Riding the vapor trail of Stephen Curry’s incendiary start to the season, the Golden State Warriors have now won and covered two straight games in convincing fashion and head east to take on the New York Knicks in Madison Square Garden.
Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.
When: Friday October 26, 2018 at 4:30 pm PST
Where: Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York
Line: Warriors -12, total at 229.5
Injuries: Emmanuel Mudiay (ankle) is probable, Courtney Lee (neck) is out, Isaiah Hicks (ankle) is questionable, Kevin Knox (ankle) is out and Kristaps Porzingis (knee) is out for the Knicks.
DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) is out for the Warriors.
New York Knicks
The Knicks are coming off of a 23 point loss at Miami and have now lost four in a row.
New York has been led by Tim Hardaway in scoring 24.4 points per game, Enes Kanter in grabbing 10.8 rebounds per game and Trey Burke with 5.0 assists per contest.
Enes Kanter has not been shy about his trolling of Kevin Durant and the Warriors, so one can expect that he will be up for this game.
The Knicks are scoring 106.4 points per game (24th of 30) and giving up 110.2 points per game (13th of 30), earning a simple rating system (SRS) score of -5.29 (20th of 30), pace factor of 101.3 (13th of 30), offensive rating of 105.0 (25th of 30) and defensive rating of 108.7 (13th of 30).
New York is 3-1-1 against the spread (ATS), including 2-0 ATS at home, and are 2-3 to the over/under.
Golden State Warriors
At this point it might be unwise to bet against the Warriors while Stephen Curry is playing at this unprecedented level, and the best value wagers might be taking the over in Steph Curry’s points and three-pointers made, though a market correction is likely coming.
Golden State is led by Steph Curry scoring 34.6 points per game, Durant with 8.0 rebounds per game and Draymond Green dishing 7.0 assists per game.
The Warriors are scoring 119.4 points per game (5th of 30) and allowing 109.6 points per game (12th of 30). The Dubs have a SRS score of 13.13 (3rd of 30), pace factor of 102.5 (10th of 30), offensive rating of 116.5 (3rd of 30) and defensive rating of 107.0 (10th of 30).
Since going 0-3 ATS in their first three games, the Dubs have now covered two straight and are 2-3 to the over/under.
Golden State is starting to get in an offensive groove while the Knicks are working through some injuries and a slow start to the season.
The Dubs have won eight straight against the Knicks, including the last four at Madison Square Garden.
The last two meetings of these teams have gone over the posted total but four of their last six meetings have gone under the number.
New York has covered the spread in three of their last four games against the Warriors with the Dubs covering their last game in New York.
While there may be no truth to the Kevin Durant to New York rumors, Knicks fans seem motivated to try and lure Durant away, and it would not be surprising if he went off in the Garden tonight.
After their offensive explosion against the Wizards, Steve Kerr said he thought the flow was too much like a pick up game, and he emphasized the need for improved defense.
If the Dubs play better defense and their shooting comes back down to earth a bit, taken together with the Knicks’ offensive struggles so far, bettors might consider taking a look at the under in this match-up.
If Durant has a big game and Steph keeps Stephing, we can’t see how anyone could feel confident betting against the Dubs in this spot and lean toward Warriors -12.
What is your best bet for Warriors at Knicks on 10/26/18?
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