The Golden State Warriors didn’t let the beaches or nightlife of LA get in the way of taking care of business, and now return to Oracle with an opportunity to close out the Los Angeles Clippers in game five.
Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.
When: Wednesday April 24, 2019 at 7:30pm
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California
Line: Warriors -14, o/u 235
Injuries: Draymond Green (hand) is questionable, DeMarcus Cousins (quadricep) and Damian Jones (pectoral) are out for the Warriors.
Los Angeles Clippers
Los Angeles fought hard and kept within striking distance for much of game four but could not overcome the Warriors’ superior talent, ultimately succumbing 105-113.
The Clippers are led by Lou Williams with 22.2 points and 7.2 assists per game, Ivica Zubac with 7.0 rebounds per game, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander with 1.5 steals per game and Patrick Beverley with 1.0 block per game in these playoffs.
Los Angeles is 47-38-1 against the spread (ATS), 46-39-1 to the over/under, 21-15 ATS after a loss, 14-14-1 ATS as an away underdog, 9-12 ATS with 2-3 days off, 10-19 to the over/under as an away underdog, 20-16 to the over/under after a loss and 11-9 to the over/under with 2-3 days off this season.
The Clippers are scoring 112.3 points and allowing 124.3 points per game and 2-2 ATS, 2-2 to the over/under in the playoffs. Los Angeles averaged 116.6 points per game on two days of rest this regular season.
Golden State Warriors
The Dubs trailed by five points at one point during the third quarter of game four but would not allow another second half meltdown, finishing the game with a win and an eye on closing out the series in game five.
The Warriors are led by Kevin Durant with 28.8 points and 1.5 steals per game, Andrew Bogut with 8.5 rebounds per game, Draymond Green with 7.8 assists and 1.8 blocks per game in these playoffs.
The Dubs are 37-48-1 ATS, 40-46 to the over/under, 12-10 ATS with 2-3 days off, 25-33-1 ATS after a win, 17-24-1 ATS as a home favorite, 17-25 to the over/under as a home favorite, 11-11 to the over/under with 2-3 days of rest and 31-28 to the over/under after a win this season.
Golden State is scoring 124.3 points and allowing 112.3 points per game and 2-2 ATS, 2-2 to the over/under in the playoffs so far. The Warriors averaged 112.5 points per game with two days of rest this regular season.
Since the start of 2019, when the Warriors decide to play with defensive intensity against the Clippers, they have won the game and held the Clippers to 105 or less points, covering four of the five games in which they’ve held the Clippers to 105 or less points, just missing the cover in the last game, winning by eight points as 9.5-point favorites.
Klay Thompson credited a dip in the Pacific Ocean as waking him up and helping his body and mind prior to his 32-point performance in game four, and had this to say about game five:
“We want to give our fans a show and redeem ourselves from the last time in Oracle,” Thompson said after Game 4. “We owe them one.”
There’s only one Klay Thompson pic.twitter.com/iIpzKjrfwt— 95.7 The Game (@957thegame) April 21, 2019
Klay also mentioned that they would not make the mistake of letting up as they did in game two again, and if the Warriors sustain full defensive intensity in game five, it’s difficult to envision the Clippers having the shooting and motivation to put up points as they did in the second half of game two, making us lean toward the Clippers team total under 110.5 points in game five.
This Warriors team does its best when motivated, and even though the Utah Jazz forced a game five with the Houston Rockets, giving the Dubs a little more breathing room, we expect Golden State to smell blood in the water and be in attack mode on Wednesday and have taken the Warriors -8.5 for the first half with a lean toward Dubs -14 for the full game.
What is your best bet for Warriors vs. Clippers game 5 on 4/24/19?
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