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Will Warriors win and cover 4 straight as 10 point favorites at the Nets?

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The Warriors will try to keep the momentum going as 10 point favorites against the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday.

NBA: Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks
Steph Curry and Kevin Durant have been torching teams and covering the spread their last three games.
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors kicked off their trip through the Empire State with a 28 point win and will look to stay in the groove against the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday.

Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.

When: Sunday October 28, 2018 at 2:00pm PST

Where: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Line: Warriors -10, total at 226

Injuries: Rodions Kurucs (ankle) is out, Alan Williams (ankle) is out, Treveon Graham (hamstring) is out and DeMarre Carroll (ankle) is out for Brooklyn.

Shaun Livingston (foot) is questionable, Andre Iguodala (calf) is out and DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) is out for Golden State.

Brooklyn Nets

The Nets are coming off of a close loss at New Orleans on Friday, losing by 2 points as 8.5 point underdogs.

Brooklyn is led by Caris LeVert scoring 21 points per game, Ed Davis with 9.2 rebounds per game and DeAngelo Russell with 6.0 assists per game.

NBA: Brooklyn Nets at New Orleans Pelicans
DeAngelo Russell is leading the Nets in assists per game.
Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

The Nets are scoring 107.2 points per game (23rd of 30) and allowing 108.6 points per game (11th of 30), earning a simple rating system score of -2.63 (18th of 30), pace factor of 98.6 (26th of 30), offensive rating of 108.7 (17th of 30) and defensive rating of 110.1 (13th of 30).

The Nets have covered against the spread (ATS) in their last two games and are 3-2 ATS for the season, 2-3 to the over/under.

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors are rolling on the backs of Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant, winning and covering the last three by 7.5, 12 and 16.5 points, respectively.

NBA: Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks
Steph Curry and the Warriors are in a groove.
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Golden State is led by Steph Curry scoring 33.7 points per game, Kevin Durant with 8.2 rebounds per game and Draymond Green with 6.8 assists per game.

The Warriors are scoring 120.8 points per game (3rd of 30) and conceding 108.0 points per game (9th of 30), good for a SRS score of 12.81 (3rd of 30), offensive rating of 118.4 (3rd of 30) and defensive rating of 105.9 (8th of 30).

Golden State is 3-3 ATS and 3-3 to the over/under.

Analysis

The Warriors, Steph Curry and KD are hot and we would advise to not bet against them at this juncture.

Steph over his posted point total or three pointers made or KD over his posted point total are propositions with decent value given their recent shooting.

The Dubs have won six straight against Brooklyn but the Nets have covered their last three contests and six of their last eight against the Dubs. Seven of the last nine games between these teams have gone under the posted total.

As exemplified by their locker room remix of Fergie’s rendition of the national anthem following their 28 point win over the Knicks, the Warriors look loose and ready to assassinate your squad at the drop of a dime.

Based on the Nets offensive challenges, slow pace, decent defense and over/under trend versus the Dubs in their last nine games, we see value on the under 226 points in this contest.

With the Warriors as loose as ever and settled into New York City, and Steph and KD scoring like they’re possessed, we see no other option beside laying the 10 points with the Dubs if forced to choose a side.

Poll

What is your best bet for Warriors at Nets on 10/28/18?

This poll is closed

  • 60%
    Warriors -10
    (237 votes)
  • 10%
    Nets +10
    (40 votes)
  • 22%
    Over 226
    (88 votes)
  • 7%
    Under 226
    (30 votes)
395 votes total Vote Now