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OPEN THREAD: NBA Lottery 2007 @ 5:30pm PST on ESPN

nba-lottery.gif  

Ladies and gentlemen it's time for another edition of the NBA Draft Lottery!

Many of the usual losers participants are here (ahem, Boston Celtics, Atlanta Hawks, Minnesota Timberwolves, Portland Trailblazers, and the Charlotte Bobcats) and there's also some new faces (shout out to the Sacramento Kings and Memphis Grizzlies!).

I'd like to take this opportunity to say goodbye to a painfully loyal participant in the yearly lotto festivities, the Golden State Warriors. The Dubs have been a cornerstone of the NBA's late May NIT (Not In Tourney) Classic, but thanks to a little Nellie, a heist of the Indiana Pacers, MIP Monta Ellis, Matt "Mohawk" Barnes, the BoomRich backcourt, the end of the curse, and the best fans in the league the Warriors are sitting this one out. I honestly feel a little sad that the Warriors aren't participating in the annual Spring Suck Classic, but believe me after that crazy playoff run I'll get over it fast.

lott.JPG.jpg
Have fun fellas- ya'll earned it!

NBADraft.net, an excellent draft site all year round, has all the key info on the 2007 NBA Draft. Here's their breakdown:

2007-nba-lottery.jpg

A few things things to keep in mind:

  • The top 3 picks in the draft are determined by the ping pong balls. The remaining teams' selections fall in the order they are listed above.
  • If the Hawks don't move up to a top 3 selection, their pick goes to the Suns.
  • As long as the Dunmurphy Pacers don't miraculously defy the odds and jump up to a top 3 spot, their draft selection heads to the Hawks.


Warriors Nation's wishlist for this afternoon:

  • Please let the top 2 picks go to the Eastern Conference. If Greg Oden and Kevin Durant end up on the Grizzlies, Sonics, Blazers, Timberwolves, Kings, Hornets, or Clippers the Warriors will be in serious trouble for years to come.
  • Please don't let the the tank-job Minnesota Timberwolves move up to the top 3 spots. The worse they are, the more likely Kevin Garnett will hopefully be moved.
  • Please don't let the Pacers retain their draft pick with some super lotto luck. The last thing I feel like hearing about is how great Mike Dunleavy is going to be alongside Oden or Durant. Let's spare Pacer fans from that nonsense too.
  • Please let the Hawks nab a top 3 selection. It would be a nightmare if the Pacific Division-rival Suns got ahold of a top 3 pick to add to their already stacked squad. Plus Harry the Hawk has shown Warriors Nation plenty of luv.
  • Pretty please with a W on top, make these happen Commissioner Stern!

This year's draft should make a big impact impact on the league for years to come with names like Greg Oden, Kevin Durant, Yi Jianlian of The Movement fame, Al Horford, Brandon Wright, Corey Brewer, Jeff Green, Corey Brewer, Julian Wright, Mike Conley, Al Thornton, Joakim Noah, Thaddeus Young, Nick Young, Acie Law, Tiago Splitter, and Daequan Cook to name a few. This afternoon's lottery will be incredibly entertaining- well at least more entertaining than the NBA's final four this year.

Not that this makes much sense given that the odds are already set in place, but any predictions for today's lottery? Who will be the winners and losers?

Make sure to give us your predictions in the comments before 5:30pm PST and post any comments you have during the lottery right here.

Stay tuned for our 3rd annual live blogging on the NBA Draft!


Also see loyal GSoM community member Sleepy Freud's diary "Predict the Lottery" Contest

UPDATE: Check out TZ's NBA Draft Lottery Primer over at Ballhype for more lottery knowledge.

0 recs  |  Comment 62 comments

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If the Clippers
somehow win the lottery, I'm gonna be pissed.  The playoffs were great for the bay area and the team, but Oden/Durant would have been worth more.  Good thing they only have ).5% chance of winning.

It's weird to not be on edge for the lottery.  Its weird, actually, to not be in the situation where you have the best chance of winning, yet know that you have no chance of getting the first pick.  How life used to be as a Warriors fan.

by yehyeh82 on May 22, 2007 9:22 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Lottery Results
  1. Memphis
  2. Milwaukee
  3. Portland
I hope Boston gets screwed. Bill Simmons' next article would be a classic.

by Fantasy Junkie on May 22, 2007 9:51 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Lottery
I wished they'd actually have a big thing of ping pong balls, how do they do it, 14 ball permutations? And then they reveal it by opening these big envelopes... Boring.

by orangino on May 22, 2007 11:44 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Helloooooooooo... ?
20 minutes away, friends...

