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Trade idea with Portland




I know there are way too many trade ideas floating around on this board, but I really think that this one has some merit.  This trade with the Portland Trailblazers would add size, length and shed some money on the long run for the Warriors as well as give Portland very reasonable pieces to move forward with.

http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=4p87624

Summary:

Warriors trade Monta Ellis and Andris Biedrins to Portland in return for Nicolas Batum, Andre Miller and Marcus Camby

 

Why the Warriors do this:

We are in big need of PG depth, interior presence and perimeter defense.  Miller (backup PG), Camby (Center) and Batum (SG) are almost perfect fits for our system. and address these three needs.

 

Why the Blazers do this:

They clearly will need a longer term answer at center based on Oden's injury history and Ellis could take over the point there with true options on the wing (Roy) and the paint (Aldrich).  Beans could just stay back and play how he likes (rebounds and help defense).

 

Doubt this would really happen, but I think that both teams would improve now and in the future with this one.

Poll
What do you think about this trade?
Realistic, but not good for us
33 votes
Not realistic, but I would love this one
38 votes
No way, no how
233 votes
Sign me up!
7 votes

311 votes | Poll has closed

This FanPost is a submission from a member of the mighty Golden State of Mind community. While we're all here to throw up that W, these words do not necessarily reflect the views of the GSoM Crew. Still, chances are the preceding post is Unstoppable Baby!

Comment 73 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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batum is untouchable

and not worth monta

and as much as I love Camby (me being at UMass and all), his career is done. and miller’s getting old.

basically, we’d be getting batum in return, which at the end of the day, puts us no farther than monta

It's lonely being the only Warriors fan at UMass :(

by j-spliff415 on Feb 16, 2011 1:22 PM PST reply actions  

How can someone be both

untouchable for one team and not worth Monta? That doesn’t make sense.

That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.

by Reverend_Randy on Feb 16, 2011 8:45 PM PST up reply actions  

And i mean it's homerish for Batum to be untouchable in the eyes of the Blazers.

And then for him not to be worth Monta in the eyes of Warrior fans.

Steph Curry and Reggie Williams all day baby!

by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 16, 2011 9:51 PM PST up reply actions  

well portlands entire team runs off of

aldridge and batum. and theyve made it very clear that theyre staying put. but at the end of the day, losing monta for batum wouldnt get us anywhere closer to playoffs. capiche?

It's lonely being the only Warriors fan at UMass :(

by j-spliff415 on Feb 16, 2011 11:36 PM PST up reply actions  

I think it would though.

Batum’s pretty darn solid.

Steph Curry and Reggie Williams all day baby!

by GovernorStephCurry on Feb 17, 2011 9:18 AM PST up reply actions  

Especially when you throw Andre Miller and Camby into the mix with us. Yeah, I’m pretty confident we’d be a better team this year. Camby gives us exactly what we need at the C position (short term, long term his career is almost over), and Miller gives us another good player, one who can play next to pretty much everyone else – Curry, Reggie and Batum, so that rounds out a very solid backcourt rotation. Batum also means we can cut back on Dorell’s minutes, as we could definitely play some combination of Curry/Reggie/Miller with Batum at one of the wings.

by Missing Barry on Feb 17, 2011 9:45 AM PST up reply actions  

camby gives us injuries

and miller gives us a point guard in his twilight years

Curry, Reggie, and Monta is just as solid of a backcourt – less defensive output but much more offensive production. either way, i dont think itd make much of a difference

It's lonely being the only Warriors fan at UMass :(

by j-spliff415 on Feb 17, 2011 10:28 AM PST up reply actions  

Miller might be old, but he’s big, he’s strong, and he’s a smart player. He’s still productive. Is Camby out the whole season? The biggest advantage of the trade for us isn’t about trying to get better now, it’s about giving us more financial flexibility.

by Missing Barry on Feb 17, 2011 10:45 AM PST up reply actions  

Miller would be great to have!
he may only have a few more years left in the tank, but he is exactly the type of crafty PG that could teach Steph a thing or two

"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep

by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 17, 2011 10:46 AM PST up reply actions  

hahahaa!

so true, so right
made me LOL

How can someone be both untouchable for one team and not worth Monta? That doesn’t make sense.
Probably because both viewpoints are homerish.

