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Simulation Analysis of the Warriors-Pacers Blockbuster Trade

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It's been nearly two months since the Warriors pulled off their heist of the Indiana Pacers. Currently the Warriors are making a thrilling playoff push, while the Indiana Posers have dropped an embarrassing 10 straight games and are slipping out of the Leastern Conference Playoff picture.

You saw the crazy GSoM coverage of the trade:

(Yeah, I'm really not kidding about how nuts the GSoM community went over the trade!)

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TMurph, Excuse-leavy, and We Like Ike riding the pine.
(Photo by Ron Hoskins/NBAE via Getty Images)

Now, take a look at a little simulation analysis of the Warriors and Pacers' blockbuster trade as well as the Allen Iverson deal from Paul Bessire and Scott Eble of WhatIfSports.com on 82games. I'm a firm believer that stats should only be used to augment what you see on the court, not replace it or act as a stand-alone analytical tool, but Bessire and Eble's piece is definitely interesting.

In their analysis the Warriors come out as winners of this "lopsided deal", but aren't that much better of a team post-trade. Check out their numbers for all the details.

I have to say that one area Bessire and Eble's analysis is seriously lacking is taking into consideration the Funleavy Foto Fun that Warriors Nation has lost night in and night out with this trade. There were two things you could count on Mike Dunelavy for in a Warrior uniform every night out: 1) a triple single and 2) some great photos (see 44 Reasons Why Giving Mike Dunleavy 44 Million Wasn't the Brightest Idea: Part I | Part II | Part III | Part IV).

Things really seem to have changed for Dunleavy in Indiana...

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Since leaving the Bay Dunleavy has become the box out king!
(Photo by Melissa Majchrzak/NBAE via Getty Images)

 

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Just call him Defense-leavy!
(Photo by Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images)

 

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Whoa Mike! This is a FAMILY show!
(Photo by Noah Graham/NBAE via Getty Images)

or maybe they're just the same.


If the Warriors didn't make that deal with the Pacers, what do you think their record would be right now?