Come on, I know we're not in this lottery thing, but you guys do realize this might be the most momentous day in NBA history since like the Tim Duncan lottery -- right? And last I checked, the Warriors were in the NBA. Imagine how different this league would be if the Spurs has lucked into Duncan in '07. Entire franchises will made and broken for the next ten years based on today's lottery results.

At the very least, you'd think we'd be interested to see who we're going to be facing in the West Conf. Finals and the NBA Finals over the next ten years. ;-)

The balls apparently have already been drawn, so it's all over now but for the revealing...

by Sleepy Freud on May 22, 2007 5:16 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Lets gooo....
#1. Boston Celtics
#2. Portland Trail Blazers
#3. Atlanta Hawks

REVEAL ALREADY!!!!

With his past behind him, Adonal looks toward the future, wherever it may be....

by Zorgon on May 22, 2007 5:31 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Oh My God
Patrick Ewing wanted to come here? God obviously hates us

by awesomer on May 22, 2007 5:34 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

PATRICK EWING
WANTED TO GO TO GOLDEN STATE!!!! (Due to Sleepy Floyd...not Freud.)

(For anyone who doesn't know, that year was the reason the lottery is how it is now. Back then, everyone else had equal chance, even the best team. They picked every team, not just 3 like they do now. The Warriors (who had the worst record) got the VERY LAST pick. Talk about bad luck. WE COULD'VE HAD EWING!!!!!"

With his past behind him, Adonal looks toward the future, wherever it may be....

by Zorgon on May 22, 2007 5:36 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah I caught that
I was surprised to hear him say that.  It came out of nowhere.  

by maybenextyear on May 22, 2007 5:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Warriors got Mully at No. 8
Yeah, Al Attles had that devastated look on his face but at least we got Chris Mullin, a future Hall of Famer (hopefully).

by kirkkazas on May 23, 2007 10:07 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hm
No Clips, No Hornets, No 76ers, No Pacers, No Kings, No Bulls, No Bobcats, No Wolves, No Bucks, No Celtics, No Grizz!

Blazers, Sonics, Hawks!

Hawks fans are doing Jigs right now!

With his past behind him, Adonal looks toward the future, wherever it may be....

by Zorgon on May 22, 2007 5:51 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

LOL
Boston, Memphis, and Milwaukee all got screwed so bad. Well, tanking karma is a beeotch isn't it. You despicable tankers you.
Marv Albert: "I ain't trippin'!"

by ZombieWarrior on May 22, 2007 5:51 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Not good for the Warriors
Portland and Seattle get 1 2 and we are in trouble

by Zig on May 22, 2007 5:53 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

my goodness
Seattle and Portland in the top 3

Boston and Memphis outside

by Zig on May 22, 2007 5:52 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

HAHAHA
Take that Boston! And Bill Simmons!

by Caught Backcourt on May 22, 2007 5:52 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Ha
Grizz and Celtics tanked for a whole bunch of nothing.

by maybenextyear on May 22, 2007 5:52 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Great...
does this mean that Atlantas pick will go to Phoenix since its in the top 3? That would suck.

by duggie25 on May 22, 2007 5:53 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Um, no.
Just the opposite. Try to keep up ;-P

by Sleepy Freud on May 22, 2007 6:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

mmm
Man, now either Durant or Oden (or both!) are gonna be in the Western COnference.

by Caught Backcourt on May 22, 2007 5:53 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

i remember
those days... that dudes faces was so familiar
gdubb

by gogomaplata on May 22, 2007 5:54 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Top 3!
  1. Atlanta Hawks MWAHAHAHAHAH!!!!
  2. Seattle SuperSonics
1. PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS!!!!
With his past behind him, Adonal looks toward the future, wherever it may be....

by Zorgon on May 22, 2007 5:54 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Holy.
Portland is movin' on up.

by orangino on May 22, 2007 5:55 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Portland and Seattle
just got a lot better

I guess we will get to see a lot of Durant and Oden after all

by Zig on May 22, 2007 5:55 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I picked 2 out of 3 right
Stupid Celtics!
With his past behind him, Adonal looks toward the future, wherever it may be....

by Zorgon on May 22, 2007 5:55 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

wow!!!!
western conference is gonna be rough
gdubb

by gogomaplata on May 22, 2007 5:55 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

