The Denver Nuggets are the first non-playoff team from a year ago that the Golden State Warriors will play in 2015-2016. It is also the first game of the season for the Warriors that is going to be nationally televised. Bob Fitzgerald and Jim Barnett are on the call for the scheduled 7:30 p.m. PST tip-off on CSN Bay Area. Oracle Arena continues to be one of the toughest venues for opposing teams to play in as the Dubs have not lost a regular season game at home since January 27th.
Last Time Out
Denver lost to Utah last night on their home floor by a score of 96-84. Danilo Gallinari led the Nuggets with 18 points and Kenneth Faried chipped in with 10 rebounds. Golden State evaporated a late double digit fourth quarter deficit against Los Angeles (Clippers) on Wednesday en route to a 112-108 victory. Steph Curry ignited the comback by scoring 13 of his 31 points in a row in the final period including one of the most bad ass dagger three's you can find.
The Warriors are huge 17.5 point home favorites over the Nuggets according to BetOnline who also lists the over/under game line at 214.5 total points. Lets take a look at some betting trends for both teams compiled by OddShark.com:
Lets take a look at my picks from Wednesday's game against the Clippers:
I was a solid Golden State fourth quarter away from staying undefeated against the spread this season. Also shout out to Vegas for being dead on the over/under game total. Remember free throws don't decide games, they decide whether you win or lose your over/under bet.
Vegas is not making anything easier for gamblers as with the Nuggets in town. Conventional (and biased) wisdom tells me that the Warriors will run Denver back to the mile high city as the Nugs are playing their second game in as many nights. But it does have the feel of a trap game in the sense that this is the first non-playoff team that the Dubs are facing this season. The biggest question I have about this game is if the Nuggets can run with the Warriors offensively. I say no. The Warriors still have a point differential of +21 so I'm going to stick by the numbers and give the Nuggets a 17 point head start.
Here are my picks for tonight's game: