trade, we’d have an improved starting 5 and Udoh will be the only bench player gone.
PG: Deron Williams / Acie Law / Jeremy Lin / Charlie Bell
SG: Monta Ellis / Reggie Williams
SF: Dorell Wright / Vladimir Radmanovic
PF: David Lee / Louis Amundson / Brandan Wright
C: Andris Biedrins / Dan Gadzuric
That still looks pretty good to me, even with Udoh gone. Deron Williams is a point guard that can make things happen whereas Stephen Curry doesn’t play assertive at times. I’m confident that David Lee would get a little boost in his offensive game from playing with Williams, and while it may not seem like a big difference, that little boost is what we need to win close games.
Like some have mentioned, Williams in the backcourt will mean that Monta won’t get to handle the ball as much (compared to when he got to dominate the ball at times while Curry just played as a spot up shooter). Some people might think that’s a bad thing for Monta, but I’m sure he’ll be happy to let Williams handle the ball. This takes pressure off of Monta and he’ll be able to play even more efficiently just like he did when he comfortably played alongside Baron back in 07/08. Also, our backcourt’s defense won’t get abused as much. We could even have Deron guard SGs at times while Monta plays D on the opposing point guard.
It looks like a good trade and I might be willing to make that transaction, although another good choice would be to just keep Curry (still a great player and is cheap) and go for a big man.
What I’m wondering is that if the Warriors are the “sleepers” to land Deron Williams, then which teams are most likely to get him over Golden State?
by Precise Films Productions on Feb 11, 2011 9:59 AM PST up reply actions
I'd much rather trade Monta for him -
- even if that might create bigger defensive problems, because I think that adding unselfish players together gets you bigger and bigger benefits.
But in either event, it’s a talent upgrade, so we’d have to go for it.
by Ronaldinho on Feb 11, 2011 10:34 AM PST up reply actions 3 recs
+1. Rec'd.
This is spot on. Williams/Curry make a much better back court than Williams/Ellis.
by UncleCliffy on Feb 11, 2011 11:17 AM PST up reply actions
Really?
Monta can probably guard PG’s well enough , Steph not so much. If Dwill guarded 2’s we’d still have issues at PG. And Steph is most effective with the ball. We’d be limiting him .
"There is nothing like a wise phrase or quote to help convince others that your decision makes sense." - Anon
"If you're ever in a fair fight, then your tactics suck." ಠ_ಠ
by dubzfan on Feb 11, 2011 11:19 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
What’s well enough? Where is this idea that Monta can do a good job of guarding PG’s coming from? Monta can guard PG’s better than he can guard SG’s. He’s still not very good at it, though.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 11:32 AM PST up reply actions
This
Monta will never be a lock down defender but I’d rather have a Monta / DWill back court than a Steph/ DWill back court.
"There is nothing like a wise phrase or quote to help convince others that your decision makes sense." - Anon
"If you're ever in a fair fight, then your tactics suck." ಠ_ಠ
Defensively I suspect a Monta-DWill backcourt would be slightly better.
Offensively I think it’d likely to be a lot worse.
We won't be relying solely on permiter shooting as much however.
Williams will be able to create for our front court in a way that Stephen Curry hasn’t.
I back this argument
Monta and Dwill’s offensive skills are quite similar, they both like to attack the basket. Having Curry who can shoot the three better and be an extra playmaker from the perimeter benefits our offense a lot better. Dwill can just focus on punishing the defending pg on drives. I think Curry has the brains to play smart defense, and that’s what you need on perimeter D – he just needs to mature on that end. Guarding a SG that can drive well and back up his defender relies more on a team defense than man-to-man.
The All-NBA First Team | Front Office Edition *Tied
Pres. Presti | VP Nash | GM Sloan | Coach Poppovich | Rookie Durant Or
Pres. Riley | VP Bryant | GM Don Nelson | Coach Phil Jackson | Rookie Griffin
It's pointless discussion
If Utah wanted to trade Deron, they’d want to rebuild. Do you want to rebuild around 22 year old PG on 3 mil rookie deal, or 25 year old SG who is undersized on 11 mil.
If they want Monta, by all means… he’s yours.
I don’t really care to be honest. Meither Monta or Curry will be as good as Deron. So whatever they want, they can have. Take DLee too… he looks ‘utah’
Take DLee too… he looks ‘utah’
Kinda racist jab there. So white guys dont fit in the bay area?
It is a melting pot ya know. Everyone fits.
by Only In Fairfax on Feb 17, 2011 2:40 PM PST up reply actions
Everyone fits here,
but only white people fit in Utah.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 17, 2011 2:52 PM PST up reply actions
Yeah
he was too tall.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 17, 2011 3:06 PM PST up reply actions
Karl drove a tractor
An exception was made.
and a Harley
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 18, 2011 9:46 AM PST up reply actions
and
he wanted to be a law and order cop.
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Feb 18, 2011 11:02 AM PST up reply actions
But DWill
Has never, in the NBA, had to guard SGs. I’m not sure he’s a big enough (bigger than Curry sure) PG to make that reverso G thing work. It’d take away from his O game having to run around guarding SGs coming off screens all day.
Still, even though i prefer Curry to Monta, i’m thinking about this one.
I think it’s the multiple first rounders, DW’s ability to leave in two years and doubts he’d like to guard SGs that leaves me wondering about this one.
by supersugarCrisp on Feb 11, 2011 5:11 PM PST up reply actions
If Williams can't defend the SG's and our whole team is still in a flux situation
then I’d go ahead and look for an Ellis trade. Try to get Wesley Matthews or Iguodala.
I don’t disagree with that, but I’m not sure it makes much difference. From really bad to merely bad doesn’t seem to make much difference to me…
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 10:58 AM PST up reply actions
They want Curry rather than Monta
This isn’t the no brainer like the Curry Griffin trade proposed here a month ago. I wonder if some of these writers just make up trades because we can’t give up a first round pick at this time, but if we could give up second round picks/expirings with Curry and Udoh, I say we pull the trigger. . DW is a tenacious when he wants to be, he’s got a Baron build, about 25 lbs. on Curry.
Checking out basketball reference Def. win share rankings put DW roughly in the same rankings ( 168 ) as Lee ( 172 ) Ellis ( 177 ) and Curry ( 196 ), but they seem to like Brand defensively ( 30 ) and Al Jefferson (23).
Again, Am I missing something?
by War Years Legacy on Feb 11, 2011 11:53 AM PST up reply actions
I don't know that "Steph is most effective with the ball."
I think a lot of Steph’s skills – particularly his outstanding shooting – work well with or without the ball. As others have pointed out, he’s not really a pure point guard, not yet, at least.
And, again, I just have to repeat – I really think having multiple great passers on a team gives you added benefits. The team becomes greater than the sum of the parts. I’m thinking, for example, about the Bird-Walton Celtics, which often had three great passers on the floor at once (Bird, Walton, and DJ). Williams, Curry, and Lee would be a magnificent team to watch, and would create lots of easy looks for Biedrins and Dorrel.
Furthermore, if we did a Monta+pieces for Will trade, we’ve solved our backup PG problem. DW plays 36 minutes of point. Curry plays 12 minutes of point and 24 minutes of SG. Reggie plays 24 minutes of SG. I believe that would be a very effective guard rotation.
(Granted, I don’t really see this trade happening, but who knows – if Derron is perceived as driving Sloan out of town, they may be forced to trade him).
Given Curry’s willingness to let Monta dominate (sometimes to the team’s detriment) I don’t think he’d have a problem with DW as the primary ball handler.
Deron for Monta
that would be a miracle…ain’t gonna happen.
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
it’s a miracle this is even a debate. if we could get Deron for Monta, you do it in a heartbeat over Curry (neither Curry or Monta are ideal 2’s and Deron would be the primary ballhandler)…..
so if you had the Curry or Monta for Deron option, why do you keep Curry? b/c he has actual trade value. last season, the Griz reportedly offered Mayo & Thabeet for Monta and Boston reportedly rejected a Monta/Vlad for Ray Allen offer. so if u get Deron for Monta, you use Curry to go after another star to pair with DW. you move Curry for that 2nd star — making it all the more likely DW would sign an extension.
but as Evanz said, Deron for Monta “ain’t gonna happen”
by homer simpson on Feb 13, 2011 12:35 AM PST up reply actions
Yep gotta say, I'm with Cliffy on this...
Curry can shoot the lights out when allowed. If the focus is more on Deron Handling the ball and leading the drives and dishes, with Curry able to drop off for the 3 or easy jumper…. absolutely I would prefer this.
'In Lacob We Trust'......
by BritWarriorGSW on Feb 11, 2011 1:49 PM PST up reply actions
I think we are “sleepers” in the sense that he most likely stays and/or we are a small market team.
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 11, 2011 11:36 AM PST up reply actions
We’re a big market team. Just not a losing franchise in a big market.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 12:02 PM PST up reply actions
not a big media market
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
The Bay Area is the 6th largest media market in the US…that’s pretty big
"It is not enough that we win; all others must lose" -Larry Ellison
"I come up with something when I’ve got nothing, and it’s always brilliant. Always. So I reject your logic." -Grant
top 6 is not big enough for elite free agents who care about such things
really all you have to do is see what ESPN has at the top of their website
ESPN: Boston | Chicago | Dallas | Los Angeles | New York
Dallas is really there simply because of the Cowboys. I have a feeling Miami will get its own ESPN site before the Bay Area does.
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
A winning team seems to change the opinion of what “big market” is. When the 9ers were fantastic in the 80s and early 90s and had money to throw around, SF was a big market, highly visible and inviting. Winning has a way of changing opinions quickly.
by jae on Feb 11, 2011 12:14 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
I vaguely remember an ESPN or Yahoo article during this past World Series saying how it was actually between two big media markets. But the Bay Area is still a fairly large media market and players know that. The reason free agents may not want to come here isn’t because of media market or whatnot, they don’t want to come to the Warriors because of the history of a horrible FO.
"It is not enough that we win; all others must lose" -Larry Ellison
"I come up with something when I’ve got nothing, and it’s always brilliant. Always. So I reject your logic." -Grant
Additionally, the Warriors have great fan support, and the Bay Area in general is one of the highest income places in the country. The Warriors have a lot going for them. The only thing we don’t having going is a winning reputation. And that’s the problem, and it’s a big one. I honestly think Lacob’s goal is to change that as quickly as possible. But winning reputation aside, in other factors I don’t think anyone but the Lakers, Celtics, Knicks and Bulls are clearly ahead of us, while both the Clippers and Nets (especially when they move to Brooklyn) have the potential to pass us. Our market is at least on par with anyone else, though.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 12:31 PM PST up reply actions
San Antonio wins
not big market, never will be
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
Niners won a Super Bowl with home grown talent first
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
by Evanz on Feb 11, 2011 12:25 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
True
The Bay Area is a big market, but the reason why FA’s tend to not want to go here is because of our horrible reputation as a basketball team. We’ve missed the Playoffs 15 of the last 16 seasons. That type of losing can make a team look bad no matter what type of market they play in.
You can see it in the media as well. Back in the glory days of the Warriors in the 70s they had the positive vibe going on.
I was watching “Invasion of the Body Snatchers (the 1970s remake of the 1950s film)” a couple weeks ago and was surprised to hear the Warriors being mentioned in the movie. In one scene, the main character was talking to her husband at home and he said, “I have something to look forward to tonight… PLAYOFFS!”. Then in another scene -I think she was on the phone talking to someone – she was saying, “I know, I know, the Warriors won!”.
Granted, the movie took place in San Francisco, but if they were to film that movie there now I doubt they would even mention the Warriors since we currently a bad reputation and viewers from other cities would just laugh. I’m sure they’d mention the San Francisco Giants, though (at least we’re getting some recognition in the MLB).
by Precise Films Productions on Feb 11, 2011 9:35 PM PST up reply actions
Also, remember the 2007 Playoffs and how people reacted to us when we were winning.
If the Warriors are a consistent postseason team, all of a sudden people will pay attention and realize what great of a place the Bay Area is. Our fans were going wild during the Playoffs and had so much energy. We even had celebrity fans going to our games. The only other teams that have that many celebrity fans going to their games were the Lakers.
Yes, a big reason why there were celebrities at our games was because some of them were friends with Baron Davis, but even though he’s gone I still see Oracle Arena filled with celebrities if they start winning. I remember seeing people like Snoop Dogg and Carlos Santana going to the games.
by Precise Films Productions on Feb 11, 2011 9:44 PM PST up reply actions
The Warriors had won only a couple of years earlier.
I thought that was interesting Donald Sutherland writing that restaurant up for a rat turd. A beaureaucrat writing up a small business for an infraction would not be written into the lead man’s role in a contemporary movie, but they would for example, tell a story about a whistleblower on a major corparation.
Just my thoughts, I liked the movie.
I do think the sucess of the Giants has showed there would be a great deal of support for certainly any San Francisco team in the Bay Area.. I do think Lacob sees the Bay Area as a world class area, but more specifically, San Francisco as a world class city. He lives on the peninsula. I definitely think he’d eventually like to get up the funding for a San Francisco arena and move the team there.
by War Years Legacy on Feb 11, 2011 10:02 PM PST up reply actions
The Bay Area is a big market, but the reason why FA’s tend to not want to go here is because of our horrible reputation as a basketball team.
Is there any evidence to suggest that FAs in general don’t want to come here? It wasn’t an issue with David Lee. I guess you could say maybe Amare, but he wanted to go to New York, which is not the same thing as not wanting to come here.
We’ve had a bunch of players leave under a cloud recently, but I suspect that has a lot more to do with the coaching/management situation than with anything about the team’s success.
NBA players aren’t in a habit of signing for less that the maximum available amount of money. It happens, but it’s pretty rare, and usually it’s pretty easy to see the underlying reasons.
Dont forget
The spectacle of the giants winning the series. I think that was a statement to how hungry the bay is for a winning team.
Sure it is
Bay Area market + winning team will attract.
Bay Area alone won’t. How old are you (not a condescending Q). Dallas pre-cuban makes Cohan’s warriors look like the Lakers. But he’s built a nice winning culture, and a reputation for treating players well. Now Dallas is seen as a ‘big market’
Lacob and Guber could do the same here. But it takes time. We’ll need to trade for some big time players, not alienate them (which is the MO of the Cohan era), build a winner and the reputation will change.
Sweeping change doesn’t happen. But so far everything Lacob and Guber have done in changing culture is positive. We need the on court product to follow suit.
old enough to have had a crush on Winnie Cooper
and remember when the Mavs sucked
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
OMG winnie cooper was so hot
Excellent reference :)
she's still pretty hot fwiw
;)
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
holllyyyyyy crap!!!
umm…yeah, she seems to be holding up ok!
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 14, 2011 3:48 PM PST up reply actions
she seems to be holding up ok!
Damn that pic, I had a dream of her holding me up this morning.
by Only In Fairfax on Feb 22, 2011 10:59 AM PST up reply actions
She’s a math prodigy, too. Beautiful and brilliant. She’s also married. Shame. I’m sure I would have had a shot at her.
And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who would attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know my name is Monta Ellis when I lay my vengeance upon thee.
And we technically don’t even have to share the bay area like the baseball and football teams do. Its a pretty huge market
Thing A
"Correlation between inability to use the reply button and general crappiness of analysis: pretty high." -Sleepy Freud
Exactly, so sure we’re not in the top 5, but we just barely make the cut at #6. Being sixth is nothing to scoff at especially when you want to talk about media market. One spot isn’t going to make that big of a difference to a player because they’ll know they’re in a top media market with some of the most loyal fans in the Association.
"It is not enough that we win; all others must lose" -Larry Ellison
"I come up with something when I’ve got nothing, and it’s always brilliant. Always. So I reject your logic." -Grant
Whether we’re a top 5 market or not really depends on how you define the market. We’re at least in the mix for the 5 spot.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 1:47 PM PST up reply actions
And that’s why I’m confused about Evanz thinking that we’re not a large market. If it weren’t for the fact that our FO has a horrible track record (and the jury is still out on the new owners), free agents would want to come here BECAUSE the Bay Area is great for marketing.