NO!
Portland got the top Pick??!!??!?!?! We are in for some competition next year.

by duggie25 on May 22, 2007 5:55 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

the west
is gonna tough
gdubb

by gogomaplata on May 22, 2007 5:56 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

atleast
we get a chance to see the top 2 picks twice a year
gdubb

by gogomaplata on May 22, 2007 5:57 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Western Conference
Next season's playoff push just got bumpier.

by Caught Backcourt on May 22, 2007 5:57 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

where does
that put rashard lewis?
gdubb

by gogomaplata on May 22, 2007 5:57 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

the West just got crazier
damn, we definitely need to get KG now...

by OaktownWarrior on May 22, 2007 5:57 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Oden
LaMarcus Aldridge
Roy
Z Randolph

That's a stacked team

by Zig on May 22, 2007 5:57 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

if not soon
Portland will become a Western Power. The West just got a whole lot stronger.
Marv Albert: "I ain't trippin'!"

by ZombieWarrior on May 22, 2007 6:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Worst case scenario
For the Warriors. Sucks donkey balls. Now we may go another 13 years...

by Sleepy Freud on May 22, 2007 5:59 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I am pretty worried about a
backslide for the Warriors

by Zig on May 22, 2007 6:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

atlanta will get a lot better as well
they have two holes on their team, down low and at the point.

They could take say, Brandon Wright at 3 and maybe Mike Conley Jr, at 11 if he falls.

But still, Portland's gonna be a beast!! I think that pretty much assures Randolph will be moved within the next two years to open room for the two young studs they have or will have. I can see them moving randolph for a decent veteran SF. But don't forget they still have Martell Webster who was hurt all of last year.

Warriors, Stupidest franchise in the league. Purgatory is thy home.

by kenntoe on May 22, 2007 6:06 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

all i can say is
WOWWWWWWWWWWW!!!!!!!
The J-RICH show is back!

by dajrichshow on May 22, 2007 6:26 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

All is not necessarily lost for the Dubs...
But first off...WOW!...what draft and steal for the Western Conference (speaking from a general basketball fan point of view).  And we all thought the West was already stacked with the power teams for the past several years.  The Eastern teams got sucker punched there with the top 3 picks.

Onto the Dubs.  Like I said, here now begins the more interesting shakedown and talks about trades, positioning, and drafts.  Assuming Portland and Seattle keep their heads and get Oden/Durant (vice versa), might they, the Hawks, or any of the other teams listed earlier tonight be open to any trades or moves?  I bet Mully is already making inquiring phone calls just to get some feelers out there as things shake down....Looking forward to hearing what the other teams buzz about....

by warriorsfan4life on May 22, 2007 8:03 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Warriors need to make a play for KG now...
The bottom of the West just got significantly stronger.  If we want to stay at the top, we're going to have to make a play on KG.  Otherwise it's off to rebuilding mode again.

by ThermoElectro on May 22, 2007 8:07 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree
Richardson, Harrington, POB, #18, and next year's #1 for Garnett?

Still hard to imagine they'd do it unless we switch out JR or AH for Biedrins; and I'm 100% against that. Garnett will need at least one other talented big man to help him defend the post and keep him fresh.

Really, the only way I could see a Garnett deal happening is if KG demands a trade and puts the Ws on a very, very short list of desired destinations. One can hope.

by Sleepy Freud on May 22, 2007 8:29 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Boom needs to party with KG
  Yeah, and maybe hook him up with jessica? That would be incentive to join our crew!

by Skeptic con Urquell on May 23, 2007 7:50 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Um...
Why are we scared of Seattle?

Durant plays the same position as Lewis with a very, very similar skillset. Lewis hasn't shown any inclination of playing PF and they already gave a 3 year contract to Chris Wilcox.

Durant REPLACES Lewis, Lewis goes to Orlando or Charlotte.

Seattle still sucks. How much more production is he gonna give them above what Lewis did? It's not like Durant solves their defensive woes.

Portland is a far bigger concern since they can send Randolph to the Bulls for #9 and Nocioni, then draft Brewer. That would be lethal.

by OptionZero on May 22, 2007 9:13 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Seattle is a concern
'Cos they're an on-the-cusp team like us.

Ridnour
Watson
Allen
Lewis (if they retain him)
Durant
Collison
Wilcox

That's a lot of talent, at least as much we have. If they jell right, or if Baron has another one of his 20-30-game knee flare-ups, they could easily pass us.

