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Will the Warriors poach the Bucks to make it 5 straight covers ATS?

Golden State will be without Draymond Green as they try to make it 9 straight wins and 5 straight covers, hosting Giannis Antetokounmpo’s Bucks as 7 point favorites.

NBA: Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors
Alfonzo McKinnie and the Warriors bench will need to continue their consistent scoring and enthusiasm to keep the winning streak going against the Bucks.
Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors are winning and covering regular season games with a consistency and dominance we have not seen since their 2015-16 season when they led the NBA in wins (73) and covers against the spread (56.7 percent).

The Warriors face the tall task of being without Draymond Green as they take on Giannis Antetokounmpo’s division leading Milwaukee Bucks at Oracle in a nationally televised game on Thursday night.

Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.

When: Thursday November 8th, 2018 at 7:30pm PST

Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California

TV: TNT, NBC Sports Bay Area

Line: Warriors -7, total at 234.5

Injuries: Christian Wood (finger) is questionable, D.J. Wilson (hamstring) is out, Trevon Duval (eye) is out and Jodie Meeks (suspension) is out for the Bucks.

Shaun Livingston (foot) is out, Draymond Green (foot) is out, Jordan Bell (calf) is questionable and DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) is out for the Warriors.

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee is coming off of a 103-118 loss to the Portland Trailblazers and have now dropped two of their last three after starting the season winning seven straight.

The Bucks are led by Giannis Antetokounmpo scoring 25.8 points and grabbing 13.3 rebounds per game and Eric Bledsoe with 6.3 assists per game.

NBA: Sacramento Kings at Milwaukee Bucks
Giannis “The Greek Freak” Antetokounpo is one of the most dominant players in the game.
Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

Milwaukee is scoring 120.0 points per game (2nd of 30), allowing 107.3 points per game (5th of 30), earning a simple rating system score of 14.48 (1st of 30), pace factor of 104.3 (5th of 30), offensive rating of 115.1 (5th of 30) and defensive rating of 102.9 (2nd of 30).

The Bucks are in first place of the Central Division of the Eastern Conference with a record of 8-2, going 6-4 ATS and 7-3 to the over/under.

Since 2017, Milwaukee has covered 37.5 percent of the time as an away underdog, 40 percent of the time on one day of rest and 48.7 percent of the time after a loss.

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors’ scoring, pace and bench consistency continue to overwhelm teams during this eight game winning streak, making it hard to feel confident stepping in front of this golden juggernaut, even if one of their stars has an off-night.

Golden State is led by Stephen Curry scoring 31.3 points per game, Kevin Durant with 7.5 rebounds per game and Draymond Green with 7.9 assists per game.

NBA: Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors
KlayThompson’s 27 points against the Grizzlies helped them win and cover the 14 point spread on Monday.
Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The Warriors are scoring 123.5 points per game (1st of 30), conceding 109.7 points per game (10th of 30), earning a SRS score of 11.90 (2nd of 30), pace factor of 101.5 (11th of 30), offensive rating of 121.6 (1st of 30) and defensive rating of 108.1 (12th of 30).

Golden State is 7-4 ATS and 6-5 to the over/under with their last two going under the total.

The Dubs are 5-1 ATS as home favorites this season and have covered 7 of their last 8 games ATS during this 8 game winning streak.

Analysis

The Milwaukee Bucks have been a tough out for the Dubs over the past few years, covering four of the last six games between these teams, including winning the last game at Oracle outright.

The absence of Draymond is a gaping void and major loss on defense, which could lead to two of the highest scoring offenses and fastest paced teams in the league to score a huge amount of points.

Milwaukee appears to be one of the most dominant teams in the East, handing the Toronto Raptors their lone loss, led by the Greek Freak’s continuing ascent as one of the superstars of the NBA, but the majority of their wins have come against weak Eastern conference teams.

As hard as it may be to outshine their past two championship seasons and as good as the Bucks have been, the Warriors look like something special this season so far and we can’t feel confident betting against them at home the way they are shooting and the bench has been playing, with the chemistry and joy they are exuding.

If we’re playing, we’re laying 7 with the Dubs.

Poll

What is your best bet for Warriors vs. Bucks on 11/8/18?

This poll is closed

  • 43%
    Warriors -7
    (97 votes)
  • 20%
    Bucks +7
    (47 votes)
  • 31%
    Over 234.5
    (70 votes)
  • 4%
    Under 234.5
    (10 votes)
224 votes total Vote Now