"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep

by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 17, 2011 10:45 AM PST up reply actions  

+1,000,000

Unless we’re getting back Dwight Howard or some other big of that caliber.

Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Raider fans copy & paste 140512610812 in Ebay!
Raider fans copy & paste 140512610812 in Ebay!

by JonDoe on Feb 16, 2011 2:00 PM PST up reply actions  

So basically you value Monta on the level of the very best big men in the NBA. Wow.

by Missing Barry on Feb 16, 2011 2:02 PM PST up reply actions  

Obviously...

I’m exaggerating but I’m sick of all the trade talk. I know the Warriors’ playoff appearences are too far in between but why not wait & see what this team can do after they build some chemistry? Statistically, we have one of the best backcourts in the league yet everyone wants to break it apart instead of adding to it via draft or free agency.

Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Type the words RUN TMC in Ebay!
Raider fans copy & paste 140512610812 in Ebay!
Raider fans copy & paste 140512610812 in Ebay!

by JonDoe on Feb 16, 2011 2:33 PM PST up reply actions  

One big problem is we don’t have the cap space to add a real difference maker in free agency, and likely won’t get a high enough pick to expect to draft a real difference maker….

I’ve never been a huge advocate that we have to go out and make a trade or anything, but there’s definitely a reason to look into it. Once you start factoring things like “defense” in, our backcourt doesn’t look as shiny….

by Missing Barry on Feb 16, 2011 2:51 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm with you when you said ...
why not wait & see what this team can do after they build some chemistry?

I have the answer. Because some or a vast majority of Warrior fans are impatient with the demand to skip the playoffs and automatically win the 2011 NBA Championship.

I understand most Warrior fans are extremely loyal with different ideas on how to be a great team and since those ideas are great their opinions should be taken to consideration. Since their ideas are neglected and only gets sniffed in discussions with fellow fans, that frustration easily boils up. Who wouldn’t be frustrated with making it only to the playoffs once in what is it now… 18 years? and claiming only one championship waaaayyy back in 1975.

If it’s that important to win a championship now and that frustrating where it is absolutely ruining your life , then maybe the best solution is to throw loyalty out the door and jump on the bandwagon of a great team that has a better chance to win the championship this year.

It’s that simple and less stressful.

I am on the same boat as every Warrior fan on this planet with the frustrations and disappointments year after year but i’ll never throw my loyalties for the dubz out the door. Although the dubz product hasn’t resulted in a winning team, post season wins, or championships, I still find the Warriors exciting to watch.

During the Cohan and Don Nelson Era, I never had a consistent mental comfort for the future of this team.

All that garbage is gone and if Warrior fans can realize we are in a Peter Guber & Joe Lacobs era that is showing promise of success so far, then it should be that easier to be patient because we won’t find automatic success today as they have mentioned a million times to us fans.

This new era should let us breathe easier and for me I can put my trust in Lacob’s final decisions. I been an advocate of Keith Smart and I will be until he gets fired. I also give a lot of credit to Larry Riley’s moves so far as well.

This has only be said 3,937 times on this site, but “Patience is the virtue.”

I doubt you Warrior fans plan to throw loyalty out the door, so GO WARRIORS still.

Just my three point seven cents.

ROMESdavidWOOD37 has taken over the Ongline. He's cool.

by ROMESdavidWOOD37 on Feb 16, 2011 3:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Also...