"It is not enough that we win; all others must lose" -Larry Ellison
"I come up with something when I’ve got nothing, and it’s always brilliant. Always. So I reject your logic." -Grant
let me just say this, and it will be my last word on the topic
you’re kidding yourself if you think this team lands an elite free agent without drafting one first.
If that’s what you’re waiting for…wow, it’s going to be a long wait.
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
That's possibly just luck
You can trade for an elite player, and then sign one after just as easy, if the first one is under contract.
I think your point is more, you need to have one to entice others to come.
You can trade for an elite player
can we? ok, I’m still waiting.
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
well we're discussing Deron Williams aren't we?
And I actually think we are in one of the few teams in position to trade for him. If Utah wants to trade him that is.
But yeah, I get your point.
It doesn't happen often, but it does happen.
Nobody realize how elite Wade was when they acquired Shaq – who changed teams twice while he was an elite player. Pheonix acquired Nash, and, a decade earlier, Barkley. KG was traded. Baron Davis – borderline elite, I’d say, but close than anybody we have now – was traded. Jason Kidd has changed teams multiple times. McGrady was traded while still elite. Andre Miller was very very good, and has switches teams a couple of times. Billups was a step below elite when he was traded. Boozer has changed teams twice while being a step-below-elite player. Ditto Camby. Nash changed teams.
It doesn’t happen often, but there’s plenty of evidence to suggest that top players change teams with some regularity. Of course, you’ve got to have the flexibility to make it possible, and the supporting cast (not necessarily another elite player, but a solid group of players) to be an appealing destination.
(Or maybe not always. Did Nash go to Pho for any reason other than dollars?)
Of the top ten players by WP this season (not your favorite metric, but still) two (Love and Horford) are still on their rookie deals. Of the remaining eight, (Paul, Howard, LeBron, Gasol, Randolph, Wade, Nash, and Odom) only three (Paul, Howard, and Wade) have not changed teams.
Oh, yeah, and two of those three guys are widely seen as likely to change teams in the near future if their team doesn’t get to the next level. Of the remaining five (of the top ten) three have changed teams at least twice.
(I probably wouldn’t have called Randolph elite, but using an objective measure stops me from cherry-picking a top ten).
What happened in Miami last season, and may be happening with New York right now, makes it seem like the top players are all going to be looking for easy rides. But I’m not sure that’s the case. The new CBA may make it a lot harder for teams to stockpile top talent, and we still basically only have one example (Lebron) of an elite player in his prime not going where he could get the most money.
Of the remaining eight, (Paul, Howard, LeBron, Gasol, Randolph, Wade, Nash, and Odom) only three (Paul, Howard, and Wade) have not changed teams.
Odom and Gasol went to LA. We’re not LA. Nash was traded for Kidd. We don’t have comparable value (Curry?). And Randolph…I think we both know he’s not the answer.
I still don’t see how we get CP3, DWill, or Howard when they become free agents.
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
Did Gasol go to L.A. because it was L.A.?
That was a financial case for Memphis, and L.A. swooping in to keep him off the market. I don’t see any reason to think another team couldn’t have signed and kept him.
It’s not like L.A. was a powerhouse before he arrived (Memphis was just as good) so he wasn’t going to an easy winner.
As for not seeing how we get those three guys, I agree with you – but would you have predicted the deal that sent Barkley to Pheonix? Or Baron to the Warriors? I would have laughed at the deal that eventually landed Baron, had somebody suggested it in advance. Sometimes, if you’re in the right place at the right time with the right pieces, you can get lucky.
when someone mentions that sometimes an older draft pick might still have upside, I’ll remember you said this. Because I could swear you almost always point out that decisions shouldn’t be made on what might only happen very infrequently. For example, even if some older draft picks (Taj Gibson) work out, many of them do not. I remember this was the argument against Udoh.
This is fair. My point, however, is not that it’s easy for us to get a top player, but rather that elite players change teams at a rate that I can only call “not rare.”
Obviously, getting an elite player is usually hard because there aren’t very many of them. But it seems to me that looking at the number of the players on that list who have changed teams, it seems that it may well be just as easier, if not easier, to get one via trade/free agency than it is to get one via the draft.
I agree partly with you here.
But I’d like to point out that the Lakers were in 1st place in the West when that trade happened. So they were arguably “elite” in terms of record. It is something that could have affected Gasol willing to accept a trade going out of Memphis. The Lakers also had another elite player and what many consider and still consider the best player in the game. As far as Odom, he was traded for a guy that was a legit superstar before he left LA, so it’s arguable that the Lakers lost out in terms of talent.
I think it’s true that it’s very difficult to acquire a superstar without first being a good team or having another star on your roster, but I Evanz underrates the size of our market should we ever become a successful franchise. Even if we became successful without an actual superstar, we’d definitely attract really good players.
I'm looking forward to the Warriors being led to the playoffs by Monta Ellis AND Stephen Curry.
Even if we became successful without an actual superstar
how would this happen exactly?
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Not sure.
But the Pistons did not have a superstar. They had a supremely good defensive center, but he was so bad defensively that there’s not really room to consider him a superstar. Billups has never been considered one. Rip or Tay either. Another example of teams without any superstars is Atlanta. They’re successful with a group of solid players, though none that would be considered in the league’s top 10-15 players.
Indiana and Philly are currently in the top 8 in the East. Granger and Iggy are pretty good, but even if they are better than our best player…how much better? It’s definitely possible for us to be a playoff team without a superstar. Portland’s doing it without Roy (meaning they no longer have a superstar) and Memphis is right behind. Whoever takes the 8 seed (minus maybe the Suns because some consider Nash elite), it doesn’t really seem like that team will have a superstar.
That’s pretty much how. If we got improved play from the C and a slightly improved bench, we’d be competing for that spot as well.
I'm looking forward to the Warriors being led to the playoffs by Monta Ellis AND Stephen Curry.
*Wallace being so bad OFFENSIVELY
I'm looking forward to the Warriors being led to the playoffs by Monta Ellis AND Stephen Curry.
They had a supremely good defensive center, but he was so bad defensively [I assume you mean offensively] that there’s not really room to consider him a superstar.
I think this is one of those cases where the conspicuous nature of offense in the game makes people value it more when declaring someone a superstar. Players who are extremely good scorers but don’t play defense are more likely to be considered superstars than the other way around, though the impact of offense and defense on the outcome of games is equal. I suspect that it’s actually easier to hide a player who isn’t any good offensively than it is to hide a zero defender. On offense, you have some level of control over who takes the shots. On defense, the other team can attack the weakest link.
Billups has never been considered one.
He was under-appreciated in the court of popular opinion. He was much closer to ‘superstar’ than most think, and I suspect that his disappointing first few years flavored opinions more than they should. He was highly productive, a good distributor (not great but good, and not turnover prone) who had reasonable scoring volume for a slow paced offense while being very efficient. Couple that with quite effective defense and you’re looking at someone who contributes to wins at a superstar level, though the flash-less nature of it doesn’t get the glitz effect respect that ‘superstars’ get.
The measured productivity of the Pistons actually says that they had the ‘superstars’. In statistical analysis, there wasn’t really anything terribly shocking that they made it to the championships.
by jae on Feb 12, 2011 9:38 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Yupq
Detroit when they went to finals had 5 all-star caliber starters. Who played great team basketball, particularly team defense.
Give me that over 2 super-stars (shaq/kobe) and 3 very overrated name players who were in clear decline
That team was so ill. Don’t forget that Rasheed Wallace might have been the #1 bigman in the league that year given his ability to play in the post on both sides of the ball and extend the defense out the 3pt line.
Sittin in my scraper watchin Oakland goin wild, ta-dow!
Well
the guy shot 33% from 3. He wasn’t even the best big or Wallace on his own team.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 15, 2011 7:37 PM PST up reply actions
I don't think, then, that you understand what it takes to be considered a superstar.
It’s not about being able to hide deficiencies, it’s about being able to attract players to your team. And a great offensive player will always lure more players than a great defensive one. And as far as scoring superstars NOT playing any defense…who would that be? I think most of them play at least some sort of defense. Kobe’s good when he wants to be (he used to be pretty good night in and night out), LeBron jumps passing lanes and blocks shots. Wade’s actually really good on defense when the game is tight, Iverson could stay in front of any guard in the league and he could pick anyone’s pocket. Now, with Iverson, I know you’re going to tell me getting steals isn’t good defense, but that’s not all he did. He always did a good job on guards closer to his size.
As far as Wallace, he’s just bad on offense. Bad passer, bad shooter, horrible from the line. Despite taking mostly easy shots for most of his career he somehow still shot under 50% as a C/PF. That’s real bad. That’s as bad as Steve Nash’s defense. And you know what, for the longest time, Phoenix was able to hide his defense just as well as the Pistons could hide Ben’s offense. But who would a really good player (or superstar) rather play with? It’s usually the big flashy name. So while Wallace’s defense might have been better than any player’s offense in the NBA, he still wasn’t a superstar, fairly or unfairly.
I'm looking forward to the Warriors being led to the playoffs by Monta Ellis AND Stephen Curry.
It’s definitely possible for us to be a playoff team without a superstar. Portland’s doing it without Roy (meaning they no longer have a superstar)
Despite what people want to tell you, LaMarcus Aldridge is playing better than anyone on the Warriors.
Andre Miller is a better PG than Curry or Monta.
Defensively they blow us out of the water overall.
and McMillan is an excellent coach. He’d be towards top of my list if Portland doesn’t keep him (contract up)
Yes, but they still don't have a superstar.
I'm looking forward to the Warriors being led to the playoffs by Monta Ellis AND Stephen Curry.
The truth of the matter is
If we could swing a trade for Deron, we’d have a 1 year window to get a second quality player to entice him to stay. It’s a total gamble, I don’t deny that. But I’m tired of seeing this franchise take the conservative approach.
With Deron we wouldn’t have a hard time convincing a player to come here. It’s just be a matter of making a trade which works.
Hopefully the new CBA gives teams an advantage in trying to keep their own players over teams trying to sign the same player in free agency.
One thing worth noting – if we land a guy like Deron, and he ends up walking, honestly, we’ll probably be in the best situation to properly tank/rebuild we could be in. Definitely better than trying to do it with what we have now.
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:07 AM PST up reply actions
lol
ok, I’m on board!
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I thought you’d like that line of thinking.
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:31 AM PST up reply actions
Odom and Gasol were both traded to LA.
Nash was traded for Kidd.
No. Nash was traded from the Suns to the Mavs for Martin Müürsepp, Bubba Wells, rights to Pat Garrity and a future pick. He later signed with the Suns as a free agent. Kidd and Nash were not traded for each other.
ah, thanks
I didn’t remember it that way
(hard to do worse than that trade, in retrospect)
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to be fair
Nash was off an unspectacular
21.6 minute, 9.1 ppg, 3.4 apg, .556 ts% season.
Hardly bad. But who thought he’d be who he became?
But who thought he’d be who he became?
Nellie
by Doctor Kajita on Feb 11, 2011 4:21 PM PST up reply actions
Actually Donnie Nelson Jr.
Nellie credit’s Donnie who scouted him and said “this kid is a diamond in the rough, get him to shoot ore and you got an all-star”
Donnie Nelson, one of the more underrated evaluators of talent in NBA. He’s done a wonderful job at Dalas.
Yep
And yet another smart hoops man who was in GS but GS (Cohan) let get away.
Before that it was Pop.
Sickening really.
by supersugarCrisp on Feb 11, 2011 5:17 PM PST up reply actions
It was Marbury that was traded for Kidd!
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:08 AM PST up reply actions
that's pretty bad
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Once upon a time some people thought Marbury was good….
I suspect many people would still think a guy like Marbury was good if we had a clone of him entering the league now. Well, at least for the first 5 years or so until they finally figure out it’s not a coincidence all of his teams were horrible….
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:33 AM PST up reply actions
It doesn’t happen often, but it does happen.
btw, come draft time, when someone mentions that sometimes an older draft pick might still have upside, I’ll remember you said this. Because I could swear you almost always point out that decisions shouldn’t be made on what might only happen very infrequently. For example, even if some older draft picks (Taj Gibson) work out, many of them do not. I remember this was the argument against Udoh.
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Suppose Carmelo Anthony was really as good as some of the media believes (Jalen Rose called him a top 5 player in the NBA the other day). So, legitimate superstar. You don’t think we’d have a shot at getting into the mix given the current situation? If the Lakers decided he’s not a good enough fit to lose Bynum, and the Knicks lowballed the Nuggets thinking they could land him in free agency, and the Nets stay out of it…..you don’t think we could put together a package that looks like the best haul for Denver (probably featuring Curry as the main piece)? Even if we had to do it without getting Melo to sign an extension (he’s probably going to lose a whole lot of money if he doesn’t sign one, so we’d basically hope he’s bluffing in not signing the extension)? I don’t think it’s outside the realm of possibility, even if it’s not likely. But get a few situations where we’re “unlikely” – like say, Deron, Paul, Howard, and all of a sudden our chances aren’t nearly as bad at landing a superstar…..
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:04 AM PST up reply actions
we'd have a shot precisely because
the good teams actually know his true value better than “the media”
Notice how the Bynum talk quickly died down?
I’ve been working on comparing ezPM with RAPM. Turns out they agree very nicely on Melo. The 3yr avg for him is 2.4 in RAPM and 1.7 in ezPM. He comes out +2 over Ellis, but nowhere near “elite”.
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Excuse me
What do we gain in this deal? I’m not buying it. We lose Udoh who looks to be a ferocious defender. We don’t need a PG, we need a Center…end of story.
Ha, what do we gain? Only the best player in the deal and a very good player overall, probably the 2nd best at his position in the league. What we really need more than anything is better players.
by Missing Barry on Feb 14, 2011 11:03 AM PST up reply actions
we need better players
but particularly in the front court, and Curry is good, young, and cheap for the next 3 years. DWill would probably net us a few more wins (literally, just a few in my opinion), but that’s not going to change our fortunes if we don’t make other major changes.
I don’t see how DWill paired with Lee/Biedrins/Wright/Ellis would be better than the current Utah squad, and that team isn’t going anywhere in the playoffs most likely.
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I would say that this team’s biggest need is in the position of “best player on the team”. Upgrading our “best player on the team” should always be a goal.
agnostic of position?
I don’t agree. I think the value proposition is different at each position.
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if it were Paul or Nash-caliber player, yes
I don’t think DWill is on that level – and he’s going to want a max deal. Worth it? I don’t think so.
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You seem to think less of Deron than most of the rest of us. Why?
by Missing Barry on Feb 14, 2011 12:59 PM PST up reply actions
I'm guessing because he uses a play by play and +/- type of stat.
And Williams +/- has been pretty bad this season.
Keith Smart is challenging Red Auerbach to be the greatest coach of all time.
by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 14, 2011 1:21 PM PST up reply actions
this
when I average his RAPM and ezPM, he comes out to +3. He’s still the 3rd best PG, but around 30th overall.
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Have you looked at previous seasons? How do they compare? How does he rate in RAPM and ezPM seperately?
Ha, looks like you saw one of my questions ahead fo time.
by Missing Barry on Feb 14, 2011 1:36 PM PST up reply actions
FYI
if I had to choose, I would take Nene
Nene according to 3yr RAPM (3.6), by 3yr ezPM (3.9)
seeing as he would replace Beans, who is +0.2 average, the net effect would apparently be much larger than DWill replacing Curry. Also better in terms of cap.
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Nene really has been an offensive monster this year, and even so, the Nuggets are still underutilizing him…
by Missing Barry on Feb 14, 2011 1:43 PM PST up reply actions
so...
I think Nene+DLee is a defensive nightmare waiting to happen, and is probably redundant in terms of offense
I would like to see Udoh+Nene, but also draft another PF that can rebound/play d
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
I don’t think it’s too redundant in terms of offense. They seem to complement each other, as Nene does most of his work down on the block while Lee seems to like to take the midrange J and generally spend his time outside setting screens. The biggest problem is on a team of players whose value comes at the offensive end, there’s only one ball to go around. Adding Nene means our other guys (and likely Nene, as well) will likely be underutilized on the offensive end.
by Missing Barry on Feb 14, 2011 1:54 PM PST up reply actions
I would love a Nene/Dlee/Andris 3 man rotation
or even better Nene/Dlee/DeAndre Jordan.