As for Portland: they look like a sure playoff team right now, even if they stand pat. As has been pointed out, Oden will take a couple of years to develop offensively, but he's ready right now to be one of the most dominant interior defenders in the league.

by Sleepy Freud on May 22, 2007 9:32 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

um...
Outside of Watson, none of those guys play a lick of defense.

Collison and Wilcox rebound but don't block any shots. Neither has any offense to speak of, none of them command a double team.

Their three-headed project center spot is a joke.

Ray Allen is 32.

Rashard Lewis, as mentioned before, plays the same position as Durant. Why would they bother paying for a guy that plays the same position as their franchise savior?

They should eat the Lewis savings and trade Allen to get even farther under the cap, maybe even pick up another pick.

They need to figure out whether Ridnour is in the plans or not, benching him is stupid, especially since they just re-signed the guy.

I don't have much respect for Seattle.

They should deal Ray Allen and Earl Watson to Houston for Bob Sura's expiring contract; Juwan Howard and Vassilis Spounolis' (2 years remaining each) and Rafer Alston (3 years remaining) as well as additional first rounders. Gain additional salary relief and stock up more draft choices. Give my brother Yao some help. Everyone wins.

by OptionZero on May 22, 2007 11:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

oops
Forgot:
Houston ought to be sending Luther Head and Kirk Snyder Seattle's way.

by OptionZero on May 22, 2007 11:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

their big guys do suck
but we definitely need to worry about them next year. Ray Allen is 32. And... he is also very good. You're right they probably wouldn't want to keep Rashard now, but they can conduct a sign-and-trade and get a talented big guy. Ray Allen + whatever they get for Rashard + Durant can easily make some noise next year, depending on how well Durant does in his rookie year.

Remember that NBA experts say that if Lebron had been in the draft this year (pre-NBA Lebron), that they'd pick Durant over Lebron.

More Hardware Coming!

by gsw4life on May 23, 2007 1:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Reality of Sign and Trades
The team doing the signing (former team, in this case the Sonics) doesn't usually get elite talent back. Best case, they get "useful" talent or expiring contract; worst case they get a crummy player with multiple years left and no cap savings. You just don't have that much leverage to work with in those situations. If you can find me some past sign-and-trades where the team losing the free-agent-to-be scored some big league talent in return, be my guest. What did Atlanta get for Harrington? A conditional pick, that's all.

If Seattle is intent on rebuilding around Durant, letting Lewis walk scott free is hardly a big loss, since they will pocket a ton of cap savings.

Sure, maybe Robert Swift capitalizes on his potential and becomes a paint scorer; maybe Chris Wilcox combines some actual defense to go with his rebounding; maybe Ray Allen squeezes another productive year out; maybe Durant proves he can out-produce Rashard Lewis (a pretty effective player in his own right); maybe they figure out their point guard situation; maybe one of their young player gives them useful rotation minutes; maybe they can win despite inviting disaster with TWO french players on their roster.

But I don't think so.

Portland: Trade Zach Randolph and a second rounder for Richard Jefferson. Smile at the best young core in the NBA (move over, Bulls)

Roy, Jack, Oden, Jefferson, and Aldridge. Crap.

by OptionZero on May 23, 2007 2:31 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Blazers, Sonics, Hawks !!
 Un-f'n-believable!  The first year we miss the lottery and two western teams score big in our spot!
 I'm not gonna over estimate the difficulty of the Warriors making the playoffs again next year though. It's gonna take more than the first year for the Portland and seattle new draft picks to get up to NBA speed. If we worry about our own business and tweak the flaws out of our game we should be fine.
 Their big name picks might be a blessing in disguise for us if it requires the other teams to spend more on one player in future years, as KG has shown you can't win championships alone and the more money spent on one guy the less left to build a team.

by Skeptic con Urquell on May 22, 2007 9:17 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

blessing in disguise?
it totally sucks for us. The West is even more stacked than it was last year. Both teams will be playoff contenders at the very least next year.
More Hardware Coming!

by gsw4life on May 23, 2007 12:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gotta believe
the t'wolves are going to want either biedrins or ellis but trading biedrins would kinda defeat the purpose of getting kg. We want to have 2 capable rebounders not just one. I really dont want to give up monta either because of baron's injury concerns I guess thats the dilemma dubz face.

by houseofprime2 on May 22, 2007 10:48 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I dont get why everyone thinks
the Twolves want Monta. They already have two undersized 2 guards with Randy Foye and Rashad McCants. Randy Foye is the Twolves version of Monta, Randy can definately ball.
Marv Albert: "I ain't trippin'!"

by ZombieWarrior on May 22, 2007 11:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Unbelievable...
Wow, the (L)East is completely cursed. Would it totally throw the NBA out of whack if they realigned the conferences?