2-year / 1-year adjusted plus-minus
--
Player A: +5.85 / +9.65
Player B: -5.49 / -8.53

Click link to see who player A and Player B are.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Feb 16, 2011 3:07 PM PST up reply actions  

It's also amusing that people hold shooting against Curry ...

… when, of course, the argument for Monta being above average relies heavily on the fact that he shoots the ball at nearly every opportunity, and, in fact, often when it barely counts as an opportunity.

by Ronaldinho on Feb 16, 2011 3:27 PM PST up reply actions  

I have no problem with Curry shooting more. On the contrary, I would love for him to be aggressive on that end because he is really good at it, in fact he’s so good some people would say he’s better fit as a SG. If he is our PG of the future though I would like to see more consistency of great playmaking ability like he showed the last couple of games. His new defensive approach of late is good to see also. I just want for him to be consistent now, so he can silence all of his doubters including me.

by davidleeisabeast on Feb 16, 2011 3:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Seven games, actually. ;-)

And Chris Paul is only four games removed from his.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Feb 16, 2011 3:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Chris Paul I’m not worried about…he’s not on my team. Besides, he’s got a few years of consistent GREAT playmaking in his resume so an “off” game here and there won’t hurt him.

by davidleeisabeast on Feb 16, 2011 3:49 PM PST up reply actions  

The point is not that Curry is as good as Paul. The point is that citing one game to prove a point is silly.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Feb 16, 2011 3:52 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

I know that Curry is not as good as Paul…..appssh!
The point is CONSISTENCY…he’s got a few games under his belt now to build from. Just keep it coming…it’s for the best!

by davidleeisabeast on Feb 16, 2011 3:56 PM PST up reply actions  

The point is CONSISTENCY

Well — whether or not that was your original point — on that we can agree. ;-)

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Feb 16, 2011 3:59 PM PST up reply actions  

GSOM, Where Diplomacy Happens.

"I thought it was going in," Warriors center Chris Hunter said. "It looked like the invisible man tipped it away at the last second."

"He's chicken curry right now. He'll become beef curry a little later on."
-Keith Smart

by kenntoe on Feb 16, 2011 5:05 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

You're talking about consistency

yet citing a single game sample?? That doesn’t make sense.

That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.

by Reverend_Randy on Feb 16, 2011 8:47 PM PST up reply actions  

You don’t have to “put all your chips in.” You you just have to put in the one chip that says: “better scorer + better shooter + better passer + better rebounder + much more positive impact on the team = better player.

It doesn’t mean Steph’s a superstar or Monta’s not a good player.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Feb 16, 2011 3:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Care to elaborate?

(Edit: resorting to name-calling doesn’t count as “elaboration” — it just counts as admitting that one is trolling).

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Feb 16, 2011 3:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Right, but that can mean a lot of things. Justin Bieber is a “star,” but he isn’t necessarily the best musician.

Personally, when I use the term “best player” I mean, very specifically, the player who contributes the most positively towards winning basketball games. By this definition, there’s very little evidence that the Warriors’ “best player” is Monta Ellis, and a whole lot of evidence that it isn’t.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Feb 16, 2011 4:07 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

I think a lot of people read "best player" as "my favorite player to watch"

this is like trying to prove that there is no God.

where there is proof, there is no need for faith;
where there is faith, there is no need for proof

"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep

by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 16, 2011 4:14 PM PST up reply actions  

Agreed.

Many people are either incapable or uninterested in understanding the distinction between whether someone is good or bad (which is an objective quality of the player’s skill) and whether you like them or not (which is a subjective evaluation which is really about the observer, not the observed).

That’s why you see a lot of generic complimentary terms given to players who they absolutely don’t apply to. For example, people often use “consistent” as a compliment for a player they like. Many good players are consistent … but not all of them. (And Monta, for example, would be a clear example of a good player who is nowhere near consistent).

