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Can the Warriors keep it going at Phoenix as 10-point favorites?

Golden State covered for the first time in six games and will try for another solid road performance against the Suns.

NBA: Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers
Klay Thompson finally broke out in the Warriors win at Portland.
Craig Mitchelldyer-USA TODAY Sports

Golden State finally showed some pride, earning a convincing win and cover against the Trailblazers in Portland.

The Dubs are once again double-digit road favorites as they try and keep the momentum going against the Phoenix Suns.

Here we discuss the odds and preview from a betting perspective.

When: Monday December 31st, 2018 at 6:00pm PST

Where: Talking Stick Resort Arena, Phoenix, Arizona

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Line: Warriors -10, total at 227.5

Injuries: Devin Booker (back) is questionable for the Suns.

DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) is out and Damian Jones (pectoral) is out for the Warriors.

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix is 9-28 and have lost four of five, losing 122-118 to the Denver Nuggets on Saturday.

The Suns are led by Devin Booker scoring 25.3 points per game and passing 7.2 assists per game, and DeAndra Ayton with 10.9 rebounds per game.

NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns
Devin Booker leads the Suns in points and assists per game.
Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Phoenix is scoring 105.4 points per game (26th of 30), allowing 113.9 points per game (24th of 30), earning a simple rating system (SRS) score of -7.22 (26th of 30), pace factor of 99.0 (19th of 30), offensive rating of 104.7 (28th of 30) and defensive rating of 113.2 (27th of 30).

The Suns are 17-20 against the spread (ATS), 16-21 to the over/under, 9-9 ATS as the home team and home underdog, 7-11 to the over/under as home team and home underdog and 14-21 to the over/under as an underdog.

The Suns have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games.

Golden State Warriors

It was one thing to lose back-to-back home games but the Warriors were not going to lose to the same team in consecutive games, beating the Trailblazers 115-105 as four-point favorites, snapping a five game streak of failing to cover ATS.

The Warriors are led by Kevin Durant scoring 28.6 points per game, pulling down 7.7 rebounds per game and dishing 6.2 assists per game.

NBA: Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers
Kevin Durant leads the Warriors in points, rebounds and assists per game.
Craig Mitchelldyer-USA TODAY Sports

Golden State is scoring 115.4 points per game (4th of 30), allowing 111.3 points per game (18th of 30), earning a SRS score of 4.04 (7th of 30), pace factor of 100.3 (10th of 30), offensive rating of 114.1 (1st of 30) and defensive rating of 110.0 (15th of 30).

The Warriors are 15-22 ATS, 18-19 to the over/under, 7-10 ATS as the away team, 5-8 ATS as an away favorite, 9-4 to the over/under as an away favorite and 10-7 to the over/under as the away team.

Analysis

Maybe Klay Thompson’s explosion was the start of a heater, but a sample size of one game is not enough to feel confident laying double-digits on the road with a Warriors team that had been struggling, even if the game is against the worst team in the Western Conference.

Golden State have beaten the Suns in sixteen straight games and six of their last eight contests have gone over the total.

But the Warriors offense has struggled to produce with coach Steve Kerr’s new rotations and lack of bench productivity. The last three Warriors games have gone under the posted total and we lean toward the contest with the Suns going under 227.5 total points.

Poll

What is your best bet for Warriors at Suns on 12/31/18?

This poll is closed

  • 44%
    Warriors -10
    (35 votes)
  • 25%
    Suns +10
    (20 votes)
  • 13%
    Over 227.5
    (11 votes)
  • 16%
    Under 227.5
    (13 votes)
79 votes total Vote Now