Yeah, I realize that doesn't even make sense. How about just making a rare exception and allowing the Warriors to switch? We'd be a shoo-in for the playoffs, and the air miles would be incredible...

by Epicurious Cowboy on May 23, 2007 1:28 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

You gotta respect geography a bit
Whatever we'd gain with the feeble competition in the East we'd probably give back by having to endure those constant 3,000-mile trips. Our guys are human beings, after all.

That said, I think the league should seriously consider messing around with some of the Central-and-Mountain-zone teams. Here's my modest proposal:

  • Milwaukee used to be in the Western Conference; they could be easily sent back, along with Charlotte and Indiana. They'd all probably grumble, but they might console themselves with the knowledge that they'd instantly become 55-loss teams and thus well-positioned to rebuild themselves through the draft.
  • In exchange, Dallas, Houston and New Orleans could all be sent to the Eastern Conference, where they'd immediately become the Top 3 contenders for the NBA Finals. None of them would complain, least of all Dallas, who would never have to face their Bay Area nemesis in the playoffs again.
  • New Orleans' Oklahoma City alter-ego could be taken over by Charlotte, to ease the teams' travel burdens. Everyone confuses Charlotte and New Orleans anyway; other than Zorgon, few people would even notice.
  • A few other teams switch divisions to ease their travel burdens and/or to make it all even out.
Here's how it would all look when said and done:

Atlantic
Washington
New Jersey
Philadelphia
Boston
New York

Central
Detroit
Houston
Toronto
Cleveland
Chicago

South
Dallas
New Orleans
Miami
Orlando
Atlanta

North-Midwest
Utah
Seattle
Minnesota
Indiana
Milwaukee

Pacific
Golden State
Portland
LA Clippers
LA Lakers
Sacramento

Southwest
San Antonio
Phoenix
Denver
Charlotte-Oklahoma City
Memphis

OK, yes, a couple of those divisions are ridiculous strong (Central and Southwest), and a couple just a bit too easy (Atlantic and Pacific, fancy that). But the main problem -- the overall talent-gap between the Conference -- would be significantly alleviated.

Anyway, it's a thought. ;-)

by Sleepy Freud on May 23, 2007 3:06 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

hmmm
instead of a complete rehaul of conference/division alignments to solve the disparity...why not just let the top 16 teams regardless of conference into the playoffs, split into two brackets and seed them based on record.
Obviously division winners get an automatic berth. March madness NBA style!

Let's Go Oakland! Gas, Brake, Dip.

by OaktownFunk on May 23, 2007 9:47 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

the Texas teams
they really ought to be in the same division, not 3 different divisions and 2 conferences.
Left hand, right hand, it doesn't matter. I'm amphibious.

by Kobe on May 23, 2007 11:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How about what baseball and football do?
Create two conferences with disregard to geography. Like the AL/NL or AFC/NFC.

by racsan on May 23, 2007 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dear Basketball Gods,
Three things made me happy today....
  1. The Suns didn't get the Hawks first pick. That was a close one....
  2. Obvious tankers didn't get rewarded.  I also hate Celtics fans, Danny Ainge, Doc Rivers, Boston sports fans, and their media (I tolerate Bill Simmons, who fits into most categories).  Thank you for this.
FREE PAUL PIERCE!

3) The Timberwolves didn't get the first or second pick.  Which means that KG won't be giving the T-Wolves the "ol' college try" anymore...

FREE KG! (preferably to the Warriors)

anyways thanks,

sadleavy

by sadleavy on May 23, 2007 5:05 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

FREE KG ?
  Sure I'll take him for free but 21 mil might be too much to handle?
  If we want to play smallball we need talent all through the roster so the money has to be spread. If we want to sign a shack-kobe type of team then we could pay big money to a couple of guys and little money to the rest and be successfull but we need 8 or even more very good players to run at nellies pace for 48 minutes.
   

by Skeptic con Urquell on May 23, 2007 8:05 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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