It’s also why you see people attacking, say, Biedrins’ work ethic – despite the fact that we have no evidence for such a statement (and some evidence against it). Biedrins is having a bad year. Ergo, you don’t like him. Ergo, all bad objective descriptions apply to him.

by Ronaldinho on Feb 17, 2011 1:57 PM PST up reply actions  

and yes, a Mod removed it, but davidleebeast had some sort of non sequitor come-back that was like “you are a stats geek.”

pretty much the definitive version of the sort of “uhn-uUun” employed by grade school kids across the world. You just cannot sway that view (in most instances) through any sort of argument, no matter how well-structured

"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep

by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 17, 2011 2:56 PM PST up reply actions  

rec'd - best analogy possible

have you been saving this one up, or did you make it up on the spot??

Justin Bieber is a "star," but he isn’t necessarily the best musician.

"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep

by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 17, 2011 2:53 PM PST up reply actions  

I don’t analyze every stats and put together a formula to come up with another STAT like most of you guys here do. I just watch games and I have a good understanding of the game also because I played this game all the way through college, so I think I can spot a good player when I see one.

by davidleeisabeast on Feb 16, 2011 4:14 PM PST up reply actions  

That’s cool — but then if we’re throwing out objective evidence, anyone’s opinion is just as valid as anybody else’s. And there are plenty of people whose opinion is that Monta is not the best player on the team. So confronting another poster by saying

Sorry to break it to you but…MONTA is the best player on this team.

is somewhat pointless.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Feb 16, 2011 4:30 PM PST up reply actions  

It’s not pointless when there is visible and viable argument that he is. And as you can see, there are plenty of people whose opinion is that Monta is the best player on this team too.

by davidleeisabeast on Feb 16, 2011 4:37 PM PST up reply actions  

sad to see

 that the “stats geek” comeback got deleted – it was just such a great inidcator for the level of analytical sophistication that we are looking at here

also, it took down a longer response from me essentially saying that the definition of “best player” is really the main problem here (I think)

from a statistical standpoint, there is really no argument that Steph is superior in pretty much every category.

But some fans care about stuff like: Monta plays the most minutes (for a few years now), carries our offense (for better or worse) most nights, and usually has more highlights (other examples here would definately be Kobe and Melo).

You cannot defeat that view with a statistical argument.
Untill Steph beats Monta at 1-on-1 in a YouTube video, then this argument (if it can even be called that) will continue to rage.

"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep

by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 16, 2011 4:54 PM PST up reply actions  

edit

 there is really no argument that Steph is [NOT] superior in pretty much every category.

"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep

by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 16, 2011 4:55 PM PST up reply actions  

It’s not pointless when there is visible and viable argument that he is.

Well, the board is still waiting for you to make such an argument.

I’ll try and say this as simply as I can. The only "STAT" that anyone here really cares about is Warriors’ wins and losses.

At the same time, there are lots of other individual stats that have been showed, time and time again, to correlate extremely closely with the stat of team wins and losses.

If you want to argue that Monta’s the "best" player (on the Warriors, in the world, etc.) from an aesthetic standpoint, that’s totally cool.

If you want to argue that Monta contributes better than anyone else on the team to winning games, you have to do so while ignoring all the available evidence.

Ignoring all available evidence — i.e. clinging to the belief that one’s own subjective view trumps all available evidence — is kind of sad, in my opinion. And, maybe more importantly, it’s not very conducive to interesting discussion on a board like this.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Feb 16, 2011 5:33 PM PST up reply actions   2 recs

haven’t you learned that “stats” doesn’t always cover every intangible plays that goes on in the court. ok, if you are going to insist on some stats…Monta 25PPG on 46% FG.

by davidleeisabeast on Feb 16, 2011 6:12 PM PST up reply actions  

Per game numbers aren’t as meaningful as per minute numbers. If you care to learn, I can explain why and what the proper use of the statistics are. Also, use TS% instead of FG%. TS% is a measure of how many points a player scores per shot they take, which includes 2 point shots, 3 point shots, and FTA’s (getting fouled and sent to the line is the equivalent of one FGA, because from a team standpoint, they both use one possession). If you think about it, it makes sense and is exactly what we want to know.

