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Can Warriors get revenge against the Raptors, favored by seven points?

The Warriors will try to even the season series against a Raptors team on the second game of a back-to-back.

NBA: Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors
Steph Curry had a big game on Monday and will look to keep it going against the Raptors on Wednesday.
Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

In contrast to their first meeting of the season, an overtime thriller that saw Kevin Durant go unconscious, the Golden State Warriors will have Stephen Curry and Draymond Green in the starting lineup when they host the Toronto Raptors tonight in Oracle.

Here we discuss the odds and preview from a betting perspective.

When: Wednesday December 12th, 2018 at 7:30pm PST

Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California

TV: ESPN

Line: Warriors -7, total at 226.5

Injuries: Delon Wright (eye) is questionable, Kawhi Leonard (hip) is questionable and Norman Powell (shoulder) is out for the Raptors.

Andre Iguodala (hip) is questionable, DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) is out and Damian Jones (pectoral) is out for the Warriors.

Toronto Raptors

The Raptors are 22-7 on the season, have lost three of their last five, and will be playing the night after an easy 123-99 win at the Los Angeles Clippers.

Toronto is led by Kawhi Leonard scoring 26.1 points per game and pulling down 8.3 rebounds per game, and Kyle Lowry with 9.9 assists per game.

NBA: Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors
Kawhi leads the Raptors in points and rebounds per game.
John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

The Raptors are scoring 115.7 points per game (4th of 30), allowing 107.5 points per game (6th of 30), earning a simple rating system (SRS) score of 7.87 (2nd of 30), pace factor of 99.7 (14th of 30), offensive rating of 114.8 (2nd of 30) and defensive rating of 106.7 (7th of 30).

Toronto is 13-15-1 against the spread (ATS), 17-12 to the over/under, 5-0 ATS on no rest, 3-1 ATS as an underdog, 3-1 ATS as an away underdog, 4-1 to the over/under on no rest, 3-1 to the over/under as an underdog and 3-1 to the over/under as an away underdog.

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors welcomed Draymond Green back to the lineup on Monday, beating the Minnesota Timberwolves 116-108 and are now 19-9 on the season.

Golden State is led by Kevin Durant scoring 28.8 points per game, grabbing 7.7 rebounds per game and dishing 6.2 assist per game.

NBA: Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors
Kevin Durant had a monster game against the Raptors earlier this season and is leading the Warriors in points, rebounds and assists per game.
Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The Warriors are scoring 116.4 points per game (3rd of 30), allowing 110.5 points per game (16th of 30), earning a SRS score of 5.33 (5th of 30), pace factor of 99.7 (15th of 30), offensive rating of 115.9 (1st of 30) and defensive rating of 110.1 (16th of 30).

Golden State is 13-15 ATS, 15-13 to the over/under, 7-6 ATS as a home favorite, 7-7 ATS as the home team, 9-9 ATS after a win, 12-6 to the over/under after a win and 14-9 to the over/under as a favorite this season.

Analysis

Golden State nearly pulled off the upset as 9.5-point underdogs in Toronto the last time these two teams met, which was the first win for the Raptors against the Dubs in nine games.

The Raptors have covered five of the last seven contests against the Dubs and even though they will be playing the second game of a back-to-back, Toronto has performed well ATS and to the over as an underdog and on no rest this season.

Even if Kawhi plays tonight, the Warriors will have revenge on their mind and will have extra incentive to not get swept by the best team in the Eastern Conference, especially with Steph and Draymond now back in the lineup. We anticipate the total going over 226.5 and for the Warriors to win by more than seven.

Poll

What is your best bet for Warriors vs. Raptors on 12/12/18?

This poll is closed

  • 42%
    Warriors -7
    (77 votes)
  • 25%
    Raptors +7
    (46 votes)
  • 27%
    Over 226.5
    (50 votes)
  • 5%
    Under 226.5
    (10 votes)
183 votes total Vote Now