This past week has been a rough one for the Warriors. After getting off to a 8-3 start and looking like a legit contender, the team has faltered recently, losing 4 of the last 5 and failing to the 8th seed in the Western Conference. Injuries have played a large role in this slide, as Andre Iguodala went out with a hamstring injury and Stephen Curry missed a couple games with a concussion and has struggled to get his groove back. One area that these injuries have really hurt the Warriors is their three-point shooting. In three of the last 5 games, the Warriors have shot below 40% from behind the arc, and as a team, their three point percentage for the season has dropped every game (through 11 games, the Warriors were shooting 46% from three, that percentage is now 43.7%).
Last week, I brought you The Chase for 272 - Stephen Curry and Klay Thompsons run at the new 3 point record where I started tracking all of Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson's threes and compared them to Curry's record setting pace last year. As mentioned above, this past week has been a rough on for the Warriors, especially from behind the arc. However, these struggles were not necessarily due to the Splash Brothers. While Klay Thompson's 3pt% has declined the last 5 games, this is mainly due to his insane start to the season. He is still shooting close to 47% from deep and has shot 40% or better from deep in three of the past five games. This has left him almost perfectly on track for Curry's record of 272 threes, with just one less three than the needed pace.
Curry on the other hand, has struggled upon his return from injury. His first two games back, he combined to shoot only 4/14 from behind the arc, well below his 43% 3pt% for the year. The combination of these struggles plus missing a couple games has left him 11 three's below the projected pace for the record 272, but he is still above his pace from his record setting season last year. He also bounced back last night against the Mavericks to shoot 6/10 from behind the arc, so I wouldn't expect him to stay behind too long.
The result is that both Klay Thompson and Stephen Curry still have great chances at the record. Klay has hovered around the average the last week, keeping himself in perfect contention. While Curry has fallen behind, this is mainly due to freak injuries and his struggling to find his groove once he came back. We saw signs last night that he was back to the Curry we know, and the fact that his is still above his pace from last year despite missing three games is a good sign.
Thanks to MisterBond's suggestion to add the average pace required to get 272, I decided to took at how Curry's season last year compared to this pace. From this comparison, we find that Curry was actually behind the average pace the entire season and if it wasn't for his insane run at the end of the season, he would've ended up significantly below Ray Allen's record. However, if there is one player in the league who could make that kind of run again, it's Curry. For Klay on the other hand, if he wants to break the record as well, he may need to stay closer to the average pace rather than Curry's pace from last year.
Thanks for reading, and as always, any feedback/tips are appreciated. Happy Thanksgiving!