by Missing Barry on Feb 17, 2011 6:20 AM PST up reply actions  

We all know

that stats aren’t perfect. We also know that a lot of stats are very good. You cherrypicking some pretty poor stats kind of shows that you haven’t even bothered to learn about stats. Instead, you just go against something that you don’t understand. It’s really hard to take you seriously when that is all you are doing.
What I mean here is that points per game is just one stat and that it isn’t as good as points per 36. FG% isn’t a good measure of player scoring efficiency. True shooting percent is much better in that regard. Monta’s TS% is .546, which is merely average. I kind of hate to do this after I just witnessed a very good Monta game, but it’s important to keep perspective on these things anyway. Monta is not the best player in the league and he also isn’t the worst.

That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.

by Reverend_Randy on Feb 16, 2011 8:52 PM PST up reply actions  

And if you want some eyeball stuff

I think Curry’s game is beautiful. His ability to get to any spot on the floor, create a tiny bit of space, and shoot from there is special. To my eyes, it’s more special than anything Monta does.

That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.

by Reverend_Randy on Feb 17, 2011 1:53 PM PST up reply actions  

I’m seeing more pretty layups out of Steph this year. Seems like he is very aware that he absolutely needs to threaten the rim more

"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep

by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 17, 2011 2:57 PM PST up reply actions  

There's a lot to like about Curry's game, I'm a fan too.

but there’s a lot to clean up in his game too. provided that this is his 2nd year only and he seems to be a bright guy i am confident that he’ll figure things out.

however, if a right trade comes along i.e..Deron Williams!
how can you say no to that.

by davidleeisabeast on Feb 19, 2011 6:48 AM PST up reply actions  

You really can't.

I love Curry’s game and his potential, but he’s absolutely tradeable in the right deal.

That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.

by Reverend_Randy on Feb 19, 2011 6:34 PM PST up reply actions  

"stats" doesn’t always cover every intangible plays that goes on in the court.

Of course not. But you seem to be implying that “intangibles” can be invoked to bolster your own subjective opinion and not anyone else’s. Suppose someone else thinks their guy’s intangibles outweigh your guy’s? What happens then — coin flip? This is why talk of intangibles tends to lead to a dead end in a forum like this.

if you are going to insist on some stats…Monta 25PPG on 46% FG.

I didn’t insist on those stats — you did. And as Rev Randy points out, without more context, they don’t tell you a whole lot about wins and losses.

There will be no extra point!

by Sleepy Freud on Feb 16, 2011 9:13 PM PST up reply actions  

davidleeisabeast has to understand something

one of the things that is hailed about Golden State league wide is the absolute geekiness of their fans – TS percentages and stats per minute are not things the average enthusiast should know. so its really hard to get a point across with GSOMers, (especially with the likes of GSC, Missing Barry, and Sleepy Frued – I mean this in the best way possible you guys are basketball geniuses) as much as I love Monta myself and hope desperately he stays a Warrior for life, it is true that Steph on paper does more for the team than Monta does. He gets us closer to winning, and there’s no arguing that.

but

does that make him the best player? or better than Monta? Statistically, he is the better guard. But there’s so much more to being the “best” (although it should never be a competition within a team) than just plain good stats.

I still hail Monta as the best not simply because of his above average stats, but moreso his leadership abilities, willingness to carry the team when needed, and his transformation into the face of this franchise (as of right now). Steph has yet to do any of the above (though i have no doubt in my mind that steph curry will soon transform into a nightly name on Sportscenter in a couple of years).

get my point?

