NBA Draft Lottery 2011: Envisioning a very small piece of pie.

NBA Draft Lottery: Tonight 5:30 PM PST

Pies_2011_medium

Read it and weep, Warriors fans. Needless to say, these probability pies were much more appetizing-looking this time last year, when, thanks to our stirring victory in the Epic Coin Toss v. Washington, we were sitting in the #4 slot — now occupied by Washington — and looking at a 38% shot at a Top 3 pick and realistic worst-case scenario of #6. We all know how well that worked out for us, but man, before the numbers were drawn, it was hella fun to fantasize. Not surprisingly, the lotto thread this time last year was one of the more entertaining in recent memory. (The witty graphic contributions of Lat We N Trash and Bimbo Coles Experience in particular are etched on my brain). Definitely worth a flashback if anyone has 15 minutes to kill. Jump for more.

This year, with the odds of a Top 3 pick a vanishing 2.9%, there's really not much point in fantasizing. On the bright side, there's not much chance of having our hearts crushed, right? Well, actually ... not that it would be particularly crushing, but it should probably be noted that the Warriors have a much better shot at slipping to #12 (6.3%) than they do of hitting lotto. And for the real black-cloud types ... there's even a non-zero shot at plucking lucky #13. Here, to save you trouble of finding a magnifying glass, here's a closer look at all our chances:

Pies_2011_gswdetail_crop_medium

Hmmm, actually, at that size, the chances don't look too bad. 2.9% for the win!!!

Feel free to use this thread to discuss anything related to the lottery, luck, probability, superstition, the graphic display of information, Kyrie Irving, and/or pie.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Golden State Of Mind

You must be a member of Golden State Of Mind to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Golden State Of Mind. You should read them.

Join Golden State Of Mind

You must be a member of Golden State Of Mind to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Golden State Of Mind. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker