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Will Warriors continue to own the Suns, laying 15.5-points in Phoenix?

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Oddsmakers are forecasting another dominant win for the Warriors in the desert.

NBA: San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors
Kevin Durant expressed frustrations with the media and desire to just focus on basketball this week.
Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

Amidst all the trade deadline speculation and scrutiny over Kevin Durant’s impending free agency, the Golden State Warriors continue their efforts to win games and another championship, going on the road to take on the Phoenix Suns next.

Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.

When: Friday February 8th, 2019 at 6:00pm PST

Where: Talking Stick Resort Arena, Phoenix, Arizona

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Line: Warriors -15.5, total at 232

Injuries: Devin Booker (hamstring) is questionable, Tyler Johnson (acquired) is questionable, T.J. Warren (ankle) and De’Anthony Melton (ankle) are out for the Suns.

Damian Jones (pectoral) is out for the Warriors.

Phoenix Suns

The Suns are 11-45 on the season, losers of twelve straight, most recently falling 116-88 at the Utah Jazz.

Phoenix is led by Devin Booker with 24.9 points and 6.7 assists per game and DeAndre Ayton with 10.5 rebounds per game.

NBA: Phoenix Suns at Utah Jazz
DeAndre Ayton leads the Suns in rebounds per game.
Russ Isabella-USA TODAY Sports

The Suns are scoring 105.9 points per game (24th of 30), allowing 115.8 points per game (28th of 30), earning a simple rating system (SRS) score of -8.52 (28th of 30), pace factor of 100.0 (14th of 30), offensive rating of 104.8 (28th of 30) and defensive rating of 114.9 (29th of 30).

Phoenix is 24-32 against the spread (ATS), 25-30-1 to the over/under, 18-26 ATS after a loss, 12-14 ATS as a home underdog, 12-16 ATS as the home team, 11-15 to the over/under as a home underdog and 12-16 to the over/under at home this season.

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors improved to 38-15 on the season after their 141-102 drubbing of a depleted San Antonio Spurs squad on Wednesday evening.

The Dubs are led by Stephen Curry scoring 28.9 points per game and Draymond Green with 7.8 and 7.3 rebounds and assists per game, respectively.

NBA: San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors
Steph Curry continues to be the engine that drives the Warriors’ offensive potency.
Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

Golden State is scoring 119.1 points per game (1st of 30), allowing 111.4 points per game (19th of 30), earning a SRS score of 7.61 (2nd of 30), pace factor of 101.0 (10th of 30), offensive rating of 117.0 (1st of 30) and defensive rating of 109.5 (15th of 30).

The Warriors are 24-28-1 ATS, 29-24 to the over/under, 19-17-1 ATS after a win, 13-13 ATS after a win, 11-11 ATS as an away favorite, 4-2 ATS when the spread is -13 to -16, 16-6 to the over/under as an away favorite, 17-9 to the over/under as an away team and 23-14 to the over/under after a win this season.

Analysis

In a match up of the best versus the worst team in the conference, the question is not if but by how much the Warriors beat the Suns.

Golden State has beaten Phoenix in seventeen straight contests, covering big numbers the last three times these teams played each other overall and the last four games they played in Phoenix.

Phoenix has nothing left to play for and if Devin Booker does not play the Suns have little chance of keeping it close.

While 15+ points is a lot to lay and it’s possible that the Warriors relax a little against a team they have owned, the Dubs have done well with these big spreads this season and we can only lean toward laying the big number with the Warriors in this Friday night contest.

Poll

What is your best bet for Warriors at Suns on 2/8/19?

This poll is closed

  • 63%
    Warriors -15.5
    (72 votes)
  • 9%
    Suns +15.5
    (11 votes)
  • 26%
    Over 232
    (30 votes)
  • 0%
    Under 232
    (1 vote)
114 votes total Vote Now