It's lonely being the only Warriors fan at UMass :(

by j-spliff415 on Feb 17, 2011 10:39 AM PST up reply actions  

percentages and stats per minute are not things the average enthusiast should know

If you rephrased this as:

percentages and stats per minute are not things the typical average enthusiast knows

it would be more accurate. Because the enthusiast SHOULD know them, and in time, will. They’re the on base percentage to batting average. 20 years ago everyone looked at batting average (even though OBP existed and the people doing the baseball work had realized how much more important it is than BA) when it came to baseball, because to put it flatly, it’s a much better measure of a players impact towards winning. Same with the stuff we quote. It’s not hard stuff, I’m looking at points, rebounds, assists, etc – same stuff as you, just controlled for minutes and TS% instead of FG%. Again, to put it flatly, it’s a much better measure of a players impact towards winning. If you want to discuss it, I’m more than willing to share everything I know about them, and I promise if you learn about them and give them some thought, they will absolutely make sense. And once you get to that point, you’ll never go back. ;)

Then there really are some more advanced stuff like +/- (which is actually a really, really simple concept) and adjusted +/-, but that’s part of the 201’s classes materia.

by Missing Barry on Feb 17, 2011 10:54 AM PST up reply actions  

I love being exposed to this stuff

but I must admit that I do qestion the comparability of PER 36 for guys with significantly different roles/playing time.

I would actually be very interested to hear more from anyone who knows how well PER36 carries over as guys get more minutes (if not, I may even bite the bullet and actually do the leg work myself)

"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep

by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 17, 2011 3:00 PM PST up reply actions  

Millsap Doctrine

That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.

by Reverend_Randy on Feb 17, 2011 3:03 PM PST up reply actions  

thanks

and yeah, directly against what I would have expected, but actually makes sense based on the fact that these guys get more time to get warm, play through mistakes, etc.

It looks like the link to the original full study is broken, but I am pretty interested in seeing how unusual the Milspa case is. The fact that the authors said the the “players tended to” imporve means (to me) that there are a fair amount that do not follow the Milsap doctrine…I’m just extremely curious to know what the breakdown was/is of those who do vs. those who do not improve

For those of you too lazy to go read the cited article, here’s what it boils down to:

Lo and behold, the data showed that these players tended to improve their performance when given more regular minutes, contradicting the critics’ naysaying. There’s a perfectly logical explanation for why this would be the case. Given more playing time, players have a chance to get warm and play through their mistakes instead of constantly watching the bench and waiting for their coach to pull them from the game.

"There’s no such thing as off the charts, just get a bigger piece of paper. If you can’t figure that out you shouldn’t be charting anything" - Skep

by Duby Dub Dubs on Feb 17, 2011 3:35 PM PST up reply actions  

Players in general

follow the Millsap doctrine closely. It is weirder for them to not get close.

The fact that the authors said the the "players tended to" imporve means (to me) that there are a fair amount that do not follow the Milsap doctrine…

A larger amount follow it than not. It’s named the Millsap doctrine only because of how close it is. Players got close to their per minute extrapolations in every stat.

That third guitar note you played just now was perfect, dogg. Maybe play it again a little later alright.

by Reverend_Randy on Feb 17, 2011 7:18 PM PST up reply actions  

Role is definitely something that always has to be kept in mind, and all per 36 stats should be taken under the context of the role the guy is in. The position someone plays matters (for instance, let’s say you have a tweener 3/4, the more time he spends at 4, even as a “space the floor” 4, generally the more rebounds he’ll get than if he were playing 3 during that time, not from extra ability, but from the position he plays). The offensive role they’re in matters (the more someone is expected to shoot, the more points they’ll score, the more they have the ball, the more assists they’ll rack up, etc). In terms of the impact total minutes has on per 36 minutes, honestly, from my knowledge, it’s small enough you can mostly ignore it.

