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Can the Warriors keep it going as nine-point favorites at Miami?

Golden State’s next stop on the current road trip will be South Beach to face the Heat.

NBA: Golden State Warriors at Charlotte Hornets
DeMarcus Cousins had a solid game in Charlotte.
Sam Sharpe-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors got back on track with a win and cover at Charlotte and will try to keep the momentum going as they face the Miami Heat on Wednesday.

Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.

When: Wednesday, February 27th, 2019 at 4:30pm PST

Where: American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Line: Warriors -9, o/u 224

Injuries: Justise Winslow (knee) is probable, Derrick Jones Jr. (illness) is probable, Rodney McGruder (knee) is questionable and James Johnson (shoulder) is questionable for the Heat.

Jordan Bell (illness) is questionable and DeMarcus Cousins (rest) and Damian Jones (pectoral) are out for the Warriors.

Miami Heat

The Heat are 26-33 on the season after a 124-121 home loss to the Phoenix Suns, and have now lost three straight and nine of their last eleven games.

Miami is led by Josh Richardson scoring 17.4 points per game, Hassan Whiteside with 12.3 rebounds per game and Dwyane Wade with 4.3 assist per game.

NBA: Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat
Hassan Whiteside leads the Heat in rebounds per game.
Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Heat are scoring 105.1 points per game (27th of 30), allowing 106.2 points per game (3rd of 30), earning a simple rating system (SRS) score of -1.70 (23rd of 30), pace factor of 98.3 (24th of 30), offensive rating of 106.7 (25th of 30) and defensive rating of 107.8 (8th of 30).

Miami is 30-29 against the spread (ATS), 30-29 to the over/under, 6-3 ATS as a home underdog, 19-10 ATS as an underdog, 11-18 ATS as the home team, 16-13 to the over/under as the home team, 13-16 to the over/under as an underdog and 4-5 to the over/under as a home underdog this season.

Golden State Warriors

The Dubs moved to 43-17 with their 121-110 win over the Charlotte Hornets, covering the number for the first time in seven games.

Golden State is led by Stephen Curry with 28.4 points per game and Draymond Green with 7.5 rebounds per game and 7.3 assists per game.

NBA: Golden State Warriors at Charlotte Hornets
Steph Curry leads the Warriors in points per game.
Sam Sharpe-USA TODAY Sports

The Warriors are scoring 118.8 points per game (1st of 30), allowing 112.0 points per game (18th of 30), earning a SRS score of 6.77 (2nd of 30), pace factor of 101.1 (10th of 30), offensive rating of 116.8 (1st of 30) and defensive rating of 110.0 (15th of 30).

Golden State is 25-34-1 ATS, 32-28 to the over/under, 14-15 ATS as the away team, 8-5 ATS against teams that win <45 percent of their games, 17-8 to the over/under as an away favorite, 18-11 to the over/under as an away team and 5-3 to the over/under when the total was 222.5 to 225.5 this season.

Analysis

The Heat only lost by two points as 13.5 point underdogs at Oracle the last time these two teams played but have been losing lately and have failed to cover six straight in Miami.

In contrast, the Warriors have been better ATS on the road than at home this season and in facing a depleted and sliding Heat squad, we lean toward laying the nine points with the Warriors.

Poll

What is your best bet for Warriors at Hear on 2/27/19?

This poll is closed

  • 63%
    Warriors -9
    (61 votes)
  • 10%
    Heat +9
    (10 votes)
  • 19%
    Over 224
    (19 votes)
  • 6%
    Under 224
    (6 votes)
96 votes total Vote Now