Will Warriors upset the Blazers in game 3, getting 2.5-points in Portland?

Can the Golden State Warriors get the first road win of this series and a stranglehold on the Western Conference Finals?

Here we discuss betting odds and analysis for game three.

When: Saturday May 18, 2019 at 6:00pm PST

Where: Moda Center, Portland, Oregon

TV: ESPN

Line: Blazers -2.5, o/u 221

Injuries: Jusuf Nurkic (leg) is out for the Blazers.

Kevin Durant (calf) and DeMarcus Cousins (quadricep) are out for the Warriors.

Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounding from a poor offensive showing in game one, the Blazers exploded for 65 points in the first half of game two but could not sustain it, giving up a 15 point lead while scoring only 46 points in the second half to lose 111-114.

Portland is led by Damian Lillard with 21.0 points and 8.0 assists per game, Seth Curry with 3.0 steals per game, Enes Kanter with 10.5 rebounds per game and Maurice Harkless with 1.5 blocks per game in this series so far.

Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

The Blazers are 52-43-1 against the spread (ATS), 50-44-2 to the over/under, 37-28 ATS with one day off, 20-14 ATS after a loss, 23-17-1 ATS as a home favorite, 37-26-2 to the over/under on one day of rest, 19-15 to the over/under after a loss and 24-16-1 to the over/under as a home favorite this season.

Portland has an offensive rating of 111.3, defensive rating of 112.0, pace factor of 95.9 and is 7-7 ATS, 8-6 to the over/under in the playoffs.

Golden State Warriors

Golden State used a classic third quarter explosion and tight second half defense to overcome a double-digit deficit and steal a win to go up two games to none in the Western Conference Finals.

The Warriors are led by Stephen Curry with 36.5 points and 7.5 assists per game, Draymond Green with 10.0 rebounds and 4.0 blocks per game and Kevon Looney with 2.0 steals per game in this series so far.

Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

The Dubs are 41-54-1 ATS, 47-49 to the over/under, 28-37-1 ATS after a win, 5-4 ATS as an away underdog, 25-31 ATS with one day of rest, 4-5 to the over/under as an away underdog, 25-31 to the over/under on one day of rest and 36-30 to the over/under after a win this season.

Golden State has an offensive rating of 118.4, defensive rating of 111.5, pace factor of 98.7 and are 6-8 ATS, 9-5 to the over/under in the playoffs.

Analysis

After letting a road win and fifteen point lead slip through their fingers, the Blazers and their fans will be chomping at the bit in their first home game of these Western Conference Finals.

At the same time, the Dubs have resurrected the spirit of the Strength In Numbers campaign and seem to be playing with a chip on their shoulder since Kevin Durant went out with an injury, and we have little doubt that they will try and go for the kill with a road win in game three and could see this game being very close.

The last two times these teams faced each other in the playoffs in 2016 and 2017, they finished over the total in game three when the series shifted to Portland after the Warriors won two in Oakland.

In the first two rounds of these playoffs, Golden State went over the posted total in each game three on the road, and given Portland’s trending over as a home favorite, after a loss and on one day of rest this season, we lean toward over 221 points in game three of this series.