But now I’ve totally drifted into fantasy land.
wouldn't surprise me if OKC goes after him
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if I were OKC
I’d do anything to get rid of Green, or just sit him
Insert Ibaka into the starting lineup, and get Nene to play C…that team would be tough
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That would be a scary team. Legitimate title contenders? I could definitely see it.
by Missing Barry on Feb 14, 2011 1:55 PM PST up reply actions
The question is money
They have to sign Westbrook next summer. 10+ mil. Durant’s extension kicks in. They are small market team, and haven’t shown signs they’ll go into luxury tax.
The OKC core talent with management like ours who claims to be willing to pay luxury tax. Title contenders
They do have a very nice financial situation right now, though.
by Missing Barry on Feb 14, 2011 6:41 PM PST up reply actions
OKC is well-positioned, too, in terms of cap
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Ridiculous isn't it
Warriors game summed it up. 5-5, 15 points in first half. And they go to him ONCE in second half.
Heck even only 5 shots in first half was too little for a guy that dominant. There’s no reason they shouldn’t force feed him in the post the way Orlando does with Howard, particularly against weak post defensive teams like GSW.
I actually think the right coach/system could make Nene a 20+ ppg player at a ridiculous efficiency. That type of production out of the post makes EVERYONE better.
Think Curry is a ridiculous shooter already? Imagine the open looks he gets when teams collapse and double down on post?
Curry is about +1
so, a net +2 for DWill. Not quite worth a max contract.
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
3yr blended RAPM + ezPM is +3.1
ranks 29th
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
Is that number supposed to represent points per 100 possessions or points per 48 minutes or something, by the way? How many wins does it translate to a year?
by Missing Barry on Feb 14, 2011 1:37 PM PST up reply actions
per 100 possessions
+1 = 2.5 wins
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
you can multiply it by the minutes fraction
so a player with +1 who plays 36 mpg is +1*2.5*0.75 ~ +1.9 wins
Take all players add them up, and then add 41 to get the total.
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Agree with jae but I want to address this point
(literally, just a few in my opinion)
Lets compare lineups across the board-
Monta, Dorell, Lee, Biedrins v. Miles, Kirilenko, Millsap, Jefferson
I think we got a better supporting cast. Bench v. Bench is pretty even, and if Reggie is on form, we’re better. If we got Deron, Monta would play less (36-38 minutes).
I don’t see how we can’t have Utah’s record if we had Deron for Curry without gutting the rest of the team.
this implies that Deron is worth +7 wins over Curry to this point in the season
would you agree with that statement?
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
I would
He’s an incredibly gifted playmaker, and a much better all around basketball player compared to Curry. Whether curry in the future reaches that is a different debate. I’m skeptical but I won’t rule it out.
Now maybe if Curry was healthier earlier and Keith used him better (you can argue health was a big reason, but Smart’s definitely underutilized him too) we’d probably have 2-3 more wins.
I'm having trouble finding data for this year
(so if you have it by all means)… I read a Berri article where he said Deron Williams so far has 9.2 wins produced thru 55 games. I’m not a huge fan of WP or WS, but i will say WP is a little more indepth, and closer to the truth. Both are still flawed.
Last year Deron’s WP was 21.6 (year before 15.3), Curry last year was 5.9
http://basketballprospectus.com/card.php?id=willide01
http://basketballprospectus.com/card.php?id=curryst01
I do think Deron would make our team better. Still a flawed team of course, but he is a size-able upgrade.
interesting sidenote- DLee in his best year, last year still only had a WP of 6.2, Nene last year- 9.4 Nene will clearly be higher this year, and Lee lower. Furthermore I truly believe Nene with more useage can do even more.
On the Nene note, the only flaw is, I’d want him to play with a player like the 07-08 Andris. Good weakside defender, rebounder, shot blocker. Sadly Lee is pretty much the opposite of that (minus rebounding)
Honestly WARP's even more flawed than WP or WS.
If you have high usage, you will have a high warp pretty much. I love Pelton’s analysis and everything but WARP said Rudy Gay and Joe Johnson’s performance in 2009-10 was max worthy…i don’t agree at all.
Steph Curry and Reggie Williams all day baby!
by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 14, 2011 11:03 PM PST up reply actions
I'm not a big fan of any of them to be honest
There’s no be-all-tell-all number out there to be had.
interestingly though, I have read Pelton’s points on it:
Like all rating systems based on box-score data, WARP cannot account for contributions that are not tracked in the box score, most notably on defense. It does no better than linear weights methods at evaluating players like Bruce Bowen. Also, it requires a number of assumptions – the value of assists, the trade-off between usage and efficiency, and replacement level.
I agree with him, but it kind of spits in face of a lot of the analysis you attempt to make.
I don’t want to put a number on how many more win’s Deron would give us instead of Curry. I think we all agree he’d give us more now, possibly a lot more this year. The debate would be down the line would he? Or do we expect Curry to bridge the gap to the point where a trade doesn’t make sense.
I was just responding to Evanz point on ‘you think he’s worth +7 this year’
here's the thing
we give a max contract to Deron…and then what? Basically Lee+Deron+Monta+Biedrins maxes us out. That teams wins, what, 42 games? No, that’s just not a good plan for winning.
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I think that team does better than 42 wins, though I don’t think it’s anything resembling a real contender.
by Missing Barry on Feb 15, 2011 7:01 AM PST up reply actions
Again
IS any of that a problem because of Deron Williams?
We’re still better with him than without. You seem to be against the trade just because it doesn’t make us an instant contender? Why? There really is only 2 players who could come close to doing that. Even then we wouldn’t win it all.
In my opinion if there is a possibility of trading Curry + expirings for Deron Williams you do it. Then you just keep building you, mske 1-2 more Dorell type signings with an MLE. You continue to look at what you can trade Lee, Monta or Biedrins for.
It’ll take time, but you do it. Maybe you draft a player? Maybe you trade your draft pick + Monta for an upgrade across the board?
IS any of that a problem because of Deron Williams?
Yes. I already explained why. If you don’t agree, that’s fine. But I’m not going to repeat myself (again).
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btw, where did it say Rudy Gay was max worthy
I don’t see that at all.
Rudy Gay is having a nice year though. If he continues to develop, he would be all-star caliber.
Looks like he’s caught the regression towards the mean bug. He’s already back to pretty averageish efficiency. I’m just not a fan of that Memphis team or organization at all.
by Missing Barry on Feb 15, 2011 7:04 AM PST up reply actions
He doesn't even score that much.
His volume is barely above Reggie Williams.
Steph Curry and Reggie Williams all day baby!
by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 15, 2011 7:37 AM PST up reply actions
that team could use Monta
but they don’t have much to give us in return
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If they wanted to give us Marc, I wouldn’t complain.
by Missing Barry on Feb 15, 2011 7:49 AM PST up reply actions
haha
yes!
this seems like our best opportunity to improve the lineup.
Monta for a solid C straight up.
Move Reggie to starter. Udoh is our backup PF. Beans is our backup C = more victory
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 15, 2011 10:26 AM PST up reply actions
If we did that I’d probably try to dump Biedrins for expirings, to give us more flexibility to add to our core for future seasons, and especially try to find a new starting SG, which shouldn’t be that difficult.
by Missing Barry on Feb 15, 2011 10:52 AM PST up reply actions
Sort of
Except he’s rebounding better, defending much better, shooting 3’s better. His scoring efficiency will go up if he cuts the mid rangers down a bit. And its not like it’s bad .547.
The only major flaw in his game is he falls way too in love with 17-20 footer. Hits it at 39% while taking 3.8 of his total 16.3 shots from there.
I really just meant for the scoring efficiency. Pretty sure last time I looked he was at 57% TS% or something like that. Would you want him over the next 4 seasons for ~$69M?
by Missing Barry on Feb 15, 2011 7:57 AM PST up reply actions
Would you want him over the next 4 seasons for ~$69M?
Probably not. But at same time he’s intriguing cause his potential is worth that contract. DLee’ (who is owed 5 years 70 mil) is not.
I doubt I’d do it, unless I had a coach I truly believed could get him to the level of his potential. Interesting he’s having best +/- on memphis and simple rating. Over Randolph or Gasol (who has either regressed or last year was just an aberation)
I think Marc’s drastically underutilized. If Memphis isn’t going to give him the freaking ball already, they should just get rid of him. I’d probably say his career averages in things like rebounding and scoring efficiency are pretty close to the best estimates of his “true talent level”. Could definitely benefit from a higher usage rate in his offensive production.
by Missing Barry on Feb 15, 2011 8:28 AM PST up reply actions
True
But even his scoring efficiency is down to worst of his short career. ALong with rebounding at his career low.
Year 1: .590 TS%, 8.6 reb per 36
Year 2: .617 TS%, 9.3 reb per 36
Year 3: .577 TS%, 7.6 reb per 36
I was so optimistic about him last year because the rise in efficiency and rebounding. He wasn’t a hulk on the boards but over 9 per 36 is acceptable, especially if he’s that much an offensive presense. He was at 15 points per 36, and you figured with more touches he’d go up.
Maybe he’s under utilized, but it’s disappointing to see a regression in those two categories specifically.
Eh, honestly I’d just say it’s random variation.
by Missing Barry on Feb 15, 2011 9:56 AM PST up reply actions
Except he’s rebounding better
Very, VERY slightly better. His per minute rate is 0.2 boards/36 better. And it’s still below what he did his first two years in the league.
His scoring efficiency will go up if he cuts the mid rangers down a bit.
It would go up if he never missed a shot too. Players who take the mid range/long 2 do so because they think they can make it. They make it often enough to reinforce this, but usually not often enough to make them quit. Changing someone’s perception such that it affects his shot selection is very, very difficult. His best bet is to continue to shoot the 3 well (something players can and do improve upon in their career) such that he takes that shot instead of the long 2s. It’s less likely that he’ll realize that the long 2s are a bad investment. He’s hovering around average in efficiency. That’s not bad, but it’s not max money. It’s not even close.
Gay is playing better than he did last year. He’s an above average contributor. He’s still a long, long way away from being someone who is worth a max contract. It’s not close.
I bought their preview of this season and that's what they said in his player preview.
Steph Curry and Reggie Williams all day baby!
by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 15, 2011 7:34 AM PST up reply actions
I'm a little baffled by those WP numbers because they're drastically different from the Berri-endorsed, automated WP numbers.
Here:
http://nerdnumbers.com/automated-wins-produced
According to those numbers, Deron has produced about four more wins than Curry so far this season. (8.8 to 4.9). That’s a function of playing 400 more minutes and of being better in each of those minutes.
Last season that site has Deron producing 14.4 and Stephen 8.9, which seems about right given their relative quality as players last season, especially when you consider Curry’s slow start.
Because of the position adjustment, which different people handle different ways, it’s not surprising that different sites get slightly different results with that number. I don’t understand how you could get such a dramatic difference, however, especially when considering a player like Deron who’s position is pretty clearly defined.
he's not citing the same WP as Berri's
he’s citing PBP’s version of WP.
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Yup
I was actually asking for more info, cause I couldn’t find it.
Berr's WP
http://nerdnumbers.com/automated-wins-produced
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I've never been able to either
maybe it’s on apbr somewhere
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re: Deron is worth +7 wins over Curry to this point in the season
no, I disagree strongly
7 more wins (at this point in the season)? Seems much too high!
That seems like a huge difference. For one player. Who would be replacing one of our best players.
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 15, 2011 10:24 AM PST up reply actions
i hope you realize you are disagreeing with tafkasam, not me
I don’t think he’s worth +7 wins
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yeah, I got that
just using your original comment as my jumping off point, rather than his response – sorry if it was confusing!
…plus at this point of the thread (where it will look like a reply fail) I didn’t think it mattered much who I replied to
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 15, 2011 10:49 AM PST up reply actions
If Monta will concede ball handling to Deron, I'm all for this
But still won’t alleviate our front court woes.
"I tell him straight, 'If you're going to lead, you have to be the first to practice. You have to come in, get your work down and be prepared for practice,' " assistant coach Keith Smart said. "He needs to figure out why he is having stomach problems and he's got to watch how LeBron (James), Kobe (Bryant) and D-Wade (Dwyane Wade) work. He needs to mimic that if he wants his teammates to speak volumes about him." -Keith Smart on Monta Ellis
get NeNe
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 11, 2011 11:36 AM PST up reply actions
front court woes
would worsen with the loss of Udoh. He looks like he could turn into a solid rotation big and our defensive stopper.
I’d be all for this, but would like to offer B Wright, or even Andris, instead of Udoh.
Once in a while you get shown the light in the strangest of places if you look at it right.
One of our biggest problems seems to be all our bigs offer a different skill, and the sum of the skills is actually very nice, it’s just we can never put them all on the court at one time. What added benefit does a defensive stopper give us if he gives it back in other things like rebounding? Or Biedrins rebounding if he gives it back on offense. Or Wright’s post offense if he gives it back on D. Etc. I mean, it helps a little in matchups, but it’s mostly inconsquential. I’m not really seeing what makes Udoh such an important piece, to be honest.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 12:34 PM PST up reply actions
One of our biggest problems seems to be all our bigs offer a different skill, and the sum of the skills is actually very nice, it’s just we can never put them all on the court at one time.
I think a good, experienced coach would give us a better idea of how to maximize this high-class problem.
by Doctor Kajita on Feb 11, 2011 2:08 PM PST up reply actions
One of our biggest problems seems to be all our bigs offer a different skill, and the sum of the skills is actually very nice
The major problem is none are close to complete players. All have major weaknesses too. Yeah DLee is a nice offensive player but a defensive liability. Yes Andris can rebound, but he’s foul prone and an offensive ghost. And on and on. …
A coach like Nellie is probably better suited to use these players but we’d still see a lot of losses where mismatches failed.
We need a boring ‘jack of all/master of none’ big man. MCDyess!
Meh. It’s the rare defensive stopper big man who cannot rebound his position even close to adequately. I’ll still early and there could be a sample size issue, but it’s not like he’s been merely below average on the glass. He’s been among the very, very worst bigs in the league. I just don’t think it’s likely that we’d have long regrets losing a big who cannot rebound.
For now, he appears to have a very good plus/minus, but that’s a highly variable statistic that can swing wildly and has low predictive value. Rebounding is much more even throughout someone’s career. I’d wager that it’s more likely that the rebounding stays the same and it makes him a liability than that he somehow becomes a stopper force that can compensate for the lack of rebounding.
Udoh is flavor of the week. It’s a common pattern to overhype the unknown, ignoring what should be obvious signs that when known, it won’t be terribly impressive.
by jae on Feb 11, 2011 1:37 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Joel Anthony is a below average rebounder
and a very good defender
_______________________________________________________________
The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
It’s still not common. It’s rare. And I’m not sure if he’s very good.
Banking on something uncommon happening is a bad bet.
Banking on something uncommon happening is a bad bet
we already have him, though, and it’s not as if he’s expensive
if he develops some more, great, if not, so be it
_______________________________________________________________
The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
Totally.
But just gets back to the idea of him being a mediocre pick.
But we shouldn’t give him blind allegiance. He’s not a high-value playing and if throwing him into a deal gets us a player of DWill’s statue, then throw him into the deal.
He's not that good a defender
Certainly better than our bigs. But it certainly helps when Lebron and Wade are slowing down any penetration.
He still gets beaten up pretty bad by good post players. There just aren’t many guys who can play in the post consistently. Horford, Howard, Amare all had there way with him.
nene 6-7, 17 points in 25 mins vs. Miami :) (granted Joel Anthony played a whopping 9 minutes ha
Anthony Randolph Anyone?
