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Will Warriors get revenge on hot-shooting Harden and Rockets, laying 8-points at home?

Golden State can win and cover three straight as they host the Houston Rockets on Thursday night.

NBA: Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns
Steph Curry did not play when the Warriors were routed by Houston 107-86 in November.
Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors will try to keep the positive momentum going and exact some revenge on the visiting Houston Rockets on Thursday night at Oracle.

Here we discuss the odds and preview from a betting perspective.

When: Thursday January 3rd, 2019 at 7:30pm PST

Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California

TV: TNT

Line: Warriors -8, total at 226

Injuries: James Ennis III (hamstring) is probable, Eric Gordon (knee) is out, Chris Paul (hamstring) is out and Carmelo Anthony (illness) is out for the Rockets.

DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) is out and Damian Jones (pectoral) is out for the Warriors.

Houston Rockets

The Rockets are 21-15 and had a hot December during which they won their last five and ten of their last eleven games, coming off of a 113-101 win over the Memphis Grizzlies.

James Harden set an NBA record with eight straight games with at least 35 points and 5 assists and leads the team with 33.3 points per game and 8.4 assists per game. Clint Capela leads the Rockets with 12.3 rebounds per game.

NBA: Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets
James Harden has eight straight games with at least 35 points and 5 assists.
Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Houston is scoring 109.9 points per game (19th of 30), allowing 108.3 points per game (11th of 30), earning a simple rating system (SRS) score of 2.23 (10th of 30), pace factor of 95.9 (28th of 30), offensive rating of 113.9 (2nd of 30) and defensive rating of 112.3 (23rd of 30).

The Rockets have covered five straight and are 18-17-1 against the spread (ATS), 18-16-2 to the over/under, 7-11 ATS as the away team, 2-3 ATS as an away underdog, 7-10-1 to the over/under as the away team and 2-3 to the over/under as an away underdog this season.

Golden State Warriors

The Dubs are now 25-13 and appear to be getting back on track with two solid wins and covers in each of their last two games, coming off of a 132-109 win in Phoenix.

Golden State is led by Stephen Curry scoring 28.7 points per game and Kevin Durant with 7.5 rebounds per game and 6.2 assists per game.

NBA: Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns
Kevin Durant leads the Warriors in rebounds and assists per game.
Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Golden State is scoring 115.8 points per game (3rd of 30), allowing 111.3 points per game (18th of 30), earning a SRS score of 4.39 (7th of 30), pace factor of 100.4 (10th of 30), offensive rating of 114.4 (1st of 30) and defensive rating of 109.9 (14th of 30).

The Warriors are 16-22 ATS, 19-19 to the over/under, 8-16 ATS in conference games, 8-11 ATS as a home favorite, 8-12 ATS as the home team, 8-11 to the over/under as a home favorite, 10-14 to the over/under in conference games and 8-12 to the over/under as the home team this season.

Analysis

The Rockets may be the hottest team in the NBA right now but the Warriors appear to be getting back into a groove and will have extra motivation to avenge their convincing loss in Houston.

Chris Paul and Eric Gordon were +20 and +23 respectively in their November win over the Dubs, but both will not be expected to play on Thursday night.

The last six contests between these teams have gone under the total and without Paul and Gordon helping the Rockets offense, we expect the Dubs’ motivation to be channeled into shutting down Harden and see the most value in the game going under 226 total points while leaning toward the Dubs covering the spread.

Poll

What is your best bet for Warriors vs. Rockets on 1/3/19?

This poll is closed

  • 39%
    Warriors -8
    (162 votes)
  • 29%
    Rockets +8
    (122 votes)
  • 18%
    Over 226
    (75 votes)
  • 12%
    Under 226
    (53 votes)
412 votes total Vote Now

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