The Golden State Warriors had a let down spot and eleven game winning streak snapped on Thursday in their first game back from a dominating road trip. The Dubs will attempt to get back to winning on Saturday evening against the Los Angeles Lakers.
Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.
When: Saturday February 2nd, 2019 at 5:30pm PST
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California
Line: Warriors -11, total is at 236.
Injuries: Kyle Kuzma (hip) is probable, Josh Hart (knee) is probable, Rajon Rondo (ankle) is probable and Lonzo Ball (ankle) is out for the Lakers.
Jonas Jerebko (personal) is probable, Klay Thompson (illness) is questionable and Damian Jones (pectoral) is out for the Warriors.
Los Angeles Lakers
Amidst all of the Anthony Davis trade speculation and drama, the Los Angeles Lakers welcomed back LeBron James with a 123-120 overtime victory at the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday, getting their record a touch further above .500 to 27-25.
The Lakers are led by Kyle Kuzma scoring 18.9 points per game, JaVale McGee with 6.9 rebounds per game and Lonzo Ball with 5.4 assists per game.
Los Angeles is scoring 112.3 points per game (13th of 30), allowing 112.1 points per game (22nd of 30), earning a simple rating system (SRS) score of 0.16 (17th of 30), pace factor of 103.3 (3rd of 30), offensive rating of 107.9 (21st of 30) and defensive rating of 107.6 (9th of 30).
LA is 23-28-1 against the spread (ATS), 19-32-1 to the over/under, 7-5 ATS as an away underdog, 8-2 ATS in division games, 18-24-1 ATS after a day off, 9-6 ATS against teams that win >55 percent of their games, 13-17 to the over/under after a day off, 5-7 to the over/under as an away underdog, 0-5-1 to the over/under when line was 234.5 to 237.5 and 9-16 to the over/under after a win.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors came back down to earth at the hands of a very game Philadelphia 76ers team, losing 113-104 to drop to 36-15 on the season. The lackadaisical defense that worked against the Indiana Pacers could not contain Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons and the rest of the Sixers.
Golden State is led by Stephen Curry scoring 29.5 points per game and Draymond Green with 8.0 and 7.4 rebounds and assists per game, respectively.
Golden State is scoring 118.8 points per game (1st of 30), allowing 111.8 points per game (20th of 30), earning a SRS score of 6.92 (2nd of 30), pace factor of 101.0 (10th of 30), offensive rating of 116.7 (1st of 30) and defensive rating of 109.8 (16th of 30).
The Warriors are 23-27-1 ATS, 28-23 to the over/under, 15-14 ATS after a day off, 5-9 ATS after a loss, 4-6 ATS in division games, 10-14-1 ATS as the home team, 5-8-1 ATS against teams that win 45-55 percent of games, 7-3 to the over/under in division games, 16-13 to the over/under after a day off, 11-14 to the over/under as the home team, 6-8 to the over/under after a loss and 4-0 to the over/under when the line was 234.5 to 237.5.
The Warriors had beaten the Lakers in seven straight games before Los Angeles came into Oracle and humiliated the Dubs in front of a Christmas Day crowd, crushing Golden State despite losing LeBron James in the middle of that game.
With LeBron back in the line up and Kyle Kuzma also likely to return, the Lakers will be ready to scrap on Saturday night. But the Warriors will also be motivated to get the taste of their most recent and Christmas Day losses out of their mouth.
With both teams looking to assert themselves for the stretch run and before the All-Star break, we expect an intense, physical contest which could lead to more motivation on defense.
Expecting a more tightly contested contest, taken together with the Lakers being an ‘under’ team this season, we lean toward under 236 points in this contest, even more so if Klay Thompson does not play.
What is your best bet for Warriors vs. Lakers on 2/2/19?
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