It’s a common pattern to overhype the unknown, ignoring what should be obvious signs that when known, it won’t be terribly impressive
.
by Billy Frijoles on Feb 11, 2011 4:16 PM PST up reply actions
Yeah but he had a lot of red flags popping up.
Udoh seems sound and driven, so far.
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hell yeah
but we dont give the crap. wait for the situation to get real bad like how it has with carmelo and then low ball them. no reason to give them curry and all that other stuff. If we’re willing to give up curry for derron only if derron is willing to sign an extension then that’s all they get plus filler. No udoh and multiple draft picks, no one could possibly offer a package that includes anything near steph curry.
No, No, and No
We’ve been burned with multiple picks before and if he up and leaves in a few years or demands a trade because we are not improving (and how would we) then it’s the Chris Webber era all over again.
"If God made us in his image then he must be dumb too, and a little ugly on the side."
Frank Zappa
Deron is not an expert at guarding 2’s either. The Jazz have Raja Bell for a reason. Deron is a good defender, but we won’t be that much better defensively with him guarding 2’s. Better, yes. Much better? No. Offensively, we’d be monsters in the back court, but then again, what we need is an upgrade at C or PF. Who does Deron have to pass it to in the front court? Lee is good but not against elite PF’s.
Giving up Udoh, who is going to be freaking awesome (that’s my prediction), and Curry (who is already awesome) AND giving up multiple first round picks and still have shaky defense at the 1 and 2 and still have a much harder problem to solve in upgrading or front court… I’m not a fan. It doesn’t fix my major concerns.
And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who would attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know my name is Monta Ellis when I lay my vengeance upon thee.
Deron does give us a ballhandler that can truly run the PnR effectively, seeing as how everyone’s been watiting for us to do that more often….
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 7:48 AM PST up reply actions
i agree with your statements
however, the main prize of this deal for utah is curry. i have been up and down on him throughout this season. to be honest, i rather keep him than monta because of what he can do when monta does not play. The upside of curry is unbelievable. However monta has been consistent throughout the year making it hard for me to say curry is untouchable.
now giving up udoh and maybe picks is a price we’ll all have to pay for a player like deron williams. Deron is unbelievably great at the pg position. Picture chris paul but with a bigger frame who can pass, drive, and score. and add with monta, holy crap we have a backcourt – that is both great at defense and offense (ok maybe not great at defense) but it is a step up from curry.
by bimmercirem3 on Feb 11, 2011 8:01 AM PST up reply actions
and also
it will be attractive for other free agents to look at gsw and say, wow they are fun to play with and now have 3 all-star caliber players in the starting rotation (monta, deron, and lee). maybe we can get a all-star center in here and we will be contending FOR SURE.
by bimmercirem3 on Feb 11, 2011 8:02 AM PST up reply actions
I wouldn’t say Lee is all-star caliber so much. He’ll probably never be an all-star again. Like the dude, but I can’t say he’s all-star caliber.
And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who would attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know my name is Monta Ellis when I lay my vengeance upon thee.
Deron is an excellent player, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves in saying he’s an even bigger Chris Paul. Chris Paul is still better than he is.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 8:14 AM PST up reply actions
I know a LOT of people who would disagree with that
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Care to explain why a lot of people are wrong?
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If a lot of people disagree with the statement that Paul is better, then that same lot of people are wrong.
Paul is a better player than Deron. If people disagree with this, they’re wrong. Paul is a more efficient scorer, takes better care of the ball, and secures more possessions. He’s shown better overall defensive splits as well throughout his career, all of which are significantly important to winning games. He does things that help win games better than Deron. That makes for a better player.
Who has won more playoff games?
Who has played better D for both guard positions?
Who has won the head-to-head matchup every time?
Who has played better against over .500 teams?
Dwill, thats who.
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
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Who has won more playoff games?
Have they had equivalent teams over their careers? Since the answer to that question is no, why is team vicotories that relevant?
Who has played better D for both guard positions?
As a few people have pointed out, it actually looks like Paul comes out ahead here, as far as guarding point guards. He hasn’t been asked to guard shooting guards – but Deron doesn’t look so good in that department.
Who has won the head-to-head matchup every time?
Deron appears to have won it more often than not, but not every time. It’s also a 16-game sample.
Who has played better against over .500 teams?
I would need to see more evidence before accepting this as a given. It’s true Paul has generally struggled against Boston, but you know who’s been worse? Deron.
Who has won more playoff games?
Neither. Both of them have played in 8 playoff games their team has won. Deron has lost more playoff games than Paul. He’s 8 for 20. Paul is 8 for 17.
Of course, wins are much a function of the quality of one’s teammates. It is a 5 on 5 game. (I know this from watching.) You can use this as an “out” that the wins or winning percentage don’t mean a player is better, but the evidence you chose to present contradicts your point. You really ought to check things that are so easy to verify before you present them as fact.
Who has played better D for both guard positions?
This isn’t something that’s clear. However, it appears that Paul has been the better defender against point guards. Since this is the position he plays, that’s a reasonable play to start assessing. And given that you haven’t shown the above verifiable criteria to be true to your assertion, what exactly gives me reason to believe that your subjective assertion is reliable?
Who has won the head-to-head matchup every time?
Granted, Paul has been outplayed in their head to head matchups more often than Paul has clearly outperformed Deron, but I do like to stay within the realm of realtiy.
Every time? No, no, and no. Several games were real close to a push, depending on what you value, but it’s not a clear case that there was a winner. Let’s not exaggerate to the point where we say things that aren’t true. You are currently doing exactly that..
It’s also important to note that the head to head matchup would be far more important if it was a 2 team league. It isn’t.
Who has played better against over .500 teams?
Do you have a reference for this? As unreliable as the rest of your assertions were, some of which are rather demonstrably false and easily verified to be false, I have zero reason to take your assertion here to be indicative of truth.
Dwill, thats who.
Yawn. Check your facts before making your assertions.
by jae on Feb 11, 2011 4:20 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Whoa.
Deron Williams has won 20 NBA playoff games. His team won 9 the first season he made them. That’s already more than the 8 you’ve given him.
Chris Paul has actually won just 8, though. Where’d you get those numbers?
I’d actually say that his assertions (whether they were all true or not) were better than yours considering that you actually have numbers there that are just not true.
I'm looking forward to the Warriors being led to the playoffs by Monta Ellis AND Stephen Curry.
by Brownie13 on Feb 11, 2011 6:03 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
BOOM
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"Boom" what?
jae erred in his response to one of your four rhetorical questions. You haven’t addressed his valid responses to the other three.
It should also probably be noted that if you think your first rhetorical question is fair, you’re willing to accept that Derek Fisher is better than either of them. (I’m assuming your point was that Deron is better than Paul — if not, my bad).
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Feb 11, 2011 7:41 PM PST up reply actions
Personally I'm a little peeved no one responded to my 'hmm' point
And I’m curious your opinion on the subject. I’ll admit Paul is better than Deron, but I don’t think the margin is ‘that’ big. Sort of Kobe v. DWade type thing.
It is exactly that
This is basically a Kobe vs Dwade vs KD argument. You can’t just say one is definitely better than the other.
Either way it’s pointless, we have neither player. We likely will never get either player. And if we do get either player, either would be better than all of our players combined.
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?
Wade and Kobe are very comparable.
Comparable efficiency (if we’re talking last 7 years of Kobe’s career). Kobe is around .565 in his last 7 years, Wade’s career is .566, probably closer to .570 if you take his rookie year out.
Kobe turns it over less, rebounds better,
Wade passes a bit more.
I;d rather have Wade cause well, Kobe’s a laker, but if I take my bias out, I’d say Kobe is slightly better, but by no means head and shoulders.
lol
definitely
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by LostHawkGSW on Feb 12, 2011 10:14 AM PST up reply actions
He didn't respond to the others at all.
I don’t know how you can assert CP3 is a better defender than DWill just by saying ‘as others have said, he is’ LOL, wtf does that mean.
And he didn’t give a correct response to my second assertion..or my third…or my fourth.
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My God Jae
DWill won his 8th playoff game against US! You’re assuming he hasn’t won one since!
I’m sorry, I’m shaken.
by War Years Legacy on Feb 11, 2011 9:28 PM PST up reply actions
It’s really not. Many people might disagree with it, but simply put, they’re wrong. It’s kind of how a year or two ago it was “debatable” whether Lebron or Kobe was the best player in the league. One side of the debate was just wrong. Chris Paul is that awesome. It’s not a coincidence that his team has been 15.3, 6.0, 19.8 and 9.3 points per 100 possessions better when he’s on the court over the last 4 seasons, including this year. Right now he’s the 2nd or 3rd best player in the NBA (Dwight being the other guy). Chris Paul shooting 45% from 3 is just downright scary.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 8:55 AM PST up reply actions
It's very debateable actually
Paul got better earlier on. But comparing the last 3 years, they are very comparable. They score on a similar efficiency (Paul slightly ahead). They assist a very similar amount, Paul turns it over slightly less. But thats just the stats.
Deron Williams is a better defender, because of his physical tools. Deron Williams has more offensive weapons because of his size. He can post up like Baron did, Paul cannot. He produces at a higher level v. elite competition (That matters)
I think Paul is slightly better. I think the duo is on another planet comparatively to anyone. Nash offensively can compete with them but no where near defensively. Rondo can pass with them, defend with them, can’t score anywhere near them, Rose and Westbrook are physical freaks but there game doesn’t compare.
by tafkasam on Feb 11, 2011 12:51 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Deron Williams is a better defender, because of his physical tools.
I’m really not so sure of this. He’s big, but he’s not as athletic as Paul is, and his defensive +/- numbers the last few years gave me pause, too. Also, he’s really bad at forcing turnovers while Paul is excellent.
On offense, it’s worth noting Paul turns it over quite a bit less while maintaining a meaningful edge in scoring efficiency. Those differences really are large enough to be meaningful.
Furthermore, Paul blows Williams away in +/- and adjusted +/-. It’s not even close. Lastly, I’d need some evidence of the “produces at a higher level v. elite competition” thing…..
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 1:02 PM PST up reply actions
since when is forcing turnovers good D
Monta and Steph can force turnovers with the best of them.
Paul is an excellent defender…but if you watch them enough, DWill is a much better cover of both the SG and PG position than Paul is at the PG/SG.
If we’re talking PG position only, I would give a slight edge to Paul only because of his speed. But if we talk about the whole guard position, DWill is much better.
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anyways who cares
they are both far and away the best PG’s in the league…
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Forcing turnovers isn’t good D. It’s one part of D, and one Paul excels at while actually playing postiional D (this is the part where Monta/Steph no longer qualify) while Deron is not very good at it at all.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 2:20 PM PST up reply actions
Nash offensively can compete with them but no where near defensively.
Nash doesn’t just compete with them offensively, he’s better. He turns the ball over quite a bit more than Paul, but his assist rate is also higher and his ridiculous efficiency has been incredibly consistent. Nash’s least efficient scoring year of the last 7 years was still better than the career year Williams is having in efficiency this season. I really think Nash’s shooting gets taken overlooked a bit. He’s 7th all time in career 3pt% and he’s made more than twice as many of them as anybody ahead of him. I don’t think you’d say anyone else in the top 20 or so in career 3pt% was anything more than a shooter and Nash is also one of the best passers of all time.
Thing A
"Correlation between inability to use the reply button and general crappiness of analysis: pretty high." -Sleepy Freud
Paul got better earlier on. But comparing the last 3 years, they are very comparable.
Comparable with Paul still being significantly better.
Deron Williams is a better defender, because of his physical tools.
There’s not much evidence to support this and counter evidence that suggests it’s not true. Deron looks like he should be a better defender because he’s stockier and more muscular and this tends to make people think he would be the better defender. But when it comes to stopping his man from scoring, when it comes to how his team does defensively with and without him, Paul is just better.
Williams is very, very good. He’s not as good as Paul. Paul is one of the truly elite players in the game.
hmm
I guess I should rephrase. Deron defnitely has certain skillsets to defend paul doesn’t. And visa versa. In terms of stopping his man. Going off 82games.com I’m not seeing a HUGE discrepancy though.
Paul allows efg% of .483, Deron allows .480, Paul allows 17.8 points per 48, Deron allows 19.6. Pauls point net differential is 4.2, Deron’s is 8.1. Paul allows 9 assists per 48, and forced 4.3 turnovers. Deron allows 8.4 and forces 3.6 turnovers. Paul averages 4.1 more assists per 48 than his counterpart, Deron averages 3.6.
Paul’s team is also third slowest paced in NBA, Deron’s is 11th.
Paul also plays for a much better defensive team (I’ll take Okafor at the rim over Al Jefferson, thank you very much).
It does feel weird to argue who is a better defender when the common GSW debate is who is ‘less bad’ defensively.
I don’t disagree Paul is better, but I think the gap you are saying there is might be exaggerated. I’d put the two on another level from every other point guard in NBA in terms of all around game. Offensively I’d have to put Nash up there too, but defensively he isn’t.
Eitherway I doubt any Warrior will ever be as good as CP3 or Deron Williams. I believe both are very capable of being key pieces to a title winning team. Doubt either can ‘do it themselves’ as if that means anything, or is even possible.
by tafkasam on Feb 11, 2011 2:48 PM PST up reply actions 2 recs
I agree with this
I don’t believe the margin to be decisively overwhelming, although I do believe that Deron will be more effective in his later career, if that matters at all to the relevance of this topic.
But speaking of relevance, since we are discussing the trading of either Curry or Ellis, one can assume, as it stands, that either of these players will remain on the roster. By this understanding, I would rather have Deron Williams than Paul.
When two players are marginally comparable, and are both obviously elite, its my opinion that their surrounding roster would grant either the benefit or disadvantage purely through the residue of it’s design.
I would guess this roster is better suited for Deron. I would also trade either one of our backcourt pieces, along with Udoh, to get him. The multiple draft picks would have to be protected, and most preferably during the 15-16 seasons.
If a manager cannot achieve the assembling of a winning roster within a 4 year span following the aftermath of acquiring an elite talent at a crucial position, then that manager should have no further business.
by lilboots on Feb 12, 2011 7:38 AM PST via mobile up reply actions
Eitherway I doubt any Warrior will ever be as good as CP3 or Deron Williams. I believe both are very capable of being key pieces to a title winning team. Doubt either can ‘do it themselves’ as if that means anything, or is even possible.
No arguments here….
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:12 AM PST up reply actions
the only debate here
would have to involve CP3s injury status.
Otherwise, hands down, CP3 is just the best PG in the league
Not the best fit with a small backcourt, but CP3 is waaaay better than DWill
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 11, 2011 9:33 AM PST up reply actions
I think Monta has plateau'd
Curry has more upside than him – he can pass, shoot from 3, drive, and good ft shooter to boot.
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Worth noting is that Monta’s at the age where guys do tend to plateau….
by Missing Barry on Feb 13, 2011 9:06 AM PST up reply actions
True.
I think there’s legitimate reason to think Monta is likely to be an exception, because the biggest difference-maker for him right now is his attitude, and he keeps showing flashes of “getting it.”
That damn lightbulb in his head keeps flickering on and off. It’s not hugely unreasonable to think that, with the right coaching, he could get it to stay on.
Honestly...I'd dump our whole team for Williams...best PG in the league...
then make a run at a Center like Howard or Jordan…boom championshp contenbding team
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could you imagine
if the warriors picked up williams AND nene
that would be the dopest lineup in centuries
i think we may have an offseason focus gentlemen
It's lonely being the only Warriors fan at UMass :(
It really seems to me like the chances of Deron Williams being traded just decreased, not increased.
Thing A
"Correlation between inability to use the reply button and general crappiness of analysis: pretty high." -Sleepy Freud
he hasnt signed an extension
and hasnt indicated if he will. and the consensus in SLC is all the blame for Sloan leaving so quickly will fall on williams shoulders
It's lonely being the only Warriors fan at UMass :(
by j-spliff415 on Feb 11, 2011 12:55 PM PST up reply actions
yea, but if he’s the reason why Sloan is gone then management pretty clearly sided with him. I’m shocked that Utah let Sloan leave anyway, It just doesn’t make sense for Utah to allow Sloan to leave and then trade Deron. I wouldn’t be surprised if Utah considered it in the offseason if Deron is still unhappy, but I can’t see it happening before then.
