The Golden State Warriors returned home from what was supposed to be one of the more challenging parts of their schedule with an eleven game win streak intact and having covered four of their last five road games.
The Warriors will host a very competitive Philadelphia 76ers team on Thursday night. Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.
When: Thursday January 31st, 2019 at 7:30pm PST.
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California
Line: Warriors -9.5, total is at 240.5
Injuries: Joel Embiid (back) is questionable, Jonah Bolden (Achilles) is questionable, Zhaire Smith (foot) is out, Markelle Fultz (shoulder) is out and Justin Patton (foot) is out for the Sixers.
Jonas Jerebko (personal) and Damian Jones (pectoral) are out for the Warriors
The Sixers are 33-18 on the season after easily handling an undermanned Los Angeles Lakers squad 121-105 on Tuesday, and have won six of their last eight games.
Philly is led by Joel Embiid with 27.2 points and 13.3 rebounds per game and Ben Simmons with 8.2 assists per game.
The 76ers are scoring 115.7 points per game (4th of 30), allowing 112.1 points per game (22nd of 30), earning a simple rating system (SRS) score of 2.81 (11th of 30), pace factor of 101.4 (7th of 30), offensive rating of 113.0 (9th of 30) and defensive rating of 109.4 (11th of 30).
Philadelphia is 24-27 against the spread (ATS), 28-23 to the over/under, 16-13 ATS after one day off, 10-15 ATS as the away team, 6-9 ATS as an underdog and away underdog, 12-20 ATS after a win, 17-12 to the over/under with one day off, 18-14 to the over/under after a win and 8-7 to the over/under as an underdog and away underdog this season.
Golden State Warriors
Golden State throttled a short-handed Indiana Pacers team on Monday, winning their eleventh straight game to move to 36-14 on the season, and have covered seven of their last ten games and failing to cover those three games by a combined three points.
The Dubs are led by Stephen Curry scoring 29.3 points per game and Draymond Green with 8.0 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game.
Golden State is scoring 119.1 points per game (1st of 30), allowing 111.8 points per game (20th of 30), earning a SRS score of 7.13 (2nd of 30), pace factor of 100.5 (9th of 30), offensive rating of 117.5 (1st of 30) and defensive rating of 110.3 (14th of 30).
The Warriors are 23-26-1 ATS, 28-22 to the over/under, 18-16 ATS after a win, 6-7 ATS after 2-3 days off, 10-12-1 ATS as a home favorite, 22-13 to the over/under after a win, 8-5 to the over/under with 2-3 days off, 27-18 to the over/under as a favorite and 11-12 to the over/under as a home favorite this season.
Even though Philadelphia has key players back and covered the number in six of the last seven games against the Warriors, bettors should not bet against a Warriors team that is in the middle of an eleven game winning streak, clicking on all cylinders and continuing to optimize their integration of DeMarcus Cousins.
Steph Curry is back to hitting nothing but net on thirty foot, last second shots and his enthusiastic and fluid play has elevated the entire offense and pace. Though the Dubs could have a bit of a coming down to earth after returning home from a long road trip, we can only side with the Warriors -9.5 and over 240.5 if we are betting this game.
What is your best bet for Warriors vs. Sixers on 1/31/19?
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