The Golden State Warriors got outplayed by a Houston Rockets team without James Harden and could be a bit annoyed at their inability to beat the Rockets so far this season and losing the season series.
Now they will look to get back on track on the road, starting with the Charlotte Hornets on Monday. Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.
When: Monday February 25th, 2019 at 4:00pm PST.
Where: Spectrum Center, Charlotte, North Carolina
TV: NBC Sports Bay Area
Line: Warriors -7, o/u 234
Injuries: Draymond Green (ankle) is probable and Damian Jones (pectoral) is out for the Warriors.
The Hornets’ 28-31 record is good for first place in the Southeast Division and the eighth and last playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, coming off of a 117-115 home loss to the Brooklyn Nets and having lost three of their last four.
Charlotte is led by Kemba Walker’s 25.1 points and 5.7 assists per game, and Cody Zeller with 6.8 assists per game.
The Hornets are scoring 111.1 points per game (18th of 30), allowing 111.4 points per game (15th of 30), earning a simple rating system (SRS) score of -1.21 (21st of 30), pace factor of 99.0 (20th of 30), offensive rating of 111.1 (13th of 30) and defensive rating of 111.4 (20th of 30).
Charlotte is 28-30-1 against the spread (ATS), 32-26-1 to the over/under, 3-1 ATS as a home underdog, 12-14 ATS as an underdog, 4-8 to the over/under when spread was +5.5 to 8.5, 25-30-1 ATS against teams allowing >102 points per game, 29-24-1 to the over under versus teams averaging >102 points per game, 26-21-1 to the over/under after a day off, 3-1 to the over/under as a home underdog, 15-10-1 to the over/under as an underdog and 16-13-1 to the over/under after a loss this season.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors fell to 42-17 following their uninspiring 118-112 loss to the Rockets and have lost two of their last three.
Golden State is led by Stephen Curry scoring 28.7 points per game and Draymond Green with 7.5 rebounds and 7.2 assists per game.
The Warriors are scoring 118.8 points per game (1st of 30), allowing 112.0 points per game (18th of 30), earning a SRS score of 6.73 (2nd of 30), pace factor of 101.1 (10th of 30), offensive rating of 116.7 (1st of 30) and defensive rating of 110.0 (16th of 30).
The Dubs are now second to last in the league in covering spreads, 24-34-1 ATS, 32-27 to the over/under, 13-15 ATS as the away team, 15-19 ATS after one day off, 5-11 ATS after a loss, 5-11-1 ATS against teams that win 45-55 percent of games, 17-7 to the over/under as an away favorite, 18-10 to the over/under as an away team, 27-24 to the over/under after a day off and 6-4 to the over/under when line was 232.5 to 235.5 points this season.
Chances are that the Dubs will be filled with higher than usual amounts of piss and vinegar after dropping their third straight to Houston, and we expect a big performance from Steph in his hometown.
Even though the Warriors have failed to cover in six straight and eight of their last nine, and while we generally would caution against betting the Warriors ATS from now until the playoffs, Golden State has covered three straight in Charlotte and we expect them to be motivated by their last loss and lean toward laying the seven with the Dubs and the game going over 234 points.
What is your best bet for Warriors at Hornets on 2/25/19?
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