Thing A
"Correlation between inability to use the reply button and general crappiness of analysis: pretty high." -Sleepy Freud
It just doesn’t make sense for Utah to allow Sloan to leave and then trade Deron
Seriously. What franchise would ever do something like that. Sigh.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 1:13 PM PST up reply actions
its not up to deron
it never was. he will get the blame, and especially around extension time, this will test his market value for sure. i just dont see him willingly coming back to SLC
It's lonely being the only Warriors fan at UMass :(
by j-spliff415 on Feb 12, 2011 12:44 AM PST up reply actions
This ruined my childhood
I got a Webber rookie jersey for my 9th birthday. Was so excited, it’s probably the year I fell in love with the Warriors. I remember watching a ridiculous amount of games on tv, more than any 9 year old ever should. We went to playoffs, etc. Even though we lost, there was feeling wow, Webber + Sprewell, 20 and 23… we’ll be one of the best teams soon. Jordan can’t play forever!
I recall we debated ‘how good’ webber was. This should probably help you understand my love of him.
But back to Deron. Utah can’t be dumb enough to let him walk next season. Best case, summer time they trade him. Worst case, I see a Melo-type situation.
good point
Thing A
"Correlation between inability to use the reply button and general crappiness of analysis: pretty high." -Sleepy Freud
I would LOVE this trade...he's the best PG in the league
maybe we can land Howard the following year, or DeAndre Jordan this year.
PG: Williams
SG: Ellis
SF: Wright
PF: Lee
C: Jordan/Howard
OMFG…that is a sexy lineup for run-n-gun we believe style play.
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You forgot a word
he’s the second best PG in the league
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 8:14 AM PST up reply actions
LOTS of people would disagree with that
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Not only that -
- but it seems like he’d be a better guard to pair with either of our existing guards than CP3 would, for defensive reasons. It’s easier to see Williams handling two-guards defensively, whereas Paul with either of our guys still is going to get overpowered more often.
That being said, Paul is so good offensively that it might make up for that.
Check out Deron’s defensive +/-‘s. I had similar thoughts to you until I saw them, and now I’m not so sure….
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 10:44 AM PST up reply actions
yea, I was surprised at those too. It makes me think maybe Nash is still the 2nd best PG in the league. As good as Chris Paul is offensively, Nash is probably still even better. Paul is the better defender but I think Nash is, amazingly, still an underrated player.
Thing A
"Correlation between inability to use the reply button and general crappiness of analysis: pretty high." -Sleepy Freud
What strikes me about them is how consistently they seem to tell the same story over the years – that’s he’s definitely not an elite defensive player…..
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 1:03 PM PST up reply actions
Paul turns it on in the fourth, while Deron keeps an even keel throughout the game. Nash is a step ahead, he knows when to pull out the dagger.
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omg and think...
pick up JRICH with the MLE….OMG OMG
Maybe trade Ellis for Iggy….omg
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well dont get ahead of yourself now lol.
lets see what deron and ellis can do for us.
by bimmercirem3 on Feb 11, 2011 8:31 AM PST up reply actions
JRich would be amazing off the bench...
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+1
Part of the reason to do it is to get the best fit next to Monta
"There is nothing like a wise phrase or quote to help convince others that your decision makes sense." - Anon
"If you're ever in a fair fight, then your tactics suck." ಠ_ಠ
“Fit” isn’t the issue. The sole reason you do it is because Deron is better than any player we have — the type of player around whom you build a playoff team. That we happen to be saddled with an expensive, undersized, defensively-challenged SG is mostly a non-factor in the deal. If you can also turn Monta into a full-sized SG (Iguodala, e.g.) and Biedrins into a guy like Kendrick Perkins, you make those deals, too.
Heck, I’d trade David Lee for Deron Williams if it came to it (Lee’s pallor and clean-cut charm would likely play well in Utah) and then see what Monta and/or Curry could fetch in the way of big men.
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Feb 11, 2011 11:50 AM PST up reply actions
I'd do the Lee trade to
In a heartbeat
I think we’d just be better off if we kept Monta with DWill. Utah has always though putting a really good 2 next to DWill would help him a lot. Someone who can take some of the back court scoring pressure off him. Monta could do that. Iggy not as much. Defensively we’d be better with Iggy but not offensively
That being said part of the motivation to get DWill is cause he’s really good, the other part is cause he fits with Monta perfectly . So even if we got him I see no way we trade Monta afterwards
"There is nothing like a wise phrase or quote to help convince others that your decision makes sense." - Anon
"If you're ever in a fair fight, then your tactics suck." ಠ_ಠ
Deron and Curry would be better
Having Curry off the ball as maybe the best shooter in the league while Deron is a top 3 ballhandler/distributor would be brutal.
Also, either can attack the defense with their passing, making their teammates that much better. Less dribbling, better shooting, better passing, better team production.
by lilboots on Feb 12, 2011 7:54 AM PST via mobile up reply actions
But yes, as Sleepy said, “fit” is not an issue. This is something that could only take one off-season to change drastically. You find a way to acquire a star, the rest is all in accordance.
by lilboots on Feb 12, 2011 8:02 AM PST via mobile up reply actions
hah
(Lee’s pallor and clean-cut charm would likely play well in Utah)
Literally first thing I thought of. We have a lot of ‘utah friendly players’.
I wonder if they would have interest in Curry, Lee + fillers for Deron and Millsap? Not that I think Millsap is better than Lee (they are pretty similar) but I am 100% confident he will become an albatross of a contract with in 3 years, and if we aren’t winning will eventually be a Maggette type trade.
Curry, Lee + fillers for Deron and Millsap?
I’d make that deal.
Obviously, I’d sooner trade Monta + Lee for Deron + Millsap. No “fillers” — talent for talent, near perfectly matching salaries. Harder to imagine Utah going for that, though.
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Feb 11, 2011 7:53 PM PST up reply actions
Can you imagine Utah's DLee/Jefferson frontline
And we complain about Lee/Biedrins defensively. Oh god that’d be bad….
best part. 2012/13 they’d be paying a sweet 28 mil for Lee/Jefferson
Imagine if
We can somehow draw in iggy for expirings, maybe throw in a three way trade where utah recieves a lou williams and philly gets utah’s pick and some expirings from us and we get iggy coming off the bench. Scary
haha
iggy for expirings
NOT going to happen!!!!
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 21, 2011 4:08 PM PST up reply actions
this fanpost has made my day even better
by bimmercirem3 on Feb 11, 2011 8:48 AM PST up reply actions
mine too
one glimmering spot of hope….99.9% of rumors never happen…but this one still makes me feel excited (esp after the game last night)
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk
exactly.
lets hope this rumor is the .1% that is true. DO IT RILEY!
by bimmercirem3 on Feb 11, 2011 8:57 AM PST up reply actions
Then trade Monta for Iggy
Deron and Iggy…1, 2. Nasty. Monta is fools gold.
by sauceycor on Feb 11, 2011 8:53 AM PST reply actions 2 recs
-
Monta is either fools gold or a superstar.. it cant be said either way yet. /kinda strange
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 11, 2011 11:44 AM PST up reply actions
By most reasonable definitions of superstar, it can be said that he’s not a superstar.
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Feb 11, 2011 11:51 AM PST up reply actions
Super star?
No
Star? I think so
"There is nothing like a wise phrase or quote to help convince others that your decision makes sense." - Anon
"If you're ever in a fair fight, then your tactics suck." ಠ_ಠ
OK, let’s compromise: “fool’s star.”
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Feb 11, 2011 4:58 PM PST up reply actions 2 recs
Well either way.
He can score from anywhere on the court. This is only his second year back and second year where he is considered the leader of a team, and last year the team was injured so badly that we played games with D-league callups and no bench (literally) . And how is he doing? -He is scoring a sht load of points and if he was an allstar no many would have argued. He is young and still learning, and with the right tools he could become a league great player. If you look at his skills and speed he could one day be a league mvp. Its possible.
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 11, 2011 8:36 PM PST up reply actions
what kind of odds would you have to get in order to lay money on Monta ever winning MVP? 10-1? That wouldn’t be enough for me. 20-1? 50-1? I really don’t know, I can’t see it. Nash scored far more efficiently and was a far better passer and people still say he may have been the least deserving MVP ever.
Thing A
"Correlation between inability to use the reply button and general crappiness of analysis: pretty high." -Sleepy Freud
Monta is still young and is still learning, despite what some on here think.
I have a hard time putting odds on it because i am trying not to be biased when i talk about Monta. I see a huge talent that has had few years to develop and has a done a great job becoming a scorer. He could be the kind of person that if he wants something he can put his mind to it and accomplish it. So say his next goal is to be more efficient? Or to be a better point or make better decisions or be better defensively. I feel this way for Curry as well. I say keep the back-court until we can decided that it isn’t a well moving machine. It could be so dynamic and powerful that it is a mismatch for years to come.
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 14, 2011 11:01 PM PST up reply actions
. I say keep the back-court until we can decided that it isn’t a well moving machine.
our W-L record and defensive shortcomings have proved it’s a machine needing a rebuild long ago.
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Feb 14, 2011 11:07 PM PST up reply actions
Long ago?
This is the first year of any real significance for the backcourt. And they were playing well when the season started and now things might start clicking on more cylinders soon. Maybe.
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 14, 2011 11:14 PM PST up reply actions
Long ago?
Long ago in relative terms, ever since the draft when Montay pointed it out , and the time since then that he’s been proved correct.
2 years is probably about 1/4 of the average NBA player’s useful career so decisions need to be made quicker than that to maximize the team’s potential. The sooner a trend is recognized the easier to execute a trade.
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Feb 14, 2011 11:27 PM PST up reply actions
Monta is still young and is still learning, despite what some on here think.
Or maybe he isn’t. 25 isn’t old, but it also isn’t really young or anything.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 15, 2011 12:05 AM PST up reply actions
he has gotten a lot better every year, Thats all im saying
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 16, 2011 5:05 PM PST up reply actions
he has gotten a lot better every year, Thats all im saying
Except for the years where he didn’t get better, that’s true. Last year, he didn’t get better. He regressed. He scored more points, but he wasn’t a better player than he’d been a couple of years before.
He’s better this year. He’s getting close to being as productive a player as he was three years ago.
big Monta fan
but I gotta agree that he was pretty bad last year, he played selfish, clearly didn’t trust his teammates, and the team played much better without him.
I don’t think any of that is true this year though!
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 17, 2011 2:34 PM PST up reply actions
The team was really bad and he had to play almost every minute almost every game. I dont blame him.
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 17, 2011 5:33 PM PST up reply actions
And yet, in the minutes he didn’t play (including 18 games where he didn’t play at all), the team played better than when he did. It’s not a small sample size. The team really did do better when he didn’t play. They were really bad when he played, not nearly as bad when he didn’t. This is not opinion. It’s fact.
I agree
and this is what opened my eyes last year, maybe Monta went through the same thing?
Steph was runnin that D League all-star squad!
I think though, that Monta hit bottom. More than anything else, I think he noticed that Steph can really play, and that a team with good cohesion works much better than a team based on isolation-based dribble penetration.
Watching him this year (and even his pre-season interviews) I knew he was a changed man.
And if he proves me wrong and regresses…
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 18, 2011 9:50 AM PST up reply actions
More than anything else, I think he noticed that Steph can really play, and that a team with good cohesion works much better than a team based on isolation-based dribble penetration.
You might be right, here, but ultimately this still leaves a pair of problems:
First, Monta still seems to think he needs to go into iso mode far too often. (eg, when Lee was hurt early this season). Even last year, the team was good enough the whole year, despite being the “D-league all-stars” and Monta didn’t figure it out. This year, Monta has vacillated back and forth, and while the overall trend is positive, it’s small.
The difference this year? Monta is shooting 1 shot/36 minutes less, assists .2/36 more, and turning it over (a function of driving into traffic less, I think) .4/36 less.
Those are real, but very small improvements.
Monta has had games this year where he played really well and really smart. But he’s also had games this year when he played bad and dumb. As much as it’s nice to look at how he behaved in the offseason and see a new man, we’ve only sometimes seen that new man on the floor this year.
Oh yes, I know there is a fair amount of hope/homerism on my part; but I do beleive that he is on a significant upward slope
It would be interesting to chart his stats so far, just to see the distribution of bad:good games.
I guess I am still coming to terms with the depth of the crappiness displayed by Monta on his off nights
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 18, 2011 10:25 AM PST up reply actions
I'd rather ink Prince.
The All-NBA First Team | Front Office Edition *Tied
Pres. Presti | VP Nash | GM Sloan | Coach Poppovich | Rookie Durant Or
Pres. Riley | VP Bryant | GM Don Nelson | Coach Phil Jackson | Rookie Griffin
I’m assuming because you think he’ll be cheaper? In terms of basketball skills and production, Prince is not nearly as good as Iguodala.
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Feb 13, 2011 7:51 AM PST up reply actions
How so?
The All-NBA First Team | Front Office Edition *Tied
Pres. Presti | VP Nash | GM Sloan | Coach Poppovich | Rookie Durant Or
Pres. Riley | VP Bryant | GM Don Nelson | Coach Phil Jackson | Rookie Griffin
Iguodala is a better defender, better rebounder, and a better offensive player in every sense of the word is the short version of the story.
Yes, I know Prince has a reputation as an excellent defensive player, but he’s 30 now, and his team hasn’t been better on defense with him on the court than off since 07-08. I think it’s time to start rethinking Prince’s defensive contributions at this point in his career.
by Missing Barry on Feb 13, 2011 9:13 AM PST up reply actions
Iguodala is a good defender, but HoopData has Prince as the better offensive player, and Iguodala’s rebounding outclasses Prince’s by a difference of 1. They are not far apart in basketball terms at all, and I wouldn’t trade a big piece for a 27 year old with a shaky jump shot and is turnover prone.
The All-NBA First Team | Front Office Edition *Tied
Pres. Presti | VP Nash | GM Sloan | Coach Poppovich | Rookie Durant Or
Pres. Riley | VP Bryant | GM Don Nelson | Coach Phil Jackson | Rookie Griffin
That difference of 1 is meaningful, especially considering Tayshaun plays a 3/4 position while Iguodala plays 2/3. Also, I’m not sure why you think Iguodala is turnover prone, and I’m not sure what you’re looking at with Hoopdata. Iguodala does more, while taking a bigger role in the offense than Prince does (at least most years), and does it more effectively (see: high assist totals, better scoring efficiency, low turnovers). I like the idea of bringing in Prince as a backup to this team, but that’s pretty much what he provides…
by Missing Barry on Feb 13, 2011 9:42 AM PST up reply actions
Iguodala’s A:TO ratio is actually spectacular. It’s third among players getting over 20 minutes a game and it leads all wing players.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 14, 2011 3:49 PM PST up reply actions
Oooh...
low turnovers…rebounding

"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 18, 2011 9:53 AM PST up reply actions
We can not blink on this one if Utah is really looking to trade him now because they feel Deron will not resign with them in 2012.
And Lacob has been talking up about acquiring a “game changer”, a superstar. The door to get one is potentially wide open now. Deron Williams is a true franchise player and plays a very important position that we need in our lineup. Get it done Lacob & Riley!
by davidleeisabeast on Feb 11, 2011 9:03 AM PST reply actions
We should blink if......
