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Q&A: Tim Kawakmi from the San Jose Mercury 1/13/08 (Part 2 of 5)

In the first part of our ongoing Q&A with Tim we covered whether the Warriors would be active at this year's trading deadline. Tim did a follow up on his blog that's more than worth the cost of a click: Villanueva, Randolph (no way), Noah (hmm): My list of Warriors' potential next moves

In our second part we have Tim's thoughts on whether Baron Davis can hold up playing such heavy minutes and Stephen Jackson's specialness and erraticness.

Star-divide

**********

Golden State of Mind: Can Baron hold up an entire season playing 40+ minutes a night? Is Don Nelson running full speed into disaster by not playing deeper into his bench or does he simply have no choice given injuries and raw rookies?

Tim Kawakami: You know how coaches--and Nelson more than most--"coach the score" during games? They keep their main starters out for as long as the other guys keep the lead relatively safe, then immediately jam them back out there if the game is back in jeopardy? I think that's inevitably what Nelson's going to do with Baron--but he'll "coach the playoff race," instead.

He may say he has to get Baron down to 34-36 minutes. Heck, he said 28-30 before the season, if I remember correctly--and it was me he said it to, so I hope I remember correctly. But Don says a lot of things, means them when he says them, but the pressure to get that 6th, 7th or 8th spot is always on his mind. He brings it up constantly--how many wins will it take? Can he get there going young? Do they have to make a move to get in there?

I think Nelson has to get his younger players in there, to save Baron's legs for sure, but also because this team won't get any better than it is now without adding an inside presence, and the best option is Brandan Wright. But, of course, the Warriors might lose a game or three if Nellie forces Wright in there--which is why he started playing him a little while ago and then stopped.

Nellie knows he's running the high-wire with Baron's legs by going 39-44 minutes a night with him. He knows he should be playing Wright more--just to see what he has and if Wright can turn into something by April--and maybe even Belinelli at some point.

But he's coaching the race. Maybe in this next semi-soft eight- or nine-game run, if the Warriors go 7-2 or 8-1, that'll get Nellie the space he needs to think about letting Baron take it easy or getting Wright into the rotation. Not until then, no matter what Nellie says, however. That's my guess.


Golden State of Mind: What's going on with Stephen Jackson? He seems to be pressing more than usual with even worse shot selection and poor passing. He's not the leader we saw earlier in the season. In fact, he sure is complaining to the refs more frequently than before. Are all the minutes getting to him and he's just tiring out? Is he reverting back to the Stephen Jackson that Indiana wanted so desperately to get rid of? Or is this just a slump that he or Nellie will shake him out of? What's going on with one of our tri-captains?

Tim Kawakami: It'd be nice for Warriors fans and for Nellie and Chris Mullin, and probably nice for Jackson himself if we could all just write it down in ink: Good steady game, every night, no blow-ups, sustained focus, night after night after night.

Not gonna happen. You just have to realize that with Jackson. Part of his fire and his specialness, I believe, comes from his erraticness--opponents don't know what the hell to expect from him, either, and I believe many of them are sort of intimidated by him. Because he can be nutty. Nutty in a good way, I firmly believe, but always nutty and nutty sometimes means he's loco for an entire game or two.

That's how the Warriors got him--Indiana thought he was too crazy to keep. Liked him as a player, couldn't tolerate the extras. The Warriors have decided to accept the extras, as long as SJax doesn't get into any more trouble with the law or get suspended any further.

But remember when the Warriors were the ones who got intimidated by other team's crazies? SJax is an intimidator, and he's crazy, and he has been a little bonus crazy of late--he says it's tired legs. He might be right. He's never been counted on like this in his whole NBA career... never had a college career... so maybe he has to make an adjustment physically and emotionally to his new role.

I think he can do it. Jackson is never going to be a 48% shooter or low-risk passer. But he knows that, too, and still has the gumption to keep running out there, keep shooting, keep running... That's a winning player, in my book. Even if he goes off the deep end a few times in January, I'll bet he's there for the Warriors every step of the way in March and April.

**********

Here's a look back at some of the other Q&A's we've done with Tim:

Three more parts to go!

Can BD hold up playing so many minutes? What explains Jack's recent mini-struggles?

0 recs  |  Comment 6 comments

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Sjax
I think the question submitters here are a little hard on Jax.  Caes in point:
He's not the leader we saw earlier in the season.

Huh?  What is this, some lame espn time-filling segment?  He's managed to hit his averages despite battling the flu for the past week.  The times he didn't:

1)Against Indiana, where he was using heat packs on his hands because they were cold.
2)Against Portland, when noone showed up to play (except for the Quiet Storm).

Talks of "slump" and "reverting back" are totally unwarranted and unfounded, imho

by GameSix on Jan 16, 2008 6:39 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

slightly amused
that TK didn't comment on Wright's "showcase" start a while back: looking back the only plausible explanation is that some team needed a look at him and that's why he was in at the tip-off and hasn't sniffed the hardwood since

by hardcore on Jan 16, 2008 7:59 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Right On SJax
He's strong enough to overcome his bad starts and will bury the big shot at the end or make the huge play.  Not scared.  That's huge.
Nothing better than "The City".

by philsmith75 on Jan 16, 2008 10:09 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Good thots. . .
Nice work, Atma: TK's got some interesting thots here.  As for the W's player moves, I suspect TK's right in predicting the likelihood of no real action.  I also like his Vilanueva thoughts -- and his Noah observations -- but wonder why no discussion of who might be the best fit here: David Lee.

Granted, Lee would be difficult to pry from the Knicks (and I wouldn't ever consider BW in the trade equation -- tho I would any other W non-starters), but (1) Isiah is close to the edge of insanity right now and (2) the W's have a lot of potential pieces, including trade exceptions.

As for last night, it was good to see Nellie keep BD under 40 (and Jack at 33), but it'd be nicer to see if Nellie can keep him under 40 -- and, ideally, at 36 -- for the remaining three games on this trip, anyway.  Should be an interesting night tonight, with the W's now on the back end of a B2B and playing away.  We'll need more from Al and AB (and the same from the bench) tonight, but it'll be big if we can pull it off.

by johnl on Jan 16, 2008 11:43 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Actually I can't take any credit for these two
The two questions in this set weren't mine. Adam, DJ Fuzzylogic, and Fantasy Junkie all pitched in.

I'm all for making a big trade for a big name- Ron Artest or even Pau Gasol. I think it's time to roll the dice with BD and Jack in their primes and Nellie in the twighlight of his career. I know that's probably the unpopular stance, but I want to win now. The Warriors youth and a future without Nellie and BD without a big name coach don't excite me one bit.

by Atma Brother ONE on Jan 16, 2008 12:09 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Gumption...
I like the mix of zen into the analysis.

Through thinNthinN?

by k759 on Jan 16, 2008 12:58 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

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