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Can the Warriors cover 11 points in a back-to-back game at the Bulls?

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Even when playing the second night in a row, the Warriors are double-digit favorites against the Bulls in Chicago.

NBA: Golden State Warriors at Brooklyn Nets
Kevin Durant and the Warriors continue to overpower opponents with dominant scoring.
Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors appeared to be cruising to an easy win and cover against the Nets but let Brooklyn back into the game in the 4th quarter, winning 120-114 but failing to cover for the first time in four games.

The Warriors will now face the Chicago Bulls on the second night of a back-to-back as 11 point favorites.

Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.

When: Monday October 29th, 2018 at 5:00pm PST

Where: United Center, Chicago, Illinois

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Line: Warriors -11, total at 231

Injuries: Bobby Portis (knee) is out, Kris Dunn (knee) is out, Lauri Markkanen (elbow) is out and Denzel Valentine (ankle) is out for the Bulls.

Shaun Livingston (foot) is questionable and DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) is out for the Warriors.

Chicago Bulls

The Bulls beat the Hawks by 12 points in Atlanta on Saturday and are 2-4 on the season.

Chicago is led by Zach LaVine scoring 29.3 points per game, Wendell Carter Jr. with 5.8 rebounds per game and Ryan Arcidiacano with 5.6 assists per game.

NBA: Chicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks
Zach LaVine is leading the Bulls in scoring.
Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

The Bulls are scoring 108.0 points per game (22nd of 30), conceding 115.0 points per game (19th of 30), earning a simple rating system score of -10.69 (27th of 30), offensive rating of 108.0 (21st of 30) and defensive rating of 115.0 (24th of 30).

The Bulls are 3-3 against the spread (ATS) and 3-3 to the over/under, covering both of their games at home so far this season.

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors’ current winning streak and offensive potency is being driven by dominant scoring from Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant, with Steph breaking a record for most consecutive games games with at least five three pointers made.

Side and totals aside, the best bets on the Warriors all season have been taking the over on Steph Curry’s total points and total three-pointers made, but these bets are likely to cost a lot more moving forward.

Golden State is led by Steph Curry scoring 33.7 points per game, KD with 8.2 rebounds per game and Draymond Green with 6.8 assists per game.

The Dubs are scoring 120.8 points per game (4th of 30), giving up 108.0 points per game (9th of 30), earning a SRS score of 13.00 (2nd of 30), offensive rating of 118.4 (1st of 30) and defensive rating of 105.9 (8th of 30).

The Dubs are now 3-4 ATS for the season and 4-3 to the over/under with their last three going over the posted total.

Analysis

The Warriors have beaten the Bulls in five of their last six, covered the spread against the Bulls in four of their last six with the total going under the number in four of the last six match-ups between these teams.

The Bulls have covered the spread in their last two games at the United Center against the Dubs and both of those games went under the total.

With the Dubs playing a second consecutive night and the Bulls covering at home this season and in their last two against the Dubs, we might caution against taking the Warriors giving up 11 points in this match-up and might even lean toward Chicago.

Again, the best bet might be looking at Steph going over the point total or three pointers made, depending on the number and juice.

Given the Bulls’ poor defense and the Warriors having the highest offensive rating in the league, we might consider taking the Warriors going over their team total or over 231 points total for the game.

Poll

What is your best bet for Warriors at Bulls on 10/29/18?

This poll is closed

  • 42%
    Warriors -11
    (104 votes)
  • 16%
    Bulls +11
    (41 votes)
  • 26%
    Over 231
    (64 votes)
  • 15%
    Under 231
    (37 votes)
246 votes total Vote Now