We give away a lot of our future if this guy will not agree to a 4-6 year contract as part of the deal.
by Only In Fairfax on Feb 11, 2011 10:22 AM PST up reply actions
Well yeah, a contract extention should be part of the deal, that should be a no brainer…Riley is smart enough to know.
by davidleeisabeast on Feb 11, 2011 1:27 PM PST up reply actions
I’d give up Monta in a trade to get Deron without a contract extension. Steph? No.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 1:28 PM PST up reply actions
I’d give up Monta in a trade to get Deron without a contract extension
I am not seeing the logic of that.
by Only In Fairfax on Feb 22, 2011 11:04 AM PST up reply actions
Unless you are thinking of a way to then trade Deron onwards.
by Only In Fairfax on Feb 22, 2011 11:05 AM PST up reply actions
Nope. What I’m basically saying is I would trade for Deron, with two possible outcomes: we get Deron, and we later get him to sign an extension. I would be attempting to make this happen the whole time he was on our team. The other possibility is he doesn’t sign it and walks, which adds to our financial flexibility. What I’m saying is the possibility of outcome #1 is worth the risk of outcome #2, which I don’t think is necessarily that big because of the added financial flexibility we get.
by Missing Barry on Feb 22, 2011 1:54 PM PST up reply actions
I… am tentatively on board here. I think D.Will is a good guy and would consider staying here. Big gamble but huge pay-off. Huge.
And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who would attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know my name is Monta Ellis when I lay my vengeance upon thee.
DRon or Binky?
actually I’d rather have a happy Stef than a disgruntled Williams. I just don’t trust any player who can’t get along with Jerry Sloan.
If we traded Stef for DRon we’d still have the problem of a small guard trying to guard 2 guards, Williams is only 6’ 3" so not ideal for guarding 2 ‘s either. Better to keep Binky and try to move Montay and Dre for a good big 2 guard and a post up center then we’d be more like a real team.
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Feb 11, 2011 9:33 AM PST reply actions
Nope, you always take the best player on the deal. That's a start!..you make another move later if you have to.
by davidleeisabeast on Feb 11, 2011 1:29 PM PST up reply actions
Nope, you always take the best player on the deal. That's a start!..you make another move later if you have to.
but the assets we ‘d have to give them to get them to give us
D-Ron would handicap us from moving Montay and Dre. We could better use those trade chips to upgrade where we really need it instead of at the point where Binky would be fine running a better balanced team. More guard scoring is not a problem we have to solve, it’s defense, rebounding, and post up scoring we need to address.
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Feb 11, 2011 2:59 PM PST up reply actions
We're not getting Williams to get guard scoring.
Then exactly what would he be for? He’s not gonna make us significantly better at defense or rebounding or big man interior play and him and Montay are not gonna be better than Stef plus whatever full size two guard we could get for Montay? If we keep Binky we could address more problems by trading Montay than we could address by just getting D-Ron. Again, we are stronger at point than we are at the 2 spot so we need to fix what’s really broken instead of just upgrading what is already fine. Using assets to make an unnecessary move is not the best way to improve, using the assets to solve the real problems in the way to go. It’s just like 2007 when they moved Jrich to solve a problem we didn’t have and ignored the problem we did have.
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Feb 11, 2011 10:45 PM PST up reply actions
Once again, you’ve missed.
So you are sayin our problems are not defense, rebounding, and post up deficiency? You think we just need another even better guard?
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Feb 12, 2011 9:20 AM PST up reply actions
passing
Curry would be lucky to ever put up close to Williams numbers.
Williams makes everyone better.
And also
we’d get to watch that sweet sweet crossover 3 nights a week.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 12, 2011 6:41 PM PST up reply actions
Your points dont make sense Skeptic
Sure we have problems, but we’ll be getting a massive upgrade at the PG position. Suddenly, Biedrins and Lee might start looking like all-stars and our offense will be more efficient. Our defense goes up whether slightly or by a lot depending on how good Williams will be able to defend 2’s, and rebounding can be solved with another trade since we’ll still have some other assets. You probably wouldn’t even trade for Chris Paul which is ludicrousy at its best. Deron Williams is a game-changer which is about equally as important as defense, rebounding, and post up deficiency.
I'm not sure why people think DWill is so big
he’s a little under 6’3" in shoes and has a 6’6.25" wingspan. He’s also 200 lbs. He’s not small, but he really isn’t “guard 2s” big. Very few 2s are actually in his size range.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 14, 2011 3:51 PM PST up reply actions
But
that is less relevant in today’s league. The prototypical defenders nowadays aren’t necessarily guys like Ron Artest, but guys like Ariza, Batum… long, skinny, athletic skinny guys. Shooting guards would still shoot right over DWill.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 15, 2011 7:41 PM PST up reply actions
Sure we have problems, but we’ll be getting a massive upgrade at the PG position. and our defense goes up whether slightly or by a lot depending on how good
I just don’t think we need a big upgrade at point as much as we need a big upgrade at the 2 spot. I’d rather play binky with a big 2 than D-Ron with Montay. Binky is cheaper so we could spend more for the bigger 2 guard and upgrade our defense and rebounding instead of just our point guard. If just getting D-ron was the solution utah would already be the NBA champs you know?
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Feb 14, 2011 4:54 PM PST up reply actions
Same with Chris Paul. And Lebron. Cant use that NBA champion argument now.
the relevance is D-ron has already been on a better team than the warriors without winning a ring so why does anyone think he’d win us one?
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Feb 15, 2011 7:30 PM PST up reply actions
The questions to me are
Is it more important to acquire talent using the best assets we have (i.e. Curry)?
Or
Is it more important to off-load Monta Ellis?
I’m siding with the latter because even if we acquire DWill, we’re still a team trying to hide our biggest defensive liability.
I think the idea is that D-Will ends up guarding some two-guards, giving Monta room to defend point guards.
To me the bigger question is if Monta would understand and accept the role he’s needs to play: being an off-ball player, not shooting so much, etc.
And I think, at best, we can say that we don’t know. Maybe he will, maybe he won’t.
But if you think Derron can defend two-guards, at least some of the time, then that opens up the possibility of trading Monta instead, and using Curry as a two (and backup point). I don’t see any reason why that wouldn’t work, although since Monta is a better defender than Curry it gets us less of a defensive upgrade.
I don’t know what DWill’s prowess is in guarding 2’s, but I’ll venture to say he’s not as effective as Baron was.
Really, this is an upgrade in offense and it would be really interesting to see how the rest of the team responds to having an elite PG. I mean, he would be the best PG the franchise has ever had. Sorry Baron and Timmy and Vonteego Cummings (joke).
We might see Biedrins’ value on offense be realized again with DWill. That would be great.
by Doctor Kajita on Feb 11, 2011 10:49 AM PST up reply actions
I'd hate to lose Ekpe, absolutely hate it
But I love getting D Will more then hating losing Udoh . But he has to sign an extension first cause of his pending free agency soon. We’d be a solid playoff team, thgen maybe in 2012 sign Dwight? DWill could maybe talk to him , the new thing is to team up with other stars. Contract wise we may have to sign and trade for him or trade Lee for a puick to clear up cap space.
It’s all hypothetical though
"There is nothing like a wise phrase or quote to help convince others that your decision makes sense." - Anon
"If you're ever in a fair fight, then your tactics suck." ಠ_ಠ
Trade the entire team for Deron Williams
That guy is much better than anyone we have, so whatever you have to do, do it.
tough to pull off
We still owe the Nets a first round pick (from the Marcus Williams trade), so the no trading back-to-back first round picks makes it tough to deal one first round draft pick, let alone multiple.
http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/blog/ball_dont_lie/post/Marcus-Williams-is-still-haunting-the-Golden-Sta?urn=nba-319037
"Why do you shoot so many threes?"
"Because there are no fours."
That rule may or may not be around in the next CBA. So basically, it impacts us for a trade before the deadline, but it may not impact us for an offseason trade.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 10:35 AM PST up reply actions
That’s a lot of speculation there, MB. Basically, I don’t think Chad Ford has a story here. He either made up the part about draft picks or misheard/assumed something, but either way, he doesn’t have his facts straight, and it doesn’t sound like he’s referring to post-CBA trade possibility to me.
by Lacob's Ladder on Feb 11, 2011 2:07 PM PST up reply actions
I thought the draft picks thing was very odd, too. I had pretty much the same impression as you did – sounds made up to me.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 2:21 PM PST up reply actions
I'd hate to lose Ekpe, absolutely hate it
But I love getting D Will more then hating losing Udoh . But he has to sign an extension first cause of his pending free agency soon. We’d be a solid playoff team, thgen maybe in 2012 sign Dwight? DWill could maybe talk to him , the new thing is to team up with other stars. Contract wise we may have to sign and trade for him or trade Lee for a puick to clear up cap space.
It’s all hypothetical though
"There is nothing like a wise phrase or quote to help convince others that your decision makes sense." - Anon
"If you're ever in a fair fight, then your tactics suck." ಠ_ಠ
But I love getting D Will more then hating losing Udoh
uh, yeah, I would hope so
_______________________________________________________________
The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
Daron is a tool and Iggy is a tool
They would make a really good team and i could see both happening but i dont really like either guy and i really like steph and monta..
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 11, 2011 12:15 PM PST reply actions
Interesting. And why don’t you like either guy (and why don’t you think that would change once they play on the Warriors)?
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 12:20 PM PST up reply actions
A lot of bad pub for Deron now
I think it’s unfounded.
Barkley is right. Players and coaches argue ALL THE TIME. If you don’t believe it, you’re naive.
Apparently Deron didn’t like Sloan’s style. He thinks they’d be better in an uptempo. I tend to agree to an extend (theres no system to flatter al jefferson, but i digresS). Arguments happen.
Sloan seems to have ultimatumed management, who sided with Deron. From all reports, Deron never went above his head. Utah just fears losing Deron, because…well… they likely will if they dont get better.
He’s still very upset over losing Boozer, Matthews, Brewer and Korver for nothing. I can’t blame him. Though a flawed team, Utah wasn’t far away from elite either. Keeping Boozer and turning Kirilenko’s expiring into something would have made them a contender.
He questioned Utah’s ambitions. And when asked about resigning he said, he’ll see in 2012, he wants to win, if the team isn’t matching his ambition he’d explore. It’s nothing abnormal but after the decision and Melo, managements are in histeria.
you just know a tool when you see 'em
but i would root for him but it doesnt mean i will respect him.. hahahah
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 14, 2011 11:08 PM PST up reply actions
Deron's got some incredibly tacky tats..
It’s like he tattooed an affliction shirt to himself
by tafkasam on Feb 14, 2011 11:16 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
haha
LOL
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 15, 2011 10:52 AM PST up reply actions
Stop making this about Monta or Curry
Quite frankly, neither will be as good as Deron. Utah can have whichever they want. I don’t care.
Deron Williams is an elite player. He can turn this current roster (Without Curry and Monta) into a playoff team.
He can’t win us a championship or get us to contend for one on his own, but what player can? He can in conjuncture with another all star caliber player and a good surrounding roster.
Getting Deron Williams would make the Warriors a team players would want to come play with because they know how good he is. Maybe Dwight Howard is interested in 2012. Maybe Clippers do what they do best and BGriff wants out.
Point being, we talk about pursuing an elite player if he’s available. Deron Williams is a top 10 player in the NBA.
by tafkasam on Feb 11, 2011 12:28 PM PST reply actions 6 recs
this.
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk
BTW for those who think Chris Paul is better (and I'd fall into that), have you ever looked at there head to head matchups?
Deron career v. New Orleans 20 games-
35mpg, 54.4 fg%, 39.7 3pt%, 17.7 points, 9 assists, 2.9 turnovers
CP3 career v. Utah 16 games-
35 mpg, 41.8 fg%, 22.2 3pt%, 15.4 points, 9 assists, 2.6 turnovers
Yeah, I don’t put any stock into it, honestly. Could be fluke. Could be a bad matchup. Either way, what matters is total performance, rather than performance against one individual (or team).
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 12:36 PM PST up reply actions
It is a bad match up
But it does tell us something….
Williams size, strength and length is a problem for Paul. Paul’s quickness is not a problem for Deron (which is impressive)
Nothing wrong with pointing out Williams performs v. the best in the NBA. I don’t want to pick on Monta, BUT Monta’s numbers v.different caliber defenders can be very up or down. V. KMart he looks like a hall of famer ;)
Nothing wrong with pointing out Williams performs v. the best in the NBA.
I don’t have a problem with this, just that in this case, “the best” represents a single matchup. Can’t really take anything away from that. If you had a larger group of “the best”, we might be able to conclude something from it.
by Missing Barry on Feb 11, 2011 1:05 PM PST up reply actions
fair enough
I just find the perceived gap between Paul and Deron to be a bit exaggerated. Paul’s better, but we’re not talking Pau Gasol v. David Lee here. Both are special players, elite players, franchise cornerstone type players, better than anything the Warriors have had type players.
I think +/- numbers really highlight the difference, both adjusted and regular. I’m not a fan of +/- in small samples, but over time, I think it’s a very telling piece of knowledge, and Paul’s really are on that special level that puts him not that far behind Lebron….
Don’t feel like taking the effort to post them at the moment, but I look at basketball values adjusted +/- and 82games regular +/- if anyone wants to see the numbers themselves….
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:16 AM PST up reply actions
you might be interested in my latest post...
http://thecity2.com/2011/02/12/ezpm-compared-with-rapm-part-i/
_______________________________________________________________
The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
Just skimmed it. Interesting. I’ll look a bit closer at it (and the linked articles) later.
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 12:39 PM PST up reply actions
+/- is a scewed though
When Jazz have had more depth and New Orleans has been a better defensive team and a slower paced team.
Lots of factors.
Depth affects it, mostly how good a players replacement is. It doesn’t worry me too much, though. I don’t think it’s much of a factor in the majority of cases. Why would how good the teams defense or how fast they play matter? These factors are controlled for in adjusted +/-, by the way. I still don’t view them as exact, but there’s easily enough of a difference to see Paul’s definitely better.
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 12:42 PM PST up reply actions
Why would you place those 20 games as being more important that the hundreds of other games those two have played?
Williams fans always point out the head-to-head matchup, and for whatever reason it seems to be a direct matchup that favors Deron.
But it’s 20 games. Less than a quarter of a season. I don’t see why any particular 20-game set should overwhelm the much larger dataset which unambiguously supports the notion that Paul is better.
Because Paul beats up on Steph Curry and the mediocre PGs on the world
And v. the big ones, doesn’t produce the same?
Yeah, not every game is created equal, sorry Dave Berri.
Williams size, strength and length is a problem for Paul. Paul’s quickness is not a problem for Deron (which is impressive)
For the record: I THINK PAUL IS BETTER. But I don’t think it’s as far as you’re making ti seem. Deron Williams is amazing. No one on our roster will be near the all around player he is.
And v. the big ones, doesn’t produce the same?
Are there other PGs who Paul struggles against? Or is it just that one matchup?
Boston and Denver
Chauncey and Rondo. Particularly Chauncey.
But I’m not arguing Deron is better than CP3. I’m just arguing they aren’t on different levels.
For my money I’d say Paul is best, Deron is very close… then you got a huge gap.
I don't know why you guys put them in a head-to-head matchup
It doesn’t prove anything. Compare Nash’s matchups against the NBA’s best point guards. He loses. Put Nash in the right system, he’d roll over that team.
The All-NBA First Team | Front Office Edition *Tied
Pres. Presti | VP Nash | GM Sloan | Coach Poppovich | Rookie Durant Or
Pres. Riley | VP Bryant | GM Don Nelson | Coach Phil Jackson | Rookie Griffin
this is a no brainer
You put one of best passers(and of coarse best all around pg) in the league with one of the best scorers in the league. I dont care how much you argue, Stephen Curry MIGHT live up to be as good as Derron. But for now, this would be better for the team. Also, this would be a better starting 5 than the we believe starting 5. Those bench players will come once they see how good of a starting 5 that is….but this will probably never even happen.
only if he extends
I don’t want to rent him for a couple of years…
Deron Williams = wins
Like Tafkasam said… if you get the opportunity to sign a top 10 player in the league, you do it. A player such as DWill will get you wins and will most likely change that team forever. Look what happened to the Knicks… They got a star and whaddaya know? They’re back to competing for the playoffs… oh, and weird, so many other stars want to follow him as well. So yes, if you can trade for this type of player, you do it at all costs hoping that your offer is better than all the other teams.
F the Po Po
Curry
Theres not many players I would give Curry up for, but in this instance I say take him. Williams and Monta would be rediculous.
C'mon Beane! Close off the bottom deck and reopen the top!