So yeah, Per 36 isn’t perfect in a “this guy must be a better player because his numbers are better!” kind of way. We know that, and you’ll see many of us who use them still have disagreements on guys. There’s room for different interpretations. If you’re looking for perfect…well, you won’t get it, but it’s at least a step in the direction!

by Missing Barry on Feb 18, 2011 7:58 AM PST up reply actions  

The funny thing is - even leaving Monta out of the discussion:

We know that there are certain traits which tend to cause us to overrate players.

The tendency to make highlight worthy plays, for example. The tendency to get a lot of steals, if it comes at the expense of positionally sound defense. The tendency to score a lot at low efficiency.

We know – with no reference to Monta – that these things tend to raise our subjective view of players more than is rationally justifiable.

Therefore, it’s probably worth considering that our subjective opinion of Monta is probably a little high.

But, of course, some of this gets to the definition of “best.”

Monta might be the “most talented” Warrior. I don’t agree, but I understand the argument. Does “best” = “most talented?” Is what what you mean by best?

And some people mean “best” to mean “most exciting.” In this case, I might even agree with you, Monta is quite possibly our best player.

On the other hand, a fair number of us use “best” to mean “does the most to contribute to winning.”

And by that metric, it is very, very hard to justify that Monta is our best player, because he rebounds so poorly and misses so many shots. And your subjective opinion (and you’re hardly the only person on this board who played basketball in college, so your appeal-to-authority argument isn’t going to carry a lot of weight here) really, well, since it appears to fall into so many common evaluation traps, well, just does’t seem to mean very much.

by Ronaldinho on Feb 17, 2011 2:02 PM PST up reply actions  

I see a lot of people, even very knowledgeable basketball people, judge “best” solely based on a players skillset, rather than actual impact on helping his team win. There’s nothing wrong with evaluating a guys skills, and it’s definitely useful in certain situations (especially projecting future performance), but I just don’t see how when it’s all said and done, anything matters but how a player helped his team win games. So basically, I can often understand where people are coming from when they make evaluations I don’t agree with (Kobe Bryant is the best player in the world!), I just know they’re wrong since my way of thinking (impact on winning!) is the correct way and theirs is not.

by Missing Barry on Feb 18, 2011 8:03 AM PST up reply actions  

I looked at points, rebounds, assists, turnovers, steals and true shooting percentage. There’s nothing complicated about it. Looking at the statistics, in addition to watching games, is a good thing and actually gives you more knowledge than just watching the game alone.

by Missing Barry on Feb 17, 2011 6:17 AM PST up reply actions  

DOES IT WORK?

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by Evanz on Feb 16, 2011 1:57 PM PST reply actions  

I actually like the premise of the trade, but I’m under the impression Portland values Batum extremely highly and isn’t going to part with him unless they’re absolutely blown away, so I don’t think it’s possible.

by Missing Barry on Feb 16, 2011 2:03 PM PST reply actions  

It's hard not to really like this trade

The salary relief alone makes it worth considering. The fact that the Warriors would get 3 legit players back at positions of need makes it a steal.

Camby would be a great defensive complement to Lee. He has a couple more years left and could be the shot blocker the franchise hasn’t had. A great mentor for Udoh. Lee/Camby/Udoh/Amundson would board.

Miller would bring intangibles and at the very least size to put next to Curry. He isn’t a great defender but he can board for his position and facilitate well for Curry, Lee, Wright, and Batum.

All that said, I doubt the Blazers do it but it’s not crazy. Ellis/Roy/Matthews/Aldridge/Biedrins could be pretty good for a couple years.
But so could Miller/Curry/Wright/Lee/Camby for that matter.

by eastbayglory on Feb 16, 2011 2:16 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

on second thought

now that Camby has floated the notion of retirement (though I think he’s leaving while still essentially being at the top of his game), perhaps he’s not worth the potential one-year run.

Biedrins is such an important piece for the Warriors in the second half. It’s all about desire for him on the glass-he was key in the 4th vs Utah, coming up with big defensive rebounds.

by eastbayglory on Feb 21, 2011 2:04 PM PST up reply actions  

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