Millsap?
Curry + Udoh + picks for Williams would be a good deal, because the picks (hopefully) would come due when the team was dramatically improved (A premier point guard would attract free agents to the Bay).
Maybe we could also try for Paul Millsap. Even the “We Believe” team didn’t have a physical player inside. Maybe:
Curry + Udoh + picks (original trade) + Lee + D. Wright for Williams + Millsap + Gordon Hayward (not necessary for the trade to work)
Warriors Lineup:
D. Williams, Ellis, Reggie Williams/ Hayward, Millsap, Biedrins
Jazz Lineup:
Curry, Bell, Kirilenko / D. Wright, Lee, Jefferson
The Warriors would keep their expirings to package with (or without Andris) for a real center or some depth. The Jazz get Curry, a solid PF/C and depth to combat their injury-laden roster. Hayward looks pretty bad so far, but he could be a good bench player (or starter if he improves dramatically) down the road for the Warriors. The Warriors lock down two key components: PG play and inside presence with rebounding. In addition to Curry, they sacrifice depth and D. Wright’s potential (although they might be selling high on him as well).
by Lynch's Golf Cart on Feb 11, 2011 5:27 PM PST reply actions
I like that
But I’m curious if Utah would like that. Despite the certain ‘whiteness’ Utah tends to strive for it’s a bigger contract for a player not THAT much better.
Personally Im curious, what do you think DeAndre Jordan will command? Do you think he can be had for a FULL MLE? If so I consider moving Biedrins for Nene too.
He’ll be more expensive than that. Think about it this way: Jordan’s a restricted free agent, so any offer for him that makes sense for us will be matched by the Clippers. The only way to get him is to make him an offer that makes the Clippers want no part of it. I would like to have Jordan, but I’ve pretty much just filed him away in the “unattainable” category….
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:19 AM PST up reply actions
We can always dream about Donald Sterling doing the wrong thing
He’s done it enough before.
I see Millsap as a pretty similar player to Lee, honestly. I don’t see much reason for Utah to move him for Lee, since he’s younger and cheaper. I guess getting Dorell would be nice for them, though. Anyways, I think it’s mostly just a lateral move for both of our franchises to swap those two guys.
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:18 AM PST up reply actions
Financially it's a great move for the dubs
Millsap owed 2 years/14 mil
DLee- 5 years/79.2 mil. Backloaded, eesh. This is going to make Riley look really bad
Yeah, but that also means financially, it’s a bad move for the Jazz….
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 12:43 PM PST up reply actions
But PR wise, great move
White? Check
Clean cut? Check
Well Spoken? Check
There’s alot of utah to like about a curry, dlee, gadzuric and lou for Deron/Millsap trade. Let’s them restore their roots
I would be willing to give up any combination of two players we have to get Deron.
As long as the two weren’t named Monta and Steph. If one of them was, that’d be fine. He’s far and away a better player than anyone we have, arguably (I would say so) a top 10 player in the NBA, and a top 2 PG (a position that seems to have the most talent depth in the NBA).
Lacob/Riley should do anything and everything in their power to convince Utah that trading D-Will would benefit them. Not sure I would like trading away TWO future draft picks, but I think I’d do it anyway. Really don’t know the plausibility of this rumor at all, but if he is at all on the market, he just become the best player on it.
I'm looking forward to the Warriors being led to the playoffs by Monta Ellis AND Stephen Curry.
Honestly, I’m pretty sure I would give up both Steph and Monta.
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:20 AM PST up reply actions
williams
is one of the few players i’d be willing to give up steph for and keep monta. dwill is probably the closest thing in the league to baron davis in his prime, and we all saw how well monta and the team can play when he is paired with a big pg
man I missed Baron
in his prime. Absolutely stunning to watch. He was my favorite player ever.
he's better than Baron at his prime...
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk
I'd consider giving both of them
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 11, 2011 7:43 PM PST up reply actions
So would I...
if it didn’t require giving up anything else. We keep Udoh and our picks. It’d be a tough decision, though.
I'm looking forward to the Warriors being led to the playoffs by Monta Ellis AND Stephen Curry.
Picks are the only thing that would worry me. Landing Deron alone won’t make us a real contender, we’re going to have to add pieces around him, and we’d need our 1st round picks to do that.
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:24 AM PST up reply actions
We'd have to take a gamble
that FA’s would sign with us, and we’d have to get creative with trading our other players for better ones/future draft picks.
Yeah it’d be tough, though. We’re over the cap, all we have is the MLE. The MLE is nice for trying to add that final piece, but it’s not so nice for trying to fill out all your needs around a player with. I suppose the new CBA could change everything, but it’s just risky in my opinion. The real problem is we have so much salary on our books to begin with. If we were starting with Deron and a clean slate of salary, it’d be much easier to accomplish.
by Missing Barry on Feb 13, 2011 9:15 AM PST up reply actions
Where it would help is in making a trade like proposed Amare one
With Deron, it’s unlikely player would ‘reject the chance’ to play at GSW.
That said, we wouldn’t have the assets to really make said trade, would we?
I do think Deron would probably make Monta his best. Which you can take two ways. A) He’d be closer to 07-08 player in terms of efficiency (always good) or B) he’d be a much more tradeable asset playing at a higher level on a winning team
All it really comes down to is whether another team makes a better offer than us. We have a good set of expirings to make contracts work. We have Curry as a nice central piece of a package. Add in Udoh + Brandan or something like that? It’s not Deron, but I assume if the Jazz are getting rid of him, it’s unlikely they’re gonna get fair value back. That package is certainly a lot better than nothing (or straight expirings), just depends on if another team is willing to trump it or not.
by Missing Barry on Feb 13, 2011 1:11 PM PST up reply actions
I'm not talking about Deron
I’m talking about prospect of getting another allstar caliber player if we had Deron. Deron would likely cost Curry + expirings.
Ohhh. Yeah, sorry, I completely misread your comment. My bad.
by Missing Barry on Feb 13, 2011 7:47 PM PST up reply actions
even if we get Deron
he’s really not enough to make us close to contender level
Utah had DWill, Boozer, AK47, Millsap, Korver, and Okur (not to mention Wesley Matthews and Ronnie Brewer). That team beat Denver but the lost to LAL.
DWill is a top 30 player in the league. He’s not Top 10. Who’s the Top 10 player that we can get by trading or free agency? I can’t conceive of any, especially after we hypothetically have already traded Curry.
Basically, you’re mortgaging the next 5-10 years on DWill, D. Lee, Monta, and Biedrins. I think that team can be average. Defensively, it’s not much improved. Offensively, maybe somewhat better than now. But that would depend on whether Monta could defer to DWill. I have my doubts about that.
_______________________________________________________________
The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
Even better than that – I’d say he’s consistently on the level of the version of Baron that’s motivated and making consistently good decisions. That Baron was pretty awesome. That’s what Deron is all the time.
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:23 AM PST up reply actions
with much more efficient scoring
Like near .100 higher
I like Williams a lot and would be willing to trade anybody for him, but why don’t they just focus on making a regualr size backcourt instead of a small one all the time? Let’s go after a guy like James Harden or Wes Matthews and try and get a solid center in a deal that would include one of them.
Wes just signed
He won’t go anywhere and a doubt Harden is either
"There is nothing like a wise phrase or quote to help convince others that your decision makes sense." - Anon
"If you're ever in a fair fight, then your tactics suck." ಠ_ಠ
Wes just signed, but once Roy gets healthy, he will become expendable and they have more needs to fill rather than having to really good shooting guards.
Harden is definitely gettable. He backs up Sefalosha, and plus they don’t need a scoring 2 guard when they already have Durant and Westbrook going off every night. They could use a guy like Biedrins at center since they are the weakest in the NBA at that spot. They could have really used some rebounding in that series that they barely lost to the Lakers.
Why is Wes expendable
He was getting bear 30 minutes a game with Roy. They would move roy to point, and also move Wes to the 3.
Plus
What makes David Lee’s lack of defense excusable? Is it because he’s the new guy? Just curious
I think it’s mostly that we’re stuck with him? His lack of D isn’t excusable, but there’s nothing we can do about it now…
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:25 AM PST up reply actions
Curry + Picks + Expirings + Lee + Monta for NENE + DWill + Aflolo
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk
hmmm
I am intrigued to try Monta with Deron before we trade him just yet. Deron is closest point guard to Baron in terms of style except he’s a much more efficient scorer. Deron wants to run a more uptempo style. Thats what his fight with Sloan was about.
You know what coach I’d love to see? Alvin Gentry. He always impresses me. Doubt phoenix would let him go though
I’d want JVG or Shaw…both their systems would be nice with Dwill
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk
Deron wants to play a higher tempo system
Not that that matters, but it was a source of argument with Sloan. In my opinion he can thrive in it..
that's like our whole team
"You should never underestimate the predictability of stupidity."
by fr8nk the tank on Feb 11, 2011 9:35 PM PST up reply actions
I don't think there is really a situation in this league where a big point guard can cover Monta's deficiencies. Baron Davis is probably the only PG who had the length, strength, and quickness to guard 2's well for a 1.
Deron can’t do that.
Keith Smart is challenging Red Auerbach to be the greatest coach of all time.
by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 11, 2011 7:24 PM PST reply actions
Well I think Deron is closest thing to Baron
But that said, you have to concede this factor. Deron as our PG (without gutting the entire team) would make us a playoff team. With another shrewd move or two, a second round team, a 50 win team.
That would increase Monta’s value more than anything.
How do you know "Deron can't do that"
is this just a simple assertion clouded with biasedness since everyone knows you hate Monta?
No?
It’s because Deron, while a big player for a PG doesn’t compare defensively to Baron in his prime. Deron’s +/- defensive numbers haven’t been good at all in the past 4 years.
Keith Smart is challenging Red Auerbach to be the greatest coach of all time.
by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 11, 2011 8:02 PM PST up reply actions
So I don't think he's a good fit for Monta.
I don’t think there is a PG in the league that could defend 2’s well to help Monta.
Keith Smart is challenging Red Auerbach to be the greatest coach of all time.
by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 11, 2011 8:03 PM PST up reply actions
There are PGs with potential to guard 2 guards well like Holiday and Wall, but nobody right now can.
Russell Westbrook too
But on the flipside, when you got a guy who can be that much a defensive beat on the ball…. why would you wanna swap him to guard twos? Unless he’s not quick enough to guard a PG.
The only way we’ll be a very successful defensive team with monta, is if we ran something like the triangle where a Ron Harper type was the so-called ‘point guard’
We need a normal sized 2 guard. It’s just that simple. Monta is a great player, but unless you can find a big enough point guard, you can’t really go that deep into the playoffs with him as your starting 2 unless a good defensive bigger guard came off the bench. Basically in order for us to win with Monta, he’d have to revert back to being the 6th man and we’d have to find a bigger 2 guard.
Not necessarily
If he’s a great player it’s ok. He’s not great he’s very good. Can he continue to grow? I’m not sure. I’m a lot more optimistic than some here.
I do think with Deron Williams and a better back up 2guard, we’d see Monta’s minutes cut down to maybe 33-36. Williams would allow them to switch up who is on the 2 depending on situations. Sure the Kobe bryants of the NBA will kill you but a lot of teams play mediocre offensive 2guards, thabo, bogans, etc. etc. More than anything, an elite player would make the coach for once feel it’s ok to not make Monta play 40 minutes, he’d be more of a Jason Terry type role. Whether he did it from the starting 5 or bench is irrelevant. JT closes most every game offensively. Might be subbed out for defensive situations. Why can’t Monta do similar?
The problem is having an undersized 2 guard being your ‘star’ player and playing 40+.
That’s not to say I wouldnb’t trade Monta on the right offer. But key word is ‘right offer’. Afflalo is not the right offer. Atleast not with Curry, Lee Dorell as our ‘big 3’
I agree
If we got Williams and were able to get a bigger 2 guard to help out on defense, then I think Monta we could stick with Monta.
It's just that trading for Williams would hurt our depth and chances at getting better overall. Our need at center would just keep getting put on hold.
They're two seperate problems
Do you mean by trading both Curry and Udoh, and the future draft picks?
by War Years Legacy on Feb 11, 2011 9:35 PM PST up reply actions
Yeah
It would be nice to get a guys like Willaims, but I don’t think it would be worth it. The more logical move would be to keep Curry and find a bigger 2 guard.
We need a normal sized 2 guard. It’s just that simple. Monta is a great player, but unless you can find a big enough point guard, you can’t really go that deep into the playoffs with him as your starting 2 unless a good defensive bigger guard came off the bench. I wish it weren’t true, but that’s just how it is. Basically in order for us to win with Monta, he’d have to revert back to being the 6th man and we’d have to find a bigger 2 guard.
Or if we had Andrew Bogut and Dwight Howard on our team. Wouldn’t matter what our perimeter guys are doing on D…..
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:30 AM PST up reply actions
Baron wasnt exactly a defensive stopper either.
He was just big enough to guard 2’s.
In that case...
is there a big shooting guard in the league that can cover Curry’s deficiencies? I mean, we wouldn’t ever move Steph onto a shooting guard he’d have even more trouble defending. It would be really stupid to bring in a bigger, defensive shooting guard and have him defend point guards most nights and have Curry get posted up night in and night out by bigger players. We already know that Curry struggles defending most anyone. Most people, even those in favor of trading Monta, admit that Monta is a more capable defender than Steph when guarding point guards. Now, maybe Deron wouldn’t be that much better defending shooting guards than Monta, but we’d see an improvement at both positions, rather than just one. Especially considering there are more good point guards in this league than shooting guards, I’d rather be a little better defensively at both. Especially since there a ton of shooting guards Monta can actually go up against defensively. He doesn’t always struggle.
Either way, there certainly isn’t a huge difference. Either way, we’ll still be defensively deficient. But with Deron, we’ll have a top 10 NBA player. That’s not the case with an bigger shooting guard + Curry.
Anytime a top 10 player is available and you have the pieces to make an offer, you’ve got to try. Deron > Curry now and probably forever. I think we’ve seen enough potential go to waste around here to know that. Curry could be good, but him being a top 25 player isn’t even certain, let alone top 10. Deron already is. :)
I'm looking forward to the Warriors being led to the playoffs by Monta Ellis AND Stephen Curry.
I read an article not long ago
about point guard defense. Point guards just can’t stop other point guards. As good as Westbrook, Rondo and Chris Paul are defensively, they can’t really do much on defense because of Westbrook, Rondo and Chris Paul. Basically, it’s impossible to play great point guard defense. The article attempted to make the claim that maybe defense doesn’t matter as much when rating a point guard as it would for a center or even a wing. It’s why guys like Steve Nash, arguably the worst defensive player at his position, are huge positives, but guys like Al Jefferson end up closer to -.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 12, 2011 6:48 PM PST up reply actions
that's pretty much what my model says, too
_______________________________________________________________
The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
I read it as well. Thought it was interesting, would have loved to see more data.
by Missing Barry on Feb 13, 2011 9:15 AM PST up reply actions
that is interesting, link?
Thing A
"Correlation between inability to use the reply button and general crappiness of analysis: pretty high." -Sleepy Freud
http://hoopspeak.com/2011/02/does-point-guard-defense-matter/
Like MB implied, it is light on data, but still an interesting read. It’s a concept that I have been thinking about a lot myself.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 14, 2011 4:01 PM PST up reply actions
Yep, it was something that was on my radar even before they wrote the article. Just watching games, even guys who are supposed to be very good defensively like Rondo and Westbrook, I’ve been having a hard time seeing how they really impact the game defensively. I think it’s an interesting topic.
by Missing Barry on Feb 14, 2011 6:44 PM PST up reply actions
If true...
That would certainly be good news about Curry being our starting PG for the foreseeable future.
Team defense goes a long way
Rondo is the best defensive PG in NBA. But Bostons team defense is the key. You don’t get easy shots, ever.
the main advantage a defensive PG applies isn’t an individual sort of thing, it’s a steals/passing lanes kind of thing. Rondo is going to get beat, but he’s going to muck up the opposing team’s offense.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 15, 2011 12:06 AM PST up reply actions
the main advantage a defensive PG applies isn’t an individual sort of thing, it’s a steals/passing lanes kind of thing.
intersting, so maybe for PGs, it is a little bit true that good defense= lots of steals?
alright!
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 15, 2011 10:55 AM PST up reply actions
Well, CJ Watson has always seemed to have good defensive results….
Hopefully someone goes in depth in this topic, because I think it’s quite interesting, and I’m still not sure what to make of it, exactly.
by Missing Barry on Feb 15, 2011 11:24 AM PST up reply actions
It's something to think about
at the very least. Point guards are generally ineffective on defense.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 15, 2011 7:43 PM PST up reply actions
Kidd once upon a time. Guys like Ron Harper could. Shaun Livingston has SG size. They’re few and far between, but they exist.
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:28 AM PST up reply actions
John Wall, Derrick Rose and Russell Westbrook are some current PG"s with a great combination of size, length and athleticism. Rose and Westbrook would still be mismatched slightly, but I think Wall would be fine.
by Missing Barry on Feb 12, 2011 11:28 AM PST up reply actions
is that
Stephen Jackson in the background?
by Dr. Orpheus on Feb 11, 2011 7:40 PM PST reply actions 2 recs
LOL just noticed that
"It ain't Chinese algebra. If you get stops and you execute on offense, normally that team wins." - Tony Allen
"One thing LeBron James has won that Kobe Bryant never has, and never will: A bronze medal."- Josh Tucker
Anyone watching Utah/Phoenix
I guess DWill’s getting his wish to run more. it’s been 7 minutes. 5 points, 4 assists
I think Nelson is right all along
When we haven’t drafted Curry, he said Monta needs to be a PG. Very true, Monta can be AI or better than AI. After we drafted Curry, he said he would do Monta for OJ and Thabeet’s trade in a heart beat. Very true too. Curry is a better PG with more upside, and works better with a bigger SG.
by ILoveWarriorsGirls on Feb 11, 2011 9:28 PM PST reply actions
Um No
Deron williams is a franchise player but we would be getting ripped off to trade Curry, Udoh, and multiple 1st round picks
"You should never underestimate the predictability of stupidity."
lol...how would we be getting ripped off?
We get the best player by far in the deal
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk
Warrior fans are conditioned to dream of future potential over reality
No we won’t trade Randolph for Amare. He’ll be better in 3 years anyway :P
lol
so true…i guess being dillusional is the only way to cope sometimes…ignorance is bliss
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk
by LostHawkGSW on Feb 11, 2011 10:36 PM PST up reply actions
anyway can't see Utah trading Williams anymore
"You should never underestimate the predictability of stupidity."
Somewhere, Matt Steinmetz is similing from ear to ear.
Serving it up night in and night out -Steph "The Chef" Curry
by dont_stop_believin' on Feb 12, 2011 2:47 PM PST reply actions
utah writer on Bleacher Report posted this potential trade
Utah Gets: Stephen Curry, Tyler Hansbrough, James Posey, Brandan Wright, Vladimir Radmanovic, Dan Gadzuric and a draft pick from Golden State
Golden State Gets: Deron Williams and Al Jefferson
Indiana Gets: Ekpe Udoh and Ronnie Price
diehard warrior & niner fan.
possibly the only cal + SC fan in the world
by gogoldenbears on Feb 12, 2011 11:16 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
I'd do it
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk
by LostHawkGSW on Feb 12, 2011 11:27 PM PST up reply actions
wow read the comments there...
people are crazy on BR…
You know I spit technique to the freshest freak
Gimme a call you will see results in just a week
With the soul of a LOST HAWK
Is there a heaven for a Rap Cat, let's talk
by LostHawkGSW on Feb 12, 2011 11:28 PM PST up reply actions
I’d trade Curry plus filler for Deron, but not if it meant taking on the albatross that is Al Jefferson. Jefferson + Lee (as mentioned above) would be a defensive disaster.
Basically, we’d become kinda like the Jazz right now — an expensive bubble #8 seed with no flexibility to improve. Oh, and instead of one of the best coaches of all time, we’d have Keith Smart.
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Feb 13, 2011 2:03 AM PST up reply actions
Re: Oh, and instead of one of the best coaches of all time, we’d have Keith Smart.
Lacob did what again?
I am not a testicle.
by bloodsweatndonuts on Feb 13, 2011 11:33 AM PST up reply actions
ICWUTUDIDTHERE.
Keith Smart is challenging Red Auerbach to be the greatest coach of all time.
by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 13, 2011 12:26 PM PST up reply actions
I don't know why you guys are intent on trading Curry
his upside can bring more to the one-dimensionality that is Monta and Deron. Out of all the shooting guards, I see only Wade, Kobe, and Jackson with the ability to punish Curry in post-up situations. That is why teams rotate defenders onto them and protecting drives is a team effort. Ray Allen and Ginobli get killed by these guys, but the defense above negates their advantages. Curry has the brains to play at least smart defense and mature to stick to his man. I don’t think Monta will ever get labeled as a smart defender or player.
The All-NBA First Team | Front Office Edition *Tied
Pres. Presti | VP Nash | GM Sloan | Coach Poppovich | Rookie Durant Or
Pres. Riley | VP Bryant | GM Don Nelson | Coach Phil Jackson | Rookie Griffin
Who is intent on trading Curry? It’s more like we want Deron, and recognize that any reasonable person on the other side of the offer would want Curry in the package. I find this:
his upside can bring more to the one-dimensionality that is Monta and Deron
A bit ridiculous. Deron is one-dimensional? How so? Dude is the 2nd best PG in the NBA (maybe 3rd, lately I’ve been thinking I might be underrating Nash), the kind of player an offense can be built around. He scores, he creates, he runs the show. He’s an excellent player. We’d be incredibly lucky if Curry is ever as good as Deron is.
Also, Curry’s defensive deficiencies don’t just apply to post up situations. Plus, I could see a whole lot more SG’s being able to post him up effectively than you seem to be able to see. Monta (if he’s ever not on the same team as Curry), Eric Gordon, Iguodala, Joe Johnson, Brandan Roy, Jason Richardson, DeMar Derozan maybe? (he has the size and athleticism, but given that’s he stuck in the wasteland that is Toronto, I basically have never seen him play), Vince Carter, Manu, etc. A lot of SG’s are significantly bigger than he is, both in height and weight/strength. They don’t even need post up skills, just to fight him for good position.
by Missing Barry on Feb 13, 2011 9:23 AM PST up reply actions
I meant to state that the combination of Monta and Deron is one-dimensional as compared to the combination of Curry and Deron (I’m in the boat of trading Monta). Curry has the capacity to develop an all-around game more than Monta, and that has to open up offensive game.
Post game wise, I only see those 3 with a legitimate post game. I might have left out 1 or 2 names, but those are the main threats. Anyways, if we decide to keep Monta, he won’t do much better. Again, Curry has the brains to develop a consistent, not strong, defense like Ray Allen did. I don’t see Monta reaching that level.
The All-NBA First Team | Front Office Edition *Tied
Pres. Presti | VP Nash | GM Sloan | Coach Poppovich | Rookie Durant Or
Pres. Riley | VP Bryant | GM Don Nelson | Coach Phil Jackson | Rookie Griffin
I think most people here would rather trade Monta than Curry for Deron. I’m in that boat, for sure. I just don’t see why the Jazz would take Monta instead of Curry.
Like I said, it’s not about having a legitimate post game. Do you watch when we play the Suns? Back when they had JRich, he’d post us up constantly when Curry/Monta tried to guard him, because he can. He’s just that much bigger/stronger. Grant Hill was doing the same thing. The size discrepancy really is big enough that guys without a real post game can abuse Steph down there. All they really have to do is to be able to make a layup, because really, they can get one on a consistent basis. I’m much more pessimistic overall on Curry’s D than you. Brains can only take you so far. Size, strength, length, athleticism – all very important factors. Steph is really lacking in those categories, especially compared to a guy like Ray Allen. I don’t see Steph ever being anything but a weak defender.
by Missing Barry on Feb 13, 2011 9:48 AM PST up reply actions
I agree with what you said. We just need to upgrade that team defense, so Curry doesn’t get abused in those situations.
The All-NBA First Team | Front Office Edition *Tied
Pres. Presti | VP Nash | GM Sloan | Coach Poppovich | Rookie Durant Or
Pres. Riley | VP Bryant | GM Don Nelson | Coach Phil Jackson | Rookie Griffin
Would LOVE to do this trade.
Golden State Warriors fan since 1984. The Filipino sensation!
The loudest Warrior fan in Section 208, Row DS, Seats 15-16.
I’m not sure what there is to LOVE about a deal that anchors us to a frontcourt of David Lee and Al Jefferson at $25-28M a year.
At least Lee’s half of a good player — the offensive half. Jefferson’s awful at both ends of the court.
There will be no extra point!
by Sleepy Freud on Feb 15, 2011 1:39 PM PST up reply actions
Especially since we can already see how it’s working out (it’s not) in Utah. Millsap is a very similar player to Lee. Him and Jefferson is a disaster, mostly because of Jefferson.
by Missing Barry on Feb 15, 2011 2:59 PM PST up reply actions
gawd, I want the Jazz to tank, so badly!
since I kinda root for the Suns, and I don’t see Portland tanking, I need to see one of the teams above us in the standings crumble
Utah, new coach, a little locker room tension, bad front court…sounds about right
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 15, 2011 3:02 PM PST up reply actions
I’d love to have Deron Williams. Hell, throw in Curry and Monta. The guy is one of the few players in the league who you can build your franchise around. I don’t care if D-Will isn’t the best PG, he’s still a top10-15 player in the league.
exactly
but, I doubt Utah does this. Deron is still young and is, imo, as good as any pg in the NBA. He is 6’3" 200+ lbs so he can guard bigger players and not get abused down low. A player like D-Will coming to the Warriors would make them a much more attractive location for free agents. Curry is a very nice player but anyone who thinks hes on Deron’s level would be kidding themselves. I’d have no issue moving Curry, Udoh and future 1st rounder. Say his trading led to a Gasol or Chandler signing(defensive centers)… the lineup would be pretty nutty (still no bench though).
I think Utah would have to be pretty stupid to trade away Deron
I have him in my top 12,
And I think it’s pretty safe to say, Curry and Monta will never be.
But you do want somebody left to encourage DWill to resign.
by War Years Legacy on Feb 13, 2011 11:52 AM PST reply actions
safe to say?
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 14, 2011 12:01 PM PST up reply actions
I feel pretty safe in saying--Apart from their defensive deficits--
That Monta as an undersized 2 guard, high volume shooter, will never crack my top 20 despite ppg totals.Perhaps he will yours.
While I do have greater hopes for Curry,I don’t see Curry becoming one of the top 2 PG in the NBA,, (which in my mind DWill is). and would probably make him a top player at a very specialized position… I think that’s rather safe to say.
by War Years Legacy on Feb 14, 2011 1:02 PM PST up reply actions
isn't this rumore by Ford a moot point...
we can’t trade any number 1’s for at least a couple years because of the Marcus Williams trade. I’m assuming picks would have to be a big part of this deal if it was ever even a remote possibility. Then there would be the issue of paying Williams, that would put us way over the cap wouldn’t it?
Any more word on this?
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 14, 2011 12:01 PM PST reply actions
yeah
the word is “you’re silly if you think the Jazz are going to give up DWilliams”
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 15, 2011 3:15 PM PST up reply actions
Bird is the word is the word i heard
Don't Trade Monta
Bush is on Fire!
Huff likes it raw
by JohnnyDangerously on Feb 15, 2011 4:08 PM PST up reply actions
makes me think of this, from The Family Guy
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 16, 2011 10:28 AM PST up reply actions
That's a real song, you know.
For some reason, the bird is the word makes me think of the Beastie Boys before the Trashmen or Family Guy.
“The bird is the word and you’re as light as a feather.”
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 17, 2011 2:54 PM PST up reply actions
haha, yeah I know it is a real song…but the Family Guy treatment of it is the best version by far
also…Beastie Boys/Bird connection?
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 18, 2011 9:54 AM PST up reply actions
It’s from the song The Vibes off of Paul’s Boutique.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 19, 2011 10:31 PM PST up reply actions
gawd
I haven’t listened to that album in days!!
I had it on cassette and used to listen to it all the time while skateboarding
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 21, 2011 4:09 PM PST up reply actions
wow
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 18, 2011 9:54 AM PST up reply actions
now I'm just stat stuffing
"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep
by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 18, 2011 9:55 AM PST up reply actions
Curry or Monta for DWill is a no brainer...I'd take that in a second!
if we keep Curry though, we will probably trade him for a bigger SG after one year experiment.
by davidleeisabeast on Feb 19, 2011 7:16 AM PST reply actions
it's not going to happen
deron williams is good but steph curry is the future of the W’s, if they were thinking trade, it will probably monta ellis, udoh and a draft pick for williams and an expiring contract. monta ellis’s contract is pretty big and they almost did trade him last year. i would love to see steph and d will on same team.
Williams isn't even that much better than Curry and he's much more expensive.
Dude’s like 4th best PG in the league behind CP3, Nash, and i believe Rondo. I mean he’s a huge detriment on defense even as Nash is neutral on defense…hmmm
Steph Curry and Reggie Williams all day baby!
by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 20, 2011 10:03 AM PST up reply actions
Defensively, D. Will is a huge improvement over Curry. Defense=half the game.
And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who would attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know my name is Monta Ellis when I lay my vengeance upon thee.
i'm not sure he is.
He’s been a huge defensive detriment in terms of +/- the last 3 years.
Steph Curry and Reggie Williams all day baby!
by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 22, 2011 11:07 AM PST up reply actions
agree with this
_______________________________________________________________
The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
And i mean huge, not small statistical noise.
Steph Curry and Reggie Williams all day baby!
by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 22, 2011 3:22 PM PST up reply actions
I'm not sure if
defense should be half of your evaluation of a point guard.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 22, 2011 2:42 PM PST up reply actions
and agree with this
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The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
I think the ability to defend opposing PG’s is huge, considering the teams that will win or lose based on their PG’s play. Look at how much Billups helps as a great defender. Plus, a good PG can help against SG’s, which doesn’t hurt either.
And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who would attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know my name is Monta Ellis when I lay my vengeance upon thee.
Look at how much Billups helps as a great defender.
This is actually where the recent questions about how much PG D actually matters comes from. Someone did bother to start looking, and found +/- numbers that were underwhelming. The evidence I read didn’t convince me, but I am rethinking things and considering the possibility. I’d love to see some more research into the subject.
by Missing Barry on Feb 22, 2011 7:34 PM PST up reply actions
Not 100% on this
but Evanz may have done research and posted it on his blog somewhere.
That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.
by Reverend_Randy on Feb 23, 2011 3:26 PM PST up reply actions
don't agree with this
_______________________________________________________________
The City: A Golden State Warriors-Centric NBA Blog
Well I guess we can end this thread...
…but hey, at least we got Troy Murphy back!!!
Not sure how you get there -
Curry is a reasonable amount better than Harris. Favors is worlds better than Udoh.
Favors has a ton of potential. I think I might prefer Curry/Udoh because Curry’s the best of the 4, but I think it’s fairly close, and I doubt we’d offer Curry for Deron without being able to sign Deron to an extension.
by Missing Barry on Feb 23, 2011 9:26 AM PST up reply actions
Curry and Udoh? I personally feel like that would be better for the Jazz than Harris and Favors
Yeah I agree, but we don’t care what’s good for utah.
Lights please, lights please, turn off the lights.
by Skeptic con Urquell on Feb 23, 2011 10:37 AM PST up reply actions
At least our draft picks were involved… ugh.
by Ice Watter In His Veins! on Feb 23, 2011 10:41 AM PST reply actions
no kidding
our drafts picks were involved in the Melo deal and the Williams deal. good to know the warriors are still making the rest of the league better by getting rid of what we have